Service Plays Tuesday 08/25/09

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, AUGUST 25

NATIONAL LEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (74-51) at Colorado (71-54)

One night after a miraculous 14-inning victory, the Rockies try to keep the pressure on the division-leading Dodgers when these N.L. West rivals begin a three-game series at Coors Field. Jason Hammel (8-8, 4.60 ERA) is slated to pitch for the hosts opposite Los Angeles southpaw Clayton Kershaw (8-7, 2.96).

Colorado capped a four-game series against the Giants in incredible fashion Monday, rallying from a 4-1, 14-inning deficit to pull out a 6-4 victory, getting a walk-off grand slam from Ryan Spillborghs. The Rockies have now won three in a row and seven of their last eight overall and they’ve have used a 51-23 run to close to within three games of Los Angeles, which has led the N.L. West virtually the entire season. Jim Tracy’s club is on additional streaks of 26-10 at Coors Field, 11-1 at home against left-handed starters and 5-1 in divisional play. However, the Rockies have lost four of five series openers.

The Dodgers took Monday off after falling to the Cubs 3-1 at home on Sunday, failing to put the finishing touches on a four-game sweep. Los Angeles is 5-3 in its last eight games, but had lost 13 of 20 prior to that, going 6-7 on the highway. On a positive note, Joe Torre’s troops are on runs of 49-22 against the N.L. West and 17-5 when playing on Tuesday.

L.A. remains in first place thanks largely to its dominance of Colorado this season, winning 10 of 12 meetings, including five of six at Coors Field. Dating to last September, the Dodgers are on a 13-3 roll in this rivalry (7-2 in Denver).

Kershaw’s struggles continued on Wednesday against St. Louis, as he lasted just 3 2/3 innings, allowing two runs on five hits in four walks, getting a no-decision in the Dodgers’ 3-2 loss. Los Angeles has now lost six straight games behind Kershaw after going 7-0 in his previous seven outings. So far in August, the 21-year-old is 0-2 with a 4.26 ERA in four starts, walking 15 in 19 innings.

The Dodgers have won five of Kershaw’s last seven starts on the highway, where he’s 5-4 with a 4.12 ERA in 11 outings this year, including 1-1 with a whopping 10.13 ERA in two games at Coors Field. Since coming up to the big leagues last year, Kershaw has made six starts against the Rockies, going 2-3 with a 6.07 ERA, including 2-2 with an 8.24 ERA in four road efforts.

Hammel is coming off a 4-1 win at Washington, yielding the one run on three hits in seven innings. He’s given up three earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, with Colorado going 3-1. The right-hander is 2-3 with a hefty 7.02 ERA at home this year, but the Rockies are still 7-3 when he starts at Coors, including 6-1 in the last seven.

Hammel’s lone start against the Dodgers came in L.A. on July 1 and he was a tough-luck 1-0 loser to Kershaw, scattering five hits and no walks in an eight-inning complete game. Including that setback, Colorado is 1-4 in Hammel’s last five against N.L. West foes.

With Kershaw pitching, the Dodgers are on “under” streaks of 4-1 overall (all as a favorite), 4-1 on the road and 4-1 against the N.L. West. Additionally, L.A. comes into this series carrying “under” trends of 4-1-1 overall, 8-3 on the road and 5-2 against righty starters. The under is also 4-2-1 in the Rockies’ last seven overall and 8-3-1 in their last 12 on Tuesday, but otherwise Colorado is on “over” runs of 6-2-2 at home, 9-1-1 against winning teams and 4-0-1 overall with Hammel on the hill.

Finally, the over is 4-1 in the last five Dodgers-Rockies battles at Coors Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Texas (69-54) at N.Y. Yankees (78-46)

Fresh off a successful 10-game, three-city bicoastal road trip, the Yankees return to action in the Bronx, with Joba Chamberlain (8-3, 3.98 ERA) set to oppose the Rangers’ Kevin Millwood (9-8, 3.48) in the opener of a three-game series between playoff contenders.

Both teams took Monday off after completing series’ with victories in A.L. East ballparks. The Yankees took down the Red Sox 8-4 at Fenway Park on Sunday night, finishing their road trip with a 7-3 record as they won all three series. Earlier that day, Texas avoided a three-game sweep at Tampa Bay by blanking the Rays 4-0.

