Public opinion polls being printed for Sunday's editions are showing Bush and Kerry still statistical even one with Bush picking up momentum in the last 7 days. Kerry's VP pick did little for him. With the economy improving and Iraq appearing to be on track the american people are siding with Bush so say the newest poll data.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Massmilwaukee:
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Iraq appearing to be on track <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
What?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Don't blame me
Read Sunday's newspapers. The adage 'you get the gov't you deserve' comes to my mind. I find it very hard to understand myself.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Iraq appearing to be on track <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
What?<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Don't blame me
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5411094/site/newsweek/
By Brian Braiker
Newsweek
Although the John Kerry campaign enjoyed a rush of positive media coverage after announcing that John Edwards would be the Democratic candidate’s running mate, it is still locked in a dead heat with the Republican ticket, according to the first NEWSWEEK poll conducted since Edwards was tapped. Nearly 70 percent of all voters believe the selection of Edwards won’t make much difference in the outcome of the election, according to the poll. The survey also found that more voters think President George W. Bush will be re-elected than think Kerry will take the White House.
[Edited]
With the drumbeat of bad news from Iraq seeming to die down and the administration’s handover of sovereignty to the Iraqi people last month, the president’s job approval numbers are up slightly to 48 percent over the historic low it hit in May (42 percent). Nearly half (46 percent) still disapprove. That low-point in the president’s approval rating may have been a statistical blip during a week of unceasing bad and bloody news from the warfront in Iraq; with the bounce back up to the high 40s, the president’s approval rating is where it has been more of less consistently since January. The percentage of voters who express a favorable view of the president has also moved back to the halfway mark (51 percent) after dipping to 46 percent in May.
For the NEWSWEEK poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed 1,169 adults aged 18 and older July 8 and 9 by telephone. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
By Brian Braiker
Newsweek
Although the John Kerry campaign enjoyed a rush of positive media coverage after announcing that John Edwards would be the Democratic candidate’s running mate, it is still locked in a dead heat with the Republican ticket, according to the first NEWSWEEK poll conducted since Edwards was tapped. Nearly 70 percent of all voters believe the selection of Edwards won’t make much difference in the outcome of the election, according to the poll. The survey also found that more voters think President George W. Bush will be re-elected than think Kerry will take the White House.
[Edited]
With the drumbeat of bad news from Iraq seeming to die down and the administration’s handover of sovereignty to the Iraqi people last month, the president’s job approval numbers are up slightly to 48 percent over the historic low it hit in May (42 percent). Nearly half (46 percent) still disapprove. That low-point in the president’s approval rating may have been a statistical blip during a week of unceasing bad and bloody news from the warfront in Iraq; with the bounce back up to the high 40s, the president’s approval rating is where it has been more of less consistently since January. The percentage of voters who express a favorable view of the president has also moved back to the halfway mark (51 percent) after dipping to 46 percent in May.
For the NEWSWEEK poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed 1,169 adults aged 18 and older July 8 and 9 by telephone. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
http://abcnews.go.com/wire/Politics/ap20040711_763.html
Edwards Does Little for Polls
Kerry's Choice of Edwards Well-Received by Public, but Polls Show Little Change
WASHINGTON July 11, 2004 — John Kerry's choice of John Edwards as his running mate was received favorably by the public, polls suggest, but it has made little difference so far in the race with President Bush.
Kerry strategists are trying to lower expectations for a "bounce" in the polls that presidential candidates sometimes get after choosing a running mate or attending a convention. Bush strategists were quick to raise expectations of a double-digit "bounce" for the Kerry-Edwards team by the end of the Democratic National Convention.
Edwards Does Little for Polls
Kerry's Choice of Edwards Well-Received by Public, but Polls Show Little Change
WASHINGTON July 11, 2004 — John Kerry's choice of John Edwards as his running mate was received favorably by the public, polls suggest, but it has made little difference so far in the race with President Bush.
Kerry strategists are trying to lower expectations for a "bounce" in the polls that presidential candidates sometimes get after choosing a running mate or attending a convention. Bush strategists were quick to raise expectations of a double-digit "bounce" for the Kerry-Edwards team by the end of the Democratic National Convention.
