Service Plays Thursday 5/15/14

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Thunder at Clippers

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5, 211.5)

Oklahoma City and Los Angeles have traded epic comeback victories and the end result is that the Thunder have a chance to sew up the Western Conference semifinals when they visit the Clippers on Thursday. Oklahoma City saw a 16-point fourth-quarter lead evaporate in Game 4 before falling and then rebounded from a 13-point deficit over the final four minutes to rally for a win on Tuesday. Russell Westbrook hit three late free throws to cap a 38-point effort that gave the Thunder a 3-2 lead.

Clippers coach Doc Rivers sharply criticized the officiating crew over a ruling in which Oklahoma City retained possession of the ball prior to the game-winning sequence but also was aware his team collapsed while allowing the final eight points of the 105-104 defeat. “They made a horrendous call,” Rivers told reporters. “But at the end of the day, we created the situation. We put them in the situation by the turnovers, the bad fouls, the non-fouls. We did a lot ourselves to not win the game.” Thunder star Kevin Durant suffered through a 6-of-22 shooting performance despite finishing with 27 points and 10 rebounds.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Clippers as 4.5-point home faves for this matchup. The total opened 212, but has since dropped to 211.5.

INJURY REPORT: Clippers F Hedo Turkoglu (Questionable, back).

WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "The Clippers started strong in Game 5 as they had momentum from their big comeback victory in Game 4, but Los Angeles blew a 13-point lead in the final four minutes of the game for a heart-breaking loss. Chris Paul was particularly bad in the final minutes, so it will be interesting to see if he rebounds at home in Game 6." Covers Expert Steve Merril.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Westbrook stepped up with his highest scoring game of the postseason with league MVP Durant struggling so mightily. He is averaging 29.6 points and 8.2 assists in the series and his decision-making on the type of shots he takes has been solid. Westbrook said Durant encouraged him to take control in Game 5 and coach Scott Brooks raved about his point guard’s performance. “He’s fierce, he’s fearless and he’s a winner,” Brooks told reporters. “There’s nothing else you can say other than those three things. That’s who he is. The guy competes for his team every single night.”

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Typically one of the league’s most reliable players, point guard Chris Paul was the goat of Game 5 after committing two late turnovers – one in which he didn’t get up a possible game-winning shot in the final seconds – and fouling Westbrook with 6.4 seconds left on a 3-point attempt. Paul referred to the conclusion as the “toughest thing I’ve been through basketball-wise” and took responsibility in the postgame session with reporters. “Everything that happened there at the end is on me,” Paul said. “The turnover with 17 seconds left, assuming they were going to foul, was probably the dumbest play I’ve ever made. To even put it in the official’s hand to call a foul on a 3 – it’s just bad basketball.”

TRENDS:

* Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games.
* Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a ATS win.
* Over is 7-1 in Clippers last eight home games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 60 percent of Covers Consensus wagers are coming in on the Thunder.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Reds, Padres rained out, will play two Thursday
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

CINCINNATI -- Wednesday night's scheduled game between the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park was postponed due to rain. There also was severe weather in the area with an active tornado watch.

The postponed game will be made up as part of a day-night doubleheader Thursday.

"The consistent message was that the light rain was going to stay for at least another four hours and then it could be heavier," Reds manager Bryan Price said. "We didn't want to wait four hours to play two innings. There was never a window in which to play even six or seven innings."

With no reasonable option for the teams to make up the game later in the season, the clubs decided to play a day-night doubleheader Thursday with the first game set for 12:35 p.m. EDT followed by the nightcap at 6:10 p.m. EDT.

The weather forecast is more favorable for Thursday, with showers expected to end in the morning and a below-average temperature around 60.

The Padres announced Thursday's starting pitchers to be right-hander Ian Kennedy (2-3, 3.12 ERA) in the first game and right-hander Tyson Ross (4-3, 3.02 ERA) in the nightcap.

Right-hander Johnny Cueto (3-2, 1.43 ERA) will start the first game for Cincinnati, but the Reds' starter for Game 2 was yet to be determined.