New York owns baseball’s best record thanks to an incredible 40-14 overall run that has given the Bronx Bombers a 7½-game lead over Boston in the A.L. East. The Yanks are on additional positive spurts of 49-19 at The Stadium, 53-25 as a favorite, 25-7 against right-handed starters, 6-2 against the N.L. West, 6-1 on Tuesday and 4-0 after an off day.

Texas, which remains in the hunt for the A.L. wild card, is on runs of 14-6 against teams with a winning record and 10-3 against the A.L. East, but it has lost four of six overall and four of its last five as a pup. Also, the Rangers are 9-25 in their last 34 meetings with the Yankees (2-4 this season).

Millwood got lit up by the Twins six days ago at home, allowing five runs on seven hits in over 5 2/3 innings of a 5-4 loss, as the Rangers fell to 0-3 in his last three starts. With the veteran right-hander on the bump, Texas is on upticks of 7-0 on Tuesday, 4-1 versus the A.L. East and 8-2 when he opens a series, but it has lost 27 of his last 36 road starts.

This year, Millwood is 2-6 with a 4.28 ERA in 11 starts on the highway (eight of which the Rangers have lost). Against the Yankees, he’s 1-4 with a 4.50 ERA in eight career starts, including a no-decision back on May 26 when he surrendered three runs in 5 2/3 innings, with Texas going on to a 7-3 home win.

Chamberlain has allowed exactly four runs in each of his last three starts covering 16 total innings (4.15 ERA). The 23-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since a 10-3 loss in Seattle nine days ago, a setback that ended a personal five-game winning streak as well as the Yankees’ five-game win streak overall behind Chamberlain. New York is still 14-2 in Chamberlain’s last 16 home starts and 22-8 in his last 30 as a favorite.

Although New York has enjoyed a lot of success when Chamberlain pitches at Yankee Stadium this year, going 11-2, he’s just 3-2 with a 4.72 ERA in those 13 contests. Also, Chamberlain has a 7.11 ERA in three career starts versus Texas, all of them Yankees losses. He failed to make it out of the fifth inning in all three games.

Millwood has been a big-time “under” pitcher lately, with the “under” on runs of 23-7-3 in his last 33 starts overall, 7-1 on the road, 6-0 on Tuesday, 7-1 against the A.L. East and 4-0 when he faces the Yankees. Also, as a team, the Rangers carry “under” trends of 47-19-4 overall, 35-16-2 on the road, 22-6-1 as a road pup, 21-6-2 against the A.L. East, 9-3 in series openers and 4-0 after a day off.

With Chamberlain pitching, the Yankees are on “over” streaks of 8-2 overall, 5-1 at home and 4-0 against the A.L. West. Also, New York as a team is on “over” runs of 4-1 overall, 17-8-2 against the A.L. West and 4-0 against right-handed starters. However, the under is 15-6-2 in the Yanks’ last 23 after a day off.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Chicago Sky at Los Angeles Sparks (-7, 141.5)

The Sparks finally have found some consistency at just the right time.

Needing to make a charge for the playoffs, the Sparks have won five straight games, going 4-1 against the spread and playing under the total four times. Prior to this streak, they had won consecutive games just once.

Candace Parker and Lisa Leslie both have had to play themselves into shape this season and weren't even on the court together until Aug. 4. During the winning streak, Parker - the WNBA Player of the Week - is averaging 16.4 points and 9.8 rebounds and Leslie is averaging 16.0 and 6.6.

Parker and Leslie may have their way inside as Sky center Sylvia Fowles has missed the last two games with an ankle injury and is not expected to play. Chicago is 0-7 straight up and ATS when Fowles is sidelined.

Pick: Los Angeles


Sacramento Monarchs at Atlanta Dream (-4, 165.5)

The Atlanta Dream are going to have to make part of their playoff push without Chamique Holdsclaw.

The Dream's veteran leader and top scorer has missed most of the last two games with a sore knee and said she would be out for a week. Atlanta (14-12) is tied for second in the Eastern Conference but plays six of its last seven games on the road.

"It’s just really, really sore," Holdsclaw told the Tennessee edition of Scout.com. "(The doctor) didn’t want me to play, because it was really sore in areas that shouldn’t be as tender."

"We’re just not taking any chances with her," Atlanta coach Marynell Meadors told the web site.

The Dream may have a capable replacement in rookie Angel McCaughtry, who has scored in double figures in nine straight games and has totaled 57 in the last two contests, picking up the slack for Holdsclaw. She scored in double figures nine times in the first 17 games.

