Service Plays Sunday 12/14/08

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Wunderdog

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: New York Giants at Dallas (Sunday 12/14 8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: New York Giants +3 (-115)


The 11-2 Giants will take the field on Sunday as an underdog for just the third time this season. The first two times, New York won the games outright as they seem to relish the role of the underdog, playing the "no respect" card to a tee. They have now won seven of their last eight games outright when listed as an underdog, including six in a row! They are also a perfect 8-0 ATS and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a dog. Eli Mnning is quietly having a very good year. While you hear more about the Giants three-headed running attack, Manning has put up 20 TD passes to just 8 INTs while throwing for over 2,700 yards. The Cowboys secondary looks as though it will be without Pacman Jones the rest of the year, and is otherwise banged up. It's hard to imagine Manning won't put up good numbers in this one. Their is also the video from last week showing Owens going off at the offensive coordinator of Dallas. Controversy and turmoil is brewing in the Dallas lockeroom and that is never a good thing. With Marion Barber not playing or playing hurt against the Giants 5th ranked rushing defense, Tony Romo is going to be under pressure the entire game, as the Cowboys could find themselves facing unfavorable 3rd down situations. That doesn't bode well for Romo. While he's been a top QB since he took over the starting role in Dallas, thus far he has shown the inability to get it done in big games. His "showtime" numbers tell a story. In games played from December 1st on (the money games in the NFL), Romo has led the Cowboys to a 4-9 SU record and a futile 1-9-2 ATS mark. As Romo goes, so do the Cowboys. We have one team here that has dominated as an underdog, and another that has shown the inability to get the money in the big game. I'll back the G-men here
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Kevin Kavitch-Early releases
Overall a monitored 43-31-1 in the NFL headed in Week 15. Week 14 produced a 4-1 result but unfortunately the Top play on Washington lost. That drops the Top plays to 5-2 on the season.

Strange dynamic with Arizona clinching their division already. Minnesota has won 3 straight and 5 of 6 to be tied for the division with the Bears. I expect Minnesota to have an edge in focus and intensity. They run well and defend the run well, always important for a live dog. Their D has allowed less than 20 in 4 straight and while I don't expect them to hold Warner to under 20, I think they have enough to stay competitive. I like Arizona but what I don't see is a quality win the past 2 months. They've lost to the winning teams and beaten up on the losers. I'll take 3 with the Vikes in this situation. Take Minnesota +3 for a 3* Regular Play.


Hold your nose but this one sets up well and feels right. No player wants to be part of the 1st infamous 0-16 team. I think there's a good chance that 0-16 happens given Detroit's schedule but all we care about here is effort and covering the huge spread. Detroit becomes more of a live dog with Orlovsky now getting the start at QB. He was becoming a leader when he got hurt 5 weeks ago and they'd likely have a win by now if he had stayed healthy. I like what his return brings to the team this week. Detroit has the potential to run on the Indy D and Orlovsky can stretch the field and get the ball to Calvin Johnson among others. Indy is now sitting pretty at 9-4, won't be worried about Detroit (no matter what the players/coaches might say publicly), and have 2 division games on deck. I expect Indy to show up with less than 100% focus, put up a decent effort for about 1/2 the game and then put it on cruise control. Lots of ways for the dog to cover 17 in this situation. Take Detroit +17 for a 4* Regular Play.
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RX Junior

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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Scott Spreitzer's 25* NFL RIVALRY GAME OF THE YEAR! *2-0, 100% in '08!<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:p></O:p>
<O:p></O:p>
I'm laying the points with the Ravens on Sunday.
<LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CScott%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CScott%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CScott%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1107304683 0 0 159 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </STYLE>[FONT=&quot]Thanks! GL! Scott.

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Hope everyone has a GREAT NIGHT & WEEKEND!! Really APPRECIATE everyone's willingness to help each other.....Makes ALL winners in my book!!!