"There are certain protocols we need to follow before we can make an announcement," said Price, adding that right-hander Alfredo Simon could start the second game but his preference was to add a pitcher from the minors to start the nightcap.

Price said he would rather have Simon pitch the following day against the Phillies in Philadelphia. Simon (4-2, 2.89 ERA) had planned to start Thursday's regularly scheduled series finale against San Diego.

NOTES: There have been eight rain delays already this season at Great American Ball Park totaling 11 hours and 12 minutes. Thursday marked the ninth postponement in the park's 12-year history, including two this year. ... The Padres reinstated RHP Dale Thayer from the paternity list and optioned RHP Kevin Quackenbush to Triple-A El Paso. Thayer and his wife welcomed their fourth child Monday. ... Major League Baseball announced a scoring change, changing a hit by Nationals OF Jayson Werth on April 26 to an error. The switch lowered Padres RHP Andrew Cashner's ERA from 2.67 to 2.35. ... Reds LHP Tony Cingrani, on the disabled list due to shoulder tendinitis, threw a side session Wednesday and is on track to return to start a game on the upcoming road trip.

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 5/15/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Thursday, 5/15/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
____________________________________________________

NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
After blowing a 16-point fourth-quarter lead in their Game #4 loss, the Oklahoma City Thunder overcame a 13-point fourth quarter deficit to defeat the Los Angeles Clippers and take a 3-2 lead in their best-of-seven series on Tuesday. It is the first time that each team won a game after trailing by 13 or more points in the fourth quarter in a single playoff series since Dallas and San Antonio both did it during their Western Conference finals matchup in 2003 (Dallas won Game #1 in that fashion and San Antonio returned the favor in Game #6).

How rare is it for a team to relinquish a 13-point fourth-quarter lead? Prior to the date of the Clippers' fourth-quarter comeback in Game #4, 459 teams had held a 13-point fourth quarter lead over the past 10 playoff seasons combined (since 2005). Of those teams, 445 went on to win the game (96.9 percent), but it has now happened in consecutive games in the Clippers-Thunder series.

Russell Westbrook scored 23 of his 38 points in the second half, including the go-ahead free throws with less than 7 seconds left. On a night when Kevin Durant couldn't find his shot (6-of-22 FGs), his much-maligned sidekick willed his way to the rim and put his team on his back.

There were several controversial plays in the final 11 seconds alone. Reggie Jackson losing the ball out of bounds and OKC getting the ball back sticks out, but Chris Paul's phantom foul on Westbrook's 3-pointer and the non-call on the final play also were contentious.

The Clippers committed 28 fouls compared to just 21 by the Thunder. That led to a big disparity in free throw attempts (36 for OKC, 20 for L.A.), which kept the Thunder in the game despite shooting so poorly (42.9 percent). The Clippers need to do a better job of corralling the Thunder's pick-and-roll attack and limiting penetration.

One stat has told the story of the Indiana Pacers-Washington Wizards playoff series: the plus-minus of Indiana's starting five. After getting outscored by eight points in just 12 minutes in Game #1 (when Roy Hibbert was sent to the bench early), the Pacers' starters were plus-45 in 87 minutes in Games 2-4 -- all Indiana wins. That inexplicably changed in Tuesday's Game #5, when Indiana's starting five was an incredible minus-21 in 20 minutes. (All other lineups were minus-2 in 28 minutes.) To close out the series Thursday, the Pacers' starters will have to find their missing chemistry again.

Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#741 INDIANA @ #742 WASHINGTON
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Wizards -4.5, Total: 181) - The Washington Wizards emphatically announced that they had no intention of bowing out quietly in the Eastern Conference semifinals. The Wizards will attempt to keep the series going and put together a second straight dominating performance when they host the Indiana Pacers in Game #6 on Thursday evening. Marcin Gortat struggled through Games #3 and #4 but put up postseason career highs of 31 points and 16 rebounds as Washington controlled the inside in Game #5.

