Service Plays Tuesday 11/4/14

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Football Crusher
Indianapolis Colts -160 over New York Giants - pending
Bowling Green +6.5 over Akron
(System Record: 23-4, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 23-23-2

Rest of the Plays
Toledo + Kent State OVER 55
 

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Hockey Crusher
Ottawa Senators +101 over Detroit Red Wings
(System Record: 13-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 13-10


Rest of the Plays
Dallas Stars -116 over LA Kings
Colorado Avalanche -117 over Vancouver Canucks
New Jersey Devils -110 over St. Louis Blues
 

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Basketball Crusher
Sacramento Kings + Denver Nuggets OVER 201.5 - pending
Washington Wizards +1.5 over New York Knicks
(System Record: 3-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 3-2

Rest of the Plays
Phoenix Suns -6 over LA Lakers
Portland Trail Blazers +2 over Cleveland Cavs
Oklahoma City Thunder + Toronto Raptors OVER 193.5
 

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Soccer Crusher
Defensay Justicia + Newells Old Boys OVER 2 - postponed
Sampaio Correa + Joinville EC UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in
Brazil
(System Record: 656-22, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 656-544-101
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 11/4/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Tuesday, 11/4/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
_____________________________________________________

#701 MILWAUKEE @ #702 INDIANA - 7:05 PM
The Milwaukee Bucks aim to end a 16-game road losing streak when they travel to face the short-handed Indiana Pacers on Tuesday. The Bucks, who haven't won away from home since Feb. 27, also look to snap a six-game skid against Indiana. The team they'll face is a shell of the squad that swept four meetings last season with stars Paul George and David West sidelined along with key contributors George Hill and C.J. Watson.

The Pacers, who have lost two straight, are beginning a stretch in which they'll play four games in five days, and they might be without another key player with reserve guard Rodney Stuckey nursing a sore foot. Now they have to contend with a Bucks team that has shown promise despite coming off a 108-97 loss to Washington on Saturday. "They're talented, they're young, and they've got length," Indiana coach Frank Vogel said of Milwaukee. "(Jabari) Parker seems like he's going to be a star, and Jason Kidd proved last year he's a heck of a basketball coach." Both teams have earned their lone victory against Philadelphia.

#703 OKLAHOMA CITY @ #704 TORONTO - 7:35 PM
Oklahoma City’s last visit to Toronto would be hard to match under any circumstance but becomes even harder with reigning MVP Kevin Durant sidelined with a foot injury. The Thunder visit the Raptors on Tuesday and shorthanded Oklahoma City is just a shell of itself with point guard Russell Westbrook (hand) also hurt. The Thunder beat Toronto 119-118 in double-overtime in March as Durant hit a decisive 3-pointer with 1.7 seconds left to cap a 51-point performance.

The contest against Oklahoma City begins a stretch in which the Raptors play eight of nine at home. Toronto’s lone loss came against Miami as the Raptors were outrebounded 43-28 during a 107-102 defeat. The Thunder were routed 116-85 at Brooklyn on Monday but did get point guard Reggie Jackson back from an ankle injury and he scored a game-high 23 points.

#705 WASHINGTON @ #706 NEW YORK - 7:35 PM
As Carmelo Anthony goes, so often go the New York Knicks, a pattern playing out in a big way early in the season. Anthony and the Knicks look to ride his recent surge and win their third straight game when they host the Washington Wizards on Tuesday. After scoring 14 points on 5-of-13 shooting in a dismal 104-80 loss to Chicago in the season opener, Anthony has averaged 26.5 points on 53.8 percent shooting in back-to-back victories over Cleveland and Charlotte.

The nine-time All Star became the 40th member of the 20,000-point club and scored the final three points of a 96-93 victory over the Hornets on Sunday. He is one of eight active members of the club, including Wizards swingman Paul Pierce, who had a very different experience his last time out, getting ejected in Washington's home opener, a 108-97 win over Milwaukee on Saturday. Nene led a balanced attach with 22 points for the Wizards, who swept three games from the Knicks last season, including a pair of one-point wins in Madison Square Garden.

