Service Plays Thursday 6/5/14

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Today's NBA Picks

San Antonio at Oklahoma City

The Spurs open up the championship series at the AT&T Center on Thursday and come into the contest with a 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 home games. San Antonio is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
THURSDAY, JUNE 5
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (6/1)
Game 701-702: Miami at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.830; San Antonio 129.163
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 203
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 198
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3); Over
 
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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 5


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (66 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (74 - 26) - 6/5/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 54-46 ATS (+3.4 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-39 ATS (+4.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 90-69 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, June 5


Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs, 9:00 ET
Miami: MIAMI 11-3 OVER as a # 2 seed in the playoffs
San Antonio: 15-7 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers
 
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NBA

Thursday, June 5


Trend Report

9:00 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Antonio's last 16 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 6/5/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Thursday, 6/5/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________

NBA Finals Betting Statistics
The Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs put on one of the most memorable National Basketball Association Finals in year’s last season and now get to do it all again, meeting for the second straight year in the championship series. StatSystemsSports.net Systems Analyst James Vogel looks back at the most recent NBA Finals rematch and breaks down both sides before these rivals kick off Round #2 Thursday night:

The last NBA Finals rematch was in 1998 when the Utah Jazz met the Chicago Bulls. Avenging Utah went 2-4 straight-up and versus the spread against Chicago (0-3 ATS home/series favorite 1-5 ATS). Jazz’s series loss snapped streak of four consecutive series wins by avenging teams in rematches dating back to 1969 when Celtics last beat the Lakers in back-to-back years, four games to three.

•Previous rematch was in 1989, when avenging Detroit swept the Lakers.
•Avenging teams in rematches are 5-6 in the history of NBA Finals.

Series Trends
• Spurs 21-5 SU and 15-8-1 ATS at home vs. Heat.
• Heat 16-10 SU and 15-11 ATS at home vs. Spurs.

•Spurs 114-67 SU and 96-80-5 ATS in postseason with “Big Three”, including 71-22 SU and 56-34-3 ATS home. Note: Since 2002 when Manu Ginobili joined Tony Parker and Tim Duncan in San Antonio.

•Heat 58-24 SU and 48-32-2 ATS in postseason with their “Big Three”, including 18-5 SU and 16-7 ATS off a playoff loss (12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS last 12).
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National Basketball Association Finals

#701 MIAMI @ #702 SAN ANTONIO
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, ABC - Line: Spurs -4, Total: 198.5) - The San Antonio Spurs wish to atone for last season’s collapse against the Miami Heat when the highly anticipated rematch in the NBA Finals begins on Thursday evening in San Antonio. The Spurs led by five with 28.2 seconds to go in Game #6 of last year’s finals before the Heat rallied to win and then claimed the title with a Game #7 victory. Miami is vying to become the first team to win three straight titles since the Los Angeles Lakers (2000-02).

The finals rematch is the first since the Chicago Bulls defeated the Utah Jazz in back-to-back years in 1997-98. San Antonio defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder in six games in the Western Conference finals while the Heat won the Eastern Conference crown by dispatching of the Indiana Pacers in six games. Spurs point guard Tony Parker is expected to play in the opener despite further injuring an ankle in the series finale against Oklahoma City on Saturday. The Heat are in the finals for the fourth straight season since LeBron James opted to take his talents to South Beach.

•ABOUT THE HEAT (66-31 SU, 47-48-2 ATS): The possibility looms that James will opt for free agency on July 1 and he continues to dodge the topic of whether or not he will stick with Miami. The standout forward is averaging 27.1 points, 6.8 rebounds and five assists in the postseason as the Heat went 12-3 over the first three rounds. What isn’t up for debate is that James badly wants to win another title as he certainly took notice of the comments from Tim Duncan, who insisted San Antonio will win this time around. “They’ve been preparing for this moment – we have as well,” James told reporters. “No one is entitled. This is no one’s championship. It isn’t ours, it isn’t theirs. It’s two teams fighting for it.”

