Service Plays Tuesday 3/4/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

This week's best NBA spot bet opportunities
Steve Merril

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Steve Merril points out the best spot bet opportunities on the NBA schedule this week.

Letdown spot

Golden State began a six-game East Coast road trip in Detroit last Monday night. Its grueling trip will end on in Boston Wednesday night. But the Warriors will play a big game the night before in Indiana against the Pacers. That is a huge game for Golden State, as it's coming off a loss in Toronto, and will be playing with revenge after losing at home to the Pacers in late January.

The Warriors will return home after playing in Boston, and if Golden State wins in Indiana, the game against the Celtics will come in a major letdown spot. The Celtics have three full days off to prepare for the Warriors, who will be playing its ninth game over a 15-day stretch.

Lookahead spot

Houston will play four games this week, beginning at home versus Miami Tuesday and finishing at home versus Portland Sunday. Three of the Rockets' four opponents are Class-A teams: Heat, Pacers, and Blazers. The Rockets’ lone road game this week comes in Orlando Wednesday.

The Rockets will play that game on a back-to-back set after hosting the Heat. Houston will have no interest in traveling and playing in Orlando, especially since they’ll return home right after to face Indiana and Portland. The Rockets will surely be looking ahead to those games while going through the motions in Orlando.

Schedule spot

The Los Angeles Lakers have the toughest schedule in the NBA this week. They will play five games with their only days off being Wednesday and Saturday. The Lakers began the week in Portland Monday before hosting back-to-back home games against the Pelicans and Clippers. Thursday night they’ll be in Denver before concluding the week with a home game against Oklahoma City Sunday.

The Lakers’ trouble spot will be against the Nuggets Thursday night. They will go into that game on a back-to-back set, and it will also be their fourth game in five nights. Los Angeles’ fatigue will be magnified in the thin air and altitude of Denver. The Nuggets have the previous night off, so the Lakers are simply in a terrible scheduling spot for their game in Denver.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

This week's best NHL spot bet opportunities
Sean Murphy

Letdown spot

The Ottawa Senators had little trouble bouncing back from a drubbing at the hands of the Red Wings, rallying to post a 4-2 victory over the Canucks in the Heritage Classic on Sunday afternoon.

Now comes the letdown. The Sens head east from Van-City for a stop in Edmonton to face the lowly Oilers on Tuesday night. Edmonton will have no shortage of motivation, having lost three games in a row. The Oilers last win came nearly a month ago, in New York back on February 6th.

Keep in mind, the Oilers won the previous meeting between these two teams back on October 19th in Ottawa.

Lookahead spot

The Boston Bruins suffered a 4-2 home loss to the Washington Capitals on Saturday afternoon, but they'll get another shot at Ovie and company later this week, once again in Beantown.

Before that, the B's will host the Florida Panthers in a clear lookahead spot on Tuesday night. While the Panthers have struggled for much of the season, they're no easy out. Note that they have posted 12 road victories this season, and they're coming off an uplifting come-from-behind 5-3 win on Long Island on Sunday.

Schedule spot

Montreal heads west for a difficult four-game road trip beginning Monday night in Los Angeles. However, the worst spot on the trip will come later in the week, when the Canadiens play on the second of back-to-back nights. After taking on the Ducks in Anaheim on Wednesday, the Habs will travel to face the Coyotes in the desert on Thursday.

Phoenix doesn't exactly head into the new week on a high note, having lost three straight games. A return home should help. The 'Yotes are 17-10-3 in Glendale this season. Montreal has been solid away from home, but finds itself in the wrong place at the wrong time here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bank Shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes

Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best - and worst - basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.

For the week of Feb. 24-March 2.

Hottest ATS - Los Angeles Clippers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

Lob City is alive and well, as the Clippers rode the momentum of a big win in Oklahoma City to an unbeaten week. Los Angeles opened with a 123-110 victory in New Orleans, then returned home and clamped down on defense in back-to-back triumphs over the Houston Rockets and Pelicans. The strong bounceback following an 0-3 ATS stretch will be put to the test Wednesday as the Clippers visit a Phoenix Suns team that remains one of the top surprises in the league.

