Service Plays Saturday 3/8/13

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=19205_7257

 

[safecracker]

Haystacks why don"t you post a play today instead of posting your negativity! Don Martin or whoever you call me will not be posting a play today but safecracker will. You will with a 100% chance post anger next....read your posts they suck. Ness goin over the total for Saturday if it happens????? Wait for me then attack again.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's Top 25 NCAAB Cheat Sheet: Early Games

Here's a quick look at the marquee early games on Saturday's NCAA basketball schedule:

***Kentucky Wildcats at Florida Gators (-8)

The Wildcats are in no real danger of missing out on the NCAA Tournament but could use a momentum boost before their young team begins March Madness in earnest. Kentucky played back-to-back overtime games - beating LSU and falling to Arkansas at home - before losing to lightly-regarded South Carolina last weekend, a setback that sent the team tumbling down the rankings. The Wildcats shot 26.9 percent against the Gamecocks.

The Gators are the best defensive team in the SEC and are balanced on the offensive end, where several different players are capable of taking over a game. It was Casey Prather (24 points) and Scottie Wilbekin (23) doing the damage in the first meeting with Kentucky, and Frazier II got his chance to shine on Tuesday with a school-record 11 3-pointers en route to a career-high 37 points.

TRENDS
* Wildcats are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 road games.
* Gators are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a win of more than 20 points.
* Under is 7-2 in Kentucky's last nine games.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.

***Southern Methodist Mustangs at Memphis Tigers (-4)

The Mustangs are coming off an 84-71 setback against the Louisville Cardinals, victimized by 22 second-half points from Russ Smith. Nick Russell led the way with 18 points and five assists for Southern Methodist, which shot 51.1 percent from the field but committed a whopping 23 turnovers - eight by Russell. Nic Moore paces the Mustangs in scoring (13.8) and assists (4.6) while shooting 45.5 percent from beyond the arc.

The Tigers will be looking to end the season on a positive note after dropping a 97-84 decision to Cincinnati for its second loss in three games. Joe Jackson had 21 points, Michael Dixon Jr. added 19 and Austin Nichols chipped in with 17 for Memphis, which allowed the Bearcats to shoot 53.3 percent while forcing just three turnovers all game. Jackson averages a team-best 14.3 points but is hitting just 26 percent of his shots from 3-point range.

TRENDS
* Mustangs are 5-0 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
* Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss.
* Under is 4-1 in SMU's last five games.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

***Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia Mountaineers (+4)

Tarik Black scored a career-high 19 points to go along with six rebounds in place of the injured Joel Embiid against Texas Tech. Naadir Tharpe dished out a game-high five assists versus the Red Raiders and finished without a turnover for the sixth time this season. Andrew Wiggins, who leads the team in scoring (16) and steals (one), netted nine points against Texas Tech in what was likely his final game at Allen Fieldhouse.

Juwan Staten tops the Mountaineers in points (18.2) and assists (5.8), and poured in a game-high 24 points in the loss to Oklahoma. Eron Harris, who scored 28 points versus the Sooners on Feb. 5, was held to a season-low five points on 2-of-9 shooting from the field. West Virginia is averaging 78 points per game, but has been held below its scoring average in four of its last five outings.

TRENDS
* Jayhawks are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs. Big 12 opponents.
* Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
* Over is 6-1 in Kansas' last seven games following an ATS win.
* Over is 6-1 in West Virginia's last seven home games.

***Cincinnati Bearcats at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+8)

Guard Sean Kilpatrick led the Bearcats' offensive attack Thursday, erupting for a season-high 34 points to keep Cincinnati's hopes of a conference championship intact. The sensational senior shone in the final home game of his collegiate career and will now look to lead the Bearcats to their second win over Rutgers this season. Kilpatrick poured in 16 points in Cincinnati's 71-51 triumph over the Scarlet Knights back on Jan. 11.

The Scarlet Knights have been in a tailspin over the past three weeks, dropping five of their past six games while struggling to score in the process. Rutgers averages better than 72 points per game on the season but has reached that total just once since mid-February, recording fewer than 66 points in the other five contests. Myles Mack (15.3 points per game) and Kadeem Jack (14.4) lead the offensive assault.

TRENDS
* Bearcats are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games.
* Scarlet Knights are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win.
* Under is 40-11 in Cincinnati's last 51 games.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

***Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)

Cowboys guard Marcus Smart is averaging 18 points, 5.8 rebounds and 6.8 assists since his return from a three-game suspension, but it's his 4.5 steals over that same stretch that really stand out. The Cowboys have recorded at least nine steals in every game during their four-game winning streak, contributing to their plus-6.5 turnover differential over that span. Oklahoma State is 80-of-98 from the foul line during its winning streak.

The struggles of Georges Niang (2-of-11) and Big 12 leading scorer Melvin Ejim (3-of-14) as well as 14 turnovers ultimately proved to be the Cyclones’ undoing against Baylor’s zone, resulting in a 74-61 loss to Baylor. DeAndre Kane, who hit five of Iowa State’s 12 3-pointers on Tuesday, has been every bit as good as Smart over his last five games, averaging 20.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

TRENDS
* Cowboys are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games.
* Cyclones are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Over is 20-5-1 in Iowa State's last 26 home games.
* Over is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings.

***Georgetown Hoyas at Villanova Wildcats (-11.5)

The Hoyas are coming off their biggest victory in over a month, a 75-69 triumph over Doug McDermott and No. 13 Creighton. D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera was the catalyst for the upset with 18 points and 12 rebounds while Markel Starks added 17 points and 11 assists in his final collegiate home game. Starks (17 points per game) and Rivera (16.9) have guided the offense for most of the season, with Joshua Smith (11.5) contributing, as well.

