Service Plays Thursday 4/7/16

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Lawfrankd]

Dave Essler | MLB ML - Thursday, Apr 7 2016 10:05PM
ML 918 ANA (-110) Greek vs 917 TEX triple-dime bet

Analysis: First off, the Angels had Wednesday off. Yes, they're 0-2 and haven't hit - they've faced Lester and Arrieta. Derek Holland is neither, and quite frankly was crushed when he came back late last year. He pi ¯tched well in his last Spring outing against a B Cubs team - but has pitched less than 100 innings in the last two years. He won't walk many - but gives up the long ball, and the fact that he's around the K zone is good in this situation since the Angels tend to be free swingers. Add that to the Rangers bullpen collapse on Wednesday (and then having to fly to LA while the Angels rest) and we have advantages almost everywhere. Santiago was a machine in the first half last season (an All-Star, actually) and then must have either read his own press clippings or simply got tired - he was hit hard the second half. This is still the first half. If he keeps Odor off the bases and Beltre in the park, he should be fine. This is a huge early season in-division statement game. The Angels pen was great (1.18 WHIP) at home last season - they were 17 games over .500 at home (horrid on the road) - and won three more than they lost against LHP's. The AL West was the Rangers' undoing last year as they were under .500 in their own division, and one has to wonder what lingering effects there are from losing three straight to Toronto in the playoffs last season. So, this is ALL on Holland for the Rangers, who's pen has been used a LOT the last two days - far from enough to even consider. The situation is right and the matchup is right for our first 3* play this season - and I MIGHT add one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFAC

GOLF – MASTERS MATCH UPS

7036) C SCHWARTZEL -125
($750)

7039) H MATSUYAMA -135
($750)

7041) P REED -115
($750)

7009) R McILROY -125
($500)

7011) J SPIETH -110
($500)

7015) A SCOTT -120
($500)

7065) C HOFFMAN -130
($500)

7029) H STENSON -165
($500)

7033) J ROSE -150
($500)

7078) B WIESBERGER -125
($500)

7096) A LAHARI -150
($500)

TO WIN 2016 MASTERS :

JIMMY WALKER +7500
($100)

LEE WESTWOOD +9500
($100)

CHRIS KIRK +9500
($100)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at GOLDEN STATE
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
10-7 this year. ( 58.8% | 2.3 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at GOLDEN STATE
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games
103-63 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.0% | 43.7 units )
33-24 this year. ( 57.9% | 1.8 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at GOLDEN STATE
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (SAN ANTONIO) good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | BOSTON at CLEVELAND
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CLEVELAND) first 12 games of the season, non-playoff team from prior season who won their last 3 games
107-85 since 1997. ( 55.7% | 51.7 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.1 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TEXAS at LA ANGELS
TEXAS is 47-37 (+27.0 Units) against the money line in Road games in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.3)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Flyers and Rockets on Wednesday and likes the Penguins on Thursday.

The deficit is 48 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo Eyes A Twinner

Hondo, clipped with the Cards on Tuesday, bounced back with the Brewers on Wednesday when they chugged past the Giants to boost the earnings to 156 aspromontes.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch expects Hughes to provide more good news— 20 units on the Twins to prevail by a whisker over Ubaldo.

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Philadelphia Flyers + Toronto Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 70-5, lost last game)
Overall Record: 70-78-23

Rest of the Plays
Chicago Blackhawks -115 over St. Louis Blues
Los Angeles Kings -139 over Anaheim Ducks
Winnipeg Jets + San Jose Sharks OVER 5.5

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Toronto Raptors +6.5 over Atlanta Hawks
(System Record: 73-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 73-84-3

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Timberwolves + Sacramento Kings OVER 221.5

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -142 over Arizona Diamondbacks
(System Record: 4-0)
Overall Record: 4-0

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Twins + Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5
Cleveland Indians -135 over Boston Red Sox
San Francisco Giants -113 over LA Dodgers

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
FBC Melgar + Colo Colo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 932-28, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 932-725-150

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
FBC Melgar + Colo Colo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 932-28, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 932-725-150

Soccer Crusher Extra Bonus Picks:

CA Boca Juniors + Bolivar OVER 2.5 (Conmebol)

