STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SUNDAY, AUGUST 10th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_____________________________________
***** Sunday, 8/10/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________
MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #19
•Jeter Passes Wagner On Career Hit List: Derek Jeter has passed Honus Wagner on the career hits list with 3,431, getting an infield single in the sixth inning Saturday against the Cleveland Indians. Jeter led off the inning with a soft grounder off Corey Kluber that shortstop Jose Ramirez charged but failed to pick up with his bare hand. Jeter tied Wagner on Friday night with a grounder that Ramirez made a nice play on but the throw went off first baseman Carlos Santana's glove as the Yankees captain crossed the base. Jeter has said this will be his final season so moving up to fifth will be very difficult. He needs 84 hits to catch Tris Speaker at 3,515.
•Hanley Ramirez To Undergo MRI On Side: Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez was forced to exit last night’s game against the Brewers due to tightness in his right side and Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports that he will undergo an MRI today. Ramirez felt discomfort prior to the game, but was deemed OK to start. However, he only made it through one at-bat before leaving the game. You can see him grimacing during his at-bat here. “One swing, and it tied up on me,” said Ramirez. “I tried to play. [Manager Don Mattingly] wanted to be careful and took me out of the game to get treatment. What he did, I think, was smart. He doesn’t want me to get worse.” This is just the latest issue for Ramirez, who has already missed 24 starts this year due to calf and shoulder injuries. The impending free agent is batting .277/.367/.455 with 12 home runs, 58 RBI, and 12 stolen bases over 100 games this season.
•Wil Myers Set To Begin Minor League Rehab Assignment: Sidelined for over two months with a stress fracture in his right wrist, Rays outfielder Wil Myers is slated to begin a minor league rehab assignment today with Triple-A Durham. Myers injured his wrist in an outfield collision with teammate Desmond Jennings on May 30. The original diagnosis was a sprained wrist, but further examination revealed the fracture. He wore a cast for several weeks before recently ramping up baseball activities. Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times wrote on Thursday that Myers is expected to spend about two weeks in the minors, setting up his return later this month. After winning the American League Rookie of the Year Award last season, Myers was batting just .227/.313/.354 with five home runs and 25 RBI over 53 games this season prior to the injury.
•Yankees Place McCann On Concussion DL: The New York Yankees placed catcher Brian McCann on the seven-day concussion disabled list on Saturday. The club recalled catcher Austin Romine from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre and unconditionally released infielder Brian Roberts. McCann left Friday night's game against the Cleveland Indians in the sixth inning. Francisco Cervelli pinch-hit for McCann, who was feeling the effects of a third-inning foul ball off his mask. McCann is batting .238 with 13 home runs and 49 RBIs this season. Roberts batted .237 with five homers and 21 RBIs in 317 at-bats in his first season with the Yankees. He spent the first 13 year of his major-league career with the Baltimore Orioles. He is a career .276 hitter with 97 home runs, 367 doubles, 285 stolen bases and 542 RBIs.
•Rockies' Brett Anderson Gets MRI, Team Fears He's Done For Season: Bad news continues to haunt the Rockies. Left-handed starter Brett Anderson, who left Tuesday's game against the Chicago Cubs in the fourth inning because of back spasms, is still in a great deal of discomfort. He already is on the 15-day disabled list and the fear now is that the back injury could be season-ending. Anderson underwent an MRI on Friday and the team is still awaiting results of the test. "He underwent the MRI to see if there is possible disc involvement," head trainer Keith Dugger said. "We will wait and see on the results, but he's still in a lot of discomfort."
If the MRI shows there is an injured disc in Anderson's back, he likely would be done for the season. According to Dugger, Anderson has previously never had back issues. Anderson already missed 83 games because of a broken finger suffered during an at-bat. He underwent Tommy John surgery in 2011 as a member of the Oakland Athletics. At the end of this season, the Rockies must decide if they want to exercise their $12 million club option on Anderson's contract.
The Rockies did receive some good news Friday. Injured shortstop Troy Tulowitzki went through a series of agility drills and took batting practice and felt no pain. It's possible be could be sent out on a rehab assignment in a week to 10 days. However, manager Walt Weiss cautioned that it's too early to put a timetable on Tulo's return. Tulo update. All-star shortstop Troy Tulowitzki, rehabbing a left hip flexor injury suffered July 19, went through a series of agility drills and took batting practice Friday. He felt no pain and was happy with his workout. The next major hurdle is running the bases, but Dugger has not set a timetable for that yet. It's possible Tulowitzki could be sent out on a rehab assignment in a week to 10 days. However, manager Walt Weiss cautioned that it's too early to predict Tulo's return.
•Rays Owner: No Regrets Over Trading Price: Tampa Bay Rays owner Stuart Sternberg said he doesn't regret trading former Cy Young Award winner David Price to the Detroit Tigers. Sternberg said before Saturday's game against the Chicago Cubs that the one regret he could think of as an owner was when Tampa Bay didn't add a hitter during the 2010 season. He doesn't have any second thoughts about the three-team trade July 31 that sent Price to Detroit. The Rays acquired left-hander Drew Smyly and minor-league shortstop Willy Adames from the Tigers along with infielder Nick Franklin from the Seattle Mariners. For Sternberg and the Rays, moves like that are of what the small-market franchise has to do to stay competitive, even if it means sending away stars.