More plays shortly!
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RX Junior

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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, December 14, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: The STRONGEST PLAY in the NFL is now 28-9 on the year! Everyone knows about the COLLEGE CRUSHERS but did you know that our NFL CRUSHERS were 24-8 last season! Today you can get our STRONGEST NFL PLAY OF THE YEAR as we are featuring or 9000* AFC CONFERENCE COMPUTER CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER NOW for just $35 and you will pay only after you win! 12/12/2008

9000* AFC CONFERENCE COMPUTER CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
320 Baltimore -2.5 4:15 EST
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Ben Burns

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->3-Game Ultimate Report Side.
Texans
Bills
Bengals

3-Game Ultimate Report Totals
Under Lions
Under TB Bucs
Under Giants

NFC East Game of Year-Dallas
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Free Pick - Chris Jordan

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="92%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>DALLAS ( -3) vs. N.Y. Giants </TD></TR><TR><TD>Courtesy of Chris Jordan of ATS Edge </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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JEFFERSONSPORTS
42-21-1 in the NFL last 64 picks (66%)

NFL FOR SUNDAY

BALTIMORE-2.5 -120

Pitt in a tough place after the huge emotional win against Dallas. Balt 7-1 ats last 8 and Flacco playing very efficiently. Balt D allows 63 ypr at home. Not good for steelers that will be facing 3rd and longs all day. Balt different beast at home. Balt-2.5 -120
 
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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Scott Spreitzer's 25* NFL RIVALRY GAME OF THE YEAR! *2-0, 100% in '08!<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:p></O:p>
<O:p></O:p>
I'm laying the points with the Ravens on Sunday. <LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CScott%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CScott%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CScott%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1107304683 0 0 159 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </STYLE>[FONT=&quot]Thanks! GL! Scott.
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Scott Spreitzer's 20* NFL DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE MONTH-

Giants
 
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SPORTS INSIGHT MARKETWATCH (23-19-1)... TB...MINNY...HOUST

sportsinisights
NFL Week 14 Sports MarketWatch – Games to Watch (22-20 = 52.4%)

Tampa Bay Bucs vs. Atlanta Falcons

After Tampa Bay's 15 point loss to Carolina in a battle for first place just a few days ago -- on Monday Night Football -- it looks like we will be able to grab some value on Tampa Bay this week. Sports fans will remember the loss, even though the game was up for grabs entering the fourth quarter. This looks like one of those opportunities to "buy at a low" -- and indeed it is... The Public is taking Atlanta in this divisional match-up at a rate of almost two out of every three bets.

Atlanta is a much-improved team at 8-5 and is just one game behind TB in the NFC South. Even though Atlanta is much improved recently, Tampa Bay is a battle-hardened playoff team. Let's "bet against the Public" and grab TB plus the points.

Tampa Bay Bucs +3

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans

This looks like the easiest game of the week to play. Tennessee has the best record in the NFL with just one loss all season. Houston has a 6-7 record and has given up more points than they have scored. Tennessee is giving just three points to the Houston Texans. Looks like an easy game to cash, right?

The "Smart money" doesn't think so, and neither do we. One of our Offshore contacts told us about "early sharps on Houston moving the line lower." The line opened at Tennessee -3.5 at some books -- but even with three out of four bets landing on the Titans, the line has moved to Tennessee -3. We'll go with the "Smart money" and go with one of the ugliest games on the board. Value is often where you least expect it. Take the home dog -- and have your antacid nearby.

Houston Texans +3

Minnesota Vikings vs. Arizona Cardinals

In this battle of first-place teams, it is surprising to see the betting so hugely one-sided -- but that's exactly what we are seeing. A huge number of bets (almost 90%!) is landing on the Arizona Cardinals. The Public figures that the home team Cardinals are giving up "just three points" -- but in this game, those three points can mean the difference between winning and losing "against the spread." In addition, because the Public is pounding their hard-earned money down on the Cardinals, the "line and vig combo" is moving just a bit, adding some more value to this play.

This game has playoff implications and should be close. We'll "bet against the Public" and take the visiting Vikings plus the field goal.

