Service Plays Saturday 09/05/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

-= TOP PLAY =-
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Akron vs Penn State Penn State
-26-108 at 5dimes
5* NCAAF Non-Conference GOTY on Penn State -26
The Nittany Lions dominated their non-conference schedule last season and I fully expect that to be the case again. They started off the year with a 66-10 win over Coastal Carolina and they'll be looking to send a message right out of the gate that they are every bit as good as last year's team. Quarterback Daryll Clark and running back Evan Royster lead the offense, but I expect Penn State's defense to be the key here. The Nittany Lions ranked 8th in the nation last year in both total and scoring defense and I expect them to be even better this season. The Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the MAC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Lay the points.

NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Toledo vs Purdue Toledo
+10½-110 at 5dimes
4* Major Week 1 Underdog Shocker on Toledo +10.5
Toledo beat a Michigan team last season that was better than the Purdue team they will face Saturday. Plus, this Toledo team, which returns 16 starters is expected to be greatly improved as well. The Boilermakers will be a bottom of the barrel type team in the Big Ten this season. No Curtis Painter and no Kory Sheets equals no offense. The Boilermakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. the MAC and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take the points.


NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (4:00p)
Rice vs UAB UAB
-5-110 at bodog
4* Major Conference USA Game of the Month on UAB -5
UAB returns all 11 offensive starters, and I expect this unit, led by QB Joe Webb to torch a Rice defense which allowed 33.0 ppg last season. The Owls won 10 games last year but lost all of their offense and won't be able to answer the call. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September. The Blazers are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. UAB finished the season with 3 wins in its last 5 games, and nearly beat Conference USA champ East Carolina. Look for UAB to be jacked up to start the year at home and in conference play.

NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (7:00p)
Ul Monroe vs Texas Texas
-40½-102 at 5dimes
3* SMASH on Texas -40.5
IL Monroe is one of the worst football teams in the country. The Longhorns opened up last football season with a 42-point win over a much better FAU squad. They then posted 42-point wins in their next two home non-conference games. The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the S-Belt. Plus, UL Monroe is 7-21 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992. Texas will win by as much as they want to and that should be good enough for a cover here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

North Coast Sports Line

Free 4* Power Play
Michigan

Underdog Play of the Week
Washington Huskies

Economy Club Play
Baylor

Big 12 POW
Colorado

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RAS early College FB for 9/5/2009

#147 Akron +27

#170 E Mich -5

#183 ID +3

#199 MTSU +19'

All for 1 Unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WUNDERDOG NCAAF PICKS

Game: Baylor at Wake Forest (Saturday 9/05 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Wake Forest -2 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Demon Deacons have certainly been more of a factor in the ACC the past few years than they had been in the past. The good news is that Riley Skinner returns at QB with an offense that has nine starters returning. This has been great news for teams in the past as those returning nine starters have been a perfect 25-0 the past three years playing an out-of-conference game in the first month of the season. They are 55-7 over the past decade. And with the line set low, this provides a very favorable situation for Wake. Jim Grobe has gotten it done here as they have 28 wins in his last three seasons at the helm. Baylor has not been a factor for a longtime in the Big-12 and won't be this season either, despite an exciting QB in Robert Griffin. He can't do it alone and Baylor has had a lot of key departures from a year ago. Griffin could find the going tough, especially early as his offensive line is going to need some time to develop. In week one, that just isn't likely to happen. I'll go with Wake Forest in this one.
Game: Western Michigan at Michigan (Saturday 9/05 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Michigan -11.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The first year for Michigan under Rich Rodriguez was certainly one full of adjustments. They had a horrible season. But his teams are noted for making big strides in year two, and he certainly has the supporting cast in place to do just that in 2009. The offense returns nine starters from last year's team. What does that mean in this game? Home favorites that return 9+ offensive starters that are playing a non-conference opponent during the first month of the season have been premier bets to win the game, having gone 25-0 the past three seasons and 55-7 the past ten seasons. That does not even begin to tell the whole story here. The last five years in this situation the games have been brutally lopsided as the team returning the nine offensive players has won by an average score of 37.5 to 14.8. That is a huge 22.7 points per game. That sets the stage for a Michigan blowout in this one. Michigan is a bit underrated right now, given their disastrous 2008 campaign. We'll take advantage of that and get them here at a line well below what it should be.
Game: San Jose State at U S C (Saturday 9/05 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on U S C -34 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The departure of one of the top QBs in the nation (Mark Sanchez) would leave most teams scrambling to find success the following year. But that simply has not been the case at USC. It's more like a yearly occurrence. The offense is loaded with playmakers, and the defense should be one of the top units in the country, if not the top. The Trojans have a veteran line to ease the transition. San Jose State has made strides, but the talent they face week-in and week-out pales in comparison to what they will see here in this one. Last year, they had one of the top defenses in the country, but against a lackluster schedule. The problem was that the three competent offenses they saw in Boise State, Nevada and Nebraska all burned them for an average of 36.3 ppg and this year's version isn't as talented. Offensively, they were held to 17 points or less in seven games, and that came against defenses that aren't even close to what they will face here. I would not be surprised to see the USC defense outscore the Spartan’s offense in this one. The Trojans are 29-17 ATS as a home favorite and 24-12 ATS in non-conference games under Pete Carroll. I like USC in a blowout.
Game: Nevada at Notre Dame (Saturday 9/05 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Notre Dame -14 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