•ABOUT THE SPURS (74-26 SU, 54-46-0 ATS): Parker told a French radio station on Tuesday that he will play in the opener despite the injury that caused him to miss the second half of the finale against the Thunder. Parker suffered the injury in Game #4 of the first-round series against the Dallas Mavericks and tweaked it again in Game #4 of the series against the Thunder before the pain sidelined him. “I gritted my teeth,” Parker told RMC Sport in France. “I did not mean to abandon my teammates. But the pain was too strong in the sixth game. I could not really play anymore.” Parker is averaging 17.2 points and 4.9 assists in the postseason.

•PREGAME NOTES: The Spurs are in the NBA Finals in consecutive seasons for the first time in franchise history.... Miami is the first squad to reach the NBA Finals in four straight seasons since the Boston Celtics (1984-87) and is only the fourth team overall – the Los Angeles Lakers (1982-85) and Boston Celtics (1957-66) being the others.... The teams split two regular-season meetings, each winning by double digits at home.... The Heat are 53-37 against the spread (58.8%) versus teams who attempt 18 or more three-point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... San Antonio is 37-22 versus the spread (62.7%) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game, including 23-12 ATS (65.7%) 2nd half of the season this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 524 times, while MIAMI covered the spread 452 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 618 times, while MIAMI won 357 times. In 1000 simulated games, 529 games went over the total, while 471 games went under the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 505 times, while MIAMI covered the first half line 462 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 484 games went under first half total, while 482 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN ANTONIO is 21-18 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 23-17 straight up against MIAMI since 1996.
--28 of 39 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--SAN ANTONIO is 20-15 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--23 of 38 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
--Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in San Antonio.
--Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.

--Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Heat are 5-1 ATS L6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
--Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 Thursday games.
--Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a S.U. win.

--Spurs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
--Spurs are 7-0 ATS L7 home vs. a team with a winning road record.
--Under is 5-0 in Spurs L5 after allowing 100 points or more LG..

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (MIAMI) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(105-24 since 1996.) (81.4%, +51.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -223.5
The average score in these games was: Team 100.2, Opponent 92 (Average point differential = +8.2)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1, +5.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-4, +9.9 units).
_______________________________
 
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Game of the Day: Heat at Spurs

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (-4.5, 198.5)

The San Antonio Spurs wish to atone for last season’s collapse against the Miami Heat when the highly anticipated rematch in the NBA Finals begins on Thursday in San Antonio. The Spurs led by five with 28.2 seconds to go in Game 6 of last year’s finals before the Heat rallied to win and then claimed the title with a Game 7 victory. Miami is vying to become the first team to win three straight titles since the Los Angeles Lakers (2000-02).

The finals rematch is the first since the Chicago Bulls defeated the Utah Jazz in back-to-back years in 1997-98. San Antonio defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder in six games in the Western Conference finals while the Heat won the Eastern Conference crown by dispatching of the Indiana Pacers in six games. Spurs point guard Tony Parker is expected to play in the opener despite further injuring an ankle in the series finale against Oklahoma City on Saturday. The Heat are in the finals for the fourth straight season since LeBron James opted to take his talents to South Beach.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Spurs as 3.5-point home faves for Game 1. The total opened 198.5.

INJURY REPORT: Spurs - PG Tony Parker (Probable, ankle).

WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "Despite all of the craziness that happened in the Playoffs, we are down to the same two teams in the Finals that squared off a year ago. The big question mark for the Spurs is the health of guard Tony Parker, who sprained his ankle in the series vs. the Thunder. Parker is crucial to the Spurs plans and if he's slowed down, that could spell trouble for San Antonio. Conversely, the Heat's Dwayne Wade has been used sparingly to this point, Miami could very well have an early advantage in this series." Covers Expert Nick Parsons

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "The matchup the Spurs have wanted since they lost the 2013 Finals to the Heat last June. This time around, the Spurs have home-court advantage and are -127 favorites to win. We opened Game 1 with the Spurs -3.5 favorites and quickly moved them to -4, since that move we have seen good two-way action with 63 percent of the action on the Spurs to cover the spread." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

ABOUT THE HEAT: The possibility looms that James will opt for free agency on July 1 and he continues to dodge the topic of whether or not he will stick with Miami. The standout forward is averaging 27.1 points, 6.8 rebounds and five assists in the postseason as the Heat went 12-3 over the first three rounds. What isn’t up for debate is that James badly wants to win another title as he certainly took notice of the comments from Tim Duncan, who insisted San Antonio will win this time around. “They’ve been preparing for this moment – we have as well,” James told reporters. “No one is entitled. This is no one’s championship. It isn’t ours, it isn’t theirs. It’s two teams fighting for it.”