Kerry pulls ahead of Bush in poll
WASHINGTON, July 10: Democratic presidential aspirant John Kerry has pulled ahead of incumbent President George W. Bush, according to a Time poll released on Friday that found more people were now backing Kerry compared with a June survey.
The poll was released as both Bush and Kerry picked up their respective campaigning ahead of the Nov 2 presidential election.
"If the election were held today, 49 percent of likely voters would vote for Kerry and 45 percent said they would vote for Bush," the poll found.
In a Time poll conducted in early June, Bush garnered 49 per cent of the likely vote compared to 48 per cent for Kerry.
Mr Kerry's acceleration past Bush comes after his campaign announced on Tuesday that fellow senator John Edwards of North Carolina would be joining the ticket as his vice presidential pick.
It found Edwards joining the ticket has done more for Kerry than Vice President Dick Cheney's standing has done for Bush.
Of those canvassed, 24 per cent said Edwards' standing as a running mate made them more likely to vote for Kerry.
And asked who would make a better president, 47 per cent chose Edwards compared with 38 percent who favoured Cheney.-AFP
Reuters
WASHINGTON, July 10: Democratic presidential aspirant John Kerry has pulled ahead of incumbent President George W. Bush, according to a Time poll released on Friday that found more people were now backing Kerry compared with a June survey.
The poll was released as both Bush and Kerry picked up their respective campaigning ahead of the Nov 2 presidential election.
"If the election were held today, 49 percent of likely voters would vote for Kerry and 45 percent said they would vote for Bush," the poll found.
In a Time poll conducted in early June, Bush garnered 49 per cent of the likely vote compared to 48 per cent for Kerry.
Mr Kerry's acceleration past Bush comes after his campaign announced on Tuesday that fellow senator John Edwards of North Carolina would be joining the ticket as his vice presidential pick.
It found Edwards joining the ticket has done more for Kerry than Vice President Dick Cheney's standing has done for Bush.
Of those canvassed, 24 per cent said Edwards' standing as a running mate made them more likely to vote for Kerry.
And asked who would make a better president, 47 per cent chose Edwards compared with 38 percent who favoured Cheney.-AFP
Reuters
http://www.indystar.com/articles/8/161789-8008-010.html
Edwards' addition to ticket not pushing Democrats higher in polls
By Tim Funk
Knight Ridder Newspapers
July 12, 2004
WASHINGTON -- The national spotlight burned even brighter Sunday on Sens. John Kerry and John Edwards, though new polls suggested that Kerry's choice of the North Carolina Democrat is not giving the party's presidential ticket much of a bounce in the polls.
The same polls indicated that Edwards is more popular with voters than Vice President Dick Cheney, but that has yet to make a difference on the presidential race itself. A poll by Newsweek found Kerry is still locked in a dead heat with President Bush; nearly 70 percent of those surveyed said the choice of Edwards won't make a difference in the race for the White House.
An earlier poll for The Associated Press, released two days after Kerry chose Edwards on Tuesday, even gave Bush a slight lead over Kerry as voters expressed increasing confidence about the economy. The numbers showed Bush at 49 percent, Kerry at 45 percent and independent Ralph Nader at 3 percent.
On Sunday, Kerry and Edwards took a break from the campaign trail and each other. Still, their images and words were hard to miss. The Democratic running mates popped up on the covers of Time and Newsweek, got interviewed by The New York Times and Washington Post and were asked on "60 Minutes" to answer GOP charges that Edwards lacks experience.
The CBS interview -- taped at Edwards' Raleigh home Saturday night -- was conducted by Lesley Stahl, who asked both candidates how Edwards measures up to Cheney in terms of presidential experience.
Edwards, who's 51 and still in his first term as a senator, said he is "absolutely prepared to be president. I have a vision for this country which is consistent and completely compatible with John's vision."
Edwards' addition to ticket not pushing Democrats higher in polls
By Tim Funk
Knight Ridder Newspapers
July 12, 2004
WASHINGTON -- The national spotlight burned even brighter Sunday on Sens. John Kerry and John Edwards, though new polls suggested that Kerry's choice of the North Carolina Democrat is not giving the party's presidential ticket much of a bounce in the polls.
