Service Plays Tuesday 8/11/15

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY YANKEES at CLEVELAND
Play On - Any team (CLEVELAND) with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games
83-49 since 1997. ( 62.9% | 38.5 units )
7-4 this year. ( 63.6% | 2.0 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | PITTSBURGH at ST LOUIS
PITTSBURGH is 81-36 (+38.4 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: PITTSBURGH (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.3)
 
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Tuesday night: Mr. Aitch will put the kid to work for him again — 20 units on Severino to stifle the Tribe.
 

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WWR:Tues
MLB:
3u: 965 NYY +105




WNBA:
2u: 654 WASH -3.5
 

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Totals 4 You MLB Selections for Tuesday, August 11th

August's Major League Shootouts 3-Teamer of the Month!!!!!
Cincinnati/San Diego over 7 1/2
Baltimore/Seattle over 7 1/2
Detroit/Kansas City over 8

2-1 or Better or we'll email you Wednesday's MLB Report Free of Charge!!!

MLB Best Bets
Philadelphia/Arizona over 9
Washington/Los Angeles under 6 1/2
New York/Cleveland over 7


Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!


 

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Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -135 over Milwaukee Brewers
(System Record: 59-2, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 59-58-1


Basketball Crusher

Chicago Sky + New York Liberty OVER 154
(System Record: 18-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 18-17-4


Soccer Crusher
Oriente Petrolero + Nacional Montevideo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 798-26, lost last game)
Overall Record: 798-650-123
 

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Basketball Crusher
Chicago Sky + New York Liberty OVER 154
(System Record: 18-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 18-17-4
 

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Soccer Crusher
Oriente Petrolero + Nacional Montevideo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 798-26, lost last game)
Overall Record: 798-650-123
 

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Here's the system bet for August 11:


Milwaukee {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)










Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.


Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:


In the month of July and August: Only wager on qualifying {A} and {C} bets under the original MLB system, and risk 5% less than what you’d normally have. For example, if you’re a highly conservative bettor whose stake size per wager is 5% of your bankroll, then that means you can just choose to sit out of betting from July going forward. An average bettor would decrease his risk from 10% to 5%, and an aggressive risk taker would decrease that risk from 15% to 10%. You should bet that same percentage amount for all the {A} and {C} bets that qualified under the original MLB system.


Plus, pass on any series where the first game of a rematch series between the 2 teams happens more than 60 days after their most recent game (after the last game of the original 3-game series or the second game of an intermediate confirmatory 2-game series).


Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:


- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.


Regards,
The "Champ" team
 

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Asi august 11th
jeff barone
mlb (-1.98)
oakland +170 toronto (7pm)
milwaukee +127 chicago (8pm)
nflx (0.00)
no selections today
patrick
mlb (-.35)
colorado/ny mets under 7 -120 (7pm)
houston/sf under 6 +100 (10pm)


JO JO
TENNIS (-3.85) MATCHUPS MUST BE FULLY COMPLETED FOR ACTION
WTA ROGERS CUP @ TORONTO
A PAVLYUCHENKON -160 Z DIYAS (130pm) play released on 8/10
B STRYCOVA -105 V LEPCHENKO (1030am) play released on 8/10
ATP ROGERS CUP @ MONTREAL
S JOHNSON +140 D GOFFIN (1235PM) play released on 8/10
E GULBIS +123 D THIEM (635PM)


SIMON
SOCCER (-4.37)
HOLLAND - EREDIVISIE ( PSV EINDHOVEN -180) PSV EINDHOVEN @ ADO DEN HAAG (1230pm)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE CUP (OVER 2.5 -127) FULHAM FC @ WYCOMBE WANDERERS (245PM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE CUP (UNDER 2.5 -110) COVENTRY CITY @ ROCHDALE AFC (245PM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE CUP (OVER 2.5 -150) LEYTON ORIENT @ MILTON KEYNES DONS (245PM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE CUP (UNDER 2.5 -115) BURNLEY FC @ PORT VALE (245PM)
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
TUESDAY, AUGUST 11th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________



***** Tuesday, 8/11/15 MLB Information *****

(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2015 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________

Rounding The Bases – Tuesday

National League
•Rockies @ Mets
--Rusin is 0-1, 8.14 in his last four starts (over 3-1).
--Harvey is 2-1, 1.25 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in last four).