Coldest ATS - New Orleans Pelicans (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS)

Injuries to Ryan Anderson and Jrue Holiday have finally caught up to the Pelicans, who suffered four straight double-digit losses as their overall skid reached seven. In addition to a pair of losses to the Clippers, New Orleans fell 108-89 in Dallas and 116-104 in Phoenix to drop to 0-3 over their five-game road trip. With Holiday out for the season and Anderson still without a timetable, things could get even uglier in the Big Easy as the team's depth continues to be tested.

Best 'Over' play - Milwaukee Bucks (1-2 SU, 3-0 O/U)

With nothing left to play for but a prime spot in the NBA draft lottery, the Bucks have become a strong Over play. Last week opened with one of the biggest shootouts so far this season - a 130-110 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers - and ended with a narrow loss to the Indiana Pacers and a nine-point defeat against Brooklyn. Milwaukee's offense has improved over the past month, while the defense remains mediocre - so expect plenty more Overs down the stretch.

Best 'Under' play - Portland Trail Blazers (3-0 SU, 0-3 O/U)

So much for owning one of the NBA's worst defenses. The Trail Blazers overcame an injury to power forward LaMarcus Aldridge, then continued to roll in his return late last week as they stretched both their winning and Under streaks to five games with a pair of victories over the Denver Nuggets and a win over the Brooklyn Nets. Portland has held opponents below 100 points in five straight games, showing off a new-found commitment commitment to defense.

Surveying the schedule

The Minnesota Timberwolves are running out of time in their quest to snag one of the final Western Conference playoff spots. The Timberwolves open the week in 10th place in the conference, a full 5 1/2 games back of the eighth-place Dallas Mavericks with just 24 games remaining. Minnesota, which received a major boost with the returns of center Nikola Pekovic and guard Kevin Martin, play in Denver on Monday before kicking off a four-game homestand against New York.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pucking the Trends: NHL's weekly betting news and notes

Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

For the week of Feb. 24-March 2.

Hot team

Los Angeles Kings (3-0 SU)

It looks like the Kings have caught fire at the perfect time as teams jockey for position in the crowded Western Conference standings. Los Angeles opened the post-Olympic week with a 6-4 victory over the Colorado Avalanche, then showed off its defensive chops with a 2-0 triumph over the Calgary Flames and a 3-1 win over the Carolina Hurricanes. Jonathan Quick appears to have bounced back nicely from his Olympic disappointment, while the offense is deep and potent.

Cold team

Carolina Hurricanes (0-4 SU)

The Hurricanes were the exact opposite, coming out of the two-week break with no jump at all. Entering a pivotal stretch as it looks to challenge for an Eastern Conference wild-card spot, Carolina fell flat in the first four games of a five-game road trip, dropping decisions in Buffalo, Dallas, Los Angeles and Anaheim to slip to fourth-last in the conference. The team's top scorers are struggling, with winger Jeff Skinner still looking for his first point since the resumption of play.

Best 'Over' play

Boston Bruins (3-0 O/U)

It was a barrage of high-scoring games as defenses struggle to keep up with opposing goal scorers - and the Bruins benefited from it to emerge as one of the strongest Over choices of the week. Boston resumed its charge toward the top seed in the East with a thud, dropping a 5-4 overtime decision to the Sabres and falling 4-2 to Washington - but bounced back nicely to beat the Rangers 6-3. Expect lower scores as goalie Tuukka Rask and the Boston defense sharpen up.

Best 'Under' play

St. Louis Blues (1-2 O/U)

There weren't many good Under candidates last week, but the Blues fit the bill. They lost consecutive 1-0 decisions in Vancouver and Anaheim, and were less than two minutes from a third straight under before scoring the last of four third-period goals en route to a 4-2 victory over Phoenix. Armed with one of the top defenses in the league and having traded for elite goaltender Ryan Miller, expect St. Louis to remain a strong Under play for the remainder of the season.

