Service Plays Monday 8/17/15

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Diamondbacks on Sunday and likes the Brewers and Astros on Monday.

The deficit is 208 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo’s forecast: Sonny

The Pirates continued their mastery over the Metamucils on Sunday, finishing off a sweep that caused Hondo’s dirty digits to tumble to 1,883 conigliaros.

Monday night: Mr. Aitch will try to brighten his day with Sonny Gray — 10 units on the A’s to make Tillman pay.

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins + Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8
(System Record: 64-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 64-59-1

Rest of the Plays
Tampa Bay Rays + Houston Astros UNDER 7.5
Atlanta Braves + San Diego Padres OVER 7
Minnesota Twins + New York Yankees OVER 8.5

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Sonderjyske + Hobro UNDER 2.5
This match is happening inDenmark
(System Record: 801-26, lost last game)
Overall Record: 801-652-124

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wiseguy War Room
WWR:Mon
MLB:
5u: 970 LAA -145
3u: 967 TB +145

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Houston {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet


LA Angels {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet


Arizona {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)


Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered. Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:


- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.


Regards,
The "Champ" team

 

[jdsabre]

Paul Leiner


100* Indians -130


100* Orioles -115

 

[jdsabre]

EZWINNERS


2* Astros -158

 

[RANGERDOG]

Here are the unofficial bets for August 17:


Houston {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet


LA Angels {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet


Arizona {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)











Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.


Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:


In the month of July and August: Only wager on qualifying {A} and {C} bets under the original MLB system, and risk 5% less than what you’d normally have. For example, if you’re a highly conservative bettor whose stake size per wager is 5% of your bankroll, then that means you can just choose to sit out of betting from July going forward. An average bettor would decrease his risk from 10% to 5%, and an aggressive risk taker would decrease that risk from 15% to 10%. You should bet that same percentage amount for all the {A} and {C} bets that qualified under the original MLB system.


Plus, pass on any series where the first game of a rematch series between the 2 teams happens more than 60 days after their most recent game (after the last game of the original 3-game series or the second game of an intermediate confirmatory 2-game series).


Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:


- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.


Regards,
The "Champ" team

 

[kikin06]

Essler : Over 8.5 Yankees vs Twins

Didnt buy it, from across the street.

 

[jdsabre]

Brandon Lang
My 50 Dime selection is Pirates on the Run line over the D'backs.
The current line on this game at -1 1/2 runs is +105 in vegas and offshore.
Please specify Hellickson and Cole at the time of wager. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

 

[68UpperNorth]

bookieshunter MLB White Sox@Angels
(1*) White Sox

 

[Bsmith]

Frank Patron

10,000 Unit MLB Lock


St Louis Cardinals -145 over San Francisco

Listed Pitchers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SoccerVipPicks

Exclusive VIp Pick
Spain Super Cup
Barcelona – Bilbao
Over 3.75

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Super Vip Pick

Ireland Premier League
Limerick – Longford
Over 2.5

 

[goldencontender]

GC: MLB System Play

Monday the American League Game of the Month takes center stage along with a totals system that wins by an average 4 runs per game. MLB System Play below.

On Monday the MLB System Play is on the Pittsburgh Pirates. Game 952 at 7:05 eastern. The Pirates are back home off a 3 game sweep in NY. Tonight they fit a powerful database system that plays on certain home teams off a road dog win vs a team like Arizona off a road favored loss. These teams have an average win by 3.7 runs. The Pirates are 18-3 as a home favorite in this range and have won 9 of 13. They have G. Cole on the hill and have won 9 of his 11 home starts as he has a 2.2.89 home era and is 2-0 with a 1.98 era vs Arizona. The D-backs have Hellickson going and he has a 6.09 road era and a 7.71 era vs the Pirates. Look for Pittsburgh to take the opener. On Monday the American League Game of the Month from a Big 72-17 system is along with a 100% Totals system. MLB Cashed big again on Sunday. Jump on now and start the week big. For the Bonus Play. Take the Pittsburgh Pirates. GC

 

[jdsabre]

Jeff Benton
50 DIME
Winner # 23 of 35
Dead Mortal Total
Cards/Giants. UNDER 7

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, AUGUST 17th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 8/17/15 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2015 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Rounding The Bases – Monday

National League
•Diamondbacks @ Pirates
--Hellickson is 0-3, 10.39 in his last four road starts; his last three starts overall went over the total.
--Cole is 1-2, 5.51 in his last three starts; four of his last five stayed under.