#707 HOUSTON @ #708 MIAMI - 7:35 PM
The Miami Heat look to win their fourth game in a row when they host the Houston Rockets in a battle of the unbeatens Tuesday. The Heat took care of business against the Toronto Raptors on Sunday to remain the only undefeated team in the Eastern Conference. "We're three games into this, so it could quickly go the other way if guys start to feel comfortable," coach Erik Spoelstra warned. "It's the power of working together that will make us more successful."

James Harden continued his scorching start to the season as he collected 35 points, nine rebounds and five assists in the Rockets' 104-93 win over the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday. Houston is off to a 4-0 start for the first time since the 1996-97 campaign, but faces a stiff test against a Miami team that has won eight of the last nine meetings with the Rockets. "They are playing extremely well right now and they are undefeated as well," Harden said. "It's going to be a tough challenge for us, but I think we're ready."

#709 ORLANDO @ #710 CHICAGO - 8:05 PM
The injury-hampered Chicago Bulls have managed two wins in their first three outings and look to take care of business when the winless Orlando Magic visit Tuesday. All-Star guard Derrick Rose and forward Taj Gibson practiced Monday and expect to return for the Bulls after both missed the 106-105 victory at Minnesota on Saturday with ankle injuries. Orlando is without injured guard Victor Oladipo a few more weeks, but center Nikola Vucevic is off to a strong start with three double-doubles.

Chicago, which was last in the league in scoring and field-goal percentage a season ago, is showing signs of improvement while averaging 106 points and 47.8 percent shooting early on. Jimmy Butler returned from a thumb injury to score a team-high 24 in his season debut Saturday for the Bulls. Magic rookie point guard Elfrid Payton hopes to build off his best game as a pro when he recorded 16 points and nine assists in the 108-95 loss to Toronto on Saturday.

#711 CHARLOTTE @ #712 NEW ORLEANS - 8:05 PM
The former Hornets take on the current Hornets when Charlotte visits New Orleans on Tuesday. The original Charlotte Hornets took their nickname to New Orleans when the team moved in 2002 but finally found a more area-appropriate nickname last season, opening up the “Hornets” nickname to go back to its original city. Both teams feature exciting young rosters, but Charlotte is coming off back-to-back losses after narrowly squeezing out a win in the season opener.

The Pelicans are in the same boat with losses in back-to-back games following an opening win, and Anthony Davis finally looked like something less than the most dominant player in the Western Conference against the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Davis was limited to 14 points and eight boards in the 93-81 setback and will be challenged again with Bobcats center Al Jefferson holding down the paint Tuesday. Charlotte ranked fourth in the NBA in scoring defense last season and is just as strong in 2014-15 with guard Lance Stephenson in the mix.

#713 CLEVELAND @ #714 PORTLAND - 10:05 PM
The Cleveland Cavaliers looked far more comfortable on the road in gaining their first win and have three games left on the trip to further solidify their level of trust in each other. LeBron James and company will look for a second straight win when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday. The Trail Blazers won their opener but have since dropped two straight while being held under 95 points in each setback.

Cavaliers first-year coach David Blatt called a meeting and reportedly got on his team after a lackluster opener at home against New York on Thursday, and the players responded with a little more fight in a 114-108 overtime victory at Chicago on Friday. "He got on us from the time we started our meeting to the time we left,” James told reporters. “And it's great. For a team like us, we need that. I love constructive criticism.” Portland is likely getting some constructive criticism inside the locker room as well after losses at Sacramento and home against Golden State.

#715 PHOENIX @ #716 LA LAKERS - 10:35 PM
The Los Angeles Lakers are the lone remaining winless team in the Western Conference as they host the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday. The Lakers are off to their worst start – 0-4 – since moving to Los Angeles in 1960 and are just three losses away from the franchise’s all-time worst start (0-7 in Minneapolis in 1957-58). “Just stay the course,” guard Kobe Bryant told reporters. “We still have a lot of room for improvement, but we’re moving in the right direction.”

The Suns have won five of their last six encounters with the Lakers, including a 119-99 thumping in Phoenix last Wednesday. The Suns went 16-of-32 from 3-point range with Isaiah Thomas and Marcus Morris each knocking down five. Phoenix didn’t fare well in its last game, losing for the first time this season and getting outscored in the paint 66-42 by Utah while suffering a 118-91 defeat.