River Plate Montevideo + Nacional Montevideo UNDER 2.5 (Conmebol)

Racing Club + Deportivo Cali OVER 2.5 (Conmebol)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASI

NBA
PATRICK (72-64 +.30) SAN ANTONIO +7.5 GOLDEN ST (1030PM)
DAVID (71-67 -4.20) TORONTO +7 ATLANTA (8PM)
JEFF (64-62 -5.60) No Selection Today

MLB
PATRICK (0-3 -3.20)
PHILADELPHIA/CINCINNATI OVER 8.5 +100 (1230PM)
LA DODGERS/SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 7.5 -120 (430PM)
DAVID (3-4 -1.30)
WASHINGTON -145 MIAMI (4PM)
LA ANGELS -105 TEXAS (10PM)
JEFF (3-2 +1.00) CHICAGO WHITESOX/OAKLAND OVER 8.5 +100 (330PM) ** 2 UNIT SELECTION**
My first "LIGHTS OUT" 2 unit selection goes Thursday afternoon. I am backing the OVER in Whitesox & Athletics baseball game. Matt Latos, the right-hander had a 10.38 ERA in three spring starts. Latos was 4-10 with a career-worst 4.95 ERA in 24 games overall, including 21 starts last season. Oakland will start Kendall Graveman. Graveman went 6-9 with a 4.05 ERA in 21 starts last year, going 0-5 with a 5.82 ERA in his final eight. Graveman had worse numbers at home (2-4 and a 4.17 ERA) last season than on the road (4-5 and 3.92) and was terrible during the day, going 2-5 with a 5.08 ERA.
He was also 1-2 with an 8.27 ERA last April. Look for runs to be plentiful.

Tennis pj (56-54 -.15)
wta volvo car open
s stephens -180 d gavrilova (7pm)
wta katowice open
a cornet -120 f schiavone (130pm)
atp us mens clay court championship
m baghdatis +140 f verdasco (830pm)
soccer simon (69-62 +.47)
sweeden allsverskan (under 2.5 -127) aik @ ostersunds fk (1pm)

 

[Lawfrankd]

Goodfella triple dime Chicago Cubs

 

[HenryTheNoodle]

Brady Kannon Masters Matchups - Tournament:

Rickie Fowler (-125) over Dustin Johnson
Martin Kaymer (+100) over Byeong Hun-An
Phil Mickelson (+100) over Dustin Johnson
Justin Rose (-120) over Henrik Stenson
Matt Kuchar (-110) over Paul Casey
Adam Scott (-120) over Dustin Johnson
Jason Day (-130) over Jordan Spieth
Chris Kirk (-115) over Billy Horschel
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+110) over Chris Wood
Bryson DeChambeau (+115) over Smylie Kaufman

 

[ReasonableDoubt]

ESSLER:

*3 Anahiem -120
*2 Miami +115
*1 cubs -1 (half on run line +115 and half on money line -150)

 

[EStraightKillah]

ESSLER:

*3 Anahiem -120
*2 Miami +115
*1 cubs -1 (half on run line +115 and half on money line -150)

Unfortunately for him the triple dime fell on the $1 Thursday day. However you have you have all his subscriber picks as well. Do you have a sub yourself or did you get the picks from someone else? The reason I am asking is I would really be interested in reading his analysis on the other two games.. Miami & Cubs.. Miami game in particular. If you do have it you can p.m. me if you like (?) feel free to post if you like. Thanks a lot. Bol always. E

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

We Pick Sports - (+5.9* Wed.)


MLB: (Season -11.8*)


Cincinnati (-140) 4* 12:35 ET

Baltimore/Minnesota Over 8.5 (-110) 6* 7:05 ET


NBA: (Season +7.3*, 7-16 last 23)


Houston -11.5 (-110) 8* 8:00 ET {Diamond Selection}

Golden State -7 (-110) 4* 10:30 ET


NHL: (Season -28.7*)


Pittsburgh (+115) 2* 7:00 ET

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Johnny Goodtimes - (0-2, -5.2* Wed.)