With the Big East championship secured following Thursday's 77-70 victory over Xavier, the Wildcats can relax a little and revel in the school's first conference title since 1981-82. Darrun Hillard led the way with 19 points in the win, while JayVaughn scored eight of his 15 points over the final 3:20. James Bell paces Villanova with 15 points and six rebounds per game, while Pinkston (14.4, 6.1) has been solid in a supporting role.

TRENDS
* Hoyas are 7-2 in their last nine games vs. Big East opponents.
* Wildcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 Saturday games.
* Over is 9-3 in Georgetown's last 12 road games.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

***Connecticut Huskies at Louisville Cardinals (-10)

The Huskies would like to lock up third place in the AAC to avoid opening the conference tournament against ranked foes SMU or Memphis - schools battling for the Nos. 3-5 slots along with Connecticut. Shabazz Napier did his best to keep the Huskies rolling with 26 points in a 69-63 triumph over Rutgers on Wednesday, knocking down a career-high seven 3-pointers while celebrating senior night.

It will be Russ Smith’s turn to celebrate senior day in the Cardinals’ final home game Saturday, and the guard is ending his career with a bang by averaging 23 points in the last three games. Louisville, which can clinch at least a tie for the top spot in the AAC with a win, got 23 points from Smith in a 76-64 triumph at Connecticut on Jan. 18. Louisville forces an average of 17.2 turnovers per game.

TRENDS
* Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last six Saturday games.
* Over is 20-6 in Louisville's last 26 home games.
* Connecticut is 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's Top 25 NCAAB Cheat Sheet: Late Games

Here's a quick look at the marquee late games on Saturday's NCAA basketball schedule:

***Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Christian Horned Frogs ()

The Sooners' defense has not been a strength, but they have held Texas and West Virginia to an average of 63.5 points over their last two victories. Cameron Clark took charge offensively Wednesday in his final home game, registering 19 points and 10 rebounds for his second double-double of the season. Ryan Spangler has 10 double-doubles on the season but has averaged only 6.3 points and 7.3 rebounds over the last four games.

The Horned Frogs actually had some decent wins early in the season, defeating Washington State and Mississippi State on the road and beating Tulsa twice. However, the team has not scored 70 points in any game during its 17-game skid, although Kyan Anderson continues to pull his weight offensively. The junior guard is averaging 17 points and fell one point shy of his career high with 28 points in Wednesday's loss to Texas.

TRENDS
* Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
* Horned Frogs are 20-45 ATS in their last 65 home games.
* Over is 16-6 in Oklahoma's last 22 games following an ATS win.
* Under is 5-0 in TCU's last five games.

***Arizona Wildcats at Oregon Ducks (+3)

The Wildcats have won five straight and appear back on track after losing forward Brandon Ashley to a season-ending foot injury on Feb. 1 against California. They’re averaging 82 points over their last four games, with guard Gabe York shooting 12-of-26 from 3-point range over the last five contests. Freshman forward Rondae Hollis-Jefferson posted his first-career double-double in last month’s meeting with Oregon.

Forward Mike Moser, the reigning Pac-12 player of the week, continued his strong play with 22 points and 17 rebounds in Tuesday’s 85-78 win over Arizona State. The Ducks are hoping for a repeat performance from 6-11 center Waverly Austin, who turned in his best performance in two years with a career-high 10 rebounds and five blocks against the Sun Devils. Guard Joseph Young averages a team-high 18.8 points.

TRENDS
* Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
* Ducks are 16-6-4 ATS in their last 26 games following a win.
* Over is 4-0-2 in Arizona's last six games.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.

***Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)

Indiana hopes to have freshman standout Noah Vonleh back on the floor when it attempts to complete a season sweep of No. 12 Michigan. The host Hoosiers have been without Vonleh – who averages 11.6 points and 9.1 rebounds – for the past two games due to foot soreness and would like to build some momentum heading into next week’s Big Ten tournament. Guard Yogi Ferrell averages a team-best 17.4 points.

Nik Stauskas averages 17.3 points and has made a team-high 70 3-pointers and has scored in double digits in eight consecutive games, including a 21.3 average over the last four outings. One of his toughest contests of the season came in the 63-52 loss to Indiana on Feb. 2 when he had just six points on 1-of-6 shooting. Guard Caris LeVert chips in 13.4 points per game while forward Glenn Robinson III averages 13.

TRENDS
* Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a loss.
* Wolverines are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
* Under is 5-1 in Indiana's last six road games.
* Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Michigan.

***Providence Friars at Creighton Bluejays (-12.5)

The Friars got 25 points from Bryce Cotton, including 20 in the second half, to get past Marquette 81-80 in double overtime on Tuesday night. Cotton's average of 21.7 points leads the Friars and is good for 12th in the nation. Providence is 6-4 against Creighton all-time and has won three straight in the series, including an 81-68 triumph at home Jan. 18.

The Bluejays are looking to get their swagger back after suffering consecutive losses for the first time in three months. Creighton is led by the scoring prowess of forward Doug McDermott, who leads the nation at 25.9 points per game and had 22 points and 12 rebounds in Tuesday's 75-63 defeat at the hands of the Georgetown Hoyas. Creighton averages 79.6 points per game to lead the Big East.

TRENDS
* Friars are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Saturday games.
* Bluejays are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Over is 6-0 in Providence's last six games.
* Under is 9-2 in Creighton's last 11 games following a loss.

***Illinois Fighting Illini at Iowa Hawkeyes (-11.5)

The Fighting Illini saw their three-game winning streak come to an end in jarring fashion, losing 84-53 to the Michigan Wolverines. After limiting four straight opponents below the 50-point mark, Illinois ran into a Michigan buzzsaw that shot 56.9 percent from the field and a stunning 69.6 percent from beyond the arc. Rayvonte Rice paced the Illini with 16 points, right at his team-leading average of 15.8.

