Service Plays Wednesday 03/25/09

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Florida (-11) Tuesday night.

Today it's Stanford. The surplus is 410 sirignanos.
 
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Dave Cokin

(679) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
(680) DALLAS MAVERICKS
Take "(680) DALLAS MAVERICKS"

I'm playing the schedule tonight as Golden State visits Dallas. The Warriors put up a huge fight Tuesday in San Antonio, and now must face the Mavericks with fatigue a potential major factor. The Mavericks are coming off a really nice break and should be ready to fire tonight, and I'm sure they'll be eager to avenge a loss to the Warriors the last time these teams met. Good spot to lay the points with Dallas.
 
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Jim Feist

(673) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
(674) NEW YORK KNICKS
Take "Over"

Neither team is any good defense, ranked 25th and 28th in the NBA in points allowed. The LA offense is healthy and getting better. In a loss to Boston, Zach Randolph led the Clippers with 17 points and 14 rebounds, and Baron Davis had 13 points, eight assists and seven boards. The Knicks uptempo offense is ranked 4th in the NBA, averaging 105.5 ppg. These teams met last mont in a 128-124 final, a game that sailed over the total by 32 points. Look for plenty of offense in the rematch, play the Clippers/Knicks over the total!
 

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Joe Wiz Bonus Play
Golden St
===============

Cappers Access
Kentucky
Celtics
===============
 

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D C I
National Invitation Tournament
3rd Round
Creighton Bracket
at South Bend, IN
NOTRE DAME 76, Kentucky 73
San Diego State Bracket
at San Diego, CA
SAN DIEGO STATE 67, Saint Mary's 59
College Basketball Invitational
Semifinals
at campus sites
RICHMOND 75, Utep 72
Stanford 66, OREGON STATE 61
CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament
Semifinals
at campus sites
BRADLEY 66, Pacific 60
OLD DOMINION 68, James Madison 61
 

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D C I
ATLANTA 94, San Antonio 91
CLEVELAND 103, New Jersey 89
INDIANA 104, Miami 103
PHILADELPHIA 104, Minnesota 92
TORONTO 101, Milwaukee 97
Charlotte 96, WASHINGTON 91
NEW YORK 112, L.A. Clippers 101
NEW ORLEANS 99, Denver 95
ORLANDO 99, Boston 93
DALLAS 116, Golden State 106
PHOENIX 110, Utah 109
 

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D C I
Florida vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. ISLANDERS 3, Minnesota 2
CAROLINA 3, Ottawa 2
PITTSBURGH 4, Calgary 3
San Jose vs. CHICAGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Anaheim vs. COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 

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Marc Lawrence NBA Bonus Play! - Wednesday 3/25
Play On: New Jersey Nets

Note: A right back revenge rematch finds the Nets looking to avenge a 96-88 home loss suffered this past Sunday against Cleveland. That fits nicely in to the New Jersey's 9-2 ATS mark on the road this season against teams off a SU and ATS win. Better yet, the Nets are 13-1 ATS in this series when the Cavs are off a SU and ATS win, including 6-0 ATS in Cleveland. With New Jersey battling for its playoff life, we'll grab the points in this payback tonight.
 

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Cajun Sports NBA 2* Complimentary Selection- Wednesday
Date/Time: Wednesday March 25 / 7:05PM EST
Game: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Philadelphia 76ers
Graded Selection: 2* Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5
Analysis:
The Wachovia Center will be the site of tonight’s east meets west battle between the host Philadelphia 76ers and the visiting Minnesota Timberwolves. The 76ers are returning home after a five game road swing that saw them get a win in LA over the Lakers to open the trip and then lose to Phoenix and Golden State but closing with wins over Sacramento and Portland. A check of the database shows that NBA teams off at least four road games and are now a favorite of 10 to 11.5 points are 0-5 ATS this season. As a non-conference favorite in the same situation teams are 5-17 ATS and if they are a home favorite these teams are 4-13 ATS this season. The Wachovia Center has not been kind to the Sixers of late with them only winning 2 of the last 7 times as a host and also going 7-11 ATS their first game back off a road trip. Philadelphia is 20-14 SU at home but has struggled against the spread posting a record of 15-16 ATS. The 76ers are 11-15 ATS as a home favorite and have lost six straight when laying seven or more points. Philadelphia averages 97.8 points per game at home and allows 93.5 points per game. Minnesota has been solid on the road when it comes to covering the spread with a record of 21-14 ATS this season. The T-Wolves are averaging 98.0 points per game on the road and allowing 102.1 points per game. They have been a much better team on the road than at home when it comes to taking care of their backers. The T-Wolves are 8-3 ATS when playing the second game of a road trip this season. Minnesota is in the midst of a five game losing skid but we know that they are 12-2 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. The database also shows that NBA teams coming off 5 straight losses and playing on the road are a money-making 43-26 ATS. We will take the generous points here as the T-Wolves keep this one well within the number.