Minnesota Vikings +3

So, here’s a wrap-up of SportsInsights analysis for this week’s Games to Watch:

Games to Watch (22-20 = 52.4%)

Tampa Bay Bucs +3
Houston Texans +3
Minnesota Vikings +3
 
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HOT

CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 10* (9-6).. BALTY
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 11* (1-0)... WASH
DONNIE BLACK (SPORTS MEMO) (2-0).. OVER WASH / CINCI
ERIN RYNNING (SPORTS MEMO) (4-1-1)...OAKLAND
JARED KLEIN (SPORTS MEMO) (4-1)... KC
LOGICAL APPROACH SEL OF WEEK (9-3)... HOUST
MARTY OTTO (SPORTS MEMO) (3-0)... JETS
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 5* (7-4).. SAN DIEGO
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP 4* (7-4-2)... ARIZONA
THE GOLD SHEET (24-18)... GREENBAY...ARIZONA...UNDER PHILLY
VEGAS EXPERTS THE EDGE 3* (19-11) ... ATL...ARIZ...PHILLY



COLD

ERIK SCHEPONIK (THE MAXX) (5-8)...UNDER GIANTS/ DALLAS
KEVIN O'NEILL (THE MAXX) (8-15)... ATLANATA...NY GIANTS
LOGICAL APPROACH TOTALS (28-35-1)... New Orleans/Chicago OVER 44 ...Green Bay/Jacksonville OVER 45 ...Detroit/Indianapolis UNDER 45 ...Washington/Cincinnati UNDER 37
Pittsburgh/Baltimore UNDER 34 ....Denver/Carolina OVER 47 ...Minnesota/Arizona OVER 48 ...Cleveland/Philadelphia UNDER 38
STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET (24-39-1) ... NEW ORLEANS ( P) ..ATL..TENN.....PHILY...ARIZ..
...

THE REST
BRENT CROW (SPORTS MEMO) (0-0)... TENN
DAVE FOBARE (THE MAXX) (5-7).. BEARS ( P )
ED CASH (SPORTS MEMO) (0-0)...ATL
FAIRWAY JAY (SPORTS MEMO) (4-3)... OVER GB / JAX
THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA (6-8-1)....
LOGICAL APPROACH FEATURED SEL (18-19-1)..JAX ...KC...MINNY
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (9-7)... SAN FRAN
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (9-8)... HOUST
MATTY BAIUNGO (THE MAXX) (7-7)... BUFFALO
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 4* (6-4-1)...NY GIANTS
NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS 4* (8-10-1).. INDY...SF....TENN
POINTWISE 1* (0-0)...
POINTWISE 2* (3-3)... WASH
ROB VENO (SPORTS MEMO) (2-1-1).... JETS
SPORTS INSIGHT MARKETWATCH (23-19-1)... TB...MINNY...HOUST
SPORTS REPORTER BEST BET (16-15-2).... CINCI ...JETS...PITT
SPORTS REPORTER RECOMMENDED (10-12-1)... DALLAS
SPORTS REPORTER SUPER BEST BET (1-2)....
TEDDY COVERS (SPORTS MEMO) (3-3).... KC
THE RED SHEET 89* (1-0)...
THE RED SHEET 90* (0-0)...
TIM TRUSHEL (SPORTS MEMO) (3-5).. BALTY
WINNING POINTS PREFERRED (12-12)... GREENBAY ...DETROIT
WINNING POINTS BEST BET (17-14-1)... NY GIANTS...MINNY
 
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Tom Stryker

Tom's NFL System Play of the Week!

NFL Late Season Awesome Encore
Handicapping the last three weeks of the NFL regular season can be tricky. The linemaker has made adjustments for those teams still in the playoff hunt and the pointspreads on those battles carry little value.
Trying to determine the mindset of a team that has been eliminated is no easy task either. Will those not making it to the post season play the role of a spoiler or toss in the towel? Thankfully, my pro database has helped me determine what situations are significant and profitable at this time of the year.
The technical gem that I’m about to break down isn’t that flashy. The parameters that make it click are simplistic. However, this NFL Late-Season Awesome Encore really packs a pointspread punch. Take a look!
Since 1980, non-division regular season hosts from game 14 to game 16 are a respectable 66-44 ATS provided they enter off a straight up underdog win. Momentum continues to be an effective tool when it comes to handicapping the NFL and, off an upset win late in the season, teams tend to carry over that quality of play especially at home in a non-division situation. Fortunately for us, there are two squads locked into this “play on” set this weekend: Miami and Philadelphia.
There are a couple of parameters that really make this system pop. First, if our side checks in off a straight up underdog win over a division opponent, technical treat improves to an incredible 39-16 ATS! Miami enters off a win over Buffalo while Philadelphia checks in off a victory over New York which means the Fish and Green Birds apply to this tightener.
Finally, with our 39-16 ATS in hand, a 7-7 ATS record can be removed if we eliminate bad teams. If our host carries a won/loss percentage of .400 or better, this system explodes to a nifty 32-9 ATS! Guess what? Both the Dolphins and Eagles apply!
Good luck with Miami and Philadelphia (on Monday) and be sure to check back next week for the first of three powerful college bowl systems.
 
