STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 6th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 8/6/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #19
There are only around 50 games left in the baseball's regular season, and it's tough to believe that the campaign has gone by this quickly. Major League Baseball betting fanatics have certainly been having a field day with some of the American League teams this year, and these are the three who have given you the most bang for your buck.
•Baltimore Orioles (64-48, +$2,129)
We're not really all that sure how the O's are doing all of this. They really haven't gotten much this year out of J.J. Hardy or Chris Davis or Manny Machado, yet they still rank second in the league in home runs and 12th in run production on average. There isn't a legitimate ace pitcher on this team, and though Zach Britton has been good in relief, the rest of this bullpen is only so-so. Then again, maybe that's why the oddsmakers keep making Baltimore a dog on the road! Logic would tell you that the Orioles really shouldn't be able to win the AL East this year, but they really could. They're 33-23 on the road this year, and virtually all of the damage they have done for bettors has come away from Camden Yards. Winning those close games is what really makes the difference, especially on the road. Baltimore is doing just that.
•Los Angeles Angels (67-45, +$1,438)
The Tigers went out and got David Price, and the A's have been doing all they can to go pitcher for pitcher with every team in the American League (more on them in a minute). Yet it's the Angels who are really flying high at the moment as the second best money team in the AL West. The Halos are just a game back of Oakland for the best record in baseball, and there is no doubt that they have the horses to get the job done. Sending out there Jered Weaver and Garrett Richards in the first two games of any short series is as good as anything that any team will be able to do, but beyond that, we have our concerns. The difference? Los Angeles can mash with any team in the game.
•Oakland Athletics (69-43, +$1,153)
Pitching wins in the postseason, and that's why the A's have completely reworked their rotation. They have Jon Lester and Jeff Samardzija to build up the top of that rotation for the playoffs, and Sonny Gray as a third option isn't too shabby either. Our concern? How much will giving up Yoenis Cespedes really end up costing Oakland come the postseason? It's not often that you see a team give up its leadoff hitter in a trade to try to get better, but the Athletics did just that. They've still statistically got one of the best offenses in the league, but can it hold up? This pitching will do what it can otherwise, but there's still a long road ahead yet for Oakland.
Tuesday's MLB Roundup
-- Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Andrew McCutchen has a fractured rib and not an oblique muscle injury, but the team has yet to place him on the disabled list. The Pirates announced Tuesday that McCutchen has an avulsion fracture involving the costochondral cartilage of the left 11th rib. "We continue to evaluate Andrew's progress and he will remain on the active roster," Pirates general manager Neal Huntington said. With McCutchen out of the lineup, the Pirates activated outfielder Sterling Marte from the concussion disabled list. It was initially reported that McCutchen's oblique injury could sideline the reigning National League Most Valuable Player for up to a month, but he told reporters Tuesday that he is hoping for a quick recovery and to avoid a stint on the DL.
-- Anthony Bosch, the founder of Biogenesis of America, and 10 associates were booked by federal Drug Enforcement Administration agents near Fort Lauderdale, Fla., where Bosch masqueraded as a physician and wellness expert providing illegal supplements including human growth hormone to athletes. Bosch testified as the star witness against New York Yankees third baseman Alex Rodriguez in Major League Baseball's investigation into the anti-aging clinic that Rodriguez and several others purchased for use HGH and other banned substances such as testosterone. One of the Bosch associates arrested Tuesday was Yuri Sucart, Rodriguez's cousin. When Rodriguez told MLB Sucart provided him with performance-enhancing drugs, his cousin filed a $5 million civil suit for damages. Sucart traveled with Rodgriguez as a do-all gopher for more than 15 years but was banned from charter flights and the clubhouse by the Yankees.
-- It wasn't a good day on the medical front for the Boston Red Sox. An injury-plagued season officially ended Tuesday for outfielder Shane Victorino with the announcement that he will undergo lower back surgery. Meanwhile, newly acquired Allen Craig was placed on the 15-day disabled list with a sprained ankle. Dr. Robert Watkins, a spine specialist, will perform the back procedure on Victorino next Tuesday in Los Angeles. An MRI showed that Victorino might be in need of back surgery and Watkins confirmed the test findings.
-- The Milwaukee Brewers sent right-hander Matt Garza to the disabled list Tuesday with a strained oblique muscle. To take his place on the roster, the Brewers recalled right-hander Rob Wooten form Triple-A Nashville. It's unknown how long Garza will be sidelined. Garza was injured during Monday's start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He had a one-hit shutout through six innings when he left the game after just 71 pitches. In his first season with the Brewers, Garza has started 23 games and has a 7-7 record with a 3.58 ERA, 43 walks and 104 strikeouts spanning145 2/3 innings.
-- The Detroit Tigers signed struggling reliever Jim Johnson to a minor-league contract on Tuesday in an attempt to beef up their bullpen. The Oakland Athletics released Johnson last week after he posted a 4-2 record, two saves and a 7.14 ERA with 24 walks and 28 strikeouts in 38 outings covering 40 1/3 innings this season. The former All-Star closer saved 101 games in 2012-13 for the Baltimore Orioles before he went into the tailspin. According to FOX Sports, Johnson worked out for the Orioles after he was released by the A's and was thought to be returning to Baltimore before the Tigers claimed him.
