Dr. Bob
Sunday NBA Opinions
MIAMI (-9) over Orlando
Rotation #804– 12:35 pm Pacific
Both of these teams are playing well, as Orlando has won and covered 4 straight games while Miami has won and covered in 5 straight games since losing 89-102 at Orlando on the 8th. Miami is just 6-19 ATS when favored by more than 8 points against teams with a win percentage of .334 or higher but the Magic also apply to a very good 88-28-3 ATS home favorite momentum situation that I rarely pass on. I will pass on that angle this time, but I’ll lean with Miami at -9 or less to get their revenge.
Charlotte (+11) over INDIANA
Rotation #809– 3:05 pm Pacific
Charlotte ended a 16 game losing streak with a win at Toronto on Friday night and that win sets up the Bobcats in a 33-3 ATS subset of a 88-34-2 ATS situation that plays on bad teams after a confidence boosting upset win. The Pacers also broke a losing streak with their 5 point home win over the Nets, but Indiana has now dropped 8 straight games to the spread, so I don’t mind going against them here. Charlotte is better with D.J. Augustin back in the lineup, as they’re only 8.6 points worse than average in the 19 games Augustin has played, compared to their overall rating of -12.7 points. However, my ratings still favor Indiana by 12 points using only the Bobcats’ games with Augustin. I’ll lean with Charlotte at +11 or more based on the strong situation and I’d take Charlotte in a 2-Star Best Bet at +12 points or more.