On most nights, I'd ask why you took the 2 pts instead of just the money line to either pad your profit if it wins or save some juice if it loses. But with both games having gone into OT so far...those two points may very well make a difference in the end.
I'm on the Cavs ML again. Just think they ride the wave of winning Game 2, and I'm not sure the Warriors really know how to deal with the defense the Cavs are throwing at them. It slows down the pace of the game and makes it very difficult for GS to get on those spurts they usually use to bury teams.
It only sucks when a line on a game is something like +1.5, and that's when you see that team lose by one when you play the ML. But that doesn't happen too often. Like I said, either save the juice or add some profit. Kind of the same reason I absolutely never bet a +1.5 dog in baseball. Why would I? If they win outright or lose by more than 2, then the +1.5 does you no good. You're effectively betting that team will lose by exactly one run. Same thing applies betting +1.5 in hoops...unless they lose by one point, the 1.5 doesn't do anything for you.
If a line is under 3 in hoops, I'll most likely play the ML if I'm on the dog. +3 is where it gets dicey in football for obvious reasons.
Glad you tailed, Fuego. I really don't know about Game 4, because I'm wondering if the Warriors finally found their stride late in Game 3. I'm not sure if I heard this correctly, but GS hasn't held a lead at the end of any quarter...except for OT in Game 1. I think part of the reason the Cavs are giving up late leads is they are busting ass on defense for the first three quarters, and that gets tiring. Really believe GS will throw absolutely everything they have at the Cavs on Thursday. I don't know how much longer Cleveland can keep winning with defense. Will have to think hard about it for the next two days.
I've never played a plus 1.5 run line in my life on baseball.
Not sure why I'm not a moneyline player on short numbers. I will play a big dog in college football on the moneyline before I play a plus 120. Just personal preference I guess.
Yeah, game 4 is interesting. I'm inclined to think that gold st may have found a little something with that late run and the short turn around should favor the deeper team. Cavs are really bad with a lead late......jeez. Offense just bogs down
I wish I saw you were addressing me, but it appears you did the right thing
I did Cavs 1st Q ML, Cavs 1st H ML and Cavs +2 for the full game
at half-time, I contemplated doing Cavs +3.5 2H but I backed off thinking I had enough riding on the game
after three quarters, I put a small live action play on GS + 1,200 as a hedge.
I play ML's in NFL a lot when I'm playing dawgs, but I tend to take the points more so in hoops, even when the line is short