Surveying the schedule

Eastern Conference teams dread having to make the trip through three time zones - and now, it's the Montreal Canadiens' turn. Montreal sits second in the conference behind only the rival Bruins, but the lead on the rest of the contenders is tenuous - and will be put to the test as the Canadiens embark on a four-game West Coast trip that begins Monday in Los Angeles. Montreal, 16-12-2 on the road this season, will also visit Anaheim, Phoenix and San Jose on the trek.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

POINTWISE

NBA BASKETBALL

(7:05) INDIANA PACERS 97 - Golden State Warriors 91 _____ _____

(7:05) San Antonio Spurs 113 - CLEVELAND CAVS 103 _____ _____

(8:05) OKLAHOMA CITY 111 - Philadelphia 76ers 95 _____ _____

(8:05) HOUSTON ROCKETS 104 - Miami Heat 103 _____ _____

(9:05) Los Angeles Clippers 102 - PHOENIX SUNS 98 _____ _____

(10:35) New Orleans Pelicans 110 - LA LAKERS 97 _____ _____

BEST BETS
OKLAHOMA CITY
HOUSTON
NEW ORLEANS (1)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

POINTWISE

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

(6:30) TEMPLE 76 - Central Florida 62 (ESPNN) _____ _____

(7:00) EASTERN MICHIGAN 70 - Ball State 61 _____

(7:00) SYRACUSE 77 - Georgia Tech 57 _____ _____

(7:00) BAYLOR 73 - Iowa State 72 (ESPN2) _____ _____

(7:00) Michigan 74 - ILLINOIS 58 (ESPN) _____ _____

(7:00) Buffalo 89 - AKRON 83 _____ _____

(7:00) Ohio U 68 - BOWLING GREEN 66 _____ _____

(7:00) Toledo 72 - CENTRAL MICHIGAN 65 _____ _____

(7:00) KENT STATE 70 - Miami-Ohio 69 _____ _____

(7:00) WESTERN MICHIGAN 67 - Northern Illinois 64 _____ _____

(7:00) GEORGETOWN 74 - Creighton 73 (FOX 1) _____ _____

(7:00) Florida 71 - SOUTH CAROLINA 62 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(8:00) CLEMSON 56 - Miami-Florida 54 _____ _____

(8:00) MARYLAND 61 - Virginia Tech 51 _____ _____

(8:00) ARKANSAS STATE 74 - Georgia State 67 _____ _____

(8:30) HOUSTON 70 - South Florida 58 (ESPNN) _____ _____

(9:00) PROVIDENCE 69 - Marquette 62 (FOX 1) _____ _____

(9:00) KENTUCKY 75 - Alabama 55 (ESPN) _____ _____

(9:00) Florida State 67 - BOSTON COLLEGE 63 _____ _____

(11:00) OREGON 76 - Arizona State 64 (FOX 1) _____ _____

BEST BETS
BUFFALO
NO ILLINOIS
ARKANSAS ST.
HOUSTON

 

[SIC]

anyone who wants to join a buy group for Dave Essler through march madness pm me.
its $170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Hot teams
-- Spurs won six of last seven games, are 17-13 vs spread on road.
-- Indiana won its last five games, but is 1-5-1 vs spread in its last seven. Warriors won five of their last seven games.
-- Miami won its last eight games (6-0-2 vs spread). Rockets won 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Thunder won last two games, but is 1-4-1 vs spread in last six.
-- Clippers won/covered their last four games. Phoenix is 5-3 in last eight games, is 19-12-1 vs spread at home.
-- Lakers won last two games by total of five points.

Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost four of its last six games.
-- 76ers lost their last 14 games (3-11 vs spread).
-- Pelicans lost their last eight games (1-6-1 vs spread).

Series records
-- Spurs won last eight games with Cleveland, winning last three visits here, by 1-10-35 points.
-- Pacers won five of last six games with Golden State.
-- Rockets won their last seven games with Miami (3-4 vs spread).
-- Thunder won their last nine games with Philly (8-1 vs spread).
-- Clippers are 4-3 in last seven games with Phoenix, after going 1-13 in previous fourteen series games.
-- Lakers won ten of last eleven games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine San Antonio games went over the total; seven of last nine Cavalier games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Oklahoma City games went over.
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over total.
-- Six of last eight New Orleans games stayed under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Bruins won three of their last four home games.
-- Red Wings won four of their last five games.
-- Columbus won its last three home games. Dallas Stars won five of their last seven games.
-- Avalanche won three of their last four games. Chicago won three of last four at home.
-- Blues won four of their last five home games.
-- Jets won five of their last seven games.
-- Sharks won four of their last five games.