The Hawkeyes haven't been the same since seeing their Feb. 18 game against the Indiana Hoosiers postponed after a piece of metal fell from the Assembly Hall ceiling. Iowa has dropped four of its last five games, most recently an 86-76 setback at the hands of the Michigan State Spartans on Thursday night. Roy Devyn Marble averages a team-best 17.3 points, and has scored 20 or more in each of his last five games.

TRENDS
* Fighting Illini are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss.
* Hawkeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 Saturday games.
* Under is 6-1 in Illinois' last seven games.
* Under is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings in Iowa.

***North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils (-8)

Leslie McDonald had his best game of the season when these teams met last month, scoring 21 points - and Duke likely will key on the 6-5 shooting guard this time around. McDonald also has cooled off the last three games, however, averaging seven points in that stretch to put him at 10.7 for the season. J.P. Tokoto might be the hottest player on the Tar Heels, sinking all five of his field-goal attempts in Monday’s two-point win over Notre Dame.

Jabari Parker never did hit a freshman wall for the Blue Devils. He has reached double figures in scoring each of the last 13 games and double digits in rebounds the last five, putting him in position to be one of seven freshmen since 2000 to average at least 18 points and eight boards for a season. The 6-8 Parker likely will be guarded by forward Kennedy Meeks at the start of the game, but look for Brice Johnson to get some turns as well.

TRENDS
* Tar Heels are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Blue Devils are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six Saturday games.
* Under is 5-1 in Duke's last six games vs. ACC opponents.
* Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.

***New Mexico Lobos at San Diego State Aztecs (-4)

Lobos forward Cameron Bairstow averages 20.3 points and 7.2 rebounds, and has topped 20 points in six of the last eight games. Center Alex Kirk (13.7 points, 8.6 rebounds, 79 blocked shots) rejected five San Diego State shots in the first meeting, a 58-44 New Mexico victory. New Mexico has held five straight foes under 60 points, allowing an average of 53.6 during the stretch.

Xavier Thames (16.7 points per game) suffered through a 3-of-15 shooting performance for seven points in the first meeting as part of a three-game slump during which he missed 24-of-30 shots. He rebounded to average 20.5 points over the last two games – including 19 in Wednesday’s road win at UNLV. Aztecs forward Winston Shepard (12.5 points) has reached double digits in seven of the last eight games.

TRENDS
* Lobos are 5-0 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
* Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
* Under is 14-2 in SDSU's last 16 home games.
* Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Kentucky at Florida

Kentucky Wildcats at Florida Gators (-9)

Top-ranked Florida is one win away from a perfect SEC regular season, and all that stands in the way is rival Kentucky. The Gators host the 24th-ranked Wildcats in the regular-season finale on Saturday. Florida owns a 22-game winning streak overall and has been lightly challenged in league play while making a bid to become the first non-Kentucky school to go undefeated in the SEC since Alabama in 1956.

The Gators routed South Carolina 72-46 on Tuesday behind a record-setting performance from Michael Frazier II and have a chance to post the first ever 18-0 mark in SEC play. The Wildcats are holding down second place in the SEC, five games behind Florida, and bounced back from back-to-back losses with a 55-48 home win over Alabama on Tuesday. Kentucky allowed the Gators to shoot 60 percent from the field in the second half of a 69-59 setback in the first meeting on Feb. 15.

TV: 12 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: The Gators opened as 9-point home faves.

POWER RANKINGS: Kentucky (-10.4) - Florida (-18.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Florida -10.6

INJURY WATCH: Gators - Dillon Graham (out for season, hip)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "If the Gators shoot like they did against LSU they can't be beaten. Florida has improved in that area - their 38.9 percent clip the last six games is an upgrade over their 35.3 percent season mark - but it is still not a strength." Doc's Sports

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The No. 1 Florida Gators come into this matchup looking to cap a perfect conference schedule, and coming off a drubbing of South Carolina. With that said, the Gators are 0-5 ATS after winning by 20+ points. Kentucky comes into this game 2-2 SU in their last four with one of those losses coming to the same South Carolina team the Gators handled easily. The Gators will be heavy favorites on their home court for this matchup." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (22-8 SU, 12-14-2 ATS, 10-16-2 O/U): The Wildcats are in no real danger of missing out on the NCAA Tournament but could use a momentum boost before their young team begins March Madness in earnest. Kentucky played back-to-back overtime games - beating LSU and falling to Arkansas at home - before losing to lightly-regarded South Carolina last weekend, a setback that sent the team tumbling down the rankings. The Wildcats shot 26.9 percent against the Gamecocks and weren’t much better on Tuesday, when they shot 32.7 percent and needed a comeback in the second half to squeeze out a 55-48 victory over Alabama.

ABOUT FLORIDA (28-2 SU, 13-12-1 ATS, 8-17-1 O/U): The Gators are the best defensive team in the SEC and are balanced on the offensive end, where several different players are capable of taking over a game. It was Casey Prather (24 points) and Scottie Wilbekin (23) doing the damage in the first meeting with Kentucky, and Frazier II got his chance to shine on Tuesday with a school-record 11 3-pointers en route to a career-high 37 points. “I kind of got in the zone, but I never really felt anything,” Frazier told reporters. “I don’t know. I was just kind of there.”

TRENDS:
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
* Under is 11-4 in Gators last 15 Saturday games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Night: North Carolina at Duke

North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils (-8)

North Carolina has come a long way since its 1-4 start to ACC play, and the No. 14 Tar Heels can climb another rung Saturday as they travel to No. 4 Duke for the regular-season finale. North Carolina has won 12 consecutive games, its longest winning streak since capturing the first 13 in 2008-09, and possibly can climb into second place in the conference standings with a victory and a Syracuse loss to Florida State on Sunday. The Tar Heels topped Duke by eight points on Feb. 20 in a game that was postponed eight days because of inclement weather, and the Blue Devils lost again Wednesday against Wake Forest to drop one game behind both North Carolina and Syracuse and into fourth place.

Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski experienced dizziness against Wake Forest, was forced to take a knee during a timeout and later underwent precautionary tests at Duke University Medical Center, but the school released a statement Thursday that said Krzyzewski had “improved considerably” and is likely to be back on the bench against North Carolina. The Tar Heels won their first five games on their current streak by double figures and later blew out Wake Forest by 33 points on Feb. 22, but they’ve won their last three contest by four points or fewer, all against teams in the bottom half of the conference standings. Marcus Paige scored a career-high 35 points in an overtime win over North Carolina State last week, but North Carolina’s leading scorer has been held to single digits the last two games, dropping his scoring average to 16.9.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Blue Devils opened as 8-point home favorites.

POWER RANKINGS: North Carolina (-12.6) - Duke (-16.3) + Home Court (-3.0) = Duke -6.7

INJURY WATCH: N/A

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "If Duke wins the return game with North Carolina on Saturday then they would be the No. 3 seed in the ACC tournament and would potentially have to face Syracuse in the semifinals. I expect the Blue Devils to be a healthy 8 or 9-point home favorite on Saturday vs. UNC." Doc's Sports.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Duke comes into this matchup with UNC looking to avenge their loss two weeks earlier in Chapel Hill, coming off a poor performance against Wake Forest. Duke hasn’t lost outright twice in a row all season and they are 4-1-1 ATS after a loss. Duke will be favored in this spot and I expect a spirited effort from them on their home court." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (23-7 SU, 16-14 ATS, 14-15 O/U ): Leslie McDonald had his best game of the season when these teams met last month, scoring 21 points on 9-of-12 shooting, and Duke likely will key on the 6-5 shooting guard this time around. McDonald also has cooled off the last three games, however, averaging seven points in that stretch to put him at 10.7 for the season. J.P. Tokoto might be the hottest player on the Tar Heels, sinking all five of his field-goal attempts in Monday’s two-point win over Notre Dame and converting 20-of-30 in the last four games overall.

ABOUT DUKE (23-7 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 13-16-1 O/U): Jabari Parker never did hit a freshman wall for the Blue Devils. He has reached double figures in scoring each of the last 13 games and double digits in rebounds the last five, putting him in position to be one of seven freshmen since 2000 to average at least 18 points and eight boards for a season. The 6-8 Parker likely will be guarded by another freshman, 6-9 forward Kennedy Meeks, at the start of the game, but look for 6-9 sophomore Brice Johnson to get some turns against Parker as well.

TRENDS:
* Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Duke.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Tar Heels are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
* Blue Devils are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four vs. Atlantic Coast.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Four NCAAB teams fighting for their tournament lives this weekend
by Chase Ruttig

The final weekend of the regular season is upon us and schools have one last chance to impress the tournament selection committee before the major conference tournaments begin.

Here are some teams holding extra betting value, needing to impress with wins to boost their tournament resumes this weekend:

Nebraska Cornhuskers (18-11, 18-10 ATS)

Opponent: Wisconsin

Nebraska has a good tournament case, but could ink its name in the field of 64 with a big Senior Night win over the No. 11 Badgers Sunday. The Cornhuskers could also secure themselves a top-four finish and a buy into the second round of the Big Ten tournament if they can keep up their impressive homecourt form, as Nebraska has lost just once in Lincoln all year.

Oklahoma State Cowboys (20-10, 12-13-1 ATS)

Opponent: Iowa State

After a long collapse during Big 12 play, the Cowboys have gone from title favorites to a potential bubble team depending on how the conference tournament shakes out. Marcus Smart and the Cowboys can remove the uncertainty with a big road win over a Top 25 team on the final day of their regular season that would most certainly change the script of how their season unfolded.

West Virginia Mountaineers (16-14, 13-14 ATS)

Opponent: Kansas

West Virginia's tournament hopes hinge on a big Senior Night opportunity against the Big 12 regular season champions Kansas. Bob Huggins' Mountaineers are 8-9 in the conference but could make a serious claim for bubble status with a big upset over the Jayhawks. If they lose, they will likely be NIT bound.

Georgetown Hoyas (17-12, 15-13 ATS)

Opponent: Villanova

Georgetown also has a game that might be its only shot at punching a ticket to the tournament when the Hoyas travel to Big East rivals Villanova to close out their season. The Hoyas, at 8-9 in a diluted conference, will need to find a way to topple the regular season champions on Senior Night in order to keep their NCAA dreams alive without having to win out in the conference tournament.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Capping college basketball's tightest conference races
by Chase Ruttig

The final weekend of the NCAAB regular season is finally upon us and many major conferences are still sorting out their pecking order before the postseason tournaments begin.

Basketball bettors can find added value in these teams either trying to grab to top seed in the conference or improve their current one. Here are a few tight conference races to cap this weekend:

American Athletic Conference

Cincinnati at Rutgers (Saturday)
UConn at Louisville (Saturday)

The inaugural AAC regular season title is likely going to be decided on the final day of the season as Cincinnati and Louisville wrap up the year to see which former Big East school will grab top spot.

Cincinnati first has to win a tough game against Memphis at home Thursday, but has the much easier path playing lowly Rutgers Saturday. The Cardinals will need to beat out Shabazz Napier and the Huskies on Senior Night.

ACC

Syracuse at Florida State (Sunday)
North Carolina at Duke (Saturday)

With Virginia clinching the ACC title last weekend, the most intriguing race left in the conference is the weekend battle for the No. 2 seed in the ACC tournament. Syracuse and UNC are tied for second, but Duke can sneak into to the No. 2 spot with a win over UNC and a Syracuse loss to Florida State Sunday.

Big 12

Oklahoma at TCU (Saturday)
Texas at Texas Tech (Saturday)

Rivals Texas and Oklahoma both hope the other school chokes its way out of a tie for the No. 2 seed in the Big 12 Saturday. Both schools walk into Senior Night games on the road in spots where they’re expected to win.