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•Series Records
-- Pacers won their last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder won four of last five games with Toronto.
-- Knicks were 0-3 vs. Washington LY, losing last two by point each.
-- Rockets lost eight of last nine games with Miami.
-- Bulls won 11 of last 13 games with Orlando.
-- Pelicans won four of last five games with Charlotte.
-- Cavaliers lost six of last seven games with Portland.
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games with Phoenix.

•Totals
-- Last three Buck-Pacer games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Thunder-Raptor games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1 in Wizards' last four visits to New York.
-- Six of last seven Houston-Miami games went over.
-- Five of last seven Chicago-Orlando games went over.
-- Three of last four New Orleans-Charlotte games went over.
-- Eight of last eleven Cleveland-Portland games went over.
-- Over is 7-4 in Suns' last 11 road games with Lakers.

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
•TORONTO is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.0, OPPONENT 95.4.

•ORLANDO is 23-9 UNDER (+13.1 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 93.0, OPPONENT 103.7.

•ORLANDO is 1-13 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 99.0, OPPONENT 106.2.

•CHICAGO is 20-43 (-27.3 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after a close win by 3 points or less since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 47.9, OPPONENT 48.4.

•INDIANA is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 42.7, OPPONENT 45.6.

•LIONEL HOLLINS is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1996.
The average score was HOLLINS 103.4, OPPONENT 98.4.

Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points versus the first half line (LA LAKERS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more.
(24-3 since 1996.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.5, Opponent 51 (Average first half point differential = +2.5)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-1).
___________________________________________
 
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Calgary won five of its last seven road games.
-- Carolina won last two games but they're 0-6 on road.
-- Bruins won five of their last seven games. Florida won three of its last four.
-- St Louis won its last five games, allowing ten goals. Devils won three of last four.
-- Penguins won last four games (three shutouts). Minnesota won five of its last six games.
-- Winnipeg won four of last five games (won last two games 1-0).
-- Canucks won four of their last five games.
-- Toronto won its last three games, allowing three goals.

Cold teams
-- Edmonton is 0-3 on road, allowing 18 goals. Flyers lost last two games, 2-1/4-3.
-- Washington lost last four games, allowing 18 goals.
-- Columbus lost last five games, scoring eight goals.
-- Blackhawks lost five of their last seven games. Montreal lost three of last four.
-- Senators lost four of last five games. Detroit lost three of its last four road games.
-- Nashville is 1-4 in game following its last five wins.
-- Los Angeles lost last four games, scoring six goals. Dallas lost last four, allowing 17 goals.
-- Colorado lost four of its last five games.
-- Coyotes lost six of their last eight games.

Series records
-- Flyers won three of last four games with Edmonton.
-- Flames lost four of last five games with Washington.
-- Blue Jackets won eight of last ten games with Carolina.
-- Bruins won their last eight games with Florida.
-- Devils lost four of last five games with St Louis.
-- Home team won last seven Chicago-Montreal games.
-- Red Wings won six of last eight games with Ottawa.
-- Penguins lost five of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Predators won six of last eight games with Winnipeg.
-- Kings lost eight of last twelve games with Dallas.
-- Canucks lost four of last five games with Colorado.
-- Maple Leafs beat Arizona twice LY, after losing previous six games vs Coyotes.

Totals
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Edmonton-Philly games.
-- Eight of last ten Calgary games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Carolina games.
-- Six of last seven Florida games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four St Louis-New Jersey games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Chicago games stayed under total.
-- Last six Detroit-Ottawa games went over total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over total.
-- Nine of eleven Nashville games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten LA-Dallas games.
-- Under is 7-3-2 in last dozen Colorado-Vancouver games.
-- Six of last eight Toronto-Arizona games went over.
 