ABOUT THE SPURS: Parker told a French radio station on Tuesday that he will play in the opener despite the injury that caused him to miss the second half of the finale against the Thunder. Parker suffered the injury in Game 4 of the first-round series against the Dallas Mavericks and tweaked it again in Game 4 of the series against the Thunder before the pain sidelined him. “I gritted my teeth,” Parker told RMC Sport in France. “I did not mean to abandon my teammates. But the pain was too strong in the sixth game. I could not really play anymore.” Parker is averaging 17.2 points and 4.9 assists in the postseason.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. Western Conference.
* Under is 4-1 in Spurs last five overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-eight percent of Covers Consensus wagers are on the Spurs.
 
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Home court is cashing tickets for Spurs backers
By ANDREW AVERY

San Antonio Spurs home games have been cashing in of late for bettors and they'll look for that trend to continue in Game 1 of the NBA Finals Thursday evening.

The Spurs enter the opening game of the series with a 7-0 record against the spread in their last seven playoff home games.

After going 0-3 ATS on their own floor versus the Dallas Mavericks in the opening round, the Spurs covered as 7-point home faves in Game 7 and haven't looked back since, going 3-0 ATS against the Portland Trail Blazers and Oklahoma City Thunder in the next two rounds.

With tipoff approaching, the Spurs are currently 4.5-point home faves in Game 1 after opening -3.5.
 

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Inside the Paint- Thursday


For the second straight season, the Spurs and Heat will fight it out for the NBA championship as Miami seeks a third consecutive title. San Antonio hasn’t hoisted the Larry O’Brien trophy since 2007, while trying to erase the memory of blowing a five-point lead in the final 25 seconds of the potential close-out Game #6 of last June’s Finals. This time around, the Spurs own home-court advantage, which they have used to their benefit this postseason.

Since losing to Dallas in Game #2 of the first round, San Antonio has won each of its last eight games played at the AT&T Center, while covering seven straight with each of those victories coming by double-digits. In the Western Conference Finals, the Spurs finished off the Thunder in six games, capped off by an overtime triumph in Saturday’s 112-107 win as 3 ½-point underdogs. In the three home victories over Oklahoma City, the Spurs averaged 117 points per game, but San Antonio has cashed the ‘under’ in six of the past eight games overall.

Betting Notes - Thursday
•Game #1 of the NBA Finals takes place (9:00 PM EST) Thursday from San Antonio and based on betting percentages at Sportsbook.ag, the public is leaning to the Spurs in the opener as four-point favorites. While it’s hard to wager against the Heat on any given night, there are some great trends that could have you leaning to the Spurs in Game #1. In the last 16 openers of the NBA Finals, the home team has gone 13-3 straight up and the majority of these victories haven’t been close with 11 of those 13 wins have been decided by eight points or more. One of the wins by the visitor during this span actually came last year, when San Antonio defeated Miami 92-88 as five-point road underdogs.

This will be the fifth National Basketball Association Finals that San Antonio has owned homecourt advantage. In the previous four series, the Spurs have gone 4-0 in Game #1 and the wins came by 9, 14, 12 and 12 points. It should also be noted that the Spurs are 4-0 in the NBA Finals when they’ve owned homecourt in the series. Another solid trend to watch for Game #1 on Thursday focuses on the total. The last 16 openers have watched the 'under' go 11-4-1 and a few of the ‘over’ tickets were very fortunate to cash.

For Game #1, oddsmakers sent out an ‘over/under’ of 198 ½ points last Saturday and the line has held steady. In the two regular season matchups between the pair, the totals ranged from 205 to 206 points. In last year’s NBA Finals, the totals ranged from 186 to 192 points. Miami has watched the ‘over’ go 11-4 in this year’s playoffs but three of the four ‘under’ winners occurred on the road. San Antonio has also leaned to the ‘over’ (10-8) in the postseason.