-- The Washington Nationals claimed left-handed reliever Matt Thornton off revocable waivers on Tuesday from the New York Yankees and placed catcher Wilson Ramos on paternity leave. The Nationals called up catcher Sandy Leon from Triple-A Syracuse to replace Ramos on the roster and also transferred right-hander Taylor Jordan to the 60-day disabled list. The 37-year-old Thornton appeared in 46 games for the Yankees this year and posted an 0-3 record with a 2.55 ERA in 24 2/3 innings.
The National League East-leading Nationals are hoping that Thornton fills a void for a left-hander in their bullpen as they make a push for the playoffs. Thornton pitched in 60 games for the Boston Red Sox in 2013 and was 0-4 with a 3.74 ERA. He appeared in a career-high 74 games twice for the Chicago White Sox in 2008 and 2014. The move allowed the Yankees to save more the $4 million. Thornton has a $3.5 million salary for 2015 as part of a two-year contract he signed with New York. Ramos is batting .290 with three home runs and 25 RBIs in 49 games this season.
-- New York Yankees pitcher Masahiro Tanaka threw again Tuesday with increased intensity from flat ground as he attempts to work his way back from a small ligament tear in his right elbow. Tanaka, the Japanese sensation who was 12-4 with a 2.51 ERA before he was injured last month, made 50 throws from 60 feet before the Yankees' game against the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday night. A day earlier, Tanaka made 25 light tosses on flat ground. The 25-year-old will rest the arm Wednesday before throwing again Thursday. The team also made a roster move Tuesday, promoting reliever 34-year-old Rich Hill from Triple-A after reliever Matt Thorton was picked up by the Washington Nationals on a waiver claim.
-- Toronto Blue Jays infielder Brett Lawrie was activated from the 15-day disabled list ahead of Tuesday's series opener against the Baltimore Orioles. Lawrie, who went 4-for-10 in a three-game rehab assignment, was placed on the DL on June 23 with a fractured right index finger after getting hit by a pitch. The 24-year-old hit in the No. 6 spot in the lineup and played third base in his return. Toronto placed infielder Steve Tolleson on the paternity list to make room for Lawrie on the roster.
-- The Cleveland Indians recalled right-hander Josh Tomlin from Triple-A Columbus, optioned outfielder Tyler Holt to Columbus and activated outfielder outfielder Nyger Morgan from the 60-day disabled list and then released him. Tomlin was scheduled to start Tuesday night's game against the Cincinnati Reds at Progressive Field. He was part of the Indians' rotation from May 6 to July 25 and posted a 5-7 record with a 4.47 ERA in 15 games (14 starts).
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Betting Notes - Wednesday
National League
•Marlins-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--Koehler is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
--Locke is 0-2, 6.66 in his last four starts.
--Miami lost four of its last six games.
--Pirates are 14-4 in their last 18 home games.
--Over is 3-1-1 in last five Locke starts.
•Mets-Nationals - 7:05 PM
--Niese is 0-3, 5.68 in his last three starts.
--Fister is 4-1, 2.41 in his last five starts.
--Mets are 5-3 in their last eight road games.
--Washington is 4-6 in its last ten home games.
--Under is 9-0-1 in last ten Fister starts.
•Giants-Brewers - 7:05 PM
--Vogelsong is 1-5, 3.59 in his last seven starts.
--Gallardo is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two (14.2 IP) starts.
--Giants won four of their last six games.
--Milwaukee won seven of their last nine home games.
--Under is 5-1-1 in last seven San Francisco road games.
•Cubs-Rockies - 7:05 PM
--Arrieta is 5-1, 1.74 in his last ten starts.
--Colorado lost last four Lyles starts (0-1, 6.87) last of which was June 4.
--Cubs won six of their last eight games.
--Colorado lost eight of its last nine games.
--Under is 9-4 in Arrieta's last thirteen starts.
American League
•Rangers-White Sox - 2:10 PM
--Williams is 1-1, 9.90 in two starts this season.
--Sale is 5-0, 2.54 in his last eight starts.
--Rangers lost 12 of their last 16 games.
--White Sox lost five of their last seven home games.
--Last seven White Sox games went over the total.
•Rays-Athletics - 2:10 PM
--Hellickson is 0-1, 3.29 in three starts (less than five IP in all three).
--Gray is 5-1, 1.50 in his last six starts.
--Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
--Athletics are 18-5 in their last 23 home games.
--Under is 14-6-1 in last 21 Oakland home games.
•Orioles-Blue Jays - 7:05 PM
--Chen is 5-0, 2.53 in his last five starts.
--Hutchison is 1-3, 8.10 in his last five starts.
--Orioles won 11 of their last 15 games.
--Toronto lost its last four games.
--Four of last five Chen starts stayed under the total.
•Tigers-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Verlander is 2-1, 3.32 in his last three starts.