It has been a long time since Notre Dame has been a player on the National scene. Could this be the year the Irish rise and become a player once again? It could be a special year for two reasons. The first is that the talent level and experience is the most promising in years. And the second is that the schedule is pretty easy. Outside of USC midway through the season, the Irish have a full slate of winnable games on the schedule and it starts with the Wolfpack from Nevada. This will be the first trip ever for a Wolfpack team into South Bend, and it could just add to the normal game one jitters. The Wolfpack can score with the best of them, but the problem is that they can't stop a competent offense. In their four biggest games last year, the defense surrendered 69 points to Missouri, 35 to Texas Tech, 42 to Maryland and 41 points to Boise State. That is an average of 47 ppg. Not only did they all result in losses, but they went 0-4 ATS as well. In the past 15 seasons, the Wolfpack have gone 27-48 ATS when allowing 28+ points and Notre Dame is sure to reach that threshold here. The Irish have a good enough defense to hold them down, but the Wolfpack just doesn't have any answers on defense. In the end, it will cost them. Irish get the win and cover here.
Game: Missouri vs. Illinois (Saturday 9/05 3:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Missouri +7 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Tigers lost a lot of talent, but that doesn't mean that there isn't a lot of talent left. They will certainly miss Chase Daniels at QB, but what they do have is an above-average running game that will assist the development of new QB Blaine Gabbert. The defense has certainly seen some potent offenses, so nothing they see from Illinois will shake them. New DC Dave Steckel has already made the necessary changes in discipline and schemes. Juice Williams will lead a dynamic attack for the Illini, but again, Missouri has seen the best QBs in the country, so this isn't going to be anything but business as usual. While everyone expects the Tigers' offense to take a giant step back, I think it will still be great, especially against the back seven of this Illini defense, which is not very good. Missou has won six of the last seven games between these two clubs and Illinois was 1-5 on the road last season. I'll take the points here and go with Missouri.
Game: U L Monroe at Texas (Saturday 9/05 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Texas -40.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Laying 40 points? Yeah - in this one, no problem. All you have to do is look at UL Monroe last season playing Mississippi and Auburn. Despite an offense that averaged nearly 30 ppg otherwise, they didn't net a single point in either of those games, while the defense surrendered 93 points! Now they have no QB and have to replace nearly their entire defensive line. It doesn’t help that they facing one of the top defenses, and one of the most explosive offenses in college football. Looking back at some games the Longhorns have played at home against Sun Belt teams provides further evidence that they can cover this big line. Here are four openers against Sun Belt teams: Texas won 52-10, 56-7, 60-3 and 65-0. This line is extremely high, but this Texas team has proven that it can deliver and cover against this type of opponent, and this may be the best Texas team of them all. Think the Longhorns will outgain the Warhawks by 200+ yards in this game? I think it's very, very likely to happen. If it does, it's a good sign as Texas is 44-11 ATS the past fifteen seasons when they accomplish that feat. I'd be surprised if UL Monroe can muster 14 points while Texas should score 60 or more. The Longhorns get the call here.
Game: San Diego State at U C L A (Saturday 9/05 7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on U C L A -20 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Aztec's head coach Brady Hoke inherits a team that won just two games a year ago and suffered seven losses by 25 points or more. Outside of QB Brian Lindley, the talent level here is going to take the former Ball State coach time to develop and upgrade. This is a lacking team that has gotten blown-out on a weekly basis. The Mountain West has some good teams, but losing seven games by 25+ shows just how far they have to go. San Diego State had no preseason 1st team conference selections (in a lesser conference). They had just one that was chosen for the second team. Meanwhile the Bruins have 16 starters returning so the talent difference in this game is huge. UCLA will field one of the top defenses in the Pac-10, and that will be the deciding factor in this one. San Diego State scored 14 points or less in eight games a year ago. They averaged 9.8 points per game on the road where they went 2-4 ATS. When facing the top four teams in the conference, they lost by an average margin of 34.3 points per game. I don't see anything here that will change that. UCLA has gone 21-9 ATS in their last 30 non-conference home games. UCLA gets the call here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CONGROVE COMPUTER RANKINGS

Saturday, September 5

EASTERN MICHIGAN (-4.5) by 16.94 over Army - Ron English debuts as head coach for EMU. Rich Ellerson has his debut with Army. Both teams are coming off 3-9 seasons. I don't have enough enthusiasm for EMU to agree with the computer's 17-point margin, but returning experience weighs heavily in the Eagles' favor and home field advantage doesn't hurt.

Kentucky (-10) by 17.14 over Miami, Ohio at Cincinnati - All the major preseason publications have both of these teams at or near the bottom of their respective divisions, but 10 points proved to be a weak opening line set by the oddsmakers. The Red Hawks lost last year's season opener at home to Vanderbilt by 21 points. This game will be the head coaching debut for Miami's Michael Haywood.

TEXAS (-36) by 39.28 over Louisiana-Monroe - Texas is opening at home against a Sun Belt team for the 6th straight season. The Longhorns won four of the previous five matchups with SBC teams by at least 42 points.

Lsu (-14) by 24.41 over WASHINGTON - After a down year, LSU is expected to be back in the mix for the SEC West title. The Huskies are coming off a disastrous 0-12 season and haven't posted a winning season since 2002. New head coach Steve Sarkisian inherits a Washington team that was outscored 463-159 last year.

Minnesota (-6) by 14.96 over SYRACUSE - Doug Marrone is the new head coach at Syracuse which has just two home wins over FBS teams in the last two seasons combined. Minnesota's Tim Brewster was 1-11 in his debut campaign in 2007, but improved to 7-6 last year. However, the Golden Gophers begin the season on a 5-game losing streak.

DOGS TO COVER
Mississippi (-17) by 6.76 over MEMPHIS - Ole Miss is 2-1 in its last three games at Memphis, and both wins were decided by 4 points or less.

UPSETS
Saturday, September 5

Buffalo by 0.36 over UTEP (-4.5) - Buffalo won 42-17 at home last year. The Bulls went on to finish 8-6 and win the MAC title while the Miners stumbled to 5-7 and missed the bowl season for the 3rd straight year. Buffalo announced August 25 that RB James Starks, the school's career rushing leader, would miss all of his senior season with a labral tear in his shoulder. The computer was 7-5 ATS with UTEP last season, and 8-4 with Buffalo.