Graded Selection: 2* Minnesota Timberwolves 102 Philadelphia 76ers 105
 

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Jeff Scott
5 UNIT PLAY (CBI GOY)

Stanford -3 over OREGON STATE: The Cardinal are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite, while the Beavers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Wednesday games. Oregon State took both meetings in the regular season, but the Cardinal got a measure of revenge in the PAC-10 Tourney. Stanford has gone 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 trips to Corvallis. Stanford has taken their 1st 2 gamnes of the CBI tourney rather easily, as they crushed Boise State by 20 points and then they won at Wichita State by 14. Oregon State has had the easier schedule in the CBI Tourney, yet they could only beat Houston by 4 (at home) and then they won in OT vs a Vermont team that had to fly all the way cross-country to play the game. OSU has had a hard time at the offensive end of the court this year, as they have averaged just 59.5 ppg (320th) and they have averaged 56.7 ppg vs the Pac-10 this year. Stanford has had no such problems at that end of the floor. The Cardinal comes in averaging 72.9 ppg (84th) on 45.6% shooting (79th) and they also shoot 38.1% (30th) from beyond the Arc. The Beavers do have the advantage at the defensive end as they allow just 63 ppg compared to the Cardinal that allows 68.9 ppg. The Cardinal does have a slight edge on the boards (288th to 338th), plus they have a big edge at the FT line as they are 101st (72.9%) at the charity stripe, while the Beaver as are 293rd (64.6%). The Cardinal comes in averaging 77.6 pg in their last 5 games, while the Beavers have averaged just 56 ppg in their last 5. Despite the defensive edge the Beavers own and the fact they they are playing at home, I just don't see OSU being able to score enough to stay with the hot Cardinal in this one. Stanford big in this one
 

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NBA Sides

Analysis: With only one game in the previous six days, Jazz coach Jerry Sloan took advantage of four practice days to stress defense to his team. The Jazz came into Tuesday's game giving up 99.6 points on average, the most by a Sloan-coached team in 16 seasons. Aside from a two-minute flurry of three-pointers by Houston to close the first half Tuesday, Sloan couldn't have asked for a better performance defensively. The Jazz held the Rockets to 34.8 percent shooting and blocked 12 shots in their 99-86 victory, and I expect them to carry that momentum into Phoenix. The Suns are a horrible 1-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins; play on UTAH!
 

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GamblersWorld
Tip of the Day - March 25, 2009


Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NCAA Basketball

Game: 8:05PM CIT: Pacific Tigers vs. Bradley Braves

Prediction: Bradley Braves

Current Line: -5.5

Over/Under: 128

Reason: The fans at Carver Arena will be treated to a game between the Pacific Tigers and the Bradley Braves when they take their seats on Wednesday for the semifinals of the CollegeInsider.com Tournament.

Oddsmakers currently have the Braves listed as 5½-point favorites versus the Tigers, while the game's total is sitting at 128.

Anthony Brown and Joe Ford had 13 points and six rebounds apiece to lead Pacific past Idaho 69-59 in the quarterfinals on Monday night.

Pacific covered as 9-point home favorites as the game played over the 124-point total posted by sportsbooks.

Sam Maniscalco drained 20 points to lift Bradley past Oakland 76-75 in the quarterfinals on Monday night.