Cold teams
-- Panthers lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Devils lost six of their last ten games.
-- Lightning lost five of last seven road games.
-- Nashville lost four of last five games. Penguins lost last three games, allowing 15 goals.
-- Islanders lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Coyotes lost last four games, scoring seven goals. Vancouver lost nine of last ten games.
-- Senators lost four of their last seven games. Edmonton lost last three games, scoring two goals; two of three losses were in OT.
-- Carolina lost its last five games, scoring six goals.

Totals
-- Last four Florida games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit-New Jersey games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Colorado games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight St Louis-Tampa games went over.
-- Last four Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Last five Islander games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Vancouver games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Ottawa games went over total.
-- Last three San Jose games went over the total.

Series records
-- Bruins won their last six games with Florida.
-- Red Wings won four of last six games with New Jersey.
-- Dallas Stars won four of last five visits to Columbus.
-- Avalanche won six of last nine games with Chicago.
-- Lightning won five of last eight games with St Louis.
-- Penguins won their last three games with Nashville.
-- Islanders won five of last seven games with Winnipeg.
-- Home side won last five Phoenix-Vancouver games.
-- Visiting team won last five Ottawa-Edmonton games.
-- Sharks lost four of last five games with Carolina.

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAACB KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________

Tuesday's Notebook
•Iowa State (-7) beat Baylor 87-72 Jan 7, shooting 65% inside arc; they won last four games with Baylor, winning 87-82 in last trip here, but the home side is 12-1 in last 13 series games. Big X home favorites of 3 or less points are 2-4 versus spread. Cyclones are 1-1 when a road dog. Baylor won five of last six games; this is more important game for them; Bears won their last three home games, but two of them were in overtime.

•Michigan won its last five games with Illinois, winning by 11-14 points in last two visits here. Wolverines won last three games, are 0-3 as road favorites- underdogs covered eight of their nine road games. Illini won its last three games after starting 3-10 in league play; they're 0-4 as home underdogs, with all five home losses by 7+ points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-6 against the spread.

•Home team won eight of last nine Buffalo-Akron games; Bulls lost three of last four visits here, but beat Zips 96-90 (-5) Feb 19, in game where both teams scored 1.36+ ppp, maybe worst defensive game in country all year. MAC home teams are 18-13 versus spread if number was 3 or less points. Buffalo won four in row, seven of last eight games; they've won last four road games. Akron lost three of last four games, covered once in their last nine games.

•Creighton (-11) beat Georgetown 76-63 at home Jan 25, despite Hoyas holding McDermott to 14 points. Bluejays split last six road games (2-4 vs. spread); they struggled in last two games, losing at Xavier after close home win over Seton Hall. Big East home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-5 versus spread. Hoyas won last three home games, are 2-4-1 as a dog; their home losses are to Seton Hall (10), Marquette (8), Villanova (5).

•Florida made 21-26 (80.8%) inside arc in 74-58 (-16.5) win Jan 8 in SEC opener over South Carolina; Gators are 14-0 in SEC, have rivalry game with Kentucky coming up- trap game here versus South Carolina team that upset Kentucky Saturday, is 4-4 at home in SEC (2-0-1 as home dogs). Florida won last two visits to Columbia by 19-14 points. Florida is 3-4 as a road favorite. SEC home underdogs of 9+ points are 4-0 versus spread.

•Miami won its last three games with Clemson by 3-2-13 points; they've lost four of last five visits here, are 5-1 as ACC road underdogs, losing only one road game by more than 7 points. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-17 versus spread. Both teams won three of last four games; Clemson is 3-2 as home favorite after beating Maryland in double OT on Sunday. Miami covered six of its last nine games overall.