Oklahoma plays last-place TCU while the Longhorns take on lowly Texas Tech. If one of the two gets upset it is likely there will be an outright No. 2 seed and no tiebreakers necessary.

Mountain West Conference

New Mexico at San Diego State (Saturday)

In arguably the biggest game on Saturday's card, New Mexico and San Diego State will settle the regular season outright title. The Lobos head to one of the toughest gyms in the nation to try to spoil the Aztecs party on Senior Night.

With both tied for first in the MWC and both in the Top 25, expect a hard-fought game after the Lobos won by 14 points at home in the first meeting of the year between these mid-major giants.

Big Ten

Wisconsin at Nebraska (Sunday)
Michigan State at Ohio State (Sunday)

Wisconsin and Michigan State are clawing for the No. 2 seed in the Big Ten tournament and have to earn big wins in enemy territory to do so Sunday. The Badgers travel to Nebraska where the Cornhuskers have lost just once all season while the Spartans try to top the Buckeyes on Aaron Craft's Senior Night.

There’s a chance both teams could lose Sunday. But with a shot at better seed in the postseason, both schools are out to ruin some seniors’ big moment at home with convincing wins before the conference tournament tips off.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Inside the Stats: Shockers struggle in MVC tourney
by Marc Lawrence

As we enter this weekend’s action, let’s take inside the stats at what’s happening on the College Hoops and NBA hardwood this season.
Note that all results are ATS (Against The Spread) in games played through Tuesday, March 4 unless noted otherwise.

Final Adieu

Last week we explored the best and worst college basketball teams spread records in their Last Home Games of the season. This week we probe deeper and look at these teams and how they fare when they take to the regular season road in the game immediately after having bid the seniors farewell.

For openers, these teams come up flat when playing away off a loss in their final home game. Worse, they get beat up with regularity in this role when facing a host playing its Last Home Game that is also off a loss, as they are just 77-111-3 ATS in this role since 2000.

From a team trends perspective, here are the very best and very worst performances by a team since 2000 when playing on the regular season road after ‘senior night’ in home finales:

Good
Iowa State 5-0
Mississippi 7-0
Tennessee 5-0

Bad
Marquette 0-5
Nebraska 1-10-1
Purdue 0-9

Surprise, Surprise

As the NBA nears the three-quarter pole, let’s take a look at the teams that have managed to pull off upsets with major alacrity this season.

The top three teams in the league, in terms of SU underdog wins, have been:
Charlotte (19)
Phoenix (18)
Washington (16)

The teams with the fewest SU underdog victories this campaign include:
Miami (2)
Golden State (3)
Indiana (3)

On the other side of the coin, teams that have laid the most eggs – been upset as a favorite – are:
Golden State (16)
Houston (13)
San Antonio (13)

Completing the study, these teams have the rug pulled out on them the fewest times as a favorite this season:
Philadelphia (1)
Milwaukee (3)
Utah (3)

Obviously the teams in both of the ‘fewest’ categories reside there for one simple matter – they are seldom in the role. It’s the teams that lead the brigade on both sides of the ‘most’ ledger that warrant a strong look.

Down And Dirty

Listed below are the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin. Look to 'play on' these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:

Defensive Field Goal Percentage

1. Eastern Michigan 36.9
2. SMU 37.2


3. Southern 37.8

4. North Carolina Central 38.1
5. Virginia 38.2

Rebounding Margin

1. Quinnipiac +11.7
2. Kentucky +10.6
3. Iowa +9.3
4. Tennessee +9.1
5. Arizona +9.0

Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams

Scoring Defense

1. Pacers 91.6

2. Bulls 92.3

3. Grizzlies 95.2

4. Raptors 97.1

5. Bobcats 97.3

Rebounding Margin

1. Thunder +4.9
2. Bulls +4.3
3. Pacers +4.3



4. Rockets +3.8
4. Trailblazers +3.6

Stat Of The Week

Wichita State last won the MVC tournament in 1987, and is 1-18 SU in this tourney since 1991 versus No. 1-4 seeds.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's Early Action
by David Schwab

The final Saturday of college basketball’s regular season waists little time dialing-up some huge showdowns; starting with the top team in the nation, the Florida Gators playing host to No. 25 Kentucky in a high Noon tip. Another 12 p.m. start takes us to the Big 12 where the No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks will look to make one last statement before next week’s conference tournament when they go on the road to face West Virginia. Later in the afternoon, No. 3 Arizona will close-out its season on the road against Oregon.

No. 25 Kentucky Wildcats vs. No. 1 Florida Gators (CBS, 12 p.m.)

Kentucky started the season at the top of both major polls, but it is clinging to a spot in the top 25 after going 3-3 straight-up in its last six games. The Wildcats have also tumbled in standing with bettors after failing to cover in six of their last eight outings. They are 12-5 SU in the SEC with a 10-6 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine games.

As a double-digit favorite in its last four games, Kentucky is just 2-2 SU (0-4 ATS) with an average of 66.5 points per game as opposed to a season average of 76.7 PPG. Freshman forward Julius Randle has been held to a total of 44 points during this stretch which is also below his team-high average of 15.4 PPG. The Wildcats shot 34.2 percent from the field in a four-point loss to Arkansas as 10-point home favorite on Feb. 27 and this fell to a dismal 26.9 percent in a five-point loss to South Carolina a 10-point road favorites this past Saturday.

The Gators are showing no signs of wear from a long season with a pair of blowouts by a combined 44 points in their last two games. A win on Saturday would wrap-up a perfect 18-0 SU run through the SEC and you have to go all the way back to Dec. 2 to find Florida’s last loss. As far as betting on the Gators the record is not nearly as impressive. They are 8-9 ATS in conference play and just 4-5 ATS in their last nine games.