Hoop Trends - Thursday
•MIAMI is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) revenging a same season loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 101.2, OPPONENT 90.6.

•SAN ANTONIO is 24-9 UNDER (+14.1 Units) in home games versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 89.8, OPPONENT 80.0.

•MIAMI is 13-29 (-18.9 Units) against the 1rst half line after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 49.2, OPPONENT 47.4.

•SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 50.2, OPPONENT 42.7.

•GREGG POPOVICH is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.
The average score was POPOVICH 99.6, OPPONENT 91.2.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (MIAMI) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG).
(49-13 since 1996.) (79.0%, +29.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -148.1
The average score in these games was: Team 98.4, Opponent 91.5 (Average point differential = +7)

The situation's record this season is: (3-3, -1.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-4, +0.5 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4, +3.5 units).
___________________________________________
 

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Baseball Crusher
Kansas City Royals +109 over St. Louis Cardinals
(System Record: 35-0, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 35-30

Rest of the Plays
Miami Marlins +127 over Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees -150 over Oakland A's
Colorado Rockies -137 over Arizona Dbacks
 

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Basketball Crusher
San Antonio Spurs -180 over Miami Heat
(Playoff Record: system 17-1: overall 17-18-3, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 95-103-8

Rest of the Plays
San Antonio Spurs + Miami Heat OVER 198.5
 

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Soccer Crusher
Ham Kam + FK Haugesund UNDER 3
This match is happening in Norway
(System Record: 584-21, lost last game and a push)
Overall Record: 584-488-85
 

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2Halves2Win NBA:

1.5* GAME: Heat-Spurs o198.5 (-110: Risking 1.55 units to win 1.50 units) - TBD (TBDu)
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
THURSDAY, JUNE 5TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________



***** Thursday, 6/5/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #10
•Umpire Trend Works In Tigers Favor Over Jays: It goes without saying that the man calling balls and strikes has a tremendous influence on the game, but umpire trends can be just as useful as any other statistic when it comes to capping baseball. Case in point: David Rackley will be behind the plate for Thursday's meeting between the Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers. In Rackley's last 26 games, the home team has come out on top 21 times. The Detroit Tigers will try to continue the trend when their three-game series comes to a close against the AL East-leading Blue Jays. The Tigers are currently -160 faves.

•History Shows Reds Own Giants With Leake On Mound: The Cincinnati Reds have been dominating the San Francisco Giants with Mike Leake on the mound, and they'll get a chance to do it again at Great American Ballpark Thursday. The Reds are 5-1 in Leake's last six starts versus the Giants. Madison Bumgarner will counter for San Francisco. Cincy is currently a +112 dog for the NL matchup - a line that could put some cash in the pockets of bettors who are banking on Leake to continue his recent success versus The Orange and Black.

•Tanaka Continues To Cash In For Yanks Bettors: It's safe to say the Masahiro Tanaka experiment has worked so far. The Japanese pitcher has shone in the first two months of his young MLB career, going 8-1 with an ERA of 2.06. New York is 8-1 in his last nine starts. The Yankees have left much to be desired through the first two months of the season, but Tanaka has been the main reason New York is still in contention in the ultra-competitive AL East. The Yankees are currently -163 favorites against the Oakland Athletics to wrap up their three-game series Thursday at Yankees Stadium.

•Trout's Back Inflamed But OK Structurally: Tests showed Wednesday that Angels center fielder Mike Trout has inflammation in his back but no structural damage. Trout left Tuesday night's game against the Houston Astros because of stiffness after missing two weekend games. He did not start Wednesday night against the Astros, but he is hoping to return Thursday. "It's definitely good news," Trout told MLB.com. "I'll see how I feel tomorrow. Maybe I'll go tomorrow." Josh Hamilton started in Trout's place in center on Wednesday. Hamilton returned from the disabled list this week from a thumb injury. The 22-year-old Trout is batting .294 with 11 home runs, 38 RBIs and five stolen bases in 54 games this season.