The same polls indicated that Edwards is more popular with voters than Vice President Dick Cheney, but that has yet to make a difference on the presidential race itself. A poll by Newsweek found Kerry is still locked in a dead heat with President Bush; nearly 70 percent of those surveyed said the choice of Edwards won't make a difference in the race for the White House.
An earlier poll for The Associated Press, released two days after Kerry chose Edwards on Tuesday, even gave Bush a slight lead over Kerry as voters expressed increasing confidence about the economy. The numbers showed Bush at 49 percent, Kerry at 45 percent and independent Ralph Nader at 3 percent.
On Sunday, Kerry and Edwards took a break from the campaign trail and each other. Still, their images and words were hard to miss. The Democratic running mates popped up on the covers of Time and Newsweek, got interviewed by The New York Times and Washington Post and were asked on "60 Minutes" to answer GOP charges that Edwards lacks experience.
The CBS interview -- taped at Edwards' Raleigh home Saturday night -- was conducted by Lesley Stahl, who asked both candidates how Edwards measures up to Cheney in terms of presidential experience.
Edwards, who's 51 and still in his first term as a senator, said he is "absolutely prepared to be president. I have a vision for this country which is consistent and completely compatible with John's vision."
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Larry Wiley:
Public opinion polls being printed for Sunday's editions are showing Bush and Kerry still statistical even one with Bush picking up momentum in the last 7 days. Kerry's VP pick did little for him. With the economy improving and Iraq appearing to be on track the american people are siding with Bush so say the newest poll data.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
As I wrote a few days ago, by Kerry picking Edwards would not help his numbers. Two sitting US Senators on the same ticket is foolish! The way I see it the states of Fl and Oh are the must have states for Kerry. Surely a popular dem in either one of these states as VP would make a better winning ticket.
Public opinion polls being printed for Sunday's editions are showing Bush and Kerry still statistical even one with Bush picking up momentum in the last 7 days. Kerry's VP pick did little for him. With the economy improving and Iraq appearing to be on track the american people are siding with Bush so say the newest poll data.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
As I wrote a few days ago, by Kerry picking Edwards would not help his numbers. Two sitting US Senators on the same ticket is foolish! The way I see it the states of Fl and Oh are the must have states for Kerry. Surely a popular dem in either one of these states as VP would make a better winning ticket.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Larry Wiley:
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Larry Wiley:
Public opinion polls being printed for Sunday's editions are showing Bush and Kerry still statistical even one with Bush picking up momentum in the last 7 days. Kerry's VP pick did little for him. With the economy improving and Iraq appearing to be on track the american people are siding with Bush so say the newest poll data.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
As I wrote a few days ago, by Kerry picking Edwards would not help his numbers. Two sitting US Senators on the same ticket is foolish! The way I see it the states of Fl and Oh are the must have states for Kerry. Surely a popular dem in either one of these states as VP would make a better winning ticket.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
"In a period that should be very good for the Democrats with the Edwards announcement, the president has more than held his own," said Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, of NBC/Journal polling team Hart/Teeter.
According to the poll, the Bush-Cheney ticket gets the support from 47 percent of registered voters, Kerry-Edwards gets 45 percent, and independent candidate Ralph Nader and his running mate Peter Camejo get 2 percent. In the last NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, which was released on June 30, Bush was at 45 percent, Kerry was at 44 percent, and Nader was at 4 percent.
Read full poll results http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5490309/
LA Times poll coming out this weekend has about the same data. What is a bit worrisome about this NBC poll is it was taken from "registered voters" which should favor a dem a little.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Larry Wiley:
Public opinion polls being printed for Sunday's editions are showing Bush and Kerry still statistical even one with Bush picking up momentum in the last 7 days. Kerry's VP pick did little for him. With the economy improving and Iraq appearing to be on track the american people are siding with Bush so say the newest poll data.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
As I wrote a few days ago, by Kerry picking Edwards would not help his numbers. Two sitting US Senators on the same ticket is foolish! The way I see it the states of Fl and Oh are the must have states for Kerry. Surely a popular dem in either one of these states as VP would make a better winning ticket.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
"In a period that should be very good for the Democrats with the Edwards announcement, the president has more than held his own," said Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, of NBC/Journal polling team Hart/Teeter.