Going back to its play on the court, Florida is averaging 71.1 PPG and it is shooting 45.9 percent from the field and 35.5 percent from 3-point range. Casey Prather leads a foursome of players scoring in double figures with an average of 14.5 points and Michael Frazier II has been the Gators’ top outside shooter with 13.1 PPG while hitting 44.1 percent from 3-point range. If Florida is going to make a deep run in this year’s NCAA Tournament it will still be behind a defense that is ranked fifth in the nation in points allowed (58.2).

Florida has been opened as a nine-point home favorite this time around after beating the Wildcats 69-59 on the road as a 2 ½-point underdog on Feb. 15. The total stayed UNDER the 130 ½-point closing line and it has now stayed UNDER in six of the last seven games.

No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (ESPN, 12 p.m.)

Many hoops experts have penciled Kansas in as one of four No. 1 seeds for the Big Dance, but the Jayhawks realize there is a thin margin of error to actually locking one up after last Saturday’s 72-65 loss to Oklahoma State as one-point road underdogs. They crushed Texas Tech 82-57 this past Wednesday as 14-point home favorites to improve to 14-3 SU and 11-6 ATS in Big 12 play.

Kansas’s freshman phenom Andrew Wiggins appears to be picking up steam at just the right time of the year. He only scored nine points in 23 minutes of play against the Red Raiders, but prior to that he posted at least 14 points in 10 of his previous 11 outings. Wiggins is averaging 16 points as part of a team total of 79.4 PPG.

West Virginia lost the first meeting against the Jayhawks this season 83-69 as a 13-point road underdog as part of its 8-9 SU record in the Big 12. The Mountaineers have stumbled down the stretch with a 1-5 record both SU and ATS in their last six games. They head into this season finale fresh off Wednesday’s 72-62 loss to Oklahoma as eight-point underdogs on the road. The total has now stayed UNDER in their last three outings.

Despite scoring an average of just 71 points in its last five games, West Virginia is still ranked 32nd in the nation in PPG with 78. It is shooting 44.1 percent from the field and a respectable 38.2 percent from 3-point range. A big piece of this production will be missing against Kansas with Terry Henderson sidelined with mono. Another issue in this matchup is a Mountaineers’ defense that is giving-up an average of 73.1 PPG.

Kansas comes into Saturday’s game as a four-point road favorite to complete the season sweep. It has won all three games against the Mountaineers SU since West Virginia joined the Big 12. The Wildcats have a 2-1 edge ATS and the total has gone OVER in the last two games.

No. 3 Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks (CBS, 4 p.m.)

Despite tripping-up against Utah as 14-point home favorites in late January and Arizona State on Feb. 14 as 5 ½-point favorites on the road, the Wildcats remain in excellent shape for a No. 1 seed in this year’s NCAA Tournament with a SU record of 28-2 including a 15-2 run through the Pac-12. They rebounded from a 0-5 record ATS in late January and early February with a 5-2 record ATS in their last seven games. The total has gone OVER in their last four outings.

The loss of Brandon Ashley for the season took a bite out of Arizona’s offensive attack, but it still has Nick Johnson and Aaron Gordon playing at a high level. Johnson is averaging 16.3 PPG and he has put-up 20 or more points in three of his last four games. Gordon leads the team in rebounds with 7.8 a game and he is chipping-in another 12 PPG. The Wildcats’ biggest strength remains a defense that is ranked sixth in the nation in points allowed (58.5).

Oregon comes into its season finale riding a SU six-game winning streak that has taken its conference record above .500 to 9-8. The Ducks have gone a profitable 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight outings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the eight games. They are 8-7-1 ATS at home this season and the total has gone OVER in 11 of 15 home games.

One of the big reasons for this late-season surge has been a return to form for an offense that is ranked eighth in the country in points (82.9) and shooting 46.7 percent from the field and 38.5 percent from 3-point range. Joseph Young is averaging a team-high 18.6 PPG and he has reached or exceeded this total in seven of his last 10 games. Mike Moser has also been a force with 13.8 points and 8.1 rebounds a game.

The Wildcats have been opened as three-point road favorites over Oregon after squeezing-out a tight 67-65 victory in the first meeting this season on Feb. 6 as 12-point favorites at home. Arizona has the 7-2 edge SU in the last nine games of this series, but the Ducks are 4-0 ATS in the last four. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

College Basketball: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic

Kentucky at Florida

The top-ranked Florida Gators (28-2, 13-12-1 ATS) attempt to keep their 22-game winning streak alive on Saturday night when they host Kentucky (22-8, 12-14-2 ATS) in a regular season finale for both teams. Gators also put their 17-0 unbeaten conference record (9-8 ATS) on the line against John Calipari's Kentucky Wildcats. Florida has already taken down Kentucky once this season at Rupp Arena (69-59) cashing as 2.5 point road dogs which moved Gators' ATS mark to 5-3 last eight meetings, 11-5-1 last seventeen encounters including 6-2 ATS hosting Cats. NCAAB bettors in the Kentucky camp will be a little edgy as Wildcats have been underdogs four times this season cashing just a single ticket (1-3 ATS) and are 4-7 ATS L11 in an underdog roll during regular season.

Kansas at West Virginia

Kansas (23-7, 15-14-1 ATS) has wrapped up it's 10th consecutive Big-12 regular season title and could be a little complacent in the finale vs West Virginia (16-14, 13-14 ATS). Mountaineers who've done well of late cashing on home court (4-1 ATS) might be worth a second look as KU's freshman Joel Embiid (11.2 PPG) is sitting out this game and Jayhawks are just 1-4 ATS last five away from Allen Fieldhouse hardwood.