Price, 28, can be a free agent after next season and could command a bigger contract than Tampa Bay would be able to give. "With David it wasn't three, four, five, eight guys and I think people got that and understood that we're still in it to win it," Sternberg said. "It really was the classic one-eye-on-the-present, one-eye-on-the-future kind of deal." That doesn't mean the deal was an easy one for Sternberg to make. Price was a part of Tampa Bay's 2008 American League champion, made four all-star teams and won the 2012 AL Cy Young Award.
The Rays made the playoffs four of the past six years and came into this season expecting to contend for a spot in the World Series. With Price leading the way, they jumped into playoff contention after a slow start, but that wasn't enough to keep him around. Price was making $14 million this year and with his contract set to expire in 2015, Tampa Bay decided to make the trade. "It doesn't make things easier today," Sternberg said. "But it's never easy for us." Sternberg added that Rays fans understood why the Price deal had to be made. "It wasn't easy for us, and a number of people (Friday) said `I understand why you had to do the deal you had to do, and we're behind you," Sternberg said.
________________________________________________
Betting Notes - Sunday
National League
•Marlins-Reds - 1:10 PM
--Hand is 2-1, 2.28 in his last four starts.
--Cueto is 5-0, 2.23 in his last six starts.
--Marlins won nine of their last eleven road games.
--Cincinnati lost last two games, scoring total of four runs.
--Five of last seven Cueto starts stayed under the total.
•Mets-Phillies - 1:35 PM
--Wheeler is 3-0, 1.79 in his last seven starts.
--Kendrick is 1-3, 5.83 in his last five starts.
--Mets are 7-4 in their last eleven road games.
--Phillies won six of their last nine home games.
--Over is 16-9 last 25 Philly games.
•Nationals-Braves - 8:05 PM
--Gonzalez is 0-4, 5.74 in his last five starts.
--Wood is 0-2, 5.00 in his last three starts.
--Washington won three of its last four games.
--Braves lost nine of last ten games, but won four of last five at home.
--Over is 4-1-1 in last six Washington games.
•Padres-Pirates - 1:35 PM
--Ross is 4-3, 1.50 in his last eight starts.
--Morton is 0-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
--San Diego won seven of its last ten games.
--Pirates are 17-5 in their last 22 home games.
--13 of last 16 Ross starts stayed under the total.
•Dodgers-Brewers - 2:10 PM
--Dodgers won last 12 Kershaw starts (10-0, 1.16).
--Nelson is 1-1, 3.60 in his last three starts.
--Dodgers won five of their last seven road games, but lost last two.
--Milwaukee won ten of its last thirteen home games.
--Under is 9-3-1 in Dodgers' last thirteen road games.
•Rockies-Diamondbacks - 4:10 PM
--Morales is 0-2, 5.16 in his last three starts.
--Miley is 1-2, 8.82 in his last three starts.
--Rockies lost 11 of their last 13 games.
--Arizona won its last two games, scoring 19 runs.
--Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Colorado road games.
American League
•Indians-Yankees - 1:05 PM
--Carrasco is 0-3, 7.36 in four starts, last of which was April 25.
--Kuroda is 1-1, 3.51 in his last five starts.
--Cleveland lost nine of its last twelve away games. .
--Yankees won 14 of its last 22 games.
--Ten of last twelve Kuroda starts stayed under total.
•Tigers-Blue Jays - 1:05 PM
--Price is 6-1, 1.98 in his last eight starts.
--Buehrle is 1-3, 6.16 in his last six starts.
--Detroit is 10-13 since the All-Star break.
--Toronto lost six of its last eight games.
--Under is 12-3-1 in Detroit's last sixteen road games.
•Rangers-Astros - 2:10 PM
--Texas lost last nine Martinez starts (0-4, 8.87 in last five).
--Keuchel is 1-1, 1.57 in his last three starts.
--Texas lost 12 of its last 17 games.
--Astros won six of last seven home games.
--Under is 11-5-2 in last eighteen Texas games.
•Twins-Athletics - 4:05 PM
--Hughes is 1-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.
--Hammel is 1-4, 7.94 in five starts for A's, but won his last one.
--Minnesota lost its last four games, outscored 23-13.
--Athletics are 21-6 in their last 27 home games.
--Seven of last nine Minnesota games went over total.
•White Sox-Mariners - 4:10 PM
--Danks is 1-1, 10.29 in his last four starts.
--Ramirez is 0-1, 1.33 in his last five starts, last of which was July 22.
--White Sox lost six of their last eight games.
--Mariners won five of their last seven games.
--Eight of last eleven White Sox games went over the total.
•Red Sox-Angels - 3:35 PM
--De La Rosa is 0-2, 6.19 in his last three starts.
--Santiago is 0-0, 2.81 in his last three starts.