Missouri by 5.70 over Illinois (-5.5) at St. Louis - Missouri has won 4 straight in the series, and 5 of the last 6. The Tigers have to overcome the losses of QB Chase Daniel, WR Jeremy Maclin and TE Chase Coffman.

New Mexico by 0.14 over Texas A&M (-11) - I don't agree with this, but I include all of the computer's upset picks. It had the Lobos picked by 9.38 last year and UNM lost by 6. This is the debut game for New Mexico head coach Mike Locksley.

Rice by 6.23 over UAB (-4.5) - The teams haven't met since 2006 when the Owls prevailed 34-33 at home. Record-setting QB-WR combination of Chase Clement and Jarett Dillard (51 TD's by the duo) is gone from Rice's lineup.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average

11 CENTRAL MICHIGAN over *Arizona
Late Score Forecast:
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 23 - *Arizona 24
Central Michigan HC Butch Jones is building a MAC powerhouse at Mt. Pleasant. The Chippewas, who own the
best recruiting class in the MAC, have 10 regulars back on defense and figure to improve considerably with 11
upperclassmen starting on the stop unit. Little needs to be said about QB Dan LeFevour, who completed 69% last
season and has thrown for 74 touchdowns and run for an additional 32 scores in his CMU career. His top three
targets return, and they combined for 199 catches LY. Arizona is retooling at QB, and running game keyed by
Grigsby & Antolin might not be as effective without graduated QB Tuitama (65%, 3088 YP, 23 TDs LY), and with
top returning receivers TE Gronkowski (47 recs.) and WR Dean (53) possibly limping from camp injuries.

10 OKLAHOMA over Byu
Late Score Forecast:
OKLAHOMA 43 - Byu 10
(at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, TX)
Yes, there is a concern that the rebuilt Oklahoma OL (four new starters) could have some problems against the
veteran, stunting BYU 3-4 defense, especially sr. DEs Jan Jorgensen & Brett Denney. However, a similar concern exists on the Cougar side as well, with BYU having lost its starting LT & LG to season-ending injuries, meaning the Cougars have zero returning starters in their forward wall vs. the deep OU defense that was fourth in the nation in sacks LY. HC Bob Stoops wants his no-huddle offense (716 points LY, most in NCAA history) to execute even faster TY, and insiders in Norman say Heisman Trophy-winning QB Sam Bradford (50 TDs, 8 ints. LY; merdifully benched in second halves of blowouts) has taken to the challenge. Sooners 12-4 vs. the spread their last 16 on the board (12-2, when excluding bowl games).

10 MIDDLE TENNESSEE over *Clemson
Late Score Forecast:
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 24 - *Clemson 31
Sun Belt sources have alerted us to keep our eyes on underrated MTSU bunch that has seamlessly adapted to
progressive first-year o.c. Tony Franklin and his advanced spread formations. Franklin weaved similar magic a
few years ago at Troy, and word is that dynamic jr. QB Dasher appears to be the perfect triggerman for new-look
Blue Raider attack that should help Murfreesboro crew punch above its weight in Death Valley. And small but quick Blue Raider “D” not likely to get overrun by new-look Clemson “O” in its own adjustment phase with RS frosh QB Parker making first career start.

10 *MEMPHIS over Ole Miss
Late Score Forecast:
*MEMPHIS 26 - Ole Miss 31
(Sunday, September 6)
CKO sources firmly believe C-USA contender Memphis not getting sufficient respect from oddsmakers, considering
Tigers won 6 of their final 9 regular season games LY (including Southern Miss upset), coinciding with the
emergence of swift juco RB Curtis Steele (1123 YR, 7 TDs), who only had 15 carries for 83 yds. in his debut at Ole Miss LY. And Memphis’ sr. QB Hall (57%, 2,275 YP, 11 TDs) itching to hook up with his sure-handed, tall WRs for full 4 Qs after getting knocked out with an injury LY. So, Tigers should hang tough in this intense, underdogoriented series (dog 4-2 last 6), which will sadly be interrupted for at least two years since the Rebel A.D. felt series was getting too “stale.” Morever, the fortified Tiger defense (with jucos & highly-regarded SEC transfers) won’t be overwhelmed by Ole Miss’ all-star QB Jevan Sneed and mates, especially since Memphis now has
strategy to counteract the surpising “wildcat formation” unleashed for 1st time in ‘08. Last year, Tiger mentor
Tommy West claimed his team wasn’t emotionally ready to play, but with Ole Miss suddenly dropping out of
series, not the case TY.

10 *COLORADO over Colorado State
Late Score Forecast:
*COLORADO 34 over Colorado State 13
(Sunday, September 6)
Colorado’s 38-17 victory over CSU in 2008 took place at neutral Mile High Stadium in Denver, with the Buffaloes
out-rushing the Rams 153-71. That rush edge could be even bigger TY, with the game in Boulder, CU owning a
plethora of talented & seasoned RBs, and Colorado State rebuilding virtually its entire defensive front seven.
Moreover, Ram HC Farris was disappointed in his QBs most of spring and much of August, before naming 6-2 sr.
Grant Stucker, who is 3 of 5 passing in his four career appearances. Therefore, must count on more-experienced
Buffalo signal callers Hawkins & Hansen—even with their own limitations—to have greater success. The intensity of this rivalry should not be underestimated. But host CU appears to hold important firepower edges in this year’s clash.

TOTALS: UNDER (52) in the Utah State-Utah game (Thursday night)—Utah defense still plenty rugged, while last year’s Ute defensive coordinator, Gary Anderson, is now the Aggies’ head coach!...OVER (64) in the Oregon-Boise State game (Thursday night)—Both offenses should be at their tricky, wideopen best for this shootout on the blue carpet in a game the Broncos cannot afford to lose if they want to be a BCS buster...UNDER (47) in the Connecticut-Ohio U. game—Huskies’ conservative style is to run & defend; well-coached Bobcats will yield points grudgingly on home turf...UNDER (38) in the Virginia Tech-Alabama game—With ground-oriented offenses vs. powerful defenses, this seems like a natural “under,” unless the defenses set up easy points, that is.