According to the poll, the Bush-Cheney ticket gets the support from 47 percent of registered voters, Kerry-Edwards gets 45 percent, and independent candidate Ralph Nader and his running mate Peter Camejo get 2 percent. In the last NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, which was released on June 30, Bush was at 45 percent, Kerry was at 44 percent, and Nader was at 4 percent.
Read full poll results http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5490309/
LA Times poll coming out this weekend has about the same data. What is a bit worrisome about this NBC poll is it was taken from "registered voters" which should favor a dem a little.
I think all the talk about bounces is just hype. I don't think we're going to see either candidate leading by a consensus of more than 5 points at any time. The counntry is very polarized and more people have their minds made up by now than usual. So I don't think we're going to see a lot of bouncing around in the polls like we usually do. Sure Kerry may get a slight bump from the convention and Bush might get a slight bump from his, but it will be minor in comparison to past elections. Both candidates have a very solid and pretty equal base that is equally rabid and both are fighting for a very narrow range of undecideds who will actually vote. The election is a tossup and will remain a tossup into November, barring any very major events that could impact the election
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/president/2004-08-01-poll-kerry_x.htm
Poll: No boost for Kerry after convention
By Susan Page, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — The Democratic National Convention boosted voters' perceptions of John Kerry's leadership on critical issues, a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll finds. But it failed to give him the expected bump in the head-to-head race against President Bush.
In the survey, taken Friday and Saturday, the Democratic ticket of Kerry and John Edwards trailed the Republican ticket of Bush and Dick Cheney 50% to 46% among likely voters, with independent candidate Ralph Nader at 2%.
Before the convention, the two were essentially tied, with Kerry at 47%, Bush at 46%.
The change in support was within the poll's margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points in the sample of 763 likely voters. But it was nonetheless a stunning result, the first time in the Gallup Poll since the 1972 Democratic convention that a candidate seemed to lose ground at his convention.
USA TODAY extended its survey Sunday night and tonight to get a fuller picture of what's happening with the electorate.
A Newsweek survey taken Thursday and Friday showed the Democrats with a lead of 49% to 42%, a four-point bounce compared with a poll taken three weeks earlier — the smallest in the history of the Newsweek poll.
Analysts say the lack of a boost for Kerry may reflect the intensely polarized contest. Nearly nine of 10 voters say in the survey that they are confident they won't change their mind between now and the Nov. 2 election. That leaves little room for a candidate to gain support even when major events occur.
Poll: No boost for Kerry after convention
By Susan Page, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — The Democratic National Convention boosted voters' perceptions of John Kerry's leadership on critical issues, a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll finds. But it failed to give him the expected bump in the head-to-head race against President Bush.
In the survey, taken Friday and Saturday, the Democratic ticket of Kerry and John Edwards trailed the Republican ticket of Bush and Dick Cheney 50% to 46% among likely voters, with independent candidate Ralph Nader at 2%.
Before the convention, the two were essentially tied, with Kerry at 47%, Bush at 46%.
The change in support was within the poll's margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points in the sample of 763 likely voters. But it was nonetheless a stunning result, the first time in the Gallup Poll since the 1972 Democratic convention that a candidate seemed to lose ground at his convention.
USA TODAY extended its survey Sunday night and tonight to get a fuller picture of what's happening with the electorate.
A Newsweek survey taken Thursday and Friday showed the Democrats with a lead of 49% to 42%, a four-point bounce compared with a poll taken three weeks earlier — the smallest in the history of the Newsweek poll.
Analysts say the lack of a boost for Kerry may reflect the intensely polarized contest. Nearly nine of 10 voters say in the survey that they are confident they won't change their mind between now and the Nov. 2 election. That leaves little room for a candidate to gain support even when major events occur.