--Pittsburgh won eight of last ten games (over 7-2-1). Pirates won five of last six games with Arizona; under is 3-0-1 in last four. D'backs lost three of last four games; four of their last six went over.

•Marlins @ Brewers
--Nicolino is 1-1, 4.86 in his three starts (over 2-1).
--Garza is 2-2, 2.56 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.

--Marlins won four of last six games; seven of last nine went over- they lost seven of last ten games with Milwaukee (under 6-3-1). Brewers won three in a row-- four of their last five games stayed under.

•Giants @ Cardinals
--Heston is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts; his last five road starts went over.
--Wacha is 3-0, 0.81 in his last three starts; his last four starts stayed under.

--Giants won four of last five games with St Louis; five of last six in series went over total. SF won its last four games overall; five of last seven stayed under. Cardinals won eight of last 11 games; three of last four went over.

•Braves @ Padres
--Perez is 0-3, 8.35 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four on road.
--Rea allowed three runs in five IP (75 PT) in his first MLB start.

--Atlanta lost four of last six games; over is 6-4-1 in their last 11. Braves lost five of last seven games with San Diego- four of last five went over the total. Padres won four of last six games overall-- eight of their last 11 went over.

American League
•Athletics @ Orioles
--Gray missed last start (back spasms); he is 2-0, 0.72 in his last three starts; under is 6-0-1 in his last seven.
--Tillman is 2-0, 2.08 in his last four starts; six of his last seven stayed under.

--Oakland lost its last six games, allowing 48 runs. A's lost last four games with Baltimore, allowing 37 runs- ten of last 13 went over total. Orioles won five of last six home games- over is 6-4 in their last ten games overall.

•Twins @ Yankees
--Gibson is 0-3, 7.71 in his last five starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine.
--Sabathia is 0-1, 2.25 in his last two starts; over is 6-4 in his last ten.

--Minnesota lost five of last seven games with New York; seven of last eight in series went over. Twins won four of last six games overall, with last three staying under. Yankees won three of last four; four of their last five went under.

•Indians @ Red Sox
--Salazar is 2-0, 1.27 in his last three starts; his last four stayed under.
--Barnes is making first MLB start; he has a 5.64 ERA in 22.1 IP of relief in the big leagues. He is 1-1, 4.17 in AAA this year (five starts).

--Red Sox won five of last seven home games, scoring 74 runs; their last seven games overall went over. Cleveland lost three of last four games; four of their last five stayed under. Tribe won five of last seven vs Boston; five of those seven game stayed under the total.

•Mariners @ Rangers
--Walker is is 1-0, 2.42 in his last three starts; six of his last seven went over.
--Hamels is 0-1, 5.93 in two starts with Texas; four of his last five went over.

--Rangers lost seven of last eight games with Seattle; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Texas won its last four games overall; four of their last five at home stayed under. Mariners are 4-3 in last seven games; four of their last five went over- they allowed 45 runs in last three games, in Boston.

•Rays @ Astros
--Ramirez is 1-1, 4.35 in his last five starts; four of his last six stayed under.
--Former Ray Kazmir is 0-2, 3.32 in his last three starts (under 8-1 in last nine).

--Tampa Bay lost last three games, allowing 22 runs; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Astros won three of last four games; six of their last eight stayed under total. Rays won seven of last eight games with Houston (under 6-1-1).

•White Sox @ Angels
--Rodon is 2-2, 6.75 in his last five starts (over 5-3 in last eight).
--Heaney is 5-1, 2.53 in his nine starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven at home.

