Week 2: 8-2-1 +$236
Week 3: 8-3 +$438
Week 4: 5-4 -$405 (Oakland collapse cost me that week)
Week 5: 5-2 +$820
Week 6: 6-4 +$1,090
Week 7: 3-5 +$280
Week 8: 4-4 -$125
Week 9: 8-2 +$2196
Week 10: 4-6 -$467.5
Week 11: 6-3 +$190.80
Week 12: 6-5 +$205.13
Week 13: 8-5 +$239.25
Week 14: 8-4 +$360.00
Week 15: 6-4-3 +$292.00 (7-4-3 +342.00 counting teaser)
Week 16: 9-5 +$1,314.80 (10-5 +$1,414.80 counting teaser)
Week 17: 6-4-2 +$100
Wild Card Round: 3-3 -$8.75
Divisional Playoff Round: 3-1 +$192.20 (4-0 with teasers) (lost middle with total)
For the record this was my card for the games in the Divisional Round:
.9* Baltimore +3 -115
.10* Oklahoma +11.5/Baltimore Ravens +7.5 +102 (5 Dimes) +$100.20
.40* Arizona +10 -101
.10* Oklahoma +12/Arizona +17 +100 (5 Dimes) +$50
.25* Pitt/SD Under 39 -116
.25* Pitt/SD Over 37 -107 (stated in prior posts last week that I was going to either scalp or middle. I manage to fail on middling.) -$4
.90* Pitt -6 -107
.10* Oklahoma +11.5/Pitt -0.5 +102 (5 Dimes)$100.20
.60 NY Giants -107
.10* Oklahoma +12/Philly +10 +100 (5 Dimes) -$54.20
First of all I would like to apologize for not being able to post my plays this past weekend. I left on a 4 day mini vacation to the keys but manage to forget my air card. It so happens that none of my friends own a laptop (which is pretty freaking incredible) so I tried calling Dave many times in the Saturday morning to no avail. Finally we spoke right before the Arizona kickoff and I see he was kind enough to post the rest of my card. I really appreciate that Dave I really do, your one of the good guys in the Rx.
I want to give you some thoughts as to why I played the teams I did and some observations :
Baltimore is a team that I have a hard time going against when getting points. I've done very well with them all year and that hasn't changed in the playoffs (2-0 thus far). I can't express how impressed I am with Joe Flacco. It can't be said enough how he plays beyond his years, hes decision making in the playoffs has been truly remarkable. Having said all of this I've also had great respect for what Tenn accomplished this year. The game pitted two teams that are obviously very similar to one another the difference to me was that Tenn peaked earlier this year while Baltimore is now the one peaking. Bottom line I had to go with A) the team getting a field goal in a game which could likely could be decided by one B) defense that was healthier and more play makers. Was I lucky? you betcha
No question Baltimore benefited from timely turnovers and bad officiating. The first I planned on the second lets just say I'm not surprised.
Pitt is another team that I had to roll with as they were at home, had the better defense, and IMHO the better running game. Whenever I can have those 3 components going into a game I rarely pass that up. I also wasn't a big believer in SD coming into the playoffs (hence me going against them against Indy). I think a lot of things worked in their favor in achieving their win against Indy. Manning not playing to his potential (as he typically does come playoff time), punting, and poor coaching IMHO contributed into Indy's loss. This week I felt I was getting value in only having to pay for 5 extra points (had Indy -1 and got Pitt -6 this past week) with a team better on defense, running the ball, and at home. This play was a no brainer and the result reflected that. Pitt dominated on both sides of the football for the most part doing as they pleased offensively and was able to neutralize SD playmakers when it mattered.
Arizona vs Carolina was a game many here and elsewhere called a "forgone conclusion". I stated in my write up during the wild card round that this team is highly under appreciated on the defensive side of the ball. They have two studs up front with some nice players in their back 7. To elaborate a little I would like to go back to week 8. When going over the tape I saw one team dominating another for 3 quarters. Turnovers, silly fake field goal, and missed extra point barely gave Carolina the win but not the cover (won by 4/spread was -4.5). Even with all those factors the line went up to -10? Quickly my reasoning's were A) good passing game (backdoor opening) B) defense playing well C) value D) commited to run game (which was gaining momentum) E) and better QB To be frank if it wasn't for Boldin being out it would have been a 1 unit wager (the highest unit value I'm going with in these playoffs).
Lastly I would like to talk about the Philadelphia Eagles. This is the one team that has cost me the most during the playoffs. I've obviously underestimated Donovan's ability to step up during this postseason. His ability to convert on 3rd downs and long have been a thing of frustration. I believe the numbers read close to 67% in converting 3rd downs and long. Has he been big yes but I also believe Minni and NYG secondary has contributed to these numbers (things are never as good as they appear to be if not for good reason).
Having played Arizona twice and fading Philly twice I think its pretty clear as to who I'm going with. Two things I need to do determine is A) If I'm going to invest .50 or 1 unit on it. Going to handicap it a little more and wait for B) Hope to get even more value. No need to rush as it seems like everybody has their minds made up that Philly is a team of "destiny".
As for the Baltimore @ Pitt game you're going have to wait for a decision until later this week. I like what both of these teams are doing right now. Clearly Baltimore is beating teams with the old turnover rule while Pitt is in my mind the best team left. Having said that I expect a dog fight and this line has little to no value. Lets see what I come up with (I honestly have no lean right now).