NINE-RATED GAMES: TEXAS A&M (-14½) vs. New Mexico—Mike Sherman has his offense in place; if he is right about Aggies’ added speed on defense, all the Lobo changes under new coach Locksley should be too many for them to absorb in their first game...SAN JOSE STATE (+34) at Southern Cal—Dick Tomey has upgraded the Spartan defense during his stay; this is mostly a “training” game for USC true frosh QB Matt Barkley, who will NOT be asked to reach
Mark Sanchez’ levels in Barkley’s first college appearance, especially with a trip to Columbus on deck...WASHINGTON (+17) vs. Lsu—Yes, Huskies were 0-12 LY, but they still have a core of talented players and are a different team now that dynamic QB Jake Locker is back from injury.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 5

Game 145-146: Navy at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.294; Ohio State 112.776
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 25 1/2; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 21 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-21 1/2); Under

Game 147-148: Akron at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 80.614; Penn State 106.218
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 25 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Penn State by 28; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+28); Over

Game 149-150: Western Michigan at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 77.946; Michigan 91.839
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 14; 58
Vegas Line: Michigan by 11 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-11 1/2); Over

Game 151-152: Connecticut at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 81.496; Ohio 79.457
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 4 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+4 1/2); Over

Game 153-154: Nevada at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 84.376; Notre Dame 98.808
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 14; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-14); Under

Game 155-156: Georgia at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 100.334; Oklahoma State 102.927
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 2 1/2; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 6; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+6); Under

Game 157-158: Kentucky at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 86.535; Miami (OH) 65.934
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 20 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 14; 46
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-14); Under

Game 159-160: Brigham Young vs. Oklahoma (N)
Dunkel Ratings: Brigham Young 96.404; Oklahoma 121.846
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 25 1/2; 75
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 21 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-21 1/2); Over

Game 161-162: Missouri vs. Illinois (N)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 90.501; Illinois 98.977
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 8 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 7; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-7); Under

Game 163-164: Rice at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 85.492; UAB 80.549
Dunkel Line: Rice by 5; 54
Vegas Line: UAB by 5; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+5); Under

Game 165-166: Baylor at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 89.911; Wake Forest 95.205
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5 1/2; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 1; 55
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-1); Over

Game 167-168: Minnesota at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 85.239; Syracuse 76.170
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 9; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Under

Game 169-170: Army at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Army 71.584; Eastern Michigan 74.288
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 2 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (+5 1/2); Under

Game 171-172: Northern Illinois at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 78.027; Wisconsin 97.411
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 19 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 16 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-16 1/2); Over

Game 173-174: Toledo at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 73.922; Purdue 89.864
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 16; 57
Vegas Line: Purdue by 11 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-11 1/2); Over

Game 175-176: Stanford at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 91.912; Washington State 67.634
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 24 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Stanford by 16; 56
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-16); Under

Game 177-178: Louisiana Tech at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 77.649; Auburn 92.178
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 14 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Auburn by 13 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-13 1/2); Under

Game 179-180: New Mexico at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 74.331; Texas A&M 90.453
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 16; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 14; 56
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-14); Over

Game 181-182: Virginia Tech vs. Alabama (N)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 98.738; Alabama 106.936
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 8; 34
Vegas Line: Alabama by 6 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-6 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: Idaho at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 63.258; New Mexico State 64.653
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+3 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Buffalo at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 77.204; UTEP 88.101
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 11; 68
Vegas Line: UTEP by 6; 60
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-6); Over

Game 187-188: Maryland at California
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 89.532; California 105.525
Dunkel Line: California by 16; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 21 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+21 1/2); Over

Game 189-190: San Jose State at USC
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 76.005; USC 119.523
Dunkel Line: USC by 43 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: USC by 34; 50
Dunkel Pick: USC (-34); Over

Game 191-192: Central Michigan at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 81.452; Arizona 102.386
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 21; 49
Vegas Line: Arizona by 12; 54
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-12); Under

Game 193-194: San Diego State at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 66.837; UCLA 86.852
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 20; 46
Vegas Line: UCLA by 17; 52
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-17); Under

Game 195-196: LSU at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 97.211; Washington 77.598
Dunkel Line: LSU by 19 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 15 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-15 1/2); Over

Game 197-198: Florida Atlantic at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 77.529; Nebraska 101.695
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 24; 65
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 21; 60
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-21); Over

Game 199-200: Middle Tennessee State at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 73.659; Clemson 101.434
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 28; 51
Vegas Line: Clemson by 20; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-20); Over

Game 201-202: UL Monroe at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 75.210; Texas 113.880
Dunkel Line: Texas by 38 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas by 41; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (+41); Under

Game 203-204: Western Kentucky at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 66.356; Tennessee 88.167
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 22; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 30 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+30 1/2); Over

OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Delaware State at Florida A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 46.905; Florida A&M 63.821
Dunkel Line: Florida A&M by 17

Portland State at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 58.933; Oregon State 102.423
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 43 1/2

Albany at Georgia Southern
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 58.549; Georgia Southern 71.188
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 12 1/2

Central Arkansas at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 67.298; Hawaii 86.533
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 19

Towson at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 53.206; Northwestern 96.512
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 43 1/2

Montana State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 62.811; Michigan State 98.084
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 35 1/2

Appalachian State at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 82.289; East Carolina 87.677
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 5 1/2

St. Francis (PA) at New Hampshire
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 22.701; New Hampshire 81.996
Dunkel Line: New Hampshire by 59 1/2

