Something to look out for

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Listen folks...

I have said several times in the past few months that after
nearly 20 years of watching all of the different developments
go by, a light came on when I was watching Colorado practice
on Pac-TV over the winter/summer break. I was blown away
by how fast and athletic (and big) the 2016 Buffs appeared to
be. The Buff's QB Sifo Liufau is deadly accurate (15/18) and
he can run.

But that's not the "trend" itself. The trend is under the subject
of a specific coaching situation. From what I've seen, it can be
a deadly weapon to use as you wish.

It goes like this...

When a winning coach, even from a lower division gets a new
job, his team will likely cover 75% of the time or more. But --
there's a hitch... he must have come from a previously losing
team that he successfully turned around.

Think Chip Kelly, Jim Harbaugh... they turned out pretty well
as HCs in D-1A. More than pretty well, both of them. Harbaugh
lifted Stanford out of the trash pile and they are STILL dangerous.
He did the same when he coached at the University of San Diego
before Stanford.

I'm posting this because the point here is about winning money.
I wonder how many locals ate it big when Stanford played USC
and they went off as a dog @ 55/1 and they went on to beat the
Trojans. I don't remember if it was year #2 or #3 in Harbaugh's
reign when Stanford went 10-2 ATS.

Mike MacIntyre already pulled that off at SJSU a few years ago.
Before Mike MacIntyre arrived, SJSU had been a doormat in the
WAC. I like the guy. If you listen to him talk, you'll hear how he
speaks in a way that shows you just how sharp he really is. I'm
sure that he sees things clearly and knows how to make things
go his way.

This posyt is also about winners that bring with them a culture
change. It normally takes a coach 2-3 years to make a culture
change and Mike MacIntyre is now in year #3 at Colorado. I'm
sure that he is one of them.

We'll know in a couple of weeks if the Buffs are an automatic play
on team every week. Colorado and Mike MacIntyre fit the profile.
I've said that Colorado will be the most improved Pac-12 team
this year. So far, I think I'm right. If I am, the books will take a
long time to adjust.
 

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Good stuff , thanks Conan.
 

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They are PAC 12, I'm sure they will be automatic play for u every week..like others in the conference
 

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The arrow does appear to be pointing upwards for Colorado, but they were so far down that is to be somewhat expected. When MacIntyre arrived in Boulder the cupboards were almost completely bare, save for a few saltine crackers. Looking at their 5 year recruiting average is #56 and their two year is #50, early returns on the 2017 class are producing mid 30s. That being said, I think they are in for a beat down at Michigan next Saturday, but its good they got off to a good start, with the opportunity to make a bowl game in order to boost coach's job security.
 

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I'm tempted to play it small and take the points this week.
It's probably wise to wait for all the Michigan money to run
the line up a ways. Their bettors probably won't know what
hit them when all is said and done. Very small chance that
Colorado will win outright but they won't just lay down. I'd
like to see at least 3 TD's. I think I'll get it... maybe more.
 

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They are PAC 12, I'm sure they will be automatic play for u every week..like others in the conference
You are pissing in the wind fella. No doubt you are going to find out the hard way. I bet you have already
forgotten all about what the Ducks did to the Seminoles the last time they played them. Just get over it.
 

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I'm tempted to play it small and take the points this week.
It's probably wise to wait for all the Michigan money to run
the line up a ways. Their bettors probably won't know what
hit them when all is said and done. Very small chance that
Colorado will win outright but they won't just lay down. I'd
like to see at least 3 TD's. I think I'll get it... maybe more.

Good luck. I like the play.
 

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Michigan has covered 2 enormous spreads while playing backups for significant chunks of games. Colorado will draw Michigans best effort and best depth chart. Michigan is likely without 2 starting defensive linemen (Mone, Charlton), and is likely down their best secondary player too. Jim Harbaugh called extremely bland games weeks 1&2 and will most certainly show some new wrinkles / packages vs the buffs. The buffs will score in this game, and may even keep it close for a bit. I think this could be an over play once the total comes out. Harbaugh knows to make the playoffs you have to win impressively. I expect Colorado to put up 17-24 points. I have the total of this game at 63
 

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Mike MacIntyre already pulled that off at SJSU a few years ago.
Before Mike MacIntyre arrived, SJSU had been a doormat in the
WAC. I like the guy. If you listen to him talk, you'll hear how he
speaks in a way that shows you just how sharp he really is.