--Boston lost 12 of its last 16 games.....pending result of Sat. game
--Angels lost their last four games.
--Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Boston road games.
Interleague
•Cardinals-Orioles - 1:35 PM
--Lynn is 3-2, 2.33 in his last six starts.
--Gausman is 2-0, 3.20 in his last three starts.
--Cardinals lost last two nights in this series, allowing 22 runs.
--Baltimore won ten of its last thirteen games.
--Ten of last eleven Lynn starts stayed under the total.
•Giants-Royals - 2:10 PM
--Lincecum is 0-2, 7.29 in his last four starts.
--Duffy is 2-0, 1.02 in his last three starts.
--Giants lost four of their last five games.
--Kansas City won nine of its last ten games.
--Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Giant games.
•Rays-Cubs - 2:20 PM
--Cobb is 3-0, 1.71 in his last four starts.
--Wood is 0-3, 7.96 in his last seven starts.
--Tampa Bay won 18 of its last 22 road games.
--Cubs lost three of their last four games.
--Last three Cobb starts stayed under the total.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Hand 4-5; Cueto 15-9
-- Wheeler 11-12; Kendrick 10-13
-- Gonzalez 10-8; Wood 5-10
-- Ross 12-12 (won last 4); Morton 10-13
-- Kershaw 15-3 (won last 12); Nelson 3-2
-- Morales 6-10; Miley 12-12
-- Carrasco 1-3; Kuroda 10-13
-- Price 14-9/1-0; Buehrle 15-8 (4-7 last 11)
-- Martinez 4-10 (lost last nine); Keuchel 11-10
-- Hughes 14-9; Hammel 10-7/1-4
-- Danks 11-12; Ramirez 4-8
-- De La Rosa 4-6; Santiago 5-10
-- Lynn 14-9; Gausman 8-3
-- Lincecum 14-9; Duffy 8-9
-- Cobb 8-9; Wood 12-11
•Umpires Trends
-- Mia-Cin-- Over is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Vanover games.
-- NY-Phil-- Underdogs won seven of last nine Woodring games.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Four of last five Cuzzi games went over total.
-- SD-Pitt-- Five of last seven Conroy games stayed under.
-- LA-Mil-- Road team won four of last five Tumpane games.
-- Col-Az-- Last seven Reynolds games stayed under the total.
-- Cle-NY-- 13 of last 16 O'Nora games stayed under the total.
-- Det-Tor-- Four of last five Miller games went over total.
-- Tex-Hst-- Favorites won eight of last ten Demuth games.
-- Min-A's-- Favorites won eight of last ten LBarrett games.
-- Chi-Sea-- Underdogs are 15-7 in last 22 Hudson games.
-- Bos-LA-- Four of last five Bucknor games stayed under.
-- StL-Balt-- Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Morales games.
-- SF-KC-- Five of last six Barksdale games stayed under.
-- TB-Chi-- Six of last seven HGibson games stayed under.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Clayton Kershaw of the Dodgers is a spot-less 12-0 with a 1.15 ERA his last twelve team starts. Kershaw leads the majors with a 1.82 ERA -- which seems slightly bloated compared to his 0.78 career mark at Miller Park. The left-hander will try to win his 11th straight decision and help the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers avoid a three-game sweep Sunday by the Milwaukee Brewers.
Kershaw has limited Milwaukee to a .227 average that is actually the third-highest against him among National League teams. Much of that damage has been at home, with Kershaw limiting the Brewers to a .133 average in three victories at Miller Park.
Diamond Trends - Sunday
•TEXAS is 9-31 (-22.9 Units) against the money line versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.5, OPPONENT 5.3.
•KANSAS CITY is 24-8 UNDER (+14.9 Units) versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.5, OPPONENT 3.3.
•CHICAGO CUBS are 13-0 (+13.2 Units) against the run line versus an American League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 7.1, OPPONENT 3.7.
•TIM LINCECUM is 16-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LINCECUM 5.8, OPPONENT 3.0.
•JOHN DANKS is 8-0 OVER (+8.3 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.
The average score was DANKS 5.0, OPPONENT 8.4.
•CLAYTON KERSHAW is 16-4 (+12.8 Units) against the run line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KERSHAW 5.5, OPPONENT 2.7.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SEATTLE) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70) - American League, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games.
(39-3 since 1997.) (92.9%, +32.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -205
The average score in these games was: Team 6.1, Opponent 2.9 (Average run differential = +3.2)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2, +13.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (25-2, +20.4 units).
•Play On - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (National League), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts.
(39-16 since 1997.) (70.9%, +37.2 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (43-12)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.5, money line price: +136
The average score in these games was: Team 6.5, Opponent 3.9 (Average run differential = +2.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 31 (56.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-2, +2.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2, +5.1 units).
•Play Over - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (American League), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts.
(39-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.6%, +28.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 7.8, Money Line=-101
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 4.5 (Total runs scored = 9.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 30 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2, +3.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-7, +12.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (56-36, +17.1 units).
___________________________________________
w-thumbs!^
