Soft Line Alert!!!

[SportSavant]

B365 Currently dealing -6 on MNF. I am on the Browns for toninte. Question...do I take the +6 -110 now? or do I wait for the public to push it further...Most sharper houses still dealing 5...thoughts please.

 

[SportSavant]

SIA back to their old tricks...Browns + 6.5 Minus 105.

 

[Rogthedodger]

Historically, 365 won't move off that # easily. The +6 should be there by gametime (maybe better)-----but save your $

 

[SportSavant]

Any houses still dealing 4.5?

 

[SportSavant]

If ur suggesting Rams is the play, please do you know something I dont...i am going with Trends...& Monday night home dog is a huge one. In fact all home dogs have been huge this year

 

[Rogthedodger]

Yep, MNF home and dog are good, and even better than that home dogs have hit around 70% the last few weeks.........

 

[SportSavant]

so why did you say "save ur money?"

 

[Rogthedodger]

Because I disagree with the side you're on.

 

[SportSavant]

so in other words...in this case...ignore the trends & go with the stronger team?

 

[Rogthedodger]

I would never ignore a trend, but there are THREE major aspects to handicapping. Trends only fit in to one category, I'd be careful about playing trends only (that's just me).

That being said, if you're playing a simple ATS system that says play on home dogs (especially MNF) by all means carry on. Systems should be long term, I'm not trying to "call you off" this game at all.....just offering an opinion on this particular game.

Just an FYI, historically on MNF if the fav wins they cover, if the dog wins they cover. So, another system would be lay the points when you like the fav, play the dog on the ML when you like the dog.

Of course, now that I've posted this the Rams with win as favs but not cover LOL.

GL tonight.

 

[Rogthedodger]

Oh yes, I forgot. Home dogs have just come around the last few weeks----they haven't been hitting "all season." The first 8 weeks were horrible for home dog bettors.

 

[PanchoSanza]

About the only thing the Browns have going for them is the home field, which I don'think will be enough to keep this game close.

 

[WEEKENDALKI]

Pancho, i have to agree.

 

[RaymondJames]

Cleveland Browns

 

[Rogthedodger]

Good job grabbing the +6 Savant (or maybe the +6.5 @ SIA).