He was a friend of mine back in first and second grade. He was a nice kid. Then his dad's regime got fired, and I never saw him again. But his dad was a good coach, and it's no surprise that Mike's had some success. I always pull for the guy, and I agree that the Buffs should show a lot of improvement this year.
 

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You are pissing in the wind fella. No doubt you are going to find out the hard way. I bet you have already
forgotten all about what the Ducks did to the Seminoles the last time they played them. Just get over it.

Some people have a problem, "getting over it" Conan, they usually learn the hard way or they are beyond repair (sometimes both).
Great slant regarding the Buffs.
 

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So, based on this analysis, Colorado+20 looks very attractive...however, Jim Harbaugh was also mentioned...In your mind, does that undo that thinking. BTW, my son and I will be in the Big House this Saturday. Check out the latest news at collegefootballodyssey.com Think you will love the posts! Best, Rick Rock
 

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Rickrock,

The Harbaugh factor is about the only reason I haven't checked in with 20 points.
I think this line will get bet up because the public and its money doesn't know squat
about Colorado's development. I think in most minds still look at Colorado and see a
failed B-12 team that can hardly win a game.
 

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Love Coach MacIntyre and I agree with Colorado's improvement and uptick. When Tedford left Cal, Coach MacIntyre was #2 on my wishlist behind only Chris Peterson. If my memory serves me correctly MacIntyre wanted the Cal job but was brushed off as only one of many candidates so he signed up with Colorado. If you can win at SJSt you can win almost anywhere. Tough schedule and I'm on Michigan-20 this week (maybe I can buy back half at 22 or so). Hopefully Michigan blows them out and we get even better value with the Buffs going forward.
 

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Love Coach MacIntyre and I agree with Colorado's improvement and uptick. When Tedford left Cal, Coach MacIntyre was #2 on my wishlist behind only Chris Peterson. If my memory serves me correctly MacIntyre wanted the Cal job but was brushed off as only one of many candidates so he signed up with Colorado. If you can win at SJSt you can win almost anywhere. Tough schedule and I'm on Michigan-20 this week (maybe I can buy back half at 22 or so). Hopefully Michigan blows them out and we get even better value with the Buffs going forward.

I thought about that angle too dawgg. I'm willing to give it a little more time before I slam them weekly if this holds up this year. I just hope they don't fire him if they're not ripe yet. Have some faith Buff fans. You've got a good coach for a good price and things will only improve.

I also happen to think that SJSU will get knocked on its ass this week.
 

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I also happen to think that SJSU will get knocked on its ass this week.

I was thinking along the same lines and was going to ask you about that.

Your thoughts on Wazzu have convinced me that your on the right side and I'm tailing you with Was St.

Ucla -3 @ BYU. Although Ucla looked terrible and couldn't stop a Mt West offense ( Unlv) on third down, I like them here. First of all I believe Unlv is on the uptick and better than they are being currently viewed (played em +13 @ Cen Mich). Secondly Byu hasn't been impressive at all. They lose to Ari which looks even worse now, and they lose to Utah when the Utes are trying to give them the game. Byu might be good in a month but not so much now with the new Hc, staff and tempo. Finally Byu will be without their top defender and team captain, safety Nacua, for the first half after being ejected in the 2nd half vs. Utah as well as nickel cb McChesney. Starting cb Warner was out vs Utah and is unknown as this point for this week.
 

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I was thinking along the same lines and was going to ask you about that.

Your thoughts on Wazzu have convinced me that your on the right side and I'm tailing you with Was St.

Ucla -3 @ BYU. Although Ucla looked terrible and couldn't stop a Mt West offense ( Unlv) on third down, I like them here. First of all I believe Unlv is on the uptick and better than they are being currently viewed (played em +13 @ Cen Mich). Secondly Byu hasn't been impressive at all. They lose to Ari which looks even worse now, and they lose to Utah when the Utes are trying to give them the game. Byu might be good in a month but not so much now with the new Hc, staff and tempo. Finally Byu will be without their top defender and team captain, safety Nacua, for the first half after being ejected in the 2nd half vs. Utah as well as nickel cb McChesney. Starting cb Warner was out vs Utah and is unknown as this point for this week.


BYU beat Arizona. They blew a 15-3 lead and needed a last second FG to win but they beat AZ. With that being said UCLA should beat BYU by at least 10 points. :103631605
 
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