•Georgia State (-9.5) nipped Arkansas State 73-72 at home Jan 16- they led by 10 at half, then trailed by 7 with 4:10 left as ASU made 11-28 3's. Sun Belt home teams are 13-18 versus spread in games with spread of 3 or less points. GSU won 19 of last 20 games, has 4-game lead in Sun Belt; they're 6-1 as road favorites, winning last two road games by 28-11 points. Arkansas State won last five home games, is 2-1-1 as a dog.

•Marquette (-4.5) beat Providence Jan 30, its 10th win in row versus Friars; Eagles led 31-14 at half in brickfest where teams were 5-30 on arc. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-8 versus spread. Marquette is 5-1 in last six games overall, 2-3 as road underdogs- they won three of last four on road, after losing first three. Providence won five of its last seven at home, covered three of last four as a home favorite.

•Home side won eight of last nine Florida State-Boston College games, as Seminoles lost last four visits here, by 8-3-5-4 points. FSU is playing on short rest in cold climate, has Syracuse coming to Tallahassee Saturday, so trap game here. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-12 versus spread. BC lost seven of last nine games, six of seven at home, but they did win at Syracuse. Seminoles are 4-4 on road, 2-1 as road favorites.

•Arizona State (-3) beat Oregon 74-72 at home Feb 8, blocking layup at buzzer to preserve game they led by 20 at half. ASU lost last two trips to Eugene, by 9-3 points; they're 1-5 as road underdogs, with four of its five road losses by 9+ points. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-11 versus spread. Oregon is squarely on bubble; they've won five in row after sweeping LA trip. Ducks are 1-6 though as home favorites.

Horizon Tournament
•Oakland swept Youngstown this year, 86-85 (-3.5) at home, then 87-81 (+4) on road three days ago; Grizzlies were 20-49 from the ark in those games, 10-22 Saturday. Horizon home teams are 6-17 versus spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Penguins lost seven of their last nine games, losing last three by total of nine points- three of their last seven games went OT. Oakland is 0-7 versus spread in its last seven home games.

•Road team won both Detroit-Milwaukee games this year; Panthers won 68-62 (+6.5) in Motor City five nights ago, after losing 73-54 (-3.5) at home to Titans Jan 24. Detroit lost last three games overall, but covered last six on road. Horizon home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-16 versus spread. Milwaukee's win Thursday snapped a four-game losing streak. Detroit is 0-3 in first round games if under .500 in conference.

•Valparaiso swept Ill-Chicago this year, 87-72 (-11.5) at home Jan 2, and 70-46 (-4.5) on road Feb 1; they've now won ten games in row versus UIC, but Crusaders lost three of their last four games overall. UIC is terrible but they're 6-2 versus spread as road underdog, getting only conference win in last road game. Horizon home favorites of 9+ points are 8-6 versus spread. UIC lost five of last six first round conference tournament games.

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- MARYLAND is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games after a game with 51 or more rebounds since 1997.
The average score was MARYLAND 82.6, OPPONENT 62.5.

-- VIRGINIA TECH is 17-2 UNDER (+14.8 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 60.3, OPPONENT 65.2.

-- IL-CHICAGO is 15-1 (+13.9 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls since 1997.
The average score was IL-CHICAGO 33.5, OPPONENT 29.9.

-- AKRON is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total as a home favorite or pick versus the 1rst half line this season.
The average score was AKRON 25.0, OPPONENT 27.1.

-- LEONARD HAMILTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after a game - where they attempted 20+ less shots than opponent as the coach of FLORIDA ST.
The average score was HAMILTON 71.4, OPPONENT 68.7.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- MONTANA ST is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MONTANA ST 67.5, OPPONENT 72.9.

-- S FLORIDA is 15-1 UNDER (+13.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was S FLORIDA 57.9, OPPONENT 60.6.

-- ILLINOIS is 4-17 (-14.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ILLINOIS 27.0, OPPONENT 31.0.

-- AKRON is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was AKRON 29.9, OPPONENT 29.8.

-- MARK MONTGOMERY is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game as the coach of N ILLINOIS.
The average score was MONTGOMERY 54.9, OPPONENT 58.5.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (S FLORIDA) - a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a road win.
(69-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (92.0%, +51.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -286.7
The average score in these games was: Team 71.3, Opponent 63.3 (Average point differential = +8)

The situation's record this season is: (13-2, +6.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (43-3, +35.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (197-44, +73.7 units).

-- Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FLA GULF COAST) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games.
(79-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.9%, +41.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (14-104 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.4
The average score in these games was: Team 62.5, Opponent 72.4 (Average point differential = -9.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 34 (29.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (25-11).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (52-27).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (152-99).

-- Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (MARYLAND) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a poor shooting team (40-42.5%), after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.
(58-24 since 1997.) (70.7%, +31.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (8-74)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.5
The average score in these games was: Team 61.9, Opponent 72.7 (Average point differential = -10.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (28.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (12-7).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-15).

-- Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points versus the first half line (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game against a poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%).
(53-21 since 1997.) (71.6%, +29.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 34.7, Opponent 29.1 (Average first half point differential = +5.6)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-10).

-- Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (TEMPLE) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(66-30 since 1997.) (68.8%, +33.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 33.3, Opponent 33.8 (Average first half point differential = -0.5)

The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-7).

Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Tuesday’s (3/4/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
________________________________

 

[shawnballs]

David banks

ILLINOIS +3

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Ottawa Senators -110 over Edmonton Oilers
(System Record: 69-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 69-54-1

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Boston College +2 over Florida State
(System Record: 55-7, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 55-67-4

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Gimnasia LP + Atletico Rafaela UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 534-18, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 534-456-78

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 4

Iowa State (-7) beat Baylor 87-72 Jan 7, shooting 65% inside arc; they won last four games with Baylor, winning 87-82 in last trip here, but the home side is 12-1 in last 13 series games. Big X home favorites of 3 or less points are 2-4 vs spread. Cyclones are 1-1 when a road dog. Baylor won five of last six games; this is more importanr game for them; Bears won their last three home games, but two of them were in overtime.

Michigan won its last five games with Illinois, winning by 11-14 points in last two visits here. Wolverines won last three games, are 0-3 as road favorites- underdogs covered eight of their nine road games. Illini won its last three games after starting 3-10 in league play; they're 0-4 as home underdogs, with all five home losses by 7+ points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-6 against the spread.

Home team won eight of last nine Buffalo-Akron games; Bulls lost three of last four visits here, but beat Zips 96-90 (-5) Feb 19, in game where both teams scored 1.36+ ppp, maybe worst defensive game in country all year. MAC home teams are 18-13 vs spread if number was 3 or less points. Buffalo won four in row, seven of last eight games; they've won last four road games. Akron lost three of last four games, covered once in their last nine games.

Creighton (-11) beat Georgetown 76-63 at home Jan 25, despite Hoyas holding McDermott to 14 points. Bluejays split last six road games (2-4 vs spread); they struggled in last two games, losing at Xavier after close home win over Seton Hall. Big East home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-5 vs spread. Hoyas won last three home games, are 2-4-1 as a dog; their home losses are to Seton Hall (10), Marquette (8), Villanova (5).

Florida made 21-26 (80.8%) inside arc in 74-58 (-16.5) win Jan 8 in SEC opener over South Carolina; Gators are 14-0 in SEC, have rivalry game with Kentucky coming up- trap game here vs South Carolina team that upset Kentucky Saturday, is 4-4 at home in SEC (2-0-1 as home dogs). Florida won last two visits to Columbia by 19-14 points. Florida is 3-4 as a road favorite. SEC home underdogs of 9+ points are 4-0 vs spread.

Miami won its last three games with Clemson by 3-2-13 points; they've lost four of last five visits here, are 5-1 as ACC road underdogs, losing only one road game by more than 7 points. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-17 vs spread. Both teams won three of last four games; Clemson is 3-2 as home favorite after beating Maryland in double OT on Sunday. Miami covered six of its last nine games overall.

Georgia State (-9.5) nipped Arkansas State 73-72 at home Jan 16- they led by 10 at half, then trailed by 7 with 4:10 left as ASU made 11-28 3's. Sun Belt home teams are 13-18 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less points. GSU won 19 of last 20 games, has 4-game lead in Sun Belt; they're 6-1 as road favorites, winning last last two road games by 28-11 points. Arkansas State won last five home games, is 2-1-1 as a dog.