Liberty at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 60.170; West Virginia 97.038
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 37

Northern Iowa at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 82.149; Iowa 106.113
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 24

Central Connecticut State at Lehigh
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut State 46.745; Lehigh 67.690
Dunkel Line: Lehigh by 21

Jacksonville State at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 60.549; Georgia Tech 99.626
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 39

Georgetown at Holy Cross
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 37.939; Holy Cross 69.396
Dunkel Line: Holy Cross by 31 1/2

Youngstown State at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 56.740; Pittsburgh 100.632
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 44

Fordham at Rhode Island
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 52.101; Rhode Island 56.198
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 4

Robert Morris at VMI
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 43.761; VMI 48.743
Dunkel Line: VMI by 5

Northeastern at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 51.875; Boston College 99.338
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 47 1/2

Nicholls State at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 54.409; Air Force 92.472
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 38

Weber State at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 76.356; Wyoming 78.920
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 2 1/2

Jackson State at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Jackson State 45.968; Mississippi State 88.965
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 43

Southern Illinois at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 78.296; Marshall 74.812
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 3 1/2

Northwestern State at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 57.146; Houston 95.354
Dunkel Line: Houston by 38

The Citadel at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 59.976; North Carolina 95.254
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 35 1/2

Presbyterian at Furman
Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 41.107; Furman 70.235
Dunkel Line: Furman by 29

William & Mary at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 72.633; Virginia 91.518
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 19

Samford at UCF
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 64.491; UCF 82.577
Dunkel Line: UCF by 18

Monmouth at Colgate
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 48.611; Colgate 67.900
Dunkel Line: Colgate by 19 1/2

Bucknell at Duquesne
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 46.471; Duquesne 39.443
Dunkel Line: Bucknell by 7

North Carolina Central at Hampton
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina Central 32.202; Hampton 50.238
Dunkel Line: Hampton by 18

Marist at Sacred Heart
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 38.297; Sacred Heart 50.518
Dunkel Line: Sacred Heart by 12

North Carolina A&T at Winston-Salem
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina A&T 25.974; Winston-Salem 47.294
Dunkel Line: Winston-Salem by 21 1/2

Missouri State at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 56.619; Arkansas 94.922
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 38 1/2

Charleston Southern at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 46.630; Florida 126.888
Dunkel Line: Florida by 80

Wofford at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 76.333; South Florida 93.735
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 17 1/2

Richmond at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 88.944; Duke 83.153
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 6

Southern at Louisiana Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Southern 51.665; Louisiana Lafayette 77.981
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Lafayette by 26 1/2

Davidson at Elon
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 37.104; Elon 74.523
Dunkel Line: Elon by 37 1/2

Stony Brook at Hofstra
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 55.056; Hofstra 64.780
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 9 1/2

Northern Colorado at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 53.119; Kansas 100.391
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 47 1/2

Alcorn State at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 34.445; Southern Mississippi 89.965
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 55 1/2

Alabama A&M at Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 42.987; Tennessee State 61.840
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 19

North Dakota at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 57.245; Texas Tech 108.122
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 51

Mississippi Valley State at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 27.978; Arkansas State 82.842
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 55

Massachusetts at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 69.979; Kansas State 89.425
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 19 1/2

Indiana State at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 31.726; Louisville 87.967
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 56

Western Carolina at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 52.940; Vanderbilt 90.775
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 38

Stephen F. Austin at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Stephen F. Austin 52.777; SMU 72.316
Dunkel Line: SMU by 19 1/2

Prairie View A&M at Texas Southern
Dunkel Ratings: Prairie View A&M 57.372; Texas Southern 32.703
Dunkel Line: Prairie View A&M by 24 1/2

Idaho State at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 46.486; Arizona State 95.864
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 49 1/2

UC Davis at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 60.426; Fresno State 82.341
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 22

Sacramento State at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 60.328; UNLV 85.202
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 25

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 1

Thursday, September 3

S CAROLINA (7 - 6) at NC STATE (6 - 7) - 9/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (3 - 9) at UTAH (13 - 0) - 9/3/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (10 - 3) at BOISE ST (12 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-18 ATS (+22.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-18 ATS (+22.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (8 - 5) at BOWLING GREEN (6 - 6) - 9/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (1 - 11) at BALL ST (12 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
BALL ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (11 - 3) at TULANE (2 - 10) - 9/4/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NAVY (8 - 5) at OHIO ST (10 - 3) - 9/5/2009, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
NAVY is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
NAVY is 52-22 ATS (+27.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 52-22 ATS (+27.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 97-67 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 52-23 ATS (+26.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 55-24 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AKRON (5 - 7) at PENN ST (11 - 2) - 9/5/2009, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (9 - 4) at MICHIGAN (3 - 9) - 9/5/2009, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (8 - 5) at OHIO U (4 - 8) - 9/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (7 - 6) at NOTRE DAME (7 - 6) - 9/5/2009, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (10 - 3) at OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 4) - 9/5/2009, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
GEORGIA is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (7 - 6) vs. MIAMI OHIO (2 - 10) - 9/5/2009, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (10 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA (12 - 2) - 9/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (10 - 4) vs. ILLINOIS (5 - 7) - 9/5/2009, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 49-80 ATS (-39.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (10 - 3) at UAB (4 - 8) - 9/5/2009, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (4 - 8) at WAKE FOREST (8 - 5) - 9/5/2009, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (7 - 6) at SYRACUSE (3 - 9) - 9/5/2009, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARMY (3 - 9) at E MICHIGAN (3 - 9) - 9/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (6 - 7) at WISCONSIN (7 - 6) - 9/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (3 - 9) at PURDUE (4 - 8) - 9/5/2009, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (5 - 7) at WASHINGTON ST (2 - 11) - 9/5/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 5) at AUBURN (5 - 7) - 9/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
AUBURN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (4 - 8) at TEXAS A&M (4 - 8) - 9/5/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (10 - 4) vs. ALABAMA (12 - 2) - 9/5/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IDAHO (2 - 10) at NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 9) - 9/5/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (8 - 6) at UTEP (5 - 7) - 9/5/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (8 - 5) at CALIFORNIA (9 - 4) - 9/5/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (6 - 6) at USC (12 - 1) - 9/5/2009, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (8 - 5) at ARIZONA (8 - 5) - 9/5/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 30-55 ATS (-30.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 10) at UCLA (4 - 8) - 9/5/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (8 - 5) at WASHINGTON (0 - 12) - 9/5/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (7 - 6) at NEBRASKA (9 - 4) - 9/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 7) at CLEMSON (7 - 6) - 9/5/2009, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (4 - 8) at TEXAS (12 - 1) - 9/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (2 - 10) at TENNESSEE (5 - 7) - 9/5/2009, 12:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF SHORT SHEET