•Rockies' Gonzalez Moves To DL: The Colorado Rockies placed outfielder Carlos Gonzalez on the 15-day disabled list and released catcher Jordan Pacheco on Wednesday. To fill the spots on the roster, the Rockies promoted outfielder Ryan Wheeler and catcher Michael McKenry from Triple-A Colorado Springs. Gonzalez goes on the DL for the first time this season despite injuring the finger several times previously. He reinjured the left index finger during Tuesday's game against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Gonzalez told reporters that he might need surgery. Doctors informed him that he could have a growth on the finger.

He has missed four games and left three others early this season because of a broken blood vessel that caused swelling. The 28-year-old Gonzalez is batting .255 in 52 games this season, well off his .307 career average. Corey Dickerson will start in Gonzalez's place on Wednesday night against the Diamondbacks. He replaced Gonzales during Tuesday night's game. The Rockies designated Pacheco for assignment, giving them 10 days to trade or release him. If he passes through waivers, he could go to Triple-A. The 28-year-old was batting .236 in 22 games this season.

•Yankees Shuffle Pitchers In Roster Moves: The New York Yankees made several moves with their pitching staff Wednesday. The team added left-hander Wade LeBlanc and right-hander Jose Ramirez to their active roster, designated right-hander Alfredo Aceves for assignment and demoted right-hander Preston Claiborne to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. Ramirez has been impressive for the Triple A team. He has given up just one run in 10 2/3 innings with 13 strikeouts. The Yankees claimed LeBlanc off waivers from the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday. He pitched 6 1/3 innings of relief on Friday evening, allowing four runs on six hits and two walks.
____________________________________________

Betting Notes - Wednesday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Bumgarner is 5-0, 2.31 in his last six starts. Leake has 2.59 RA in his last six.
-- Fister is 3-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- De Grom has a 2.42 RA in four starts, but no wins.

-- Tanaka is 3-1, 1.82 in his last four starts.
-- Happ is 3-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.
-- Peacock is 1-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.

-- Wacha is 2-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Kendrick is 1-2, 4.99 in his last five starts.
-- Wood has an 8.00 RA in his last five starts.
-- Nicasio is 1-2, 5.16 in his last four starts. Arroyo is 0-2, 4.95 in his last three.

-- Pomeranz is 1-1, 6.75 in his last two starts.
-- Verlander is 2-2, 7.92 in his last four starts.
-- Tillman has a 10.13 RA in his last three starts. Lewis is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three outings.
-- Skaggs is 0-2, 6.23 in his last couple starts.

-- Turner is 1-3, 5.56 in his last four starts. Odorizzi is 0-2, 5.79 in his last three outings.
-- Ventura is 0-4, 5.91 in his last four starts.
-- Peralta is 0-4, 3.94 in his last five starts. Correia is 1-3, 5.53 in his last five.

•Totals
-- Seven of last ten Philly games went over the total.
-- Four of last six Giant games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Cub games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last ten Arizona road games stayed under the total.

-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Yankees home games.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games stayed under total.
-- 12 of last 16 Baltimore games went over the total; six of last eight Texas home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Angel games went over the total.

-- Over is 8-0-1 in last nine games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last seven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight St Louis games.

•Hot Teams
-- Giants won ten of their last 13 games. Cincinnati won four of last five.
-- Nationals won four of its last five games.
-- Cubs won five of their last six home games. New York won six of their last nine games, but lost last two.
-- Diamondbacks won four of its last five road games.

-- Blue Jays won 16 of its last 19 games.
-- Athletics won its last five games, scoring 37 runs.
-- Orioles won its last four road games.

-- Marlins won their last three games, allowing five runs.
-- Twins won three of its last four games.

•Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost six of their last seven games.
-- Rockies lost seven of its last eight games.

-- Yankees lost 12 of its last 16 home games.
-- Tigers lost 11 of its last fifteen games.
-- Rangers are 4-11 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Angels lost six of their last nine games; Houston lost three of last four. .