Gortat (16) had more rebounds than the entire Pacers team (15) at the end of the third quarter in Game #5 and the Wizards ended up with a 62-23 advantage on the glass. Indiana center Roy Hibbert, who came alive in three straight wins after being non-existent in the first eight games of the postseason, battled foul trouble in Game #5 and was no match for an aggressive Gortat. “We didn’t show up to play, man,” Pacers forward David West told reporters. “I don’t know if we thought we were going to come in here and these guys were going to roll over but they’re a very good team.”

•ABOUT THE PACERS (63-31 SU, 44-49-1 ATS): Indiana certainly won’t be intimidated by the surroundings in Game #6 after taking Games #3 and #4 in Washington to gain control of the series. The Pacers suffered a big letdown on the interior in their return home and could not match the intensity of the Wizards in the elimination game. “We’ve got to play with the desperation they played with (on Tuesday),” Paul George told reporters. I knew they were going to bring it, we just didn’t match what they brought.” Coach Frank Vogel was ready to quickly turn the page. “We’re still up 3-2,” Vogel said. “It’s one loss whether you lose by 20-something or you lose by one. It’s one loss. We got to go back and respond in Game #6.”

•ABOUT THE WIZARDS (50-42 SU, 50-41-1 ATS): Gortat’s 13-of-15 performance from the field came as a big surprise after he totaled six points in the previous two games. “I was glad I was able to help my team this time,” Gortat told reporters. “I told them I want to contribute. I was an offensive decoy in Games #3 and #4. Now it was my turn to perform.” The “Polish Hammer” got plenty of help from John Wall, who buried three 3-pointers and scored 17 of his 27 points in the third quarter as Washington took control. “The pressure’s still on us,” Wall said. “It’s one game and you’re out.”

•PREGAME NOTES: The Pacers’ 23 rebounds were the fewest in a playoff game in franchise history.... Washington is 1-3 at home in the playoffs.... Indiana is 6-0 all-time in series in which it held a 3-1 lead.... The Wizards are 17-38 versus the spread (30.9%) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season since 1996.... The Pacers are 2-14 against the spread (12.5%) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the spread 555 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 445 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON won the game straight up 663 times, while INDIANA won 305 times. In 1000 simulated games, 495 games went over the total, while 479 games went under the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the first half line 527 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 473 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 495 games went over first half total, while 471 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANA is 36-31 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 1996.
--INDIANA is 46-24 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1996.
--36 of 69 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--WASHINGTON is 37-31 versus the first half line when playing against INDIANA since 1996.
--36 of 69 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
--Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
--Under is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
--Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games following a S.U. loss.

--Wizards are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
--Wizards are 4-0 ATS L4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
--Wizards are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more LG.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Any team versus the money line (INDIANA) - an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more.
(30-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.9%, +28.6 units. Rating = 6*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +103.5
The average score in these games was: Team 100.1, Opponent 92.9 (Average point differential = +7.2)

The situation's record this season is: (8-0, +8.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2, +16.9 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (76-29, +32.4 units).
_______________________________

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Western Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#743 OKLAHOMA CITY @ #744 LA CLIPPERS
(TV: 10:30 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Clippers -4.5, Total: 212) - Oklahoma City and Los Angeles have traded epic comeback victories and the end result is that the Thunder have a chance to sew up the Western Conference semifinals when they visit the Clippers on Thursday night. Oklahoma City saw a 16-point fourth-quarter lead evaporate in Game #4 before falling and then rebounded from a 13-point deficit over the final four minutes to rally for a win on Tuesday. Russell Westbrook hit three late free throws to cap a 38-point effort that gave the Thunder a 3-2 lead.

Clippers coach Doc Rivers sharply criticized the officiating crew over a ruling in which Oklahoma City retained possession of the ball prior to the game-winning sequence but also was aware his team collapsed while allowing the final eight points of the 105-104 defeat. “They made a horrendous call,” Rivers told reporters. “But at the end of the day, we created the situation. We put them in the situation by the turnovers, the bad fouls, the non-fouls. We did a lot ourselves to not win the game.” Thunder star Kevin Durant suffered through a 6-of-22 shooting performance despite finishing with 27 points and 10 rebounds.