Week 1

Saturday, 9/5/2009

NAVY at OHIO ST, 12:00 PM ET ESPN
NAVY: 40-15 ATS as road underdog
OHIO ST: 4-7 ATS as home favorite

AKRON at PENN ST, 12:00 PM ET Big 10
AKRON: 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 pts
PENN ST: 10-2 Under when the total is between 56.5 and 63

(TC) W MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN, 3:30 PM ET ABC
W MICHIGAN: 6-0 Over as a road underdog
MICHIGAN: 0-6 ATS as favorite

(TC) CONNECTICUT at OHIO U, 7:00 PM ET
CONNECTICUT: 19-9 Under when the total is between 42.5 and 49
OHIO U: 6-0 ATS in non-conf games

NEVADA at NOTRE DAME, 3:30 PM ET NBC
NEVADA: 16-5 Over as road underdog
NOTRE DAME: 1-6 ATS 1st month of season

GEORGIA at OKLAHOMA ST, 3:30 PM ET ABC
GEORGIA: 13-4 ATS on turf
OKLAHOMA ST: 26-10 Over in home games

(TC) KENTUCKY vs. at MIAMI OHIO, 12:00 PM ET (at Cincinnati, OH) ESPNU
KENTUCKY: 6-1 ATS in non-conf games
MIAMI OHIO: 6-3 Over when the total is between 42.5 and 49

(TC) BYU vs. at OKLAHOMA, 7:00 PM ET (Played in Arlington, TX) ESPN
BYU: 0-6 ATS in non-conf road games
OKLAHOMA: 10-2 ATS as a favorite

MISSOURI vs. at ILLINOIS, 3:30 PM ET (Played in St. Louis) ESPN
MISSOURI: 6-1 ATS vs. Illinois
ILLINOIS: 1-6 ATS in non-conf games

RICE at UAB, 4:00 PM ET
RICE: 19-5 Over in all games
UAB: 15-29 ATS as favorite

(TC) BAYLOR at WAKE FOREST, 3:30 PM ET ESPN2
BAYLOR: 53-79 ATS as underdog
WAKE FOREST: 11-2 Under in home non-conf games

(TC) MINNESOTA at SYRACUSE, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
MINNESOTA: 2-6 ATS as favorite
SYRACUSE: 2-8 ATS as a home underdog

ARMY at E MICHIGAN, 7:00 PM ET
ARMY: 12-28 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
E MICHIGAN: 6-24 ATS in non-conf games

N ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN, 7:00 PM ET Big 10
N ILLINOIS: 8-0 Under as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
WISCONSIN: 3-9 ATS 1st month of season

(TC) TOLEDO at PURDUE, 12:00 PM ET Big 10
TOLEDO: 3-8 ATS as road underdog
PURDUE: 6-0 Under at home 1st month of season

(TC) STANFORD at WASHINGTON ST, 8:00 PM ET
STANFORD: 4-1 Under as favorite
WASHINGTON ST: 0-6 ATS 1st half of season

(TC) LOUISIANA TECH at AUBURN, 7:00 PM ET ESPNU
LOUISIANA TECH: 8-1 Under as road underdog
AUBURN: 2-9 ATS last season

(TC) NEW MEXICO at TEXAS A&M, 7:00 PM ET
NEW MEXICO: 7-1 Over in September
TEXAS A&M: 5-1 Over vs. MWC

VIRGINIA TECH vs. at ALABAMA, 8:00 PM ET (Played at Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA) ABC
VIRGINIA TECH: 17-6 ATS in September road games
ALABAMA: 6-3 Under in non-conf games

IDAHO at NEW MEXICO ST, 8:00 PM ET
IDAHO: 6-0 Over in road games
NEW MEXICO ST: 12-25 ATS as favorite

BUFFALO at UTEP, 9:00 PM ET CBSC
BUFFALO: 6-0 ATS in road games
UTEP: 1-5 ATS as favorite

MARYLAND at CALIFORNIA, 10:00 PM ET ESPN2
MARYLAND: 8-3 Under in road games
CALIFORNIA: 7-0 ATS as home favorite

(TC) SAN JOSE ST at USC, 3:30 PM ET FSN
SAN JOSE ST: 7-0 Under as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
USC: 11-0 Under in home games

C MICHIGAN at ARIZONA, 10:00 PM ET
C MICHIGAN: 13-2 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56
ARIZONA: 2-10 ATS as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points

(TC) SAN DIEGO ST at UCLA, 7:30 PM ET FSN
SAN DIEGO ST: 35-17 Under in road games
UCLA: 11-2 Under at home if the total is between 49.5 and 52

LSU at WASHINGTON, 10:30 PM ET ESPN
LSU: 8-2 Over 1st 2 weeks of preseason
WASHINGTON: 1-11 ATS last season

Added Games

(TC) FLA ATLANTIC at NEBRASKA, 7:00 PM ET
FLA ATLANTIC: 7-0 Under as underdog
NEBRASKA: 4-8 ATS as home favorite