-- Rays lost its last nine games.
-- Brewers lost six of its last nine road games.
-- Royals lost six of their last seven home games. St. Louis lost six of their last eight games overall.

•Umpires Trends
-- Phil-Wsh-- Five of last seven Kulpa games stayed under.
-- SF-Cin-- Home side won eight of last ten Morales games.
-- NY-Chi-- Last seven Fagan games stayed under the total.
-- Az-Col-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Estabrook games.

-- A's-NY-- Five of last seven Hallion games stayed under.
-- Tor-Det-- Underdogs won four of last five Rackley games.
-- Balt-Tex-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven LBarrett games.
-- LA-Hst-- All three Campos games went over the total.

-- TB-Mia-- Six of seven Conroy games went over the total.
-- StL-KC-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Scott games.
-- Mil-Min-- Seven of nine Segal games went over the total.

Diamond Trends - Thursday
•NY METS are 14-4 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 4.6, OPPONENT 3.2.

•OAKLAND is 8-0 UNDER (+8.1 Units) against American League East opponents this season.
The average score was OAKLAND 2.5, OPPONENT 3.5.

•CINCINNATI is 18-5 (+16.4 Units) against the run line versus a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 4.2, OPPONENT 3.1.

•BRONSON ARROYO is 10-2 (+11.8 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .280 or better since 1997.
The average score was ARROYO 5.8, OPPONENT 3.9.

•JUAN NICASIO is 14-2 OVER (+12.1 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NICASIO 7.5, OPPONENT 5.7.

•KYLE KENDRICK is 13-0 (+13.7 Units) against the run line in road games versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game since 1997.
The average score was KENDRICK 7.1, OPPONENT 3.7.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (WASHINGTON) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -National League, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(42-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.0%, +29.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -151.9
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.9)

The situation's record this season is: (4-3, -0.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6, +15.4 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (79-48, +9.6 units).

•Play Against - All teams against a run line of (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -National League, with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season.
(65-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +39.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (46-37 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.3, money line price: -142
The average score in these games was: Team 4, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 43 (51.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (12-3, +7.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (42-13, +23 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (93-55, +9.9 units).

•Play Over - All teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -American League, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(83-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.2%, +45.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 9.1, Money Line=-102.2
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 5.6 (Total runs scored = 11.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 69 (53.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (10-2, +8.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (47-22, +24.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (222-205, +10 units).
___________________________________________
 
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Fact or Fiction
By Mike Rose
VegasInsider

For the second straight season, the San Antonio Spurs and the Miami Heat are set to square off in the NBA Finals. We'll go through what is the truth about this series and what is complete bunk about these two teams with the series starting Thursday night in San Antonio.

FACT

Home court advantage will make all the difference: It's what made the difference last season when these two teams played, so why not now? The Spurs have a ridiculous points per 100 possessions of 122.4 over the course of their last eight games played here at the AT&T Center, and they have scored at least 104 points in all of those games. San Antonio is legitimately perhaps the most dangerous team in basketball when playing in its own arena, and short of the first couple games against the Dallas Mavericks, there isn't a team which has really shown the spunk to be able to go out and win in the Lone Star State against the men in black and silver.

Tony Parker's injury is going to be a difference maker: We're going to talk about the depth of the Spurs in just a second, but here's the one place where we are sure that the Heat can take a massive edge. Mario Chalmers, LeBron James, and Dwyane Wade have averaged 4.2 steals per game in these playoffs, and they are three of the best in the league at stepping in front of passes and taking them the other way for easy transition buckets. If the Spurs are really going to be missing Parker, even if it's just for a few extra minutes on a nightly basis in this series, Miami should be able to take advantage, as Manu Ginobili, Cory Joseph, and Patty Mills just don't make up a great distributing point guard trio beyond Parker.

FICTION

The Heat are fine without Mike Miller: When you really look at these two teams, part of the reason why they are here once again is because they have basically the same rosters that they did a year ago. However, the Spurs have added an assassin from long range in Marco Belinelli, while Miami has lost one of its top guns in Miller. Just go back to that three-point play for the Heat in Game 6. Part of the reason why Ray Allen had the opportunity for a respectable look from downtown is because Tim Duncan wasn't on the court. He really didn't have anyone to guard with Miller out there as well at the de facto power forward position with James at the center spot. Now with Miller gone to Memphis, who is Miami going to put out there in that spot? Norris Cole? It's not nearly going to be good enough if this series plays out exactly as it did last season.

