Service Plays Saturday 1/7/17

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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GL!

 

[d3nv3r]

Halfmoon (4-2 Last week - 6-5 last 2 weeks - 65-36-4 65% Season)

Wild card Saturday:

HOU -3.5
HOU Under 36.5

DET +8
DET Under 43

Wild card Sunday:

GB -4.5
GB Under 44.5

PIT -10
PIT Under 47

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROOSTER

Texans over 36.5

 

[MrUnlucky]

Looking for stats on Wild Card Round for last 5+ years. Home team versus underdogs. Believe underdogs have done well, and home teams ML and teased are nearly unbeatable.

 

[gremlin]

Looking for stats on Wild Card Round for last 5+ years. Home team versus underdogs. Believe underdogs have done well, and home teams ML and teased are nearly unbeatable.

Wildcard SOS Angle. Since 2002 team with a higher Sagarin Strength of Schedule: 40-16 straight up and 40-15-1 ATS
Teams with Strength of Schedule margin of 10+ went 23-4 SU, 22-4-1 ATS . 85% win rate.

Raiders, Lions, Steelers, Giants had higher strength of schedule. (Play on these teams)
Raiders and Steelers have SOS with margin greater than 10 for 85% win trend.

:chest:

 

[ryangenero]

Football Jesus podcast /Twitter NFL sat Seahawks-pts

 

[sportscrazy]

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif, WaWebKitSavedSpanIndex_0]Norm Hitzges
DOUBLE PLAY: Pittsburgh -10 Miami

SINGLE PLAYS:

Houston -3 1/2 Oakland
Houston--Oakland UNDER 36 1/2
Seattle--Detroit OVER 43 1/2
Pittsburgh---Miami OVER 46


[/FONT]

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

otto
20 raiders over 36.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr Bob

Houston over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Rickenbach

8* Oakland
10* Detroit

Daytime Dominator Saturday - Rickenbach NFL 8* Oakland Raiders (+3.5) @ Houston Texans @ 4:35 ET - Both teams have issues at QB and I'll gladly take the points here. Houston is expected to go with Brock Osweiler because of Tom Savage's concussion. Oakland is expected to go with Connor Cook because back-up QB Matt McGloin injured his shoulder. Of course regular starting QB Derek Carr is out with a broken fibula. Everyone is likely to flock to Houston here because of having the home field edge and because of the Raiders being down to their 3rd string QB. However, the Texans offense is such a weakness (especially with Osweiler running the show) that I would not be surprised to see Oakland hang around throughout this game and then spring the upset late. Even if Houston does hang on for a win here I expect it to be by 3 points or less. Remember Oakland got the comeback win over the Texans in the Mexico City game not too long ago. Houston is only 7-7 in their last 14 games and every single win was decided by just a single possession. The average margin of victory in the 7 Texans wins was just 4 points. Houston's last 6 wins have seen 4 decided by a field goal or less. Look for everyone on the Raiders to "step up" and bring a huge effort because they know they have a rookie QB to support. Sometimes that brings the best of efforts out of an entire team and that is what I expect here as Cook makes his first-ever NFL start. The Raiders are a long-term 35-15 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 points. They are also 7-1 ATS the past 3 seasons when off of a loss to a division rival. The Texas are 0-5 ATS this season when off of a game against a divisional foe. 8* OAKLAND Saturday afternoon



NFL Value Game of the Week Saturday - Rickenbach NFL 10* Top Play Detroit Lions (+8) @ Seattle Seahawks @ 8:15 ET - No one will want the Lions here and you know what that means at this time of year. Yes, I am being a contrarian and grabbing Detroit plus the big points. Of course it is certainly not without support! One of the biggest keys is that if you look at who Seattle has played this year you become much less impressed with them. The Seahawks certainly benefited in their own division because the Rams and 49'ers were awful this season. Those teams combined for a 6-26 record this season. Of course the other divisional foe was Arizona and Seattle did not defeat the Cardinals in either game. The Seahawks lost at home to the Cards just a few weeks ago and they tied the Cardinals at Arizona much earlier this season in a game where Seattle didn't even deserve to get the tie. The point is that Seattle ended up 3-2-1 in a division where the other teams were a combined 13-34-1. That is NOT impressive. Outside of their division the Seahawks lost to New Orleans and Tampa Bay (non-playoff teams with combined 16-16 record). Seattle did get to face a couple playoffs team and most of the results were not overly impressive when you try to justify laying big points here with the Seahawks. They beat Houston by 2 points, beat Atlanta by 2 points and lost at Green Bay by 28 points! Their only impressive win was of course the revenging win they got at New England in a primetime game where they played their best game of the season and managed to hang on for the win. While Detroit struggled to finish out the season those defeats against 3 straight playoff teams truly "swung" on big plays that shifted the momentum in each game. The playoffs are here, the Lions are battle-tested, and they'll hang in this one all the way. Detroit does have a solid defense and they only lost 2 games by more than 7 points this entire season. The Lions have some playoff experience under coach Jim Caldwell (lost by just 4 at Dallas two years ago) and the Seahawks are getting priced here as if they're the powerhouse they were two and three seasons ago when they made the Super Bowl each year. This team is not as that level. Grab the value here with the big dog. 10* Top Play DETROIT LIONS Saturday night

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASI

NFL
PATRICK
Saturday January 7th
HOU TEXANS -200 OAK RAIDERS (435PM) [ 2 UNIT SELECTION ]

JEFF
Saturday January 7th
DET LIONS / SEA SEAHAWKS OVER 43 (815PM) [ 2 UNIT SELECTION ]