(TC) MIDDLE TENN ST at CLEMSON, 6:00 PM ET
MIDDLE TENN ST: 12-3 Under in September
CLEMSON: 6-0 Under as favorite

LA MONROE at TEXAS, 7:00 PM ET
LA MONROE: 7-21 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points
TEXAS: 6-0 ATS 1st half of season

(TC) W KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE, 12:20 PM ET
W KENTUCKY: 8-1 Under as underdog
TENNESSEE: 7-0 Under in home games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pigskin Prophet

(167) MINNESOTA
(168) SYRACUSE

Take "(167) MINNESOTA"

Syracuse starts fresh with a new coach, but a problem here is they face a dynamite Minnesota spread offense. Tim Brewster brought the spread offense to Minnesota (7-6 in 2008) and it has worked, as the Gophers averaged 23 points, 105 yards rushing and 206 yards passing. Junior QB Adam Weber impressed with 2,895 yards, 24 TDs and 19 picks as a freshman, when he led the Gophers with 617 rushing yards, and last season he had 2,761 yards, 15 TDs and 8 picks. Senior WR Eric Decker returns after leading the team with 84 grabs for 1,074 yards. He's a keeper. Throw in senior WR Ben Kuznia (310 yards) and junior RB Duane Bennett and this offense is loaded. Nine starters return on defense, led by senior Tramaine Brock, but they lost impressive defensive coordinator Ted Roof to Auburn. Minnesota is 9-18 SU, 14-13 ATS on the road the last five seasons. Minnesota is 26-17 over the total the last four years with a strong offense and sometimes suspect defense. Syracuse is rebuilding mode under new coach Doug Marrone, a relative unknown from the New Orleans Saints. He takes over a program in tatters that needs a lot of help. It was another poor season for Syracuse (3-9), 1-6 in the Big East. They have a new-look offense with QB Greg Paulus, a high school football star who played point guard for the Duke Blue Devils for four years, then transferred to Syracuse as a graduate student this spring. "He has instincts that are hard to teach," Marrone said. "He knows how to look people off, how to take control of the game and how to change plays..5? Marrone also likes freshman WR Alec Lemon, so you won.5?t recognize this team (for better or worse). The Orange have a new offensive line grouping of left tackle Josh White, left guard Ryan Bartholomew, center Jim McKenzie, right guard Jonathan Meldrum and right tackle Nick Speller. Marrone has been running tough practices. A few weeks ago, starting outside linebacker Derek Hines turned in his locker key and quit the Orange. Hines, a junior college transfer from California, had been penciled in as a starter at weakside outside linebacker spot by head coach Doug Marrone. The 2008 Orange allowed 27 touchdown passes and picked off just eight in a weak league for passers, so there is a LONG way to go. They are 3-10 SU/4-9 ATS at home the last two seasons.

Projected Score: Minnesota 34, Syracuse 14

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Sweep
Key Selections
4* Texas A&M 45 - 17
3* UTEP 40 -23
3* Illinois 37 -23
2* Georgia (+) 28 - 27
2* Wisconsin 41 - 17
2* Navy (+) 17 - 31
Underdog Play of the Week
Ohio U. (+) 23 - 20

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr. K (Kambour) CFB Projections
Navy (+22) (+1800) 16
Ohio St (U 48) 32

Akron (O 58.5) 14
Penn St (-27.5) (-6000) 48

W Michigan (+11) (+315) 20
Michigan (U 56) 28

Connecticut (-4) (-175) 28
Ohio (U 47) 20

Nevada (+14) (+425) 26
Notre Dame (O 61) 37

Georgia (O 63.5) (+210) 31
Oklahoma St (-6) 37

Kentucky (-14) (-550) 33
Miami Oh (O 46.5) 16

BYU (O 68) (+1300) 24
Oklahoma (-21.5) 47

Missouri (+7) (+240) 31
Illinois (O 60) 30

Rice (+5.5) (+185) 36
UAB (O 63.5) 34

Baylor (U 54.5) 23
Wake Forest (-1.5) (-125) 27

Minnesota (-7) (-270) 31
Syracuse (O 48) 21

Army (+4.5) (+175) 23
E Michigan (U 47.5) 21

N Illinois (+16.5) (+600) 16
Wisconsin (U 51) 31

Toledo (O 51) 19
Purdue (-11) (-400) 35

Stanford (-16) (-850) 38
Washington St (U 56) 17

Louisiana Tech (U 44.5) 13
Auburn (-12) (-425) 27

New Mexico (+14) (+425) 20
Texas A&M (U 56.5) 28

Virginia Tech (O 37.5) (+260) 16
Alabama (-6.5) 24

Idaho (O 54) 27
New Mexico St (-3) (-155) 33

Buffalo (+7) (+225) 31
Texas-El Paso (O 61) 36

Maryland (+21) (+1500) 14
California (U 52) 35

San Jose St (U 50) 3
USC (-33.5) (-18500) 43

C Michigan (O 53.5) 21
Arizona (-13.5) (-450) 43

San Diego St (+20) (+1200) 16
UCLA (U 51) 36

LSU (-15.5) (-850) 38
Washington (O 53.5) 17

Florida Atl (O 60) (+1400) 20
Nebraska (-22) 43

Middle Tenn St (U 48) 12
Clemson (-19.5) (-1500) 34

UL Monroe (U 63) 10
Texas (-40.5) (-45000) 53

W Kentucky (+30.5) (+5000) 6
Tennessee (U 44) 35

Mississippi (-17) (-850) 38
Memphis (O 54.5) 20

Colorado St (+11) (+310) 21
Colorado (U 54) 31

Cincinnati (+6) (+180) 23
Rutgers (U 50) 27

Miami Fl (+5) (+200) 23
Florida St (O 48.5) 28

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Ashland

NCAAF Week 1

New guy on Sam Clayton's site...

