Service Plays Saturday 07/11/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL

SATURDAY, JULY 11

Game 407-408: Saskatchewan at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 108.969; Toronto 112.231
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big Al Mcmordie

At 4:10pm our member selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the Chicago Cubs. Take the Cards. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Dodgers Friday night.

Today it's the Dodgers. The surplus is 975 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 11, 2009

The Pale Hose provided no support for Hondo last night, falling in Minnesota to slice the wad to 275 had dixes. Tonight, at his convenience (it is 7/11 after all), he'll take another look at 'Dorf On Pitching -- 10 units on the Pirates to make Cole sore.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
40-21 run on free picks

Sat UNDER Houst/Wash 9 1/2

 

[Pepi]

Deano

3-0 yesterday, he posted early today and its a big unit wager. Lets get it!!!!


HRC PREMIUM PLAY July 11th

THANK YOU FOR YOUR PURCHASE!

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Betting Session: Follow Units posted (*Varies*)

*************************************
Today's Premium Pick: Chicago Cubs
Today's Odds: -155
Play: 3 Unit(s)
*************************************

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Fight Forecasters
UFC 100 Picks

Upset Special of the Month
Michael Bisping +185
Hendo should win this fight by taking Bisping down and holding him there for 15 minutes. However, I believe that age has caught up to Dan. Couple that with having to cut to 185 for this fight and the fact that Bisping has shown a solid counter-punching gameplan in the past, I think that Bisping will outlast Dan for the decision. Hendo may be able to get a takedown, but he will pay for it coming in and I think Bisping will be too much to hold down. Not even Rashaad Evens had success at holding Bisping down for more than a few seconds.


5 Unit Play
Brock Lesner -230
Brock lost the first fight because he was still to raw. He is the most gifted athlete in the UFC, and the experience he has gained in the last year and a half since the first fight will earn him the victory. Brock will be too quick and toopowerful for Mir, and I think that Brock will even finish this fight early with some devastating ground and pound. Mir looked good against Big Nog, but that had more to do with Nog having Staph then Mir's striking game.


5 Unit Play
Yoshihiro Akiyama -290
Akiyama is making his debut with the UFC but he is too experienced to suffer from the Octagon jitters. Akiyama will look to take this fight to the ground, and should be successful getting it there. Once there, the fight will be in his world and it will only be a matter of time before he gets a submission. Belcher does have a punchers chance, but he hasn't really shown the power in his strikes to convince me that he could possibly end this by KO.


3 Unit Play
Stephan Bonnar -350
As long as Bonnar can withstand the initial burst that Coleman will show in the first few minutes of this fight, he should be able to secure himself a KO by the middle of the second round. Coleman's game is to get the fight to the ground and ground and pound, but his gas tank is always running on E, and he will not be able to hold Bonnar on the ground for long. Bonnar is by no means a world beater, but Coleman's best days are long behind him and he just won't be able to change his game enough to compete with someone even on Bonnar's level.


3 Unit Play
Jon Jones -425
Jones has had a ton of media hype over the last few months, and with good reason. He should be able to make short work of O'Brien, much like Cain Valasquez did. O'brien's only game is to take-down and hug, Jones has good enough wrestling skills to nullify Jake's take-downs, and he should be able to finish him off on his feet once Jake realizes he can't get the fight on the ground.


3 Unit Play
Thiago Alves +260
For the price, this is a great bet for Alves. He has shown outstanding take-down defense against Hughes and Koscheck and he has one of, if not the best, Muay Thai games in the UFC. If he is able to stop GSP from taking him to the ground, he will be able to dominate the stand up game. Since the Serra fight, GSP has relied on a steady gameplan of take-downs and ground and pound out of fear of being knocked out again. He will stick to that plan for this fight, but GSP has never fought someone as big andpowerful as Alves. This fight should be closer to a pick'em so there is outstanding value with Alves.


1 Unit Play
Jim Miller -185
This is actually a fairly even fight. Both are strongest on the ground but they can also hold their own if the fight stays standing. Because of their similar skill set, you look at the strength of opponents that each has faced. Danzig is coming off losses to Clay Guida and Josh Neer. Ignoring the Guida hugfest, Neer showed us that Danzig will fold when under too much pressure. Miller is coming off a loss to Gray Maynard, where he was put in danger far more often Danzig and he would not fold. He took a beating but never once gave up in the fight. Miller's heart and will wins him this fight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (55-31) at Milwaukee (44-42)

Jeff Weaver (5-2, 3.32 ERA) is slated to make his fifth start of the season and his first in three weeks when he leads the Dodgers against the Brewers and rookie Mike Burns (1-2, 5.57) at Miller Park.

