Service Plays Thursday 6/16/16

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASI

Tennis
pj (91-83 +.37)
6/16 (released 6/15)
wta - mallorca open @ mallorca, spain
v cepede royg +155 l siegemund

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve's Golf Picks (US OPEN)

Brooks Koepka 40/1 - Brooks posted another runner up yesterday and now will enter his 4th career US Open on the heels of back to back 2nd’s. The FSU Product is extremely long off the tee (11th on Tour) and that helps him hit plenty of Greens in Regulation (67.87%). Not only is Brooks long but he is known as a guy with a good short game (39th in Sand Save % and 37th in Strokes Gained through Putting). People may think that the US Open will be too big of a jump for a guy like Koepka but they are completely wrong. He has now placed in the Top 18 in each of his two US Open’s, and Top 33 in his last 6 majors. He has played very well on challenging courses throughout his career, and should really enjoy this week.

Justin Rose 24/1 - Rosey returns from a minor back injury this week. He said he took extra time because he wanted to be 100% for the US Open. We had Justin three years ago when he claimed the US Open (Merion), and his game fits this event perfectly. Justin is long enough off the tee (19th on Tour) which helps him hit the 5th most Greens in Regulation. Rosey is the 3rd best Sand player on the PGA Tour and has proven his ability to putt well on hard greens throughout his career (has finished in the Top 33 in 15 of his last 17 majors, including 9 Top 14’s). Rose has finished inside the Top 27 in each of his last 4 US Opens (includes his win), and finished T10 the last time the event was held at Oakmont in 2007.

Hideki Matsuyama 32/1 - With Hideki I do not need to go into much detail about why we are selecting him. He is one of the worlds most accurate players (6th in Strokes Gained Tee to Green) and has finished inside the Top 18 in 4 of his last 5 majors. He has finished inside the Top 11 in 4 of his last 5 stroke play tournaments. He is ready for his first major win.

Matt Kuchar 40/1 - Speaking of ready for his first major win, Matt Kuchar is far too talented to not have won a major (speaks volumes to how difficult it is). He has finished inside the Top 28 in each of his last 6 US Open starts and that is mainly thanks to his very accurate game (and solid putting). He is also one of the most mental sound players on Tour, which I feel will really bode well for him at Oakmont. Possibly the biggest thing Kuchar has going for him is that he enters playing incredible golf. The Georgia Tech Alum has finished inside the Top 6 in each of his last 4 tournaments.

Webb Simpson 125/1 - Many people forget that Webb in a United States Open Champion (2012) (not sure how anyone could forget that trophy ceremony but they do). His worst finish in his 5 US Open starts is T46 and this has been by far his best major event. Simpson has found his game in recent weeks placing inside the Top 11 in each of his last two tournaments (A 3rd at the Dean/Deluca in there). Simpson ranks 18th in Strokes Gained Approach-the-Green, 22nd in Strokes Gained Around-the-Green, and 20th in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green. Simpson is the perfect example of why I dont want to focus too much on Putting Stats this week because he has shown over the years that he loves difficult courses and their greens, yet his stats this year are terrible with the flat stick. He is a grinder though and that is what we want this week. I hope we get to hear the guy making bird calls in Webb Simpson;s second US Open trophy ceremony.

Lee Westwood 95/1 - Westwood is the guy who can't seem to win a major. We are taking him this week though! He enters playing great and I really like his game for this course. Westy has Top 15’s in each of his last 4 starts and has really been hitting his irons great. He is known as one of the best iron players in the world and I feel that is exactly what will vault him into contention this week. He is long enough that he can throttle down on some holes this week, another thing that will help. Westy has finished in the Top 23 in 6 of his last 8 US Opens. His short game has been his question mark but I love the way he is playing and I really think his iron game is going to carry him.

Head to Head

2.5 Units on Matt Kuchar (-125) over Bubba Watson
2.5 Units on Webb Simpson (-115) over Shane Lowry

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Fezzik | NBA Sides Thu, 06/16/16 - 9:00 PM
double-dime bet 511 GSW 2.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 512 CLE
Analysis: WHAT IN THE WORLD IS GOING ON HERE?? Draymond Green is worth 3 points to the line. Golden state was in a bad spot game 5, off a blowout win, without green, and they were laying 6 points. NOW, they get Green back (who is worth AT LEAST 3 points!) they are in a GREAT spot off a blowout win, and in fact are in a VERY similar spot to game 4 where they dominated the Cavs in the 2nd half. WE FIRE on THIS RECORD SETTING 73 win team, to close this series out in 6, amazingly GETTING 2.5 points!

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Cleveland Cavaliers -135 over Golden State Warriors
(System Record: 102-7, lost last game)
Overall Record: 102-112-5

Rest of the Plays
none

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 over Boston Red Sox
(System Record: 42-1, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 42-29

Rest of the Plays
Texas Rangers -115 over Oakland A's
Cincinnati Reds -112 over Atlanta Braves
Minnesota Twins + New York Yankees OVER 8.5

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Fluminense + Corinthians SP OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 972-29, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 972-750-155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND
Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog
32-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.2% | 21.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more
33-4 over the last 5 seasons. ( 89.2% | 25.7 units )
9-3 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.1 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 very good shooting team - shooting >=48% on the season
197-118 since 1997. ( 62.5% | 67.2 units )
14-9 this year. ( 60.9% | 4.1 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | NEW YORK at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )

WNBA | NEW YORK at CONNECTICUT
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, in May, June, or July games
176-59 since 1997. ( 74.9% | 0.0 units )
13-3 this year. ( 81.3% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | NEW YORK at CONNECTICUT
Play Against - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (CONNECTICUT) terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game
86-44 since 1997. ( 66.2% | 37.6 units )
5-1 this year. ( 83.3% | 3.9 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | DETROIT at KANSAS CITY
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (DETROIT) with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts
30-19 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.2% | 25.0 units )
4-6 this year. ( 40.0% | -1.3 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TEXAS at OAKLAND
TEXAS is 63-52 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in Road games in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.2)

 

[Yankees5560]

Essler

3*

kc ml

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Indians on Wednesday and likes the Warriors on Thursday.

The deficit is 159 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo streaking no more

The Lovable Losers from Chicago failed to hold on to leads in the ninth and 12th innings Wednesday against the Nationals, which ended Hondo’s winning streak at seven and reduced his earnings to 761 turleys.

Thursday night: Mr. Aitch expects the Yankees to push him into four figures — 20 units on CC. Also, 10 units on Dustin Johnson, at 12-1, to break his major maiden this weekend at Oakmont.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Blue Ribbon Thursday:

Warriors + 2 1/2

Yankees w/ Sabathia -130

 

[Player101]

John Ryan
25* Golden State

 

[Player101]

Dr. Bob Sports
2* on Golden State Warriors

Strong Opinion on the Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen nover

3* golden. St +2.5

2* Milwaukee. Over 7.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Handicapper king June 16

NBA
CLEVELAND -2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

King creole

3* game of week

Golden st / Cleveland. Under. 208

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Greg shaker

3* Tampa bay - ml