•ABOUT THE THUNDER (66-28 SU, 49-42-3 ATS): Westbrook stepped up with his highest scoring game of the postseason with league MVP Durant struggling so mightily. He is averaging 29.6 points and 8.2 assists in the series and his decision-making on the type of shots he takes has been solid. Westbrook said Durant encouraged him to take control in Game #5 and coach Scott Brooks raved about his point guard’s performance. “He’s fierce, he’s fearless and he’s a winner,” Brooks told reporters. “There’s nothing else you can say other than those three things. That’s who he is. The guy competes for his team every single night.”

•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (63-31 SU, 50-43-1 ATS): Typically one of the league’s most reliable players, point guard Chris Paul was the goat of Game #5 after committing two late turnovers – one in which he didn’t get up a possible game-winning shot in the final seconds – and fouling Westbrook with 6.4 seconds left on a 3-point attempt. Paul referred to the conclusion as the “toughest thing I’ve been through basketball-wise” and took responsibility in the postgame session with reporters. “Everything that happened there at the end is on me,” Paul said. “The turnover with 17 seconds left, assuming they were going to foul, was probably the dumbest play I’ve ever made. To even put it in the official’s hand to call a foul on a 3 – it’s just bad basketball.”

•PREGAME NOTES: Oklahoma City scored 23 points off 17 Los Angeles turnovers in Game #5.... Clippers PF Blake Griffin (24 points, 17 rebounds) posted his first double-double of the playoffs on Tuesday.... Thunder F Caron Butler is just 9-of-32 shooting in the series.... The Thunder are 12-2 against the spread (85.7%) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season.... Los Angeles is 14-27 versus the spread (34.1%) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY covered the spread 571 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the spread 429 times. *EDGE against the spread =OKLAHOMA CITY. In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS won the game straight up 527 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY won 451 times. In 1000 simulated games, 501 games went under the total, while 479 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY covered the first half line 551 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the first half line 449 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 528 games went under first half total, while 435 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LA CLIPPERS is 36-35 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-26 straight up against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--39 of 71 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-33 versus the first half line when playing against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--36 of 69 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.
--Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS L4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
--Clippers are 1-6 ATS L7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
--Over is 7-1 in Clippers last 8 home games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Any team (LA CLIPPERS) - an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's), off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(78-40 since 1996.) (66.1%, +34.4 units. Rating = 2*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (77-47)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.1
The average score in these games was: Team 97, Opponent 93.1 (Average point differential = +3.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 42 (35% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-8).
_______________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Miami at San Francisco

The Marlins head to San Francisco tonight to open up a series against a Giants team that is 1-10 in Matt Cain's last 11 starts as a home favorite. Miami is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Marlins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 15 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: San Diego at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 14.719; Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.322 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-170); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-170); Under

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 15.402; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.869 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 8 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+135); Over

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hammel) 13.747; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.900 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under

Game 957-958: Miami at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 15.550; San Francisco (Cain) 14.468 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over

Game 959-960: Boston at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 14.867; Minnesota (Hughes) 15.760 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over

Game 961-962: Cleveland at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 15.089; Toronto (Happ) 16.731 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under

Game 963-964: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.868; San Francisco (Ventura) 17.377 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 7 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Under

Game 965-966: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Bedard) 15.253; LA Angels (Skaggs) 14.862 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-155); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+135); Over

Game 967-968: NY Mets at NY Yankees (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Whitley) 13.536; NY Yankees (deGrom) 15.002 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-130); Under

Game 969-970: San Diego at Cincinnati (6:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ross) 15.404; Cincinnati (Francis) 14.622 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Pacers +5
Clippers -5
Padres +126

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Oklahoma City at LA Clippers

The Thunder head to LA tonight for Game 6 where they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus the Clippers. Oklahoma City is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 15 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 741-742: Indiana at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 120.321; Washington 122.007 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 5; 180 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+5); Over

Game 743-744: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.367; LA Clippers 126.601 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1; 207 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 211 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play Thurs SF Giants -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Thursday

Brewers -150

Giants -140

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the A’s on Wednesday and likes the Mets on Thursday.