Bradley failed to cash as 3-point home favorites as the teams played over the 138-point total posted by oddsmakers.
 

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Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - STANFORD CARDINAL....10 DIMERS - ST. MARY'S GAELS, & NJ NETS
30 DIMER - STANFORD CARDINAL



I am sorry, but the only reason this Oregon State is in this tournament is because the head coach is President Obama's brother in-law. How else can you explain letting in a team that was, and still is BELOW .500 into a post-season tournament?!?!?!



Stanford may have lost both regular season meetings with the Beavers, but the Cardinal did come through with a pull-away win, and cover earlier this month in the Pac 10 tournament, winning by 8 as the 7-point fave.



That cover put Stanford at 13-5 against the spread the last 18 series meetings!



The Cardinal have looked very strong in blasting both Boise State, and Wichita State by double-digits to get to this round, while the Beavers have had to go deep to the well to beat back both Houston, and Vermont in their first 2 rounds of this tourney.



Stanford will rout this team tonight by 10 points minimum!



10 DIMER - ST. MARY'S GAELS



G-Man getting all caught up in the Patty Mills story these days, as the Gaels feel that they should have been Big Dancin' instead of playing in the NIT. Either way, it has been fun to watch this St. Mary's team compete, and I have a feeling that they are not done with their "mission" just yet.



The Aztecs have had the few extra days to prep, and they are at home, but they have lost to this Gaels' team 4 of the last 5 times they have met, and they are just 1-3-1 against the spread in those 5. The most recent tilt came in December at San Diego State, and the Gaels did win outright by 3 as the 3-point fave.



Tonight we are getting a few points!?!?!? Take the Gaels!



10 DIMER - NEW JERSEY NETS



Definitely feel this price is inflated on the current #1 seeded Cavaliers, as the Nets are a decent 20-15 against the spread this season on the road.



New Jersey has lost badly the last 3 season series meetings, but overall, the Nets are 18-8 against the spread the last 26 series meetings, and they do catch the Cavaliers riding a 9-game winning streak, and as we all know in the NBA that the longer a winning streak mounts, the harder it gets for the winning team to cover the inlfated prices the linesmakers place on them.



Tonight is just such a case. New Jersey will not win outright, but they will cover this roomy impost.



Take the Nets and the points
Today's Complimentary Selection
NBA comp play winner from the G-Man last night on the Lakers minus the points.

Tonight the G-Man takes the points with the Timberwolves, as Minnesota may be riding a 5-game losing streak, but they are hitting the Sixers at the right time.

Philly is fresh back from a 5-game west coast road swing that saw them go to overtime on Monday in their outright win at Portland.

This is just too many points for Phiadelphia to be laying, as the 76ers are only 15-17-2 against the spread at home this year, while the T-Wolves come into this one on a 15-6-1 road spread run their last 22 games.

Minnesota has also won the last pair of series meetings, and 4 of the last 5 outright.

The road team in the series is also on a 6-2-1 spread run the last 9 showdows, making the points the play.

Take Minnesota here.

4♦ MINNESOTA
 

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Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Stanford Cardinal @ Oregon State Beavers - Wednesday March 25, 2009 10:00 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Stanford Cardinal -3 (-110)



This game will be the fourth match-up between these two teams this season. Stanford was able to get the win against Oregon State in the Pac-10 Tournament to avenge their two losses to the Beavers earlier in the season. In that game, the Cardinal was able to hold the Beavers to 39% shooting overall and only 26 points in the 2nd half. Stanford has shown up to play in the CBI, evident by their two dominant blowout wins against Boise State and Wichita State. I look for them to play with great intensity in this game, as they do not want to fall for a 3rd time against lowly Oregon State. Look for Stanford to get the road win and cover.
 

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Maddux Sports

Basketball
#663 - NBA - 3 units on Milwaukee +4
#674 - NBA - 3 units on New York -6
#686 - NCAA - 3 units on San Diego State -3.5
 

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Johnnie's Picks

3/25/09

MLB

NY Mets -118
LA Angels -128
Texas -113

CBB

Kentucky == U/145
Stanford == -3.0

NBA

Toronto == -3
LA Clippers == +7.0
 

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