 

[goldencontender]

Gc: Ncaab

Wild card weekend is up with a 27-1 NFL Total + a 92% system side. NBA Blowout system wins by average 22 points and 3 NCAAB Power Play one is a big 5*. NCAAB Comp play below


The NCAAB comp play power system Play is on Georgetown plus the 3 points at 12 noon eastern. The Hoyas have won 2 of the last 3 here against Butler and are 4-1 ats off 3+ ats losses and 4-1 at home if the total is 145 to 150 and they are averaging 83 per game at home. Butler is in a big play against system that pertains to road favorites off a dog win over the #1 ranked team vs an opponent off a loss. Butler will be in a for a tough game here against a motivated Hoya team. Play on Georgetown. Play for 3 units at +3 or more. On Saturday a tremendous card is up with a 92% System Play in the AFC Wild card game, a 27-1 NFC Totals play and a powerful NCAB Card where we are on a 6-1 run. In the NBA We have a huge 22 point blowout system that is undefeated the last 22 years. Jump on as We finished #1 in all sports combined for 2016 on Top leader boards. For the NCAAB Free Pick. Take Georgetown plus the points. GC

 

[safecracker]

Wildcard SOS Angle. Since 2002 team with a higher Sagarin Strength of Schedule: 40-16 straight up and 40-15-1 ATS
Teams with Strength of Schedule margin of 10+ went 23-4 SU, 22-4-1 ATS . 85% win rate.

Raiders, Lions, Steelers, Giants had higher strength of schedule. (Play on these teams)
Raiders and Steelers have SOS with margin greater than 10 for 85% win trend.

:chest:

Thanks Gremlin.
Let's scratch Oakland with a 3rd string rookie QB.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WAYNE ROOT

MILL--Houston -
_________________
Perfect Play--Seattle -
The 12th man will be out in full force as Seattle hosts the Detroit Lions. It has been 25 years since the Lions won a playoff game, and for that streak to end, they’ll only need to go into arguably the toughest road venue in the NFL and play one of their best games of the season. After going 7-1 at home this year, the Seahawks get to rev it up for the playoffs. They have a nine-game home winning streak in the playoffs that dates to 2005 and are 38-6 at home over the past five seasons. The Lions are 2-7 when allowing more than 100 yards rushing in a game this year and they gave up more than 150 in season-ending losses to the Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers. Matt Stafford has thrown for 703 yards with four touchdowns and five turnovers in two prior playoff starts. He has thrown five interceptions in the past 15 quarters but insist his injured finger is not an issue. The Seahawks have one of the best pass rushes in the game with Cliff Avril, Frank Clark and Michael Bennett, and the Lions have struggled in pass protection at times with two rookies playing up front. The Lions aren’t entering the playoffs on a high note having lost three straight, and the Seahawks, with a nine-game home playoff winning streak, might have the best home-field advantage in the NFL.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA*|*DENVER*at*OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against - Any team (DENVER) terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games
81-40*over the last 5 seasons.**(*66.9%*|*37.0 units*)
47-29*this year.**(*61.8%*|*15.1 units*)

NBA*|*CHARLOTTE*at*SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, in January games
68-62*over the last 5 seasons.**(*52.3%*|*43.3 units*)
1-4*this year.**(*20.0%*|*-2.8 units*)

NBA*|*ATLANTA*at*DALLAS
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in January games
65-30*over the last 5 seasons.**(*68.4%*|*32.0 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CBB*|*GONZAGA*at*PORTLAND
Play Against - A road team (GONZAGA) in a game involving two excellent FT shooting teams (>=73%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)

CBB*|*E CAROLINA*at*TEMPLE
Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (TEMPLE) off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%)
90-17*since 1997.**(*84.1%*|*48.0 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-4.0 units*)

CBB*|*OKLAHOMA ST*at*BAYLOR
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 70.5 to 75.5 off an upset loss as a favorite, with four starters returning from last season
46-18*over the last 5 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
6-3*this year.**(*66.7%*|*2.7 units*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NFL*|*OAKLAND*at*HOUSTON
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
68-32*since 1997.**(*68.0%*|*32.8 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)

NFL*|*OAKLAND*at*HOUSTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (HOUSTON) revenging a road loss against opponent, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival
142-111*since 1997.**(*56.1%*|*0.0 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.0 units*)

NFL*|*NY GIANTS*at*GREEN BAY
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (NY GIANTS) off a upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season
115-62*since 1997.**(*65.0%*|*46.8 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports Football Selections for Saturday, January 7th
500,000* AFC Playoffs Super Lock of the Year!!!!!
Oakland Raiders + 4

You Win or we'll email you Sunday's Football Update Free of Charge!!!

Football Best Bets
James Madison - 8
Youngstown State/James Madison over 63
Detroit + 8
Detroit/Seattle under 43 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports The NBA Basketball Service Update

From #1 Sports.


#1 Sports NBA Selections for Saturday, January 7th
500,000* NBA "Road Warriors" Super Lock of the Month!!!!!
Toronto Raptors - 2 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Sunday's NBA Update Free of Charge!!!

NBA Best Bets
New York + 7
Boston - 7
Utah - 3
Charlotte + 10 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports NCAA BB Selections for Early Saturday, January 7th

500,000* College Basketball on FOX Lock of the Year!!!!!
Butler Bulldogs - 2 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Tonight's NCAA BB Update Free of Charge!!!

Early NCAA BB Best Bets
Pittsburgh + 3 1/2
Massachusetts + 11
Georgia Tech + 13 1/2
Colorado State - 7