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HILTON CONTEST Week 15

Picked by most cappers (3-2 last week, 38-30-2 overall)

1 Arizona -3 By 111

2 Baltimore -2 By 94

3 NY Giants +3 By 85

3 NY Jets -7 By 83

5 Atlanta -3 By 68

Picked by widest margin

1 Arizona -3 By 77 more

2 NY Jets -7 By 55 more

3 Baltimore -2 By 45 more

4 St. Louis +3 By 35 more

4 NY Giants +3 By 24 more

Picks for Top Contestant (47-21-2)

The Betting Doctor (2-3 last week)

Detroit +17
Atlanta +3
Baltimore -2
Kansas City +5
Minnesota +3
 

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Brian Mac friday hot side Under San Diego

Can anyone get The Rock's NFL game of the year and Chuck Luck has a big card.

Thanks
 
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Billy Coleman


4*under dolphins
3* zona
3* skins under
5* gom patriots
notes: declares his awareness about Cassel situation and this is considered in his play
 

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Thank you for ordering from WinningAngle.com your one source for sports information on the web.<o:p></o:p>
Winning Angle Football for Sunday<o:p></o:p>
NFL<o:p></o:p>
Play San Francisco (+6.5) over Miami*<o:p></o:p>
Game starts at 1:00 P.M. EST<o:p></o:p>
(NFL Game of the Year Winner)<o:p></o:p>
Miami has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread and they have also lost 7 consecutive games against the spread as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Miami has lost 11 of the last 14 home games against the spread and they have lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing in the month of December.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Play Tampa Bay (+3) over Atlanta*<o:p></o:p>
Game starts at 1:00 P.M. EST<o:p></o:p>
(Bonus NFL Play)<o:p></o:p>
Tampa Bay has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 3 consecutive games vs. Atlanta. Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing in the month of December and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 home games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Play Baltimore (-2) over Pittsburgh*<o:p></o:p>
Game starts at 4:00 P.M. EST<o:p></o:p>
(Bonus NFL Play)<o:p></o:p>
Baltimore has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games when the line is between +3 and -3 and they have also covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games vs. AFC Conference Opponents. Baltimore has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 home games coming off a win by 14 points or more and their defense is only allowing an average of 10 points a game on defense this season.<o:p></o:p>
[FONT=&quot]Play NY Giants (+3) over Dallas*<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
 

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[FONT=&quot]Thank You for ordering from Pro Sports Plays<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Sunday Football<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] <o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Take Baltimore (-2) over Pittsburgh<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot](10* Top Play)<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]4:00 EST Game Time<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Baltimore has won and covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games and they have also won and covered the spread in 2 consecutive games vs. Pittsburgh at home.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]<o:p> </o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Extra Premium Plays for Sunday<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Take San Francisco (+6.5) over Miami (5* NFL Play)<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Take NY Giants (+3) over Dallas (5* NFL Play)<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
 

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I realize that Fri night Sat morning is a bit of an NFL info black hole, but I'm wondering if we'd be better served by posting what we know for certain instead of guessing by line moves.

just a thought. bol 2 all


top scoring nfl team L8 wks ......... Bal

Highest line off? 40 points, or 50% higher than #2..... Bal

My records Bal +119.5, Ten+80 NYG #3 at +60.5

With their def, Bal could do some damage in the playoffs, if they get there. Tomorrows game will tell us a lot.
:toast:
 

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