Sharp Football Analysis
First a side note: Please check your e-mail tomorrow (Tuesday) as I will be sending out important information regarding my system plays and personal plays for Week 10.
MNF:
This is "information only". This is NOT an official play counting towards my 23-9-2 record. If you were planning on taking any side or total, please do not let any of this information dissuade you nor persuade you.
I just want to share what my system is leaning towards tonight and trends I found as I researched the game.
System:
Side: Redskins are a system play, winning the game by 5*
Total: At 37 there is no totals play from the system. My top system was leaning towards the Over and was very close to a play, yet was a fraction off from being recognized as a play, but only if you get the Over 36.5 which was available earlier today. Remember, 37 is a very key number in totals, as I have said before. If you are playing the Under you must have 37 or 37.5 and if you are playing the Over, you must have 37 or 36.5. Also, due to Moss being injured, who really does stretch the field and is the primary downfield threat for Campbell, you really would want to verify his status prior to pulling the trigger on an over.
* this does not factor in the questionable Redskins players into the line should they be inactive
What makes this a "no-play" for me? Injuries on both sides of the ball, including the Steelers secondary (Tyrone Carter is not good) and their tackle Marvel Smith is out. For the Skins, many questions: will Moss go, will Samuels go, and what about the others that were listed as questionable? We may not know their status until much closer to gametime, which is going to be well after I need to send this out. Also, based on my experience, more "unexpected" results occur during MNF than for a standard 1pm or 4pm games. It is just a bit harder to get a "locked-in read" from my computer for a juiced up game like MNF.
In addition, the mentality of the two teams is a key contributor to why I would avoid playing the game: The Redskins are right now sitting at 6-2 after and about to head into their bye week, having played all 3 road division games (going 2-1) and beating high powered offenses of NO and Ari. It is an opportunity for them to already be looking ahead to the bye and become complacent with their great start. I haven't seen that killer instinct from this team in years and am not sure it they can get up for it tonight. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in similar situations dating back to 1994, including 0-2 since 2003: Heading into a bye week the following week w/ rival Dallas up next after the bye.
On the other hand, the Steelers are also beat up and I have warned for several weeks that they are not as strong as their record appears. They have weaknesses that teams can take advantage of. O-Line and secondary. But the Skins don't throw the ball downfield enough (bottom 1/3 of 40+ yard passes and bottom 1/2 of 20+ yard passes, and what of the status of Moss?) and they don't rush the passer enough (29th in sacks) to really take advantage of those two glaring weaknesses. How much they change their gameplan to attack their opponent's weaknesses remains to be seen.
The Steelers are in their lone road game in a span of over a month, having played the Giants at home, and after this game they have home games against the Colts, the Chargers and then the Bengals. How will they come off the tough, hard-hitting home loss to the defending Super Bowl champs and then play on the road in a non-conference game?
All things considered, I was not "sold" on the Redskins system play through the course of my research and analysis, and therefore cannot recommend them to you as a top play. Especially on MNF, when using a system play, it has been my experience that I have to be very convinced in a side and I just could never quite get there. I am not saying the Redskins are not the proper side, the outcome remains to be seen, I am just passing on the game and