STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 18TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 6/18/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #12
•A's Put Pomeranz On DL, Trade For Pitcher: One day after breaking his right hand, the Oakland Athletics placed left-handed starting pitcher Drew Pomeranz on the 15-day disabled list on Tuesday. Later in the day, the A's acquired right-handed minor league pitcher Brad Mills from the Milwaukee Brewers for cash. The 25-year-old Pomeranz has compiled a 5-4 record with a 2.91 ERA this season. He had pitched out of the bullpen this season before being moved into the starting rotation. Pomeranz started Monday night's game but lasted only 3 2/3 innings. He gave up seven earned runs in his worst outing of the season. The Athletics did not say how Pomeranz broke his hand. Mills, 29, has compiled a 7.76 ERA during an undistinguished 53 innings in the majors. However, Mills has been stellar at Triple-A this year with a 1.56 ERA.
•Red Sox Part Ways With Sizemore: The Grady Sizemore experiment is over in Boston as the Red Sox on Tuesday designated the outfielder for assignment. The 31-year-old Sizemore is hitting .216/.288/.324 (69 OPS+) with 10 doubles, two triples, two homers and 15 RBIs. Sizemore was off to a solid start, but has struggled recently as the Red Sox have fallen to six games below .500. He is hitting .187 since April 15. The Red Sox signed the often-injured outfielder after losing Jacoby Ellsbury to free agency. The Red Sox called up Garin Cecchini to replace Sizemore on the roster.
•Indians Sign First-Round Pick Zimmer: The Cleveland Indians announced the signing of outfielder Bradley Zimmer, their first-round pick in this year's First-Year Player Draft. The 6-foot, 4-inch left-handed hitting outfielder was the 21st selection in the draft. He hit .368 with 10 doubles, seven triples, seven home runs and 31 RBIs for the University of San Francisco Dons as a junior this past season. He was named a 2014 preseason All-American selection by Louisville Slugger, Baseball America and Perfect Game USA. He is also one of 30 finalists for the Golden Spikes Award that will be announced on July 17.
•MLB Suspends Rockies' Masset: Major League Baseball suspended Colorado Rockies pitcher Nick Masset for three games as a result of his actions in a game against the Atlanta Braves on June 12. Masset also was fined an undisclosed amount for intentionally throwing at Braves' Evan Gattis in the top of the ninth inning of Thursday's game at Coors Field in Denver. Braves pitcher David Carpenter also was fined for intentionally throwing at Colorado's Corey Dickerson in the bottom of the eighth inning. Unless he files an appeal, Masset's suspension will begin June 17 when the Rockies face the Dodgers in Los Angeles.
•Rangers Sign Carlos Pena To Triple A Contract: The Texas Rangers announced Tuesday that the club has signed first baseman Carlos Pena to a minor league contract and assigned him to Triple-A Round Rock. Pena is expected to be active for the first time either tonight or tomorrow. Pena, 36, returns to the club that originally selected him in the first round (10th overall) of the 1998 June draft. He made his major league debut with the Rangers in 2001. He has a career .233 average with 285 home runs for Texas (2001), Oakland (2002), Detroit (2002-05), Boston (2006), Tampa Bay (2007-10, 2012), Chicago-NL (2011), Houston (2013), and Kansas City (2013).
Pena has 6 different seasons of 25-or-more home runs, including a career-high 46 homers with Tampa Bay in 2007. An All-Star in 2009, he also has also won a Gold Glove Award (2008) and Silver Slugger Award (2007). His last big league action was 4 games with the Royals last September. He was in spring training with the Los Angeles Angels after signing with that club as a minor league free agent on January 28. He batted .139 (5-26) with no homers and 2 RBI in 20 spring games with the Angels before he was released on March 23.
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Betting Notes - Wednesday
•Phillies-Braves - 12:10 PM ET
--Hernandez is 0-3, 6.60 in his last three starts.
--Harang is 1-1, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
--Philly won three of its last four games.
--Braves lost five of their last seven games.
--Over is 4-1-1 in last six Atlanta games.
•Cubs-Marlins - 12:40 PM ET
--Arrieta is 1-0, 0.51 in his last three starts.
--Eovaldi is 0-0, 4.87 in his last three starts.
--Cubs ar- 12:10 PM ETe 9-16 in their last 25 road games.
--Marlins lost seven of last eleven home games.
--Four of last five Miami games went over total.
•Mets-Cardinals - 1:45 PM ET
--Colon is 3-0, 2.31 in his last four starts.
--Lynn is 1-1, 1.38 in his last couple starts.
--Mets lost their last eight road games.
--Cardinals won eight of their last nine games.
--Over is 5-1-1 in Mets' last seven away games.
•Reds-Pirates - 7:05 PM ET
--Simon is 3-0, 3.10 in his last three starts.
--Volquez is 3-1, 2.79 in his last five starts.
--Reds won five of their last six games.
--Pirates are 4-5 in their last nine home games.
--Three of last four Pittsburgh games went over total.
•Brewers-Arizona - 9:40 PM ET
--Garza is 2-0, 3.72 in his last three starts.
--Miley is 0-3, 4.78 in his last six starts.
--Milwaukee won six of its last seven road games.
--Diamondbacks lost six of their last seven games.
--Last six Arizona games went over the total.
