Something I have noticed this weekend

[DJ2]

Ok so after puking my brains out of this Miami loss I have noticed something this weekend that I wanted to see if anyone else has ever seen something like this

I have noticed that plays have been winning in the opposite way that the line has been moving. My examples follow:

BC a few hours before game time was -3 about 30 minutes before kick off my line online changed to -3.5...and Northwestern ended up winning

Tx A&M was -16 and moved to -15.5 and they easily covered

WVU moved from -24 to -23.5 and was down one until the game got called at the start of the 4th

Texas was -24 and moved to -23.5 and covered

Tonight Miami was +4 and about an hour before game time it moved to +3.5 and we see how they lost...also the total moved from 45.5 to 45 and ended up going over

I wasnt really looking for this but just something that I recently thought of and noticed tonight...going to keep my eye on it for next week but it seems that if the line gets bigger just before the game the dog hit and if it gets smaller it seems to favor the favorite. Anyone seen anything like this before? By the way I use betonline as my online site

 

[GasMan]

I have said in here before that the books will feint a line.

In other words, if they really need the dog to cover, they will actually move the line the wrong way.

It makes no sense, but people see the line activity and out think themselves as to the "sharp" money moving the line.

Anyway, Pinny used to do it a lot, about 5-10 minutes before game time they would come with a strong ML or GL move.

 

[tsm123]

hate to rain on your parade, but the linesmaker will twist you in knots

however, you may want to confirm your curiosity by doing a 100 game sampling
then draw conclusions from there (you'll be crosseyed by the time you're finished)

 

[MackDonald]

hate to rain on your parade, but the linesmaker will twist you in knots

however, you may want to confirm your curiosity by doing a 100 game sampling
then draw conclusions from there (you'll be crosseyed by the time you're finished)

We all know what happens when you end up cross-eyed.........you start seeing "double" and that is really bad.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

if you don't know who/why the line moved, don't bet chasing it. You will get decimated in the long haul.

 

[Ttratter]

In Most those games you mentioned most moved more than .5 point Boston College moved 2 full points total. Not sure about Texas, West Va, but Miami went from 5.5 to 4.

 

[bodyforlife]

I think it's just dumb luck guys. But also, you have to understand what the line movement is. Could have been a "head fake" for sharps to come in after the fact and get a middle (albeit not great numbers for that). Wouldn't be the first time I saw that move. No one could have predicted that last second turnaround. Big swing for anyone on Miami (that would include me). I also had a teaser with the first leg being "under 52". Almost put the foot through the TV.

 

[russ1945]

Last night reminded me of the N. Dame game. Moving right down the field and having the ball stripped (questionable) and returned 97 yds for an immediate 14 point turn around. Notre Dame had double the yardage of USF. Last night Maryland threw the int in the endzone and could have gained control of the game and the guy could have run it in. As far as last second line moves go I usually don't pay much attention to them. I try to anticipate the lines and bet them as early as i can. Making last second decisions based on last second line moves is compulsive and that ain't good. Oh well we got a good look at what is out there so week 2 might be better across the board.

 

[DJ2]

Right now Wisky just moved from -20.5 to -21...This would mean OSU should cover from last week....going to keep track of these things today

 

[DJ2]

UNC also just went from -10 to -9.5 so UNC would be play if this actually works out......reminder that this is just something I am recording not betting right now

 

[DJ2]

Rutgers/UNC total moved from 48 to 49 so Under

 

[DJ2]

Iowa/Iowa ST total 44.5 just moved to 44 so Over

 

[DJ2]

miss st -5 to -5.5 so play is auburn