The deficit is 384 sirignanos.

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Boston Red Sox -124 over Minnesota Twins
(System Record: 26-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 26-18

Rest of the Plays
Toronto Blue Jays + Cleveland Indians OVER 9.5
Miami Marlins +122 over San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers -145 over Pittsburgh Pirates

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Los Angeles Clippers + Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 212
(Playoff Record: 12-10-3, won last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 90-95-8

Rest of the Plays
Washington Wizards -4.5 over Indiana
Oklahoma City Thunder +5 over LA Clippers
Washington Wizards + Indiana Pacers UNDER 180.5

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Lokeren + Standard Liege OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 571-21, won last 6 games)
Overall Record: 571-481-84

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Thursday, May 15

Very seldom any basketball team gets outrebounded 62-23, but Pacers did in Game 5 and at home- they won both series games here, by 22-3 points. Wizards scored 102 points in both their series wins, 82-63-92 in three losses. Wall was 11-20 from floor last game, after being in scoring funk before that. Washington lost three of its four home playoff games. Pacers won four of five road playoff games. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Clippers blew 7-point lead in last minute Tuesday, took bitter loss with officiating and ball security both under par. LA is 4-2 at home so far in playoffs. Oklahoma City is 3-2 on road in playoffs; they covered five of last seven games overall. Three of last four series games stayed under; underdogs covered four of five in series, with last two decided by total of three points. Clipper bench was 11-31 last game; need more than that. Five of Clippers' six playoff home games went over total.

Over is 42-28 in playoffs this season, 11-9 in this round.
Favorites are 24-46 in playoffs this season, 8-12 in this round.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pacers at Wizards: What bettors need to know

Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards (-4.5, 180)

The Washington Wizards emphatically announced that they had no intention of bowing out quietly in the Eastern Conference semifinals. The Wizards will attempt to keep the series going and put together a second straight dominating performance when they host the Indiana Pacers in Game 6 on Thursday. Marcin Gortat struggled through Games 3 and 4 but put up postseason career highs of 31 points and 16 rebounds as Washington controlled the inside in Game 5.

Gortat (16) had more rebounds than the entire Pacers team (15) at the end of the third quarter in Game 5 and the Wizards ended up with a 62-23 advantage on the glass. Indiana center Roy Hibbert, who came alive in three straight wins after being non-existent in the first eight games of the postseason, battled foul trouble in Game 5 and was no match for an aggressive Gortat. “We didn’t show up to play, man,” Pacers forward David West told reporters. “I don’t know if we thought we were going to come in here and these guys were going to roll over but they’re a very good team.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana certainly won’t be intimidated by the surroundings in Game 6 after taking Games 3 and 4 in Washington to gain control of the series. The Pacers suffered a big letdown on the interior in their return home and could not match the intensity of the Wizards in the elimination game. “We’ve got to play with the desperation they played with (on Tuesday),” Paul George told reporters. I knew they were going to bring it, we just didn’t mach what they brought.” Coach Frank Vogel was ready to quickly turn the page. “We’re still up 3-2,” Vogel said. “It’s one loss whether you lose by 20-something or you lose by one. It’s one loss. We got to go back and respond in Game 6.”

ABOUT THE WIZARDS: Gortat’s 13-of-15 performance from the field came as a big surprise after he totaled six points in the previous two games. “I was glad I was able to help my team this time,” Gortat told reporters. “I told them I want to contribute. I was an offensive decoy in Games 3 and 4. Now it was my turn to perform.” The “Polish Hammer” got plenty of help from John Wall, who buried three 3-pointers and scored 17 of his 27 points in the third quarter as Washington took control. “The pressure’s still on us,” Wall said. “It’s one game and you’re out.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
* Over is 4-1 in Wizards last five home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Pacers’ 23 rebounds were the fewest in a playoff game in franchise history.