--Colorado lost last five games with the Mets; home side won ten of last 11 in series, with last five staying under. Rockies won three of last five overall; five of their last seven went over total. Mets won nine of last 11 games, with six of last eight going over.

•Brewers @ Cubs
--Jungmann is 4-2, 2.11 in his last six starts; three of last four stayed under.
--Haren is 0-2, 5.09 in his last four starts (under 6-4 in last ten).

--Milwaukee lost last four games with the Cubs (under 4-0-1 in last five); they won four of last six games (under 6-4 in last ten). Chicago won nine of its last ten games; four of last five went over the total.

•Pirates @ Cardinals
--Locke is 1-2, 5.79 in his last five starts (over 2-0-1 in last three).
--Martinez is 1-1, 4.09 in his last four starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten.

--Pirates won five of last six games with St Louis; five of last seven series tilts went over. Pittsburgh won last four games, scoring 31 runs (over 4-0). Cards won four of last five games; six of their last seven stayed under.

•Phillies @ Diamondbacks
--Buchanan is 2-2, 7.00 in his last five starts (over 4-0-1).
--Hellickson is 1-3, 5.57 in his last four starts (over 5-2-1 in last eight).

--Phillies are 16-6 in their last 21 games; four of last five went over the total. Arizona is 5-3 in last eight games; three of last four stayed under. Phils won six of last eight in series; three of last five stayed under the total.

•Nationals @ Dodgers
--Ross is 3-2, 2.70 in his last six starts (under 4-3).
--Greinke is 6-0, 1.21 in his last nine starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten.

--Washington is 5-3 in last eight games with the Dodgers (over 6-5); Nationals lost seven of last 11 games (over 8-1 in last nine). Dodgers lost their last four games, allowing 32 runs; their last five games all went over.

•Reds @ Padres
--Lorenzen is 0-5, 8.04 in his last six starts (over 2-0-1 in last three).
--Rea is making MLB debut here; he was 2-2, 4.39 in six AAA starts at the high altitude of El Paso.

--Cincinnati lost seven of last eight games with San Diego; under is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Reds lost five of last six games; their last nine stayed under the total. Padres lost six of last seven games; over is 9-3 in their last 12.

American League
•Athletics @ Blue Jays
--Former Blue Jay Graveman is 0-0, 2.92 in his last two starts; four of his last six stayed under.
--Hutchison is 1-0, 10.93 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over the total- Jays scored 42 runs in those six games.

--Blue Jays won last eight games, outscoring foes 42-15; last three went under the total. Oakland won five of last seven games with Toronto; under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games- home team won eight of last ten. A's won last three games, allowing six runs.

•Yankees @ Indians
--Severino allowed two runs in five IP (94 PT) in his MLB debut.
--Carrasco is 1-1, 2.57 in his last five starts; six of his last eight went over.

--Yankees lost three of last four games with Cleveland, four of last six series tilts went over. New York lost four of last five games, scoring four runs (all five stayed under). Indians are 3-2 in last five games; their last three went over.

•Tigers @ Royals
--Sanchez is 0-2, 6.50 in his last three starts; under is 7-0-2 in his last nine.
--Ventura is 2-0, 5.68 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over. KC scored 18 runs in his last three starts.

--Royals won last four games; three of their last five went over the total. Tigers are 5-4 in last nine games with Kansas City; five of last six stayed under the total. Detroit is 4-6 in last ten games (over 2-1-2 last five).

•Angels @ White Sox
--Santiago is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over.
--Rodon is 1-2, 9.33 in his last four starts (over 5-2 in last seven).

