Snead's NHL Thread pt.2

[sneadmeister11]

Tuesday picks:

Nash/Van over 5.5 goals

math model

nash 2 van 5------van 100%; over 75%
nash 4 van 5(ot)
nash 0 van 1
nash 4 van 5

nash 3 van 4----van 50%; over 100%
nash 2 van 4
nash 4 van 3
nash 6 van 3

play on Nash/Van over 5.5 goals


ana/L.A. over 5.5 goals

math model

ana 2 L.a. 4-----L.a. 50%; over 75%
ana 5 L.a. 4(ot)
ana 3 L.a. 1
ana 3 L.a. 4(ot)

ana 2 L.a. 4----L.a. 50%; over 100%
ana 5 L.a. 4
ana 5 L.a. 2
ana 3 L.a. 4


Record 51-34-1
p.o.d. 4-1

 

[TrackingSuccess]

Last thread get to long for ya buddy?

 

[sneadmeister11]

Last thread get to long for ya buddy?

Correctomundo!

 

[sneadmeister11]

Car Tor

math model

Car 4 Tor 0----car 100%; under 75%
Car 5 Tor 0
Car 6 Tor 2
Car 3 Tor 2(so)

Car 5 Tor 4(so)----car 50%; over 75%
Car 5 Tor 2
Car 3 Tor 4(so)
Car 2 Tor 3(so)

Sides-no opinion; Totals-no opinion


Wash Ott

Play Wash to win

wash 3 ott 4(so)----wash 75%; over 50%
wash 3 ott 2
wash 6 ott 3
wash 4 ott 0

wash 1 ott 0(ot)----wash 50%; under 75%
wash 2 ott 3(so)
wash 2 ott 3
wash 7 ott 1

Ovechkin returns should have a huge impact here on overall team morale for Washington.

Play on Washngtn to win


Nash/Van over 5.5 goals
LA/Ana over 5.5 goals
Washngtn to win
Vancvr to win

 

[TrackingSuccess]

Hey man, Could you please direct me to an explanation of the math model or just explain it here.

NVM, found it. Good Luck today.

 

[sneadmeister11]

Hey man, Could you please direct me to an explanation of the math model or just explain it here.

NVM, found it. Good Luck today.

Would you beleive it's just jibberish, scores from out of nowhere based on historical game matchups, not really that important when you consider injuries, travel schedule, goalie career records vs. teams, etc.

Tread carefully and use money management.

Final Card for Tuesday-just 3 games

Washngton to win
L.A./Ana over 5.5 goals
Nash/Van over 5.5 goals-P.O.D.

Vancouver is now not a play!!!

 

[sneadmeister11]

adding.....

Minn/Snjs over 5 goals


math model

minn 1 snj 0----minn 75%; over 5 75% push or win; 25 % loss
minn 2 snj 3(so)
minn 4 snj 2
minn 3 snj 2(so)

minn 4 snj 3----minn 50%; over 5 100% push; 75% over
minn 2 snj 4
minn 2 snj 3
minn 7 snj 4

play minn/snj over 5 goals

 

[sneadmeister11]

nyi nyr

math model

nyi 2 nyr 1(ot)----isles 75%; under 50%
nyi 5 nyr 3
nyi 1 nyr 2
nyi 4 nyr 2

nyi 3 nyr 1----isles 50%; over 50%
nyi 4 nyr 2
nyi 4 nyr 5
nyi 1 nyr 4

sides-no opinion; totals-no opinion

 

[sneadmeister11]

Wednesday's 2 piks

Edmonton to win

math model

edm 2 colb 5----edm 75%; over 75%
edm 4 colb 3
edm 4 colb 3
edm 2 colb 1

edm 4 colb 1----edm 75%; under 100%
edm 1 colb 0(so)
edm 3 colb 2
edm 2 colb 3

play on edmonton to win


Anaheim to win

math model

st.L 3 ana 2(so)----ana 50%; under 75%
st.L 2 ana 3
st.L 0 ana 5
st.L 5 ana 3

st.L 1 ana 3----ana 60%; over 60%
st.L 4 ana 5
st.L 4 ana 2
st.L 3 ana 2
st.L 4 ana 6

play on anaheim to win

 

[sneadmeister11]

Thursday

Play Boston to win
Play Bos/Tor over 5.5 goals

very strong chance of going to OT

math model

Tor 4 Bos 5(so)----bos 50%; over 100%
Tor 2 Bos 5
Tor 4 Bos 3(so)
Tor 4 Bos 3(so)

Tor 3 Bos 4(so)----bos 75%; over 75%
Tor 4 Bos 5(ot)
Tor 2 Bos 6
Tor 3 Bos 2

Toronto playing horrible defensively, and now their goalies are looking really bad.

 

[sneadmeister11]

Play on NYRangers to win

math model

TB 2 NYR 5----nyr 75%; over 75%
TB 4 NYR 5
TB 5 NYR 4(ot)
TB 1 NYR 2(so)

TB 3 NYR 5----nyr 50%; 50% under
TB 3 NYR 1
TB 3 NYR 2
TB 1 NYR 3

Rangers outplayed Islanders and lost last game will play a stronger game here.

Play NYRangers to win


Play NY Islanders to win
Play NY Isles/AtL over 5.5 goals-P.O.D.


math model

NYI 2 AtL 4----NYI 50%; over 100%
NYI 4 AtL 3(so)
NYI 4 AtL 2
NYI 4 AtL 5(so)

NYI 5 AtL 2----NYI 75%; over 100%
NYI 3 AtL 4(so)
NYI 4 AtL 2
NYI 6 AtL 3

Islanders have found their offense and vs. Atlanta bad defense look for lots of goals.

Play Islanders to win
Play Isles/Atl over 5.5 goals

 

[artiesliver]

Snead--In what thread, if any, do you discuss your system/math model? thx

 

[sneadmeister11]

pro-line pick:

Tor-Bos tie
Phi-Ott tie
NY Isles to win
Isles/Atl over 5.5

2$=$218.90

 

[sneadmeister11]

Snead--In what thread, if any, do you discuss your system/math model? thx

Generally, it's based on previous game scores, I don't go into great detail on it though anywhere in my thread.

 

[artiesliver]

Ok, thanks. BoL tomorrow.

 

[sneadmeister11]

gonna try a huge payout proline will release it later so far it's tor-bos tie
cgy/nash-tie
phi-ott tie
isles win by 2

 

[sneadmeister11]

thanks artie

gonna try a huge payout proline will release it later so far it's tor-bos tie
cgy/nash-tie
phi-ott tie
isles win by 2

here it is

tor-bos tie
cgy/nash-tie
phi-ott tie
fla/L.A.-tie
isles win by 2
pitts win by 2

3$ = $20,995.20

 

[sneadmeister11]

Thusday's card

Boston to win
NY Rangers to win
Islanders to win
Minnesota to win
Pittsburgh to win
Bos/Tor over 5.5 goals
Edm/Pitts over 5.5 goals-P.O.D.
Isles/AtL over 5.5 goals-P.O.D.

good luck:cripwalk:

 

[PatPatriot]

here it is

tor-bos tie
cgy/nash-tie
phi-ott tie
fla/L.A.-tie
isles win by 2
pitts win by 2

3$ = $20,995.20 <!-- / message -->

Love your style snead.get em!:aktion033

 

[sneadmeister11]

Love your style snead.get em!

Thanks PP, will call in sick tommorrow so I could go collect my $$$$$$.