I'll have all plays posted Friday night (no vacation this week)
Week 3: 8-3 +$438
Week 4: 5-4 -$405 (Oakland collapse cost me that week)
Week 5: 5-2 +$820
Week 6: 6-4 +$1,090
Week 7: 3-5 +$280
Week 8: 4-4 -$125
Week 9: 8-2 +$2196
Week 10: 4-6 -$467.5
Week 11: 6-3 +$190.80
Week 12: 6-5 +$205.13
Week 13: 8-5 +$239.25
Week 14: 8-4 +$360.00
Week 15: 6-4-3 +$292.00 (7-4-3 +342.00 counting teaser)
Week 16: 9-5 +$1,314.80 (10-5 +$1,414.80 counting teaser)
Week 17: 6-4-2 +$100
Wild Card Round: 3-3 -$8.75
Divisional Playoff Round: 3-1 +$192.20 (4-0 with teasers) (lost middle with total)
For the record this was my card for the games in the Divisional Round:
.9* Baltimore +3 -115
.10* Oklahoma +11.5/Baltimore Ravens +7.5 +102 (5 Dimes) +$100.20
.40* Arizona +10 -101
.10* Oklahoma +12/Arizona +17 +100 (5 Dimes) +$50
.25* Pitt/SD Under 39 -116
.25* Pitt/SD Over 37 -107 (stated in prior posts last week that I was going to either scalp or middle. I manage to fail on middling.) -$4
.90* Pitt -6 -107
.10* Oklahoma +11.5/Pitt -0.5 +102 (5 Dimes)$100.20
.60 NY Giants -107
.10* Oklahoma +12/Philly +10 +100 (5 Dimes) -$54.20
First of all I would like to apologize for not being able to post my plays this past weekend. I left on a 4 day mini vacation to the keys but manage to forget my air card. It so happens that none of my friends own a laptop (which is pretty freaking incredible) so I tried calling Dave many times in the Saturday morning to no avail. Finally we spoke right before the Arizona kickoff and I see he was kind enough to post the rest of my card. I really appreciate that Dave I really do, your one of the good guys in the Rx.
I want to give you some thoughts as to why I played the teams I did and some observations :
Baltimore is a team that I have a hard time going against when getting points. I've done very well with them all year and that hasn't changed in the playoffs (2-0 thus far). I can't express how impressed I am with Joe Flacco. It can't be said enough how he plays beyond his years, hes decision making in the playoffs has been truly remarkable. Having said all of this I've also had great respect for what Tenn accomplished this year. The game pitted two teams that are obviously very similar to one another the difference to me was that Tenn peaked earlier this year while Baltimore is now the one peaking. Bottom line I had to go with A) the team getting a field goal in a game which could likely could be decided by one B) defense that was healthier and more play makers. Was I lucky? you betcha
No question Baltimore benefited from timely turnovers and bad officiating. The first I planned on the second lets just say I'm not surprised.
Pitt is another team that I had to roll with as they were at home, had the better defense, and IMHO the better running game. Whenever I can have those 3 components going into a game I rarely pass that up. I also wasn't a big believer in SD coming into the playoffs (hence me going against them against Indy). I think a lot of things worked in their favor in achieving their win against Indy. Manning not playing to his potential (as he typically does come playoff time), punting, and poor coaching IMHO contributed into Indy's loss. This week I felt I was getting value in only having to pay for 5 extra points (had Indy -1 and got Pitt -6 this past week) with a team better on defense, running the ball, and at home. This play was a no brainer and the result reflected that. Pitt dominated on both sides of the football for the most part doing as they pleased offensively and was able to neutralize SD playmakers when it mattered.
Arizona vs Carolina was a game many here and elsewhere called a "forgone conclusion". I stated in my write up during the wild card round that this team is highly under appreciated on the defensive side of the ball. They have two studs up front with some nice players in their back 7. To elaborate a little I would like to go back to week 8. When going over the tape I saw one team dominating another for 3 quarters. Turnovers, silly fake field goal, and missed extra point barely gave Carolina the win but not the cover (won by 4/spread was -4.5). Even with all those factors the line went up to -10? Quickly my reasoning's were A) good passing game (backdoor opening) B) defense playing well C) value D) commited to run game (which was gaining momentum) E) and better QB To be frank if it wasn't for Boldin being out it would have been a 1 unit wager (the highest unit value I'm going with in these playoffs).
Lastly I would like to talk about the Philadelphia Eagles. This is the one team that has cost me the most during the playoffs. I've obviously underestimated Donovan's ability to step up during this postseason. His ability to convert on 3rd downs and long have been a thing of frustration. I believe the numbers read close to 67% in converting 3rd downs and long. Has he been big yes but I also believe Minni and NYG secondary has contributed to these numbers (things are never as good as they appear to be if not for good reason).
Having played Arizona twice and fading Philly twice I think its pretty clear as to who I'm going with. Two things I need to do determine is A) If I'm going to invest .50 or 1 unit on it. Going to handicap it a little more and wait for B) Hope to get even more value. No need to rush as it seems like everybody has their minds made up that Philly is a team of "destiny".
As for the Baltimore @ Pitt game you're going have to wait for a decision until later this week. I like what both of these teams are doing right now. Clearly Baltimore is beating teams with the old turnover rule while Pitt is in my mind the best team left. Having said that I expect a dog fight and this line has little to no value. Lets see what I come up with (I honestly have no lean right now).
I'll have all plays posted Friday night (no vacation this week)
:aktion033