Pick: Atlanta
 
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Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR TUESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Cleveland (Masterson)

KANSAS CITY (GREINKE) -160 (1)


White Sox (Garcia)

BOSTON (LESTER) -300 (2)


Washington (Mock)

CUBS (ZAMBRANO) -240 (3)


Run Totals

Cleveland / Kansas City UNDER 8

Dodgers / Colorado UNDER 9

Houston / St. Louis OVER 7
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Indians Monday night.

Today it's the Rays and Dodgers. The surplus is 1,460 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

August 25, 2009

Hondo hit with the Tigers last night, but his Kiss Of Death exerted its wondrous powers on the Giants in the 14th inning, leaving him with a slightly reduced debt of 410 easlers

Tonight, he's walking the 'dogs again, namely the Astros and Jays. Ten units apiece on Wandy and Cecil, who are no relation to Beanie and Cecil.
 

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John Morrison MLB System Picks 8/25


Nats [A] RL unofficial
Pirates [A] RL unofficial

CHEERS!:drink:
 

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John Morrison WNBA SYSTEM Pick 8/25

WNBA

Sacramento (buy 3 points) [A]<!-- / message -->
 
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MLB DUNKEL


Cincinnati at Milwaukee
The Brewers look to take advantage of a Cincinnati team that is 1-9 in Bronson Arroyo's last 10 starts as an underdog. Milwaukee is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 25

Game 901-902: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.267; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 15.380
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+170); Under

Game 903-904: San Diego at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 13.633; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.737
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-240); Over

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Figueroa) 14.555; Florida (West) 16.094
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-205); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-205); Over

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.557; Milwaukee (Suppan) 15.660
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); Under

Game 909-910: Washington at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Mock) 14.059; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.751
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-240); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-240); N/A

Game 911-912: Houston at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.722; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.828
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Under

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.469; Colorado (Hammel) 16.300
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Over

Game 915-916: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 14.281; San Francisco (Cain) 15.339
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Under

Game 917-918: Texas at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 16.160; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 17.866
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-185); Under

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.628; Toronto (Cecil) 15.020
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+145); Under

Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garcia) 14.502; Boston (Lester) 16.204
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Boston (-300); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-300); Over

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 14.915; Minnesota (Gabino) 15.717
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-160); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-160); Under

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.095; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.277
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-160); Under

Game 927-928: Detroit at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Washburn) 14.073; LA Angels (Lackey) 15.299
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Over

Game 929-930: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 15.239; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.556
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-125); Under
 
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WNBA Basketball Picks
DUNKEL

Sacramento at Atlanta

The Dream look to take advantage of a Sacramento team that is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a winning SU record. Atlanta is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 25
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: Detroit at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 110.656; Connecticut 111.836
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 1; 149 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 4; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+4); Under
Game 653-654: Sacramento at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 111.811; Atlanta 116.980
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 170
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 165 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2 1/2); Over
Game 655-656: Chicago at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 107.891; Los Angeles 117.500
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 9 1/2; 138
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-7); Under
Game 657-658: Washington at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.115; Seattle 115.142
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 8; 139
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 6 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-6 1/2); Under
 
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The Sports Investing Professional - Tuesday

Yesterday's Recap -Day off.

Todays Play(s) - I finally have a new computer so I shouldn't be missing any
more days. Not much today and many of you will think I've lost my mind but
there is only one play today from the most unlikely source. The Washington Nat's
The Nat's can hit. I know the Cubs have Zambrano on the mound but to be
honest there is a reason he has never won more than 14 or 15 games. He's out
of shape and he's a clown. Two bad attributes to have as a pitcher. Make sure you
bet this on ACTION in case Zambrano scratches at the last minute again. I'm
playing 1/2 my bet on ACTION on the money line and 1/2 on the runline

MLB - Washington Nationals +220 [ACTION] 114.00 / 250.00
MLB - Washington Nationals +1.5 +115 Mock / Zambrano 217.00 / 250.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional


Record (37-22) +$4,809
 
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Totals 4 You selections for Tuesday, August 25th


2009 National League Scoreboard-Scorcher of the Year!!!!!
Cincinnati/Milwaukee over 9

Bases Best Bets
Philadelphia/Pittsburgh over 8 1/2
San Diego/Atlanta under 8
Detroit/LA Angels under 8 1/2
Oakland/Seattle over 8
 

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