--Angels won seven of last nine games with the White Sox (over 7-2); Halos won three of last five games overall (under 3-3 in last six). Chicago lost six of last eight games; 11 of their last 12 went over the total.

•Rangers @ Twins
--Gallardo is 1-1, 8.53 in his last four starts (over 3-1).
--Gibson is 0-3, 9.00 in his last four starts.

--Texas won six of last eight games vs Minnesota; five of last six stayed under the total. Rangers won five of their last seven games. Twins lost seven of last eight games, with last five all going over the total.

•Orioles @ Mariners
--Tillman is 3-0, 1.09 in his last six starts (under 6-0) but has been hampered by a sprained ankle lately.
--Walker is 1-0, 2.20 in his last two starts; five of his last six went over.

--Orioles won six of last eight games with Seattle; eight of last eleven in series stayed under total. Mariners won five of last eight games; over is 5-3 in their last eight. Baltimore is 0-4 in games following its last four wins; over is 3-2 in its last five games.

Interleague
•Braves @ Rays
--Perez is 0-2, 10.20 in his last three starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten.
--Ramirez is 0-1, 6.52 in his last three starts; under is 5-3-2 in his last ten.

--Atlanta won five of last seven games with Tampa Bay (under 5-2); Braves are 3-1 in last four games overall (over 7-1-2 in last ten). Rays are 5-2 in last seven games; eight of their last nine went over.

•Red Sox @ Marlins
--Wright is 2-0, 1.80 in his last two starts.
--Nicolino is 1-1, 4.09 in his two starts (over 1-1) this year.

--Boston won its last seven games with Miami; over is 3-1-2 in last six. Sox are 3-4 in last seven games overall; over is 2-0-1 in last three. Marlins lost six of last seven games; eight of their last ten went over.

•Astros @ Giants
--Kazmir is 3-2, 1.67 in his last eight starts (under 7-1).
--Bumgarner is 4-1, 3.09 in his last five starts (under 2-1-2 in last five).

--Houston lost six of last seven games; four of last six stayed under the total. Astros lost seven of last eight games with the Giants; three of last four went over. San Francisco lost last four games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Col-NY-- Rusin 3-8; Harvey 13-8
-- Mil-Chi-- Jungmann 7-4; Haren 10-12, 0-1
-- Pitt-StL-- Locke 12-9; Martinez 17-3
-- Phil-Az-- Buchanan 2-7; Hellickson 7-12
-- Wsh-LA-- Ross 3-4; Greinke 15-7 (6-1 last 7)
-- Cin-SD-- Lorenzen 6-10 (1-6 last 7); Rea 0-0

-- A's-Tor-- Graveman 8-10 (0-5 last 5); Hutchison 15-7
-- NY-Clev-- Severino 0-1; Carrasco 13-9
-- Det-KC-- Sanchez 12-11; Ventura 7-10
-- LA-Chi-- Santiago 12-9; Rodon 9-6
-- Tex-Min-- Gallardo 12-11; Gibson 11-11
-- Balt-Sea-- Tillman 11-9; Walker 12-10

-- Atl-TB-- Perez 5-5; Ramirez 11-6
-- Bos-Mia-- Wright 3-5; Nicolino 1-1
-- Hst-SF-- Kazmir 10-11, 2-1; Bumgarner 13-9

•Times This Starting Pitcher Allowed A Run In First Inning
-- Col-NY-- Rusin 4-11; Harvey 6-21
-- Mil-Chi-- Jungmann 2-11; Haren 3-22
-- Pitt-StL-- Locke 4-21; Martinez 3-20
-- Phil-Az-- Buchanan 2-9; Hellickson 7-19
-- Wsh-LA-- Ross 1-7; Greinke 6-22
-- Cin-SD-- Lorenzen 8-16 (8 of last 10); Rea 0-0