Los Angeles opened the three-game series Friday night with a 12-8, 10-inning victory, putting together a six-run 10th that featured a Matt Kemp grand slam, then it fended off Milwaukee after allowing two runs in the bottom of the inning. The Dodgers are 5-2 on their current nine-game road trip, and despite continuing to sport baseball’s best record, Joe Torre’s club is just 8-7 in its last 15 games (5-4 on the road). However, the Dodgers are still on positive runs of 6-1 against right-handed starters and 15-4 on Saturday.

Milwaukee has dropped seven of its last nine, scoring two runs or fewer in five of the seven defeats. The Brewers have also struggled with L.A. of late, losing 36 of the last 52 meetings.

Weaver has been consistent in a starting role for the Dodgers, going exactly five innings in all four of his starts while yielding a combined seven runs over those 20 innings (3.15 ERA). L.A. is 3-1 in Weaver’s four starts this season and 11-5 in his last 16 starts going back to his first stint with the club in 2005-06.

The veteran right-hander is 3-2 with a 5.51 ERA in seven appearances (one start) on the road, yielding 10 runs (all earned), 21 hits and nine walks in 16 1/3 innings. Also, the well-traveled Weaver has faced Milwaukee seven times in his career (six starts), going 3-3 with a 4.35 ERA.

Burns followed up his first career victory – a 6-3 home win over the Mets – with his worst start to date, getting clobbered in Sunday’s 8-2 loss at the Cubs as he surrendered seven runs in 4 2/3 innings. In his two starts at Miller Park, the right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.38 ERA, and this marks his first-ever appearance against Los Angeles.

Milwaukee carries “under” streaks of 4-1 at home, 8-3 against the N.L. West and 4-2 versus right-handed starters. Conversely, the Dodgers are on “over” runs of 6-1 overall, 8-1 on the road, 7-1 in Weaver’s last eight road starts and 10-2 in Weaver’s last 12 versus the N.L. Central. The over is also 3-0 in Burns’ first three big-league starts and 5-1 in the last six Brewers-Dodgers clashes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (51-35) at L.A. Angels (47-37)

The streaking Yankees continue their three-game weekend series in Anaheim against the Angels, with veteran Andy Pettitte (8-4, 4.53) set to oppose Jared Weaver (9-3, 3.07).

New York finally cooled off a bit in Friday night’s opener, blowing a 4-0 second-inning lead and losing 10-6 after giving up three-run homers to Kendry Morales and Erick Aybar. The loss snapped the Yankees’ eight-game road win streak, but despite the setback, they’re still playing their best baseball of the season, winning six out of eight and 13 of its last 16 games. Also, Joe Girardi’s troops have won nine in a row against right-handed starters and are on additional runs of 36-18 overall, 10-5 against the A.L. West and 13-4 against winning teams.

Los Angeles halted a two-game hiccup with Friday’s win and is 18-8 in its last 26 games overall, including 7-3 at home. Mike Scioscia’s club is also 4-1 in its last five against southpaw starters.

The host has won 10 of the last 12 meetings in this rivalry, including three of four this season. Additionally, the Angels are 6-1 in the last seven series clashes in Anaheim.

Pettitte got roughed up Monday against Toronto, yielding six runs, five hits (two home runs) and five walks in six innings, losing 7-6, and he now has just three quality starts in his last 10 trips to the mound. Still, with Pettitte on the hill, New York is on streaks of 8-3 overall (3-1 last four), 4-0 on the road and 4-1 on Saturday.

Pettitte has been much better on the highway this season (4-1, 2.79 ERA in seven starts) than at Yankee Stadium (4-3, 5.72 ERA), but he’s struggled in day games (1-2, 5.29 ERA in five contests). Also, he opposed Weaver in the Bronx back on May 1 and gave up five runs on nine hits and four walks in 5 2/3 innings, but the Yankees’ offense bailed him out and won 10-9. Including that no-decision, Pettitte is 12-8 with a 4.52 ERA in 26 career starts versus the Halos.

Weaver bounced back from his worst loss of the season – seven runs allowed in 5 1/3 innings at Texas – with a strong effort against the Rangers at home Monday, yielding three runs in seven innings of a 9-4 victory. The right-hander is now 6-1 with a sterling 1.91 ERA in nine home outings this season. As a team, L.A. is 7-2 in Weaver’s last nine starts overall, 9-2 in last 11 at home (7-2 this year) and 9-3 in his last 12 outings against A.L. East squads.

Weaver got a no-decision when he faced Pettitte in the Bronx on May 1, giving up four runs in six innings. He’s 3-1 in five career starts against New York despite a bloated 6.11 ERA, and in three daytime contests this year, he’s 2-1 with a 1.12 ERA.

With Pettitte pitching, the “under” is on stretches of 44-19-1 overall, 19-7 on the highway and 6-1 versus the A.L. West. The under is also 6-2 in Weaver’s last eight starts at home, but his last four starts overall have topped the total.