Age has caught up to the Spurs: Though we do believe that this is the end of the road for 37-year old Tim Duncan, we definitely challenge the thought that this team is too old to be effective. Sure, the Duncan/Parker/Ginobili troika has 103 years on this earth between them, but when you look up and down the lineup aside from that, there isn't much in the way of 30-somethings. Head Coach Gregg Popovich has done a fantastic job of limiting the minutes which all of his vets have played this year, and that has kept them fresh for this run in the playoffs. Meanwhile, there really is nothing but 30-somethings on the Heat right now (ok, James and Bosh are both 29), and that really shows that the window of opportunity is closing on this team without making another splash in free agency. If depth wins this series (and we think that it will), the Spurs are going to be the Larry O'Brien Trophy holders in another two weeks.
 
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Fearless Prediction
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider

San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat

Tony Parker's health will be the major variable over the next few weeks. If he's able to be his normal self, the Spurs have the firepower to reverse the 2013 Finals result. Seconds away from a six-game series win, a missed defensive rebound led to Ray Allen's heroic 3-pointer that forced OT and eventually, broke San Antonio's collective heart. That pain has been the driving force behind repeating as Western Conference champs, securing homecourt that should serve them well as the Finals return to a 2-2-1-1-1 format for the first time since 1984. The first two games work out beautifully for the Spurs since they begin on home soil and feature a 2-day break in between. If Parker can get loose enough to help San Antonio take advantage, it could capitalize on the Miami requiring an adjustment period against the best offensive team its seen in months. Kawhi Leonard will need to make LeBron James work for everything he gets, getting help from Danny Green and everyone else Gregg Popovich throws at him. It won't be easy, but Tim Duncan looks focused and prepared to right last year's wrong by exploiting the Heat's lack of size inside to collect a fifth championship.

Prediction: Spurs win 4-3
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | MIAMI at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Road underdogs (MIAMI) in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game
45-18 since 1997. ( 71.4% | 25.2 units )

NBA | MIAMI at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MIAMI) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points
83-32 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.2% | 38.1 units )
11-6 this year. ( 64.7% | 2.8 units )

NBA | MIAMI at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws, slow-down team averaging 76 or less shots/game on the season
132-74 since 1997. ( 64.1% | 50.6 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )
 
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NBA playoffs

NBA Finals start Thursday night in San Antonio

Over is 48-36 in playoffs this season, 6-6 in this round..
Favorites are 34-50 in playoffs this season, 10-2 in this round.
 
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Today's MLB Picks

NY Mets at Chicago Cubs

The Mets play the finale of their series against a Cubs team that is 1-5 in Travis Wood's last 6 starts as a favorite. New York is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, JUNE 5
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: San Francisco at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.898; Cincinnati (Leake) 13.477
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Under
Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Washington (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.319; Washington (Fister) 14.457
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+165); Over
Game 905-906: NY Mets at Chicago Cubs (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (de Grom) 15.829; Cubs (Wood) 13.180
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); N/A
Game 907-908: Arizona at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Arroyo) 14.594; Colorado (Nicasio) 16.205
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-150); Over
Game 909-910: Oakland at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Pomeranz) 17.444; NY Yankees (Tanaka) 15.351
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+145); Under
Game 911-912: Toronto at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 15.074; Detroit (Verlander) 16.111
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170); Over
Game 913-914: LA Angels at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Skaggs) 16.239; Houston (Peacock) 14.821
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under
Game 915-916: Baltimore at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 17.716; Texas (Lewis) 14.511
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+100); Over
Game 917-918: Miami at Tampa Bay (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 15.801; Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 13.669
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+130); Over
Game 919-920: St. Louis at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 18.680; Kansas City (Ventura) 17.166
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under
Game 921-922: Milwaukee at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.923; Minnesota (Correia) 16.378
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over
 

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