25 dime - Eastern Michigan -5.5

Eastern Michigan

This team is going to be better than they have been in previous years. Now I’m not talking about bowl contention, but I do think they will be more competitive in the MAC this year. Andy Schmitt’s back and he is a big quarterback at 6’4". Last year he threw for 2,644 and 15 touchdowns with 8 picks. Those numbers will improve with 7 receivers returning with game experience including Jacory Stone and Josh Leduc is a strong tight end. Also, the offensive line returns 4 guys that have had either started or have game experience. On defense there are some questions, linebackers will be some what of a problem with the departure of Daniel Holtzclaw but the defensive line is bringing in Junior College transfer to fill the spots and the secondary is returning 3 starters. Yes, this is a unit that gave up 27 touchdowns through the air, however, you must remember Eastern Mich is playing Army, a notorious running team.

Army

Army’s offense has a lot of work to do they only threw 3, yes only 3, touchdown passes last year and only attempted 10 passes per game. In a normal college football game you usually play in between 65-70 snaps that means one out of every 7 offensive plays they tried to throw the ball. That’s horrible. Army has a new coach in from Cal Poly. While he was there they ran the triple option to perfection. However, this isn't Cal Poly and Army isn’t very good. In college when you play against a team that runs this sort of offense in the middle of the season it can be very difficult to prepare for because it has a lot of motions and fakes. But seeing that Eastern Michigan has been preparing all summer for this I think they get the job done. Also there is not one projected offensive lineman on Army’s team who has started a game.

Final Thoughts

Eastern Michigan is the better team. This is also week 1 Eastern Michigan is going to be excited to play especially at home. I like this game because Army will not be able to expose Eastern Michigan’s secondary because they can’t throw the ball at all. And Eastern Michigan's offense will be able to score at will against the weak Army 'D'.

Army 17
Eastern Michigan 31

--

15 dime - Illinois -6.5

Illinois

This is a very important season for Ron Zook. This Illinois team needs to play well early. On offense there isn’t much of a problem, they have probably the second best WR unit in the nation behind only the Irish. Daniel Dufrene and Jason Ford will both take carries and are both capable of breaking the game open. Also having Dufrene back as a senior I think is very important. The offensive line returns three starters from last year’s team. And when the Juice is on he’s as good as anyone. He's entering his senior season, it’s time to grow up and I think he will with a lot of the supporting cast back. The defensive unit is a little bit of a mystery. Martez Wilson returns but is going to play middle and they return three starters in the secondary. I’m very interested in how the front seven will play as a lot of guys on defense have game experience but NO returning starters. It is very important for the Illini to stop the run this year.

Missouri

On offense a ton of questions will be answered as Blaine Gabbert will take the reigns from Chase Daniel. Blaine will be starting his first collegiate football game. Jeremy Maclin is not here anymore, who is going to be their down field threat? Derrick Washington is back at running back and he is a tough player runs hard and is physical. But he's only one player. The offensive line returns three starters and that is a plus. I know how Missouri is going to come out -- they are going to run first and throw second -- they are not going to put a lot of pressure on Gabbert. I just do not see this offense being as explosive as they were last year. Onto the defense... Sean Weatherspoon is one of the best if not the best linebacker in the nation. But they only return four starters return on a defense that was BRUTAL against the pass last year. This secondary gave up on average of 286.6 yards through the air, good enough for dead last in the Big XII.

Final Thoughts

Illinois' offense has the potential to put up a lot of points this year and it's so important that the Illini get off to a fast start. The defense is a question but if they can clamp down on the run early, I think that Illinois can jump out to a nice lead. Last year Jeremy Maclin had 234 all purpose yards and had 2 scores on special teams, a punt for 45 yards and a kickoff for 99 yards. HE IS GONE. I just cannot see Missouri winning this game. Missouri has to replace Chase Daniel, Jeremy Maclin, Chase Coffman, Ziggy Hood, William Moore and Stryker Sulak. All have moved on to the NFL. Not to mention Missouri has to replace three players in the defensive backfield and they were BAD. Also, Mizzou head coach Gary Pinkel said in an interview that he will play 5 true freshman on Saturday. That doesn’t sound good at all.

Illinois 41
Missouri 21

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Diceituponline

Fireman:

LSU -17 = 15 Dimes

After much delay, Fireman and the dice it up crew are back and ready to roll just in time for the NFL and NCAA football season. We took a little break in the summer to get some much need R&R and to get the site reorganized and our staff back in gear. Check it out and let us know what you think. We hope will be building your bank roll soon! Cheers - Fireman

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

NCAAF FREE PICKS FOR WEEK 1
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Saturday

FAU

NEBRASKA -22 (1)


RICE +7 (2)

UAB


San Diego State

UCLA -20 (3)


Missouri

ILLINOIS -7 (4)

 

[ilikeaction]

College Bettor

Illinois -6.5

Oklahoma St. -4.5

Notre Dame -14

Baylor +2.5

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

Saturday CFB 9/5/03 Card
CFB
4* Over 66.5 (-110) Oklahoma vs BYU
4* Texas A&M -14 (-110)
3* Virginia Tech +6.5 (-110)
3* Colorado -10 (-110)
3* Oklahoma -22 (-110)
3* USC -33 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Colin Cowherd's Sizziling 7

Georgia + 5
LSU -17
California -21
Alabama -6 1/2
Oklahoma -22
Nevada + 141/2
Illinois - 6 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Robert Ferringo

4.5* GOW: California,
3.5* Texas AM,
3.0* UAB, Illinois,
2.0* Akron, Oklahoma St, vat/alabama Under 38, tease: UTEP~California,
1.5* Minnesota, Toledo, E Michigan,
1.0* tease: UCLA~Texas AM,
0.5* California 1st Half, Texas AM 1st Half,