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NBA

Series Records
-- Pacers won their last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder won four of last five games with Toronto.
-- Knicks were 0-3 vs Washington LY, losing last two by point each.
-- Rockets lost eight of last nine games with Miami.
-- Bulls won 11 of last 13 games with Orlando.
-- Pelicans won four of last five games with Charlotte.
-- Cavaliers lost six of last seven games with Portland.
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Last three Buck-Pacer games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Thunder-Raptor games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1 in Wizards' last four visits to New York.
-- Six of last seven Houston-Miami games went over.
-- Five of last seven Chicago-Orlando games went over.
-- Three of last four New Orleans-Charlotte games went over.
-- Eight of last eleven Cleveland-Portland games went over.
-- Over is 7-4 in Suns' last 11 road games with Lakers.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NHL | PITTSBURGH at MINNESOTA
Play On - Any team against the money line (PITTSBURGH) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
83-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.1% | 49.9 units )
8-3 this year. ( 72.7% | 4.7 units )

NHL | ST LOUIS at NEW JERSEY
Play On - Home Favorites against the money line (NEW JERSEY) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
60-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.9% | 38.1 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )

NHL | ST LOUIS at NEW JERSEY
Play On - Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (NEW JERSEY) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
59-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.7% | 37.1 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | PHOENIX at LA LAKERS
Play Against - Home teams (LA LAKERS) a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more
76-37 since 1997. ( 67.3% | 35.3 units )

NBA | PHOENIX at LA LAKERS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival, first half of the season
25-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.4% | 20.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at TORONTO
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (TORONTO) marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games, after 1 or more consecutive losses
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
 
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[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h] [h=2]Bowling Green at Akron[/h] The Falcons look to bounce back from their loss to and come into tonight's contest at Akron with a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Bowling Green is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Zips favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+7). Here are all of Tuesday's and Wednesday's NCAA Football picks.
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 4
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 101-102: Bowling Green at Akron (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 71.425; Akron 73.461
Dunkel Line: Akron by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Akron by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+7); Under
Game 103-104: Toledo at Kent State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 88.383; Kent State 66.459
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 22; 58
Vegas Line: Toledo by 13 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-13 1/2); Over
 
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[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]Vancouver at Colorado[/h] The Avalanche host a Vancouver team tonight that is coming off a 3-1 loss to Nashville on Sunday and is 8-25 in its last 33 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Colorado is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120). Here are all of today's NHL picks.
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 4
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Carolina at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.147; Columbus 9.779
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+120); Under
Game 53-54: Calgary at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 9.887; Washington 11.232
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Over
Game 55-56: Edmonton at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.923; Philadelphia 12.104
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Over
Game 57-58: Florida at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.878; Boston 10.930
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+170); Under
Game 59-60: Chicago at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.208; Montreal 12.364
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+115); Under
Game 61-62: Detroit at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.994; Ottawa 10.351
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Over
Game 63-64: St. Louis at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 13.026; New Jersey 11.315
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-105); Over
Game 65-66: Pittsburgh at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.020; Minnesota 12.595
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under
Game 67-68: Nashville at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.061; Winnipeg 11.627
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-115); Under
Game 69-70: Los Angeles at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.928; Dallas 10.528
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+100); Over
Game 71-72: Toronto at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 9.597; Arizona 10.933
Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Under
Game 73-74: Vancouver at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.094; Colorado 12.335
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120); Over
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CFB | FLA ATLANTIC at NORTH TEXAS
Play Against - A home team (NORTH TEXAS) in a game involving two average rushing teams (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) after 7+ games, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )

CFB | N ILLINOIS at BALL ST
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (N ILLINOIS) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, in weeks 10 through 13
133-66 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.8% | 0.0 units )
7-6 this year. ( 53.8% | 0.0 units )

CFB | OHIO ST at MICHIGAN ST
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (OHIO ST) off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off a home win
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Giants (+3) on Monday and likes the Heat on Tuesday.

The deficit is 818 sirignanos.
 

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Paul Leiner:1000* CFB Over 55 Kent State/Toledo
100* NBA Over 202 Cavs/Blazers
50* NBA Suns -6.5
 

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FantasySportsGametime

TUESDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Toledo -13 over Kent State (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Kent State has lost 12 of the last 16 games coming off a loss in their last game and they have lost 7 of the last 8 games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in their last game. Kent State has lost 27 of the last 31 games when playing as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points and they have lost 18 of the last 26 games coming off a game where they had no turnovers.


5000* Play Bowling Green +6 over Akron (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Bowling Green has won 17 of the last 21 games vs. conference opponents and they have won 6 of the last 7 games when playing in the month of November. Bowling Green has won 9 of the last 12 games after having won two of the last three games and they are averaging 33 points a game on offense this season.
 

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