--White Sox won last four games with the Angels; home side won eight of last ten series games. Chicago won four of last six games; over is 7-4 in its last 11 games. Angels lost six of their last seven games; four of last six went under.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Az-Pitt-- Hellickson 10-12; Cole 16-7
-- Mia-Mil-- Nicolino 2-1; Garza 8-13
-- SF-StL-- Heston 14-9; Wacha 17-5
-- Atl-SD-- Perez 5-6 (0-4 last 4); Rea 1-0

-- A's-Balt-- Gray 15-8; Tillman 11-10
-- Min-NY-- Gibson 12-11; Sabathia 10-12
-- Cle-Bos-- Salazar 13-8; Barnes 0-0
-- Sea-Tex-- Walker 13-10; Hamels 10-12/0-2
-- TB-Hst-- Ramirez 12-6; Kazmir 10-12/2-2
-- Chi-LA-- Rodon 10-6; Heaney 7-2

•Times This Starting Pitcher Allowed A Run In First Inning
-- Az-Pitt-- Hellickson 8-22; Cole 7-23
-- Mia-Mil-- Nicolino 0-3; Garza 6-21
-- SF-StL-- Heston 3-23; Wacha 4-22
-- Atl-SD-- Perez 4-11; Rea 0-1

-- A's-Balt-- Gray 4-23; Tillman 4-21
-- Min-NY-- Gibson 5-23; Sabathia 7-22
-- Cle-Bos-- Salazar 6-21; Barnes 0-0
-- Sea-Tex-- Walker 6-23; Hamels 4-22
-- TB-Hst-- Ramirez 5-18; Kazmir 4-22
-- Chi-LA-- Rodon 5-16; Heaney 0-9
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StatSystems Sports
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Incredible Stats of the Day
•Pirates Dominating Cole's Home Starts
The Pittsburgh Pirates love when Gerrit Cole takes the mound at PNC Park, going 22-5 in his last 27 starts there. Cole (2.48 ERA, 8-13 O/U) will take his familiar spot on the mound when the Pirates host Jeremy Hellickson (4.73 ERA, 11-8 Over/Under) and the Arizona Diamondbacks Monday night. The Pirates are currently big -209 favorites and the total currently sits at 7.0 runs.

•Under Wagers Hot As Salazar Continues To Roll
Cleveland Indians starter Danny Salazar has strung together six straight quality starts, so it's no surprise Under bets have gone 5-1 over that stretch and have cashed in his last four starts. Over those previous six outings, Salazar has given up just seven earned runs while tossing 42 2/3 innings, good for a sparkling 1.48 ERA. The 25-year-old struck out eight and allowed one run on four hits and five walks over 7 1/3 innings to earn a win over the New York Yankees on Wednesday. Salazar is expected to get the start at Fenway Park as the Indians (-147) visit the Boston Red Sox (+136). The total is presently at 9.

•Road Teams Cashing Bets In Vanover's Games
Road teams have posted a record of 4-1 in the last five ball games that umpire Larry Vanover has worked behind home plate. Vanover will be tasked with working the dish in Baltimore when the Orioles host the Oakland A's Monday evening. Vanover's numbers still skew toward the home team as hosts have a 12-9 record in his 21 ball games behind home plate.

Diamond Trends - Monday
•PITTSBURGH is 43-14 (+25.5 Units) against the money line versus good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.9, OPPONENT 3.4.

•CLEVELAND is 19-5 UNDER (+13.2 Units) in road games versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.0, OPPONENT 3.6.

•OAKLAND is 4-15 (-15.4 Units) against the run line versus good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was OAKLAND 2.8, OPPONENT 5.8.

•JEREMY HELLICKSON is 4-16 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HELLICKSON 3.0, OPPONENT 5.9.

•SCOTT KAZMIR is 26-9 UNDER (+15.5 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was KAZMIR 3.8, OPPONENT 3.1.

•COLE HAMELS is 1-16 (-16.6 Units) against the run line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997.
The average score was HAMELS 3.6, OPPONENT 5.5.

Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (BOSTON) – a poor American League baserunning team - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games.
(40-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +32.6 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +106.4
The average score in these games was: Team 5.6, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +2.3)

The situation's record this season is: (9-3, +5.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7, +13.6 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (72-51, +22.5 units).
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[sponge3000]

Marc Lawrence 4* play: Oakland A's with Gray pitching