For Los Angeles, the “over” is on runs of 5-1 overall (all at home), 5-1-1 against the A.L. East and 5-2-1 versus lefty starters, while New York has hurdled the total in six of its last seven overall. Finally, in this rivalry, the “over” is on stretches of 14-4 overall, 11-3 in Anaheim and 4-0 with Weaver facing the Yankees.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota

The Twins look to take advantage of a White Sox team that is just 1-6 in Gavin Floyd's last 7 road starts. Minnesota is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120).

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Thompson) 15.422; Cubs (Lilly) 15.351
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+160); N/A

Game 903-904: Washington at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Stammen) 15.299; Houston (Hampton) 15.011
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+160); Under

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Weaver) 15.346; Milwaukee (Burns) 14.208
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Over

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.573; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.240
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-230); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-230); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.122; NY Mets (Santana) 12.898
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+135); Over

Game 911-912: Florida at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (West) 17.060; Arizona (Garland) 15.910
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+110); Over

Game 913-914: Atlanta at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.125; Colorado (Marquis) 14.407
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+120); Over

Game 915-916: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 13.342; San Francisco (Cain) 15.816
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.884; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.256
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Under

Game 919-920: Oakland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 15.617; Tampa Bay (Garza) 15.011
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Pavano) 13.750; Detroit (Galarraga) 15.223
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Over

Game 923-924: Toronto at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.537; Baltimore (Hill) 15.072
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Under

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 14.843; Minnesota (Perkins) 15.301
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Over

Game 927-928: Kansas City at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 14.869; Boston (Smoltz) 15.314
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Over

Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 15.607; Seattle (Washburn) 16.468
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Atlanta at New York

The Liberty look to bounce back from a 69-60 home loss to LA and build on their 23-9 ATS record in their last 32 games following an ATS loss. New York is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-4). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JULY 11
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: Los Angeles at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 114.182; Washington 111.304
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+2 1/2); Over
Game 653-654: Detroit at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 107.650; Connecticut 115.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 7 1/2; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 6; 150
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-6); Over
Game 655-656: Atlanta at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 109.286; New York 115.711
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 144 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 149
Dunkel Pick: New York (-4); Under
Game 657-658: Phoenix at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 115.611; Sacramento 112.399
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 170
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 173 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Bonus Play

Lad/ Milw Under

Fla/ Ariz under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Cubs(RL)
White Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kosmo

ALL MLB PLAYS LISTED PITCHERS

7-11-09

Cubs -170 1 unit
Colorado -120 1 unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

charlie

mlb. reds @ mets under 7' runs ( 500*).
mlb. angels-105 (30*)
mlb. seattle+105 (20*)
mlb. florida+105 (20*)
mlb. mets-140 (10*)
mlb. colorado+120 (10*) Bonus Play

 

[JorCam]

Chris Jordan
Saturday's winner ...


800♦ DETROIT TIGERS (LIST Galarraga and Pavano) - This is a great spot for Armando Galarraga, who looks as if he has regained the form that was mowing down hitters in April with precision pitches and confidence on the hill. He comes in off an impressive showing against Kansas City last Monday, when he limited the Royals to one earned run on five hits after seven innings. Quite honestly, I thought it was the best stuff he's had in a long time; unfortunately, the Tigers’ bullpen gave up the lead twice and he ended up with the no-decision.

The most important thing to note from that game was how effective he was, scattering those five hits while striking out seven. He mixed in pitches well, and used a slider that was vividly better than the one he used in many of his other appearances this season. He was confident with his command, pounding the strike zone at free will. Tonight against Cleveland, he’ll have that same attitude with a revenge on the brain, not to mention confidence since it’s a club he beat three times last season.

Carl Pavano, meanwhile, comes in after just one inning of work against Oakland, which went into Cleveland and pounded the right-hander for eight hits in 6-2/3 innings. Yes, he only gave up two earned runs, but the fact is he’s been getting shelled by opponents since mid-May. Over his last five starts, Pavano has been pelted for 44 hits and 22 earned runs over 27 innings of work.

Again, this is a revenge game from May 1, when the Indians and Pavano beat Galarraga and the Tigers at Comerica Park. Prior to that Galarraga was 2-0 in his four previous starts against the Tribe, as three of them were quality starts.

Detroit extended its AL Central-lead to 3-1/2 games over the White Sox, who lost in Minnesota last night, and the one thing Jim Leyland stresses as a manager at this time, is not to look ahead to the break, to ride the first half out completely. A win over Cliff Lee was impressive last night, and with six straight over the Indians now on the tote board, I love the home team here and will be sure to list both pitchers for the win.

* PAID AND CONFIRMED

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony George

Weekend TOP PLAY Alert - Profit HUGE tonight!


Pick # 1 New York Mets (-138)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Priority Sports Info
5-0 This week

SF Giants -170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* MLB SATURDAY O/U GRAND SLAM!

Pick # 1 Toronto Blue Jays / Baltimore Orioles Under 9.5 -110

 

[Nigel44]

Hello Fellas/Cpaw

Been gone along time, who is good around here in baseball picks?

Thanks!
N44