North Carolina at Duke

Duke Blue Devils stunned 82-72 at Wake Forest Wednesday return to Durham for it's regular season finale against bitter rival North Carolina Tar Heels. Blue Devils have a tough one in store. The Tar Heels have reeled off twelve straight wins (9-3 ATS) including a 74-66 victory over Blue Devils in Chapel Hill. Still, got to like Blue Devils chances. Coach K's troops have shown a tendency to bounce back from a straight up regular season loss, compiling a sparkling 22-0 mark covering the spread in fifteen of those twenty-two games (15-6-1 ATS). The venue also plays into Duke's favor, Blue Devils are on a 32-0 (17-14-1 ATS) streak at Cameron Indoor Stadium including 17-0 (10-6-1 ATS) hosting a conference rival.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

**Clippers looking strong when double-digit favs
Justin Hartling

The Los Angeles Clippers have been lights out as huge favorites. The Clippers have covered the past six games when they were favored by double-digit points. The most recent victim of this trend was the Lakers, the Clippers cross-city rival, who got demolished by 48 points Thursday.

As added motivation to bettors, the home team has covered the last five games between the Clippers and the Atlanta Hawks, who LA will host Saturday..

The Clippers opened +13.5 when they host the slumping Hawks.

**Bottom-dwellers Jazz/76ers solid Over play

When the Utah Jazz and the Philadelphia 76ers play, they've managed to muster some rare offense. In the past 21 match-ups between the Jazz and 76ers, the Over is 16-5.

The games also trend towards to Over when they are played in Philly. Out of the past 10 played in the Wells Fargo Center the Jazz and 76ers have gone Over seven times.

The Jazz and 76ers open with a total of 206.5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors support Manchester United away from Old Trafford
Andrew Avery

For all of Manchester United's struggles during this Premier League campaign, they've fared reasonably well away from home.

The Red Devils sit fourth in the table in away form with 24 points in 14 matches.

They'll look to get another three points away from Old Trafford as they visit The Hawthorns to face West Brom Saturday and bettors are supporting the away win.

"Much has been made of Man United's bad form this season, but their away form in the league is good and the Baggies are a sinking ship at the minute," says Aron Black of Bet365. "Full-time Result action is all bout the away win (-118), with bits and piece on the home win (+375) and the draw (+260)."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Norwich keeping visitors off scoresheet
Andrew Avery

Norwich hasn't had too much to chirp about this season, but the Canaries are playing some tidy football at Carrow Road recently.

The side has kept the last four visitors to Carrow Road (Hull, Newcastle, Manchester City, Spurs) off the scoresheet and will look to extend that to five as Stoke visits Saturday.

Norwich is currently +125 to win (Draw +230, Stoke +260) with the Under -175 (Over +135).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chelsea host Spurs in weekend's marquee game
by Andrew Avery

Tottenham Hotspur is the best away team in the Premier League with 29 points in 14 matches, but the squad will be tested in a must-win game when it appears from the Stamford Bridge tunnel Saturday.

League-leading Chelsea (63 points) is ahead of Tottenham by 10 points, but both have different targets to reach this season. Chelsea has Premier League title aspirations, while Tottenham is shooting for Champions League football. Therefore, this fixture is the biggest of the weekend and one neither can afford to lose.

"The Blues are sitting on top of the prem and that wont change regardless the result, but ensuring to take full points when other title rivals are not playing is vital," says Aron Black of Bet365. "Spurs on the other hand still have hopes of finishing in the top 4, and although it’s a tough task to get there, a win here would at least put them closer to the top four and keep the hopes alive. Full-time Result action sees both sides being supported but the home win has the majority of the handle, but a fair amount of support for the +600 away win."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

UFC Fight Night 38 Preview
By Sportsbook

Event: UFC Fight Night 38
Date: March 8, 2014
Venue: O2 Arena
Location: London, England

Alexander Gustafsson (15-2) vs. Jimi Manuwa (14-0)

Sportsbook Line: Gustafsson -475, Manuwa +350

Alexander Gustafsson has a rematch with Jon Jones in the future, but will face another difficult matchup on Saturday against Jimi Manuwa in UFC Fight Night 38 in London.

Gustafsson has not fought since the title loss to Jon Jones on Sept. 21, but showed the UFC world how great of fighter he is. In that match, he lost by unanimous decision, but many of the experts in the sport feel that Gustafsson deserved to get the victory, partly because he landed significantly more strikes (134) than Jones did (110). At 6-foot-5, Gustafsson has incredible size and length that very few fighters have. He is as complete of a fighter as there is in the UFC, and will present major problems for Manuwa. Very few fighters have been as dominant in their career as the unbeaten Manuwa. While he has not faced some of the top fighters in the sport, his last victory on Oct. 26 was an impressive win against a talented fighter in Ryan Jimmo. Manuwa was able to get the victory with a second-round injury stoppage, and will be coming into this fight very confident.

Gustafsson has 15 victories in his career, with nine of them coming by way of knockout. The 27-year-old is truly a complete fighter, with three wins by both decision and submission. He also knows how to put away opponents quickly with eight first-round finishes. His biggest advantage is his length, as he stands three inches taller than his Saturday opponent. With this great reach, "The Mauler" is able to control the fight and not allow his opponents to get near him at all. Gustafsson will also have a big advantage in this match when it comes to defending against the strike (49% defended by Gustafsson, 35% by Manuwa). This is in large part because of his ability to keep his opponents at bay. While the Swede is very impressive when it comes to landing strikes (4.11 per minute), he could be at a disadvantage if this becomes a straight boxing match against the knockout artist Manuwa.