2. Washington is 1-3 at home in the playoffs.

3. Indiana is 6-0 all-time in series in which it held a 3-1 lead.

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
THURSDAY, MAY 15th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Thursday, 5/15/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #7
•Road Teams Dominate In Wednesday's Games: Two games were postponed due to bad weather, but in 10 of the remaining 13 games, the away team was victorious Wednesday. That clip is good enough for a winning percentage just under 77 percent. The away favorite had a productive day as well, going 5-1 in those six spots. Thursday sees a relatively light schedule in baseball, with one away fave on the board. The Boston Red Sox are currently -127 faves at the Minnesota Twins Thursday afternoon.

•Little-Known Whitley Joins Yankees' Rotation: Asked Wednesday to provide a scouting report on Chase Whitley, the right-handed pitcher who will make his major league debut when he takes the mound for the New York Yankees against the New York Mets in Thursday night's Subway Series finale, Yankees manager Joe Girardi began by repeating Whitley's name, as if he were trying to become acquainted with the 24-year-old himself. Nobody could blame Girardi if he were only slightly more familiar with Whitley than the rest of the world.

Whitley was not ranked among Baseball America's top 10 Yankees prospects prior to this season, nor was he listed among the magazine's top 15 Yankees prospects under the age of 25. Girardi said he spoke frequently to Whitley during spring training but admitted he is in mostly unchartered waters when it comes to sending an unknown quantity to the mound. "As a pitcher, I don't think it's happened too much since I've been here," Girardi said Wednesday before the Yankees beat the Mets 4-0. "But I've seen his stuff, and he'll be able to compete."

Whitley struggled in spring training, going 1-2 and allowing seven runs and 12 baserunners in 4 2/3 innings over six relief appearances. However, he thrived after being converted to a starter at Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, where he was 3-2 with a 2.39 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings over seven appearances (six starts). He was particularly impressive in his last two starts, during which he struck out 11 over 7 2/3 shutout innings. Whitley was limited to one inning Monday night in anticipation of the Yankees recalling him to start in place of left-hander CC Sabathia, who was placed on the 15-day disabled list Sunday due to a sore right knee.

•Brewers' Gomez Drops Suspension Appeal: On the day he appeared on the cover of Sports Illustrated magazine, Carlos Gomez dropped his appeal of a three-game suspension levied for his role in a bench-clearing brawl last month at Pittsburgh. The center fielder told his side of the story during a teleconference with MLB officials last Friday but had not heard a decision as of Wednesday afternoon.

He was not in the lineup Wednesday due to tightness in his back that forced him to leave the Brewers' game Tuesday against the Pirates after six innings. Speaking to the media before the game, neither Gomez or manager Ron Roenicke suggested that the appeal would be dropped. Gomez will be eligible to return Saturday, when the Brewers face the Cubs in the second of a three-game series at Wrigley Field. The team's leadoff hitter this season, Gomez was hitting .290 with nine home runs and 21 RBI. He started all 39 games this season and is fourth in the National League with 21 extra base hits.

Betting Notes - Thursday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Cueto is 3-2, 1.43 in eight starts this year. Kennedy is 1-1, 2.16 in his last four starts. Ross is 2-0, 3.72 in his last three starts.
-- Hammel is 2-0, 2.00 in his last four starts.
-- Eovaldi is 1-1, 2.52 in his last four starts.
-- Hughes is 4-0, 2.39 in his last four starts.
-- Ventura is 1-0, 2.13 in his last four starts. WChen is 4-1, 3.82 in his last six.
-- Bedard is 2-0, 1.06 in his last three starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Simon is 0-1, 7.20 in his last couple starts.
-- Gallardo is 0-2, 5.60 in his last three starts. Rodriguez comes off DL here; he is 0-2, 7.65 in four starts.
-- Wacha is 0-3, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Cain is 0-3, 4.75 in six starts this season.

-- Buchholz is 2-2, 7.20 in his last four starts.
-- Salazar is 1-3, 6.97 in his last six starts. Happ is 0-1, 4.91 in two starts.
-- Skaggs has a 5.58 in his last five starts, but Angels are 5-1 when he starts.