-- A's-Tor-- Graveman 5-18; Hutchison 8-22 (5 of last 6)
-- NY-Clev-- Severino 0-1; Carrasco 11-22
-- Det-KC-- Sanchez 5-23; Ventura 4-17
-- LA-Chi-- Santiago 6-21; Rodon 5-15
-- Tex-Min-- Gallardo 8-23; Gibson 5-22
-- Balt-Sea-- Tillman 3-20; Walker 5-22

-- Atl-TB-- Perez 4-10; Ramirez 5-17
-- Bos-Mia-- Wright 3-8; Nicolino 0-2
-- Hst-SF-- Kazmir 3-21; Bumgarner 6-22

•Umpires Trends
-- Col-NY-- Six of last eight Holbrook games went over.
-- Phil-Az-- Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Eddings games.
-- Wsh-LA-- Six of last eight Bucknor games stayed under.
-- Cin-SD-- Nine of last twelve Cuzzi games stayed under.

-- Det-KC-- Four of last five Reyburn games went over.
-- LA-Chi-- Underdogs won three of four Pattillo games.
-- Balt-Sea-- Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Blaser games.
________________________________________________

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Incredible Stats of the Day
•Cubs Streaking Versus Right Handers
The Chicago Cubs have won nine consecutive games against right-handed starters and get to face another when they host the Milwaukee Brewers in the opener of a three-game series Tuesday night. The Cubs have outscored opponents 42-23 during those nine games, meaning while they are scoring a mediocre 4.67 runs per game over that span, they are allowing a miniscule 2.56 runs at the same time. Tonight they go up against Brewers righty Taylor Jungman, whom the Cubs defeated 4-1 back on July 31. The Cubs are currently -150 favorites with Dan Haren expected to make his second start for the Cubs.

•Rest Days Have Led To Losses For Tribe
Having an extra day of rest hasn't been profitable for backers of the Cleveland Indians as of late, as the club is 0-5 in its last five following an off day. The Tribe are in that spot once again Tuesday versus Luis Severino and the New York Yankees. Cleveland is scheduled to start Carlos Carrasco. The Indians are presently -115 on the moneyline at Pinnacle Sports.

•Over Is Red-Hot When Braves Face Righties
The Over is 7-0 in the Atlanta Braves' last seven games when facing right-handed pitching. Atlanta is set to invade Tropicana Field Tuesday to kick off a brief two-game series versus the Tampa Bay Rays. Righties Williams Perez and Erasmo Ramirez are scheduled to start for the Braves and Rays, respectively. As of this writing, the total for the game is at 7.0.

•A's Failing To Get Job Done With Graveman On The Bump
The Oakland Athletics have dropped five straight games behind Kendall Graveman. Graveman is slated to get the ball Tuesday when Oakland begins a three-game series in Toronto. Drew Hutchison is the probable starter for the Blue Jays. Sportsbooks have tabbed the A's as +179 underdogs for the tilt.

Diamond Trends - Tuesday
•CINCINNATI is 3-18 (-16.5 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 2.6, OPPONENT 5.4.

•CHI WHITE SOX are 14-2 OVER (+12.1 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.9, OPPONENT 5.4.

•HOUSTON is 0-11 (-13.1 Units) against the run line in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 2.3, OPPONENT 3.5.

•YORDANO VENTURA is 13-1 (+12.8 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VENTURA 5.8, OPPONENT 2.9.

•ANIBAL SANCHEZ is 14-2 UNDER (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was SANCHEZ 2.3, OPPONENT 3.1.

•CHRIS TILLMAN is 18-2 (+15.0 Units) against the run line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TILLMAN 5.5, OPPONENT 3.7.

Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (DETROIT) – an excellent fielding team - averaging <=0.5 errors/game on the season against opponent where team's hitters strike out 6 or less times/game on the season, poor American League offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33).
(33-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.2%, +37.3 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (38-9 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.5, money line price: +155
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.9 (Average run differential = +2.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 25 (53.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (7-1, +10.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4, +24.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (199-279, +20.8 units).
_________________________________________________________
 

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Frank Patron

10,000 Unit MLB Move


Kansas City Royals -150 over Detroit

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