Single: (NHL Season -10.85*)

Carolina Hurricanes **-140} 1 Unit



Double: (NBA Season +4.3*, 4-10 last 14)


Chicago Bulls +5.5 2 Units



Triple: (MLB Season -9.33*)


Miami Marlins **+125} 3 Units

Arizona Diamondbacks **+140} 3 Units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HARRY BONDI

2016 Masters
Picks, Trends & Preview
Masters Betting Trends

When it comes to the Masters, we have three important attributes we look at when handicapping the field:
Experience:
The last time a player won the Masters in his first start at Augusta was Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. The average number of career starts at the Masters for a first-time champion is five. Also, the last 16 Masters champions made the cut the year before and eight of the last 12 winners have had played in at least 20 majors in their career. Ten of the last 16 winners were ranked in the top 10 of the World Golf Ranking heading into the week, and finally, 23 of the last 25 winners had previously shot a round in the 60s at Augusta. Put it all together and you can see why past experience on this course is so crucial.

Recent Form:
The last 13 Masters champions had already recorded a top-10 in the current season, meaning you should avoid a player who has started the season off struggling. Augusta National is not the place to shake off the rust.
Play on Par 5s:
Par-5s are vital to success in the Masters. The last 10 Masters champions are a whopping 90-under par on par-5s, as compared to 9-under on par-4s and 2-under on par-3s. And while length is important, keep in mind that course management is equally important. Driving distance is important at Augusta because the course plays longer than its actual yardage and with some windy conditions expected in Rounds 1 and 2 this year — especially on Friday when the par-5s will be playing into a stiff breeze — the big bombers will have a distinct advantage.

Fast Starts Matter:
For those making “in-play” wagers as the tournament goes along, keep in mind that over the last 30 years, the Round 1 leader has gone on to win the Masters just twice (Trevor Immelman in 2008 and Jordan Spieth last year), but the eventual winner has been in the final group on Sunday in 21 out of the last 23 years. Also, only two winners since 1998 have been outside the top 10 after Round 1 and 78 of the 79 winners were within six strokes of the lead after Round 3.
Keeping all of the above in mind, here are three players to watch this week at August, as we go with one of the favorites and then fire away at two longshots:. In addition to playing these three for a half-unit to win the Masters, we also encourage you to bet them in individual match-up wagers, as well.

Bubba Watson to WIN
12-to-1
You could take the top 5 in the betting market at this year’s Masters and throw a hat over all of them. Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, Rory McIlroy, Adam Scott and Bubba Watson all have what it takes to win here and they all are in great form.
But if we had to choose one of them it’s Watson, whose numbers are off the charts in all of the key stats.
Not only has Bubba won two of the last four Masters, but he’s first on the PGA TOUR in greens in regulation and strokes tee to green, third on par-5 scoring, fourth on the World Golf Ranking and in driving distance. He also has four top-10s this year, including two wins. One of those victories was at the Northern Trust Open and, interestingly, 11 Masters Champions have won 21 times at that event.
The fact that lefties have won six of the last 13 Masters and Bubba has as many green jackets in his closet as the other four top contenders combined gives us a ton of value at 12-to-1.

Louis Oosthuizen to WIN
25-to-1
Sometimes the best moment to be “on” a golfer is the week after he misses a cut, and that’s what happened to Oosthuizen last week at the Shell Houston Open. We’re not going to overreact to that poor showing, since it was his fourth-straight week in action and he was obviously gassed from the week before when he finished second at the Match Play event and played a ton of holes.
He needed last weekend off and now he’s fresh for the Masters, a tournament he nearly won in 2012 when he lost a playoff to Watson. That finish gives him three top-25s in the last four years at Augusta. He can bomb it off the tee and he has a win on the European Tour earlier this year. With three runner-ups in the majors already on his resume, “Oozie” is ready to break through and win one

Hideki Matsuyama to WIN
44-to-1
Very quietly, Matsuyama has played very well in the majors in recent history with six top 20 finishes, including three last year and three in 2013. At Augusta, he was the top amatuer in 2011 and overall he’s made three out of four cuts with a fifth-place finish last year when he fired a 68 on Sunday. He loves to putt on slick greens and this year he already has three top-6s and six top-20s and his rankings in the key stats are impressive: 9th in putting average, 14th in GIR and 31st in par-5 scoring.