-- DeGrom/Whitley are both making MLB debuts; DeGrom was 4-0, 2.58 in seven AAA starts. Whitley was 3-2, 2.39 in six AAA starts.

•Totals
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Milwaukee games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen St Louis home games.
-- Last five Miami games went over the total.

-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Cleveland road games.
-- Three of last four Boston games went over.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Kansas City games.
-- Over is 11-5-1 in Angel home games.

-- Four of Mets' last five games went over the total.

•Hot Teams
-- Padres won their last four games.
-- Brewers won three of its last four games.
-- Giants won 15 of their last 20 games.

-- Indians won six of its last eight games.
-- Angels won nine of their last thirteen games. Tampa Bay won six of its last eight road games.
-- Royals won four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last ten games.

-- Mets won three of their last four games.

•Cold Teams
-- Reds lost four of its last six games.
-- Pirates lost ten of its last thirteen road games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games. St Louis is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
-- Marlins lost 15 of its 19 road games.

-- Twins are 6-9 in its last fifteen games.
-- Blue Jays are 5-8 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Orioles lost its last four games.

-- Yankees lost four of their last five games.

•Umpires Trends
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won six of eight Little games.
-- SD-Cin-- Five of six Johnson games went over total. Five of six Basner tilts went over the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Underdogs won five of seven Bucknor games.

-- Cle-Tor-- Five of seven Emmel games stayed under.
-- Bos-Min-- Underdogs won three of five Guccione games.

-- NY-NY-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Wendelstedt games.

Diamond Trends - Thursday
•MINNESOTA is 41-26 (+27.7 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.1.

•MILWAUKEE is 49-22 UNDER (+24.5 Units) versus an National League starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse since 1997.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 4.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

•BALTIMORE is 0-11 (-12.7 Units) against the run line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 2.5, OPPONENT 4.2.

•JEFF SAMARDZIJA is 7-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.1, OPPONENT 4.8.

•WANDY RODRIGUEZ is 8-0 OVER (+8.2 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was RODRIGUEZ 5.0, OPPONENT 5.6.

•LANCE LYNN is 21-7 (+15.3 Units) against the run line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LYNN 6.0, OPPONENT 3.0.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (CINCINNATI) - poor National League offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season.
(40-17 since 1997.) (70.2%, +28.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +114.3
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 3.9 (Average run differential = +1)

The situation's record this season is: (2-2, +0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-5, +2.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7, +11.9 units).

•Play Against - All teams against a run line of (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -National League, with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season.
(60-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%, +37.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (42-34 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.3, money line price: -138
The average score in these games was: Team 3.9, Opponent 3.5 (Average run differential = +0.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 40 (52.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (7-1, +6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-11, +21.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (88-53, +8.4 units).

•Play Under - Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - below average National League hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.
(49-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +33.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-109.3
The average score in these games was: Team 2.9, Opponent 3.9 (Total runs scored = 6.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 40 (67.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-1, +5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-13, +12.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (102-83, +11.2 units).
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux

LA Clippers -4.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost in the NBA Playoffs on Wednesday with the the Heat -7/Nets.

Ben lee won in the NHL Playoffs on Wednesday with the Kings -$140/Ducks.

"Mr Chalk's" play on the Reds -$165/Padres in MLB was Ppd.

For Thirsty Thursday E&B like two in the NBA Playoffs.

(1) Pacers +4.5/Wizards

(2) Clippers -4/Thunder

"Mr Chalk" has Np for Thursday.

Ben lee is 3-3 -$15 for week twenty nine 122-138-5 -$2441

"Mr Chalk" is 20-16 -$212 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

SAN DIEGO at CINCINNATI
Play On - Any team (CINCINNATI) with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings 287-211 over the last 5 seasons. ( 57.6% | 91.3 units ) 13-12 this year. ( 52.0% | -1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 60-31 (+28.8 Units) against the money line after 2 straight games without giving up a stolen base over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.5)