Marquette (-4.5) beat Providence Jan 30, its 10th win in row vs Friars; Eagles led 31-14 at half in brickfest where teams were 5-30 on arc. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-8 vs spread. Marquette is 5-1 in last six games overall, 2-3 as road underdogs- they won three of last four on road, after losing first three. Providence won five of its last seven at home, covered three of last four as a home favorite.

Home side won eight of last nine Florida State-Boston College games, as Seminoles lost last four visits here, by 8-3-5-4 points. FSU is playing on short rest in cold climate, has Syracuse coming to Tallahassee Saturday, so trap game here. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-12 vs spread. BC lost seven of last nine games, six of seven at home, but they did win at Syracuse. Seminoles are 4-4 on road, 2-1 as road favorites.

Arizona State (-3) beat Oregon 74-72 at home Feb 8, blocking layup at buzzer to preserve game they led by 20 at half. ASU lost last two trips to Eugene, by 9-3 points; they're 1-5 as road underdogs, with four of its five road losses by 9+ points. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-11 vs spread. Oregon is squarely on bubble; they've won five in row after sweeping LA trip. Ducks are 1-6 though as home favorites.

Horizon tournament
Oakland swept Youngstown this year, 86-85 (-3.5) at home, then 87-81 (+4) on road three days ago; Grizzlies were 20-49 from the ard in those games, 10-22 Saturday. Horizon home teams are 6-17 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Penguins lost seven of their last nine games, losing last three by total of nine points- three of their last seven games went OT. Oakland is 0-7 vs spread in its last seven home games.

Road team won both Detroit-Milwaukee games this year; Panthers won 68-62 (+6.5) in Motor City five nights ago, after losing 73-54 (-3.5) at home to Titans Jan 24. Detroit lost last three games overall, but covered last six on road. Horizon home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-16 vs spread. Milwaukee's win Thursday snapped a four-game losing streak. Detroit is 0-3 in first round games if under .500 in conference.

Valparaiso swept Ill-Chicago this year, 87-72 (-11.5) at home Jan 2, and 70-46 (-4.5) on road Feb 1; they've now won ten games in row vs UIC, but Crusaders lost three of their last four games overall. UIC is terrible but they're 6-2 vs spread as road underdog, getting only Horizon win in last road game. Horizon home favorites of 9+ points are 8-6 vs spread. UIC lost five of last six first round conference tournament games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Arizona State at Oregon

The Ducks play host to an Arizona State team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. Oregon is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-6). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 4 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 513-514: Central Florida at Temple (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 54.898; Temple 56.591 Dunkel Line: Temple by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Temple by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3 1/2)

Game 515-516: Ball State at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 44.394; Eastern Michigan 62.230 Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 18 Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 14 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-14)

Game 517-518: Georgia Tech at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 59.251; Syracuse 70.852 Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Syracuse by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+14 1/2)

Game 519-520: Iowa State at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 70.433; Baylor 69.616 Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 1 Vegas Line: Baylor by 3 Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+3)

Game 521-522: Michigan at Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 73.947; Illinois 67.445 Dunkel Line: Michigan by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Michigan by 3 Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-3)

Game 523-524: Buffalo at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.333; Akron 60.998 Dunkel Line: Akron by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Akron by 2 Dunkel Pick: Akron (-2)

Game 525-526: Ohio at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 52.943; Bowling Green 55.790 Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 3 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green

Game 527-528: Toledo at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 55.473; Central Michigan 45.804 Dunkel Line: Toledo by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Toledo by 7 Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-7)

Game 529-530: Miami (OH) at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 48.550; Kent State 58.201 Dunkel Line: Kent State by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Kent State by 6 Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-6)

Game 531-532: Northern Illinois at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 53.925; Western Michigan 59.665 Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 9 Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+9)

Game 533-534: Creighton at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 70.442; Georgetown 71.581 Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 1 Vegas Line: Creighton by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+3 1/2)

Game 535-536: Florida at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 74.033; South Carolina 59.516 Dunkel Line: Florida by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida by 12 Dunkel Pick: Florida (-12)

Game 537-538: Miami (FL) at Clemson (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 64.961; Clemson 66.783 Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2 Vegas Line: Clemson by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+4 1/2)