The 34-year-old Manuwa has 14 victories in his career, with 13 of those coming by way of knockout and the other one coming by submission. And like Gustafsson, Manuwa doesn't waste any time when he steps into the Octagon with 10 first-round finishes. He is an extremely physical fighter, and he is ready to knock his opponent out at any given moment. "Poster Boy" averages 4.82 significant strikes landed per minute, and is also very accurate when landing those strikes, at 64%, which is much better than Gustafsson's 37% accuracy rate. Manuwa fights out of London, so he should have the backing of the fans in attendance. This is the type of guy that goes into every single fight thinking he is going to win the match, and that confidence will be a big factor on Saturday as well. If he is able to control the fight early and get close enough to Gustafsson to land some significant blows, then he has a great chance of pulling off the major upset.

Michael Johnson (15-8) vs. Melvin Guillard (48-13-3)

Sportsbook Line: Johnson -130, Guillard Even

Michael Johnson looks to score another big victory in his career as he goes up against a very experienced fighter in Melvin Guillard at UFC Fight Night in London on Saturday.

Johnson has a two-match winning streak, and is coming off a dominating victory against Gleison Tibau on Dec. 28 when he finished off his opponent with a flurry of punches in the second round. Johnson is a big-time athlete that does a great job of using his speed and athleticism to keep bringing the pressure on his opponents. At 27 years old, he is just entering the prime of his career, and a win over Melvin Guillard would be another big step in that direction. The 30-year-old Guillard has been in the sport for many years, and is considered as one of the toughest competitors in all of MMA. He has gone up against some great fighters such as Donald Cerrone and Nate Diaz, and will be ready to go up against another talented fighter in Johnson.

"The Menace" Johnson has 15 victories on his resume, with seven coming by way of knockout. He also has two wins by submission, leaving the other six by decision. He will have a slight advantage in this match when it comes to strikes landed per minute, averaging 3.53 compared to just 3.24 from Guillard. Johnson is also very good with his takedown defense, which could play a big role in this bout. He has a takedown defense rate of 77 %, while Guillard defends 65% of his opponents' takedowns. This is even more important though, as Guillard is very good with his takedown accuracy, completing 70% of his takedown attempts (57% for Johnson). Johnson is a young fighter that has a lot of potential in the sport and has a two-inch height advantage on Saturday, but he can’t afford to overlook the crafty veteran. Guillard is the type of opponent that is going to fight his style no matter what, and not let the bright lights change his mindset at all.

Of Guillard's 48 career victories, 26 have come by way of decision. However, he has frequently displayed his punching power with an impressive 20 wins in knockout fashion. He doesn't land as many strikes as his opponent by he is more accurate (42% to 39%) and defends strikes better at 68% (61% for Johnson). While Guillard does not win a lot of matches by submission (just two in his career), and has lost nine times by this method, his ground game is key to his ability to win matches by decision. "The Young Assassin" gains many points throughout the bout that gives him the edge to win by decision. He also is in terrific shape, which helps allow him to go the distance in the fight. If he is able to take the match to Johnson and keep it on the ground, he will have a great chance of winning this match as the slight underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Moore (YouWinNow) - 4* North Carolina

#621 4* North Carolina +7.5 (9:00 est) ESPN

This is a very big number for Duke to be laying right now considering the way they are playing. They are only 2-2 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games and they only have 1 cover in their last 6 games. The Tar Heels have covered 3 of the last 4 in this series and they have covered their last 3 trips to Duke. Take the points with Carolina here. Thank you and good luck.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Colorado won five of last six games. Blues won their last three games, allowing five goals.
-- Flyers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Bruins won their last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Devils won three of their last four home games.
-- Blue Jackets won three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota won its last five games, allowing six goals. Dallas Stars won six of their last nine games.
-- Flames won three of their last four games.
-- San Jose won five of last seven games. Canadiens won six of their last nine.


Cold teams
-- Senators lost four of their last five games. Winnipeg lost four of last six.
-- Toronto lost three of its last four games.
-- Lightning lost four of their last five games.
-- Hurricanes lost six of their last seven games.
-- Coyotes lost last four road games, three by one goal. Washington lost its last three games, allowing total of 14 goals.
-- Nashville lost six of its last seven games.
-- Canucks lost 11 of their last 12 games.

Totals
-- Last four Winnipeg games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten St Louis-Colorado games stayed under.
-- Last four Philly games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Tampa Bay games went over total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Carolina-New Jersey games.
-- Four of last five Washington games went over total.
-- Four of last five Columbus games went over total.
-- Three of last four Dallas games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Calgary games.
-- Four of last five Montreal games went over total.

Series records
-- Senators won six of last eight games with Winnipeg.
-- Blues won six of last eight games with Colorado.
-- Maple Leafs won three of last four games with Philly.
-- Bruins won their last four games with Tampa Bay.
-- Devils won eight of last twelve games with Carolina.
-- Home team won last five Phoenix-Washington games.
-- Predators are 11-6 in last 17 games with Columbus.
-- Minnesota lost 15 of last 16 visits to Dallas.
-- Canucks won their last five games with Calgary.
-- Sharks won three of last four games with Montreal.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Hot teams
-- Knicks won last two games, after losing previous seven.
-- Bobcats won six of their last nine games.
-- Memphis won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Spurs won eight of their last nine games (6-3 vs spread).
-- Wizards won seven of their last eight games.
-- Clippers won/covered their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost six of their last eight games.
-- 76ers lost their last 15 games (3-12 vs spread). Jazz lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Magic lost seven of last ten games, is 10-20-2 vs spread on road.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last eight games.
-- Atlanta lost 13 of last 14 games, covered once in last eight.

Series records
-- Knicks won six of last eight games with Cleveland.
-- Home side won last eight Utah-Philly games.
-- Grizzlies won three of last four games with Charlotte.
-- Spurs won seven of last eight games with Orlando.
-- Wizards won four of last six games with Milwaukee; both meetings this year (1-1) went to overtime.
-- Clippers lost seven of last nine games with Atlanta.

Totals
-- Nine of last thirteen New York games went over total.
-- Five of last six Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Memphis games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Orlando-San Antonio games went over.
-- Four of last five Washington games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Atlanta games.