•Rockies-Dodgers - 10:10 PM ET
--De La Rosa is 0-2, 5.87 in his last three starts.
--Kershaw is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
--Rockies lost eight of their last twelve road games.
--Dodgers won four of their last five games.
--Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Colorado road games.
•Royals-Tigers - 1:05 PM ET
--Guthrie is 1-3, 3.16 in his last four starts.
--Smyly is 1-3, 5.14 in his last four starts.
--Kansas City won its last nine games, is in first place.
--Tigers lost ten of their last sixteen home games.
--Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Detroit home games.
•Orioles-Rays - 1:10 PM ET
--Gausman is 2-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.
--Cobb is 1-3, 7.06 in his last four starts.
--Orioles won five of their last seven road games.
--Tampa Bay lost seven of its last ten home games.
--Last six Baltimore road games went over total.
•Twins-Red Sox - 1:35 PM ET
--Gibson is 2-1, 1.38 in his last four starts.
--Lackey is 2-1, 2.25 in his last five starts.
--Minnesota lost its last four games.
--Red Sox won nine of their last eleven home games.
--11 of last 12 Boston home games stayed under.
•Rangers-Athletics - 3:35 PM ET
--Tepesch is 0-2, 5.93 in his last three starts.
--Gray is 1-2, 5.63 in his last four starts.
--Rangers won four of their last six games.
--Oakland won six of its last eight home games.
--Six of last eight Oakland home games went over.
•Angels-Indians - 7:05 PM ET
--Wilson is 1-3, 4.94 in his last four starts.
--Masterson is 2-1, 4.30 in his last three starts.
--Angels lost eight of their last eleven road games.
--Indians won ten of their last eleven home games.
--Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under.
•Blue Jays-Yankees - 7:05 PM ET
--Buehrle is 3-2, 2.83 in his last five starts.
--Whitley is 2-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
--Blue Jays won eight of last ten road games.
--Yankees won five of its last seven games.
--Six of last eight New York games stayed under total.
•Giants-White Sox - 2:10 PM ET
--Hudson is 3-0, 1.38 in his last four starts.
--Sale is 2-1, 1.97 in his last five starts.
--Giants lost seven of their last eight games.
--White Sox lost four of their last five games.
--Nine of last ten San Francisco games went over.
•Astros-Nationals - 7:05 PM ET
--Feldman is 0-2, 10.13 in his last three starts.
--Gonzalez was 0-3, 7.98 in his last three starts before going on DL.
--Houston lost three of its last four games.
--Nationals won six of their last seven home games.
--Five of last six Feldman starts went over total.
•Mariners-Padres - 10:10 PM ET
--Hernandez is 5-1, 1.83 in his last seven starts.
--Cashner is 2-2, 2.11 in six home starts.
--Seattle won six of its last seven road games.
--Padres lost eight of their last nine games.
--Seven of last nine San Diego games stayed under.
•Umpires Trends
-- Phil-Atl-- Road team won five of last six Knight games.
-- Chi-Mia-- Five of last six Diaz games went over total.
-- NY-StL-- Seven of last nine BWelke games stayed under.
-- Cin-Pitt-- Visiting team won 11 of 13 Dimuro games.
-- Mil-Az-- All three Marquez games stayed under total.
-- Col-LA-- Three of last four GGibson games went over.
-- LA-Clev-- Underdogs won nine of twelve Drake games.
-- KC-Det-- Home side won last seven Reyburn games.
-- Min-Bos-- Six of last nine Carlson games went over.
-- Blt-TB-- Favorites won eight of last eleven Hoberg games.
-- Tex-A's-- Nine of twelve Segal games went over total.
-- Tor-NY-- Favorites won four of last five Morales games.
-- SF-Chi-- Three of four Everitt games went over total.
-- Hst-Wsh-- Six of last seven Vanover games went over.
-- SD-Sea-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven HGibson games.
Diamond Trends - Wednesday
•ST LOUIS is 21-3 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games against National League East opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 4.5, OPPONENT 2.2.
•CHICAGO CUBS are 14-3 OVER (+11.0 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 5.0, OPPONENT 4.6.
•KANSAS CITY is 15-2 (+14.4 Units) against the run line in road games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 5.6, OPPONENT 2.7.
•ALFREDO SIMON is 11-1 (+11.1 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.
The average score was SIMON 3.7, OPPONENT 2.2.
•C.J. WILSON is 16-3 OVER (+13.2 Units) in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WILSON 6.3, OPPONENT 4.9.
•BARTOLO COLON is 18-3 (+14.5 Units) against the run line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLON 5.1, OPPONENT 3.5.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (BOSTON) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) - American League, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(54-10 since 1997.) (84.4%, +37.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -168
The average score in these games was: Team 6, Opponent 2.9 (Average run differential = +3.1)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0, +4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3, +13.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-6, +26.7 units).
•Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SEATTLE) - poor American League hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.
(43-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +37.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (40-19 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2, money line price: +124
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 27 (45.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1, +3.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-11, +27.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (51-30, +30 units).
•Play Over - All teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(84-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.4%, +46.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 9.1, Money Line=-102.2
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 5.6 (Total runs scored = 11.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 70 (54.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (11-2, +9.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (48-22, +25.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (223-205, +11 units).
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w-thumbs!^