--New York lost both Capuano starts (0-1, 4.38).
--Detroit won five of its last seven games.
--Yankees won 11 of its last 18 games.
--Under is 9-2-1 in Detroit's last twelve road games.
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Interleague
•Padres-Twins - 1:10 PM
--Despaigne is 0-3, 5.25 in his last four starts.
--Correia is 1-5, 5.08 in his last seven starts.
--San Diego won five of its last seven games.
--Twins lost 11 of their last 16 home games.
--Over is 3-0-1 in Correia's last four starts.
•Braves-Mariners - 3:40 PM
--Teheran is 1-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
--Young is 1-2, 3.45 in his last five starts.
--Atlanta lost its last seven games, all on the road.
--Mariners lost five of their last seven home games.
--Under is 15-2-1 in last 18 games at Safeco Field.
•Astros-Phillies - 7:05 PM
--Peacock is 1-3, 9.00 in his last four starts.
--Buchanan is 4-2, 3.28 in his last six starts.
--Houston won four of its last six games.
--Phillies are 8-12 in their last twenty games.
--Six of last nine Buchanan starts stayed under the total.
•Indians-Reds - 7:10 PM
--Salazar is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
--Latos is 1-2, 4.68 in his last four starts.
--Cleveland lost six of its last eight road games.
--Reds lost 12 of their last 18 games (4-2 in last six).
--Eight of eleven Salazar starts went over the total; under is 5-1-1 in Latos' last seven outings.
•Red Sox-Cardinals - 8:15 PM
--Former Cardinal Kelly was 1-1, 7.32 in his last four starts for St Louis.
--Miller is 1-3, 5.95 in his last seven starts.
--Boston lost 11 of its last 13 games.
--Cardinals won four of their last five games.
--Five of last six Miller starts went over the total.
•Royals-Diamondbacks - 9:40 PM
--Ventura is 1-1, 6.26 in his last four starts.
--Arizona won last four Collmenter starts (1-0, 4.30) .
--Royals won five of their last six games.
--Arizona is 7-5 in its last twelve home games.
--Five of last seven Collmenter starts stayed under the total.
•Angels-Dodgers - 10:05 PM
--Haren is 0-5, 10.42 in his last five starts.
--Shoemaker is 3-1, 3.42 in his last four starts.
--Dodgers won eight of their last eleven games.
--Angels are 29-8 in their last 37 home games.
--Under is 13-7-1 in last twenty-one Angel games.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Koehler 10-12; Locke 6-5
-- Niese 10-10; Fister 11-4
-- Vogelsong 12-10; Gallardo 10-12
-- Arrieta 10-6; Lyles 6-6
-- Williams 1-1; Sale 12-5
-- Hellickson 2-1; Gray 15-7
-- Chen 14-7; Hutchison 11-11
-- Verlander 13-9; Capuano 0-2
-- Despaigne 3-4; Correia 6-16
-- Teheran 14-9; Young 12-8
-- Peacock 6-9; Buchanan 5-5
-- Salazar 6-5; Latos 4-5
-- Kelly 3-4/0-0; Miller 10-11
-- Ventura 10-10; Collmenter 13-6
-- Haren 10-12; Shoemaker 9-3
•Umpires Trends
-- Mia-Pitt-- Underdogs won 11 of last 14 Miller games.
-- NY-Wsh-- Over is 10-5-1 in last sixteen Vanover games.
-- SF-Mil-- Eight of last eleven HGibson games went over.
-- Chi-Col-- Five of last seven Drake games went over.
-- Tex-Chi-- Favorites won 13 of last 16 Baker games.
-- TB-A's-- Five of last seven Tumpane games stayed under.
-- Balt-Tor-- 12 of last 15 O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Det-NY-- Over is 8-4-1 in Woodring games this season.
-- SD-Min-- Underdogs are 14-7 in last 21 Hudson games.
-- Atl-Sea-- Five of last seven LBarrett games stayed under.
-- Hst-Phil-- Seven of last ten Carlson games stayed under.
-- Clev-Cin-- Favorites won last six Cuzzi games.
-- Bos-StL-- Four of last five Barksdale games stayed under.
-- KC-Az-- Favorites won seven of last nine Demuth games.
-- LA-LAA-- Seven of last eight Reynolds games stayed under.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Milwaukee’s Yovani Gallardo is 11-0 his last eleven team starts during August. Gallardo (6-5, 3.38), who has put together a stretch of 16 2/3 scoreless innings -- his longest since a career-best 21 straight as a rookie from Sept. 5-17, 2007. The right-hander allowed four hits in seven innings and retired 13 in a row at one point in last Wednesday's 5-0 win at Tampa Bay.
Gallardo is trying to give Milwaukee some breathing room in the division chase, as it leads St. Louis by one game. He may feel comfortable getting the ball after a little extra rest since he's 4-0 with a 3.10 ERA in eight starts after getting six or more days between starts over the past two years. He's also 3-1 with a 1.29 ERA in his last four starts against the Giants, and he owns a 4-1 record and 2.12 ERA in five career home matchups.
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w-thumbs!^