Game 539-540: Virginia Tech at Maryland (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 56.265; Maryland 65.452 Dunkel Line: Maryland by 9 Vegas Line: Maryland by 12 Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+12)

Game 541-542: Georgia State at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 62.539; Arkansas State 57.623 Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 5 Vegas Line: Georgia State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-2)

Game 543-544: South Florida at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 53.954; Houston 64.015 Dunkel Line: Houston by 10 Vegas Line: Houston by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2)

Game 545-546: Marquette at Providence (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 65.235; Providence 64.333 Dunkel Line: Marquette by 1 Vegas Line: Providence by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+3 1/2)

Game 547-548: Alabama at Kentucky (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 61.116; Kentucky 69.644 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Kentucky by 13 Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+13)

Game 549-550: Florida State at Boston College (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 64.308; Boston College 59.944 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-2)

Game 551-552: Arizona State at Oregon (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 63.199; Oregon 72.748 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Oregon by 6 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-6)

Game 553-554: Youngstown State at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 51.109; Oakland 57.563 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Oakland by 4 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-4)

Game 555-556: Detroit at WI-Milwaukee (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 50.655; WI-Milwaukee 56.814 Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 6 Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 2 Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-2)

Game 557-558: Illinois-Chicago at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 50.839; Valparaiso 58.335 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+10 1/2)

Game 559-560: Northern Colorado at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 50.387; North Dakota 51.316 Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 1 Vegas Line: North Dakota by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+4 1/2)

Game 571-572: Stetson at Florida Gulf Coast (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Stetson 36.975; Florida Gulf Coast 57.850 Dunkel Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 21 Vegas Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 14 Dunkel Pick: Florida Gulf Coast (-14)

Game 573-574: Lipscomb at East Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Lipscomb 48.832; East Tennessee State 52.422 Dunkel Line: East Tennessee State by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: East Tennessee State by 6 Dunkel Pick: Lipscomb (+6)

Game 575-576: North Florida at USC Upstate (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 45.375; USC Upstate 57.753 Dunkel Line: USC Upstate by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: USC Upstate by 9 Dunkel Pick: USC Upstate (-9)

Game 577-578: Jacksonville at Mercer (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 44.097; Mercer 61.809 Dunkel Line: Mercer by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: Mercer by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Mercer (-14 1/2)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Golden State at Indiana

The Warriors look to bounce back from their 104-98 loss to Toronto on Sunday and come into tonight's contest with Indiana carrying a 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU defeat. Golden State is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 4 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Golden State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.947; Indiana 123.267 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5 1/2; 196 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: San Antonio at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.896; Cleveland 115.837 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 208 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 203 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 102.656; Oklahoma City 118.740 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 16; 209 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 20 1/2; 219 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+20 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Miami at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 129.328; Houston 128.074 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: LA Clippers at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.999; Phoenix 120.661 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 214 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 218 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3); Under

Game 511-512: New Orleans at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.814; LA Lakers 114.151 Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 204 Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1 1/2; 210 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

NY Islanders at Winnipeg

The Jets host an Islanders team that comes into tonight's contest with an 0-8 record in their last 8 games when playing with 1 days rest. Winnipeg is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-150). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 4 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Dallas at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.975; Columbus 10.600 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+125); Over

Game 3-4: Florida at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.136; Boston 12.361 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-250); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-250); Under

Game 5-6: Detroit at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.064; New Jersey 10.794 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-135); 5 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Over

Game 7-8: Tampa Bay at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.852; St. Louis 12.237 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-180); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180); Under

Game 9-10: Colorado at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.865; Chicago 12.453 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-175); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-175); Under

Game 11-12: Pittsburgh at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.811; Nashville 11.722 Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-155); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+135); Over

Game 13-14: NY Islanders at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 9.848; Winnipeg 11.675 Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-150); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-150); Over

Game 15-16: Vancouver at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.376; Phoenix 10.541 Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+120); Under

Game 17-18: Ottawa at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.336; Edmonton 11.790 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+100); Under

Game 19-20: Carolina at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.380; San Jose 12.403 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-210); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-210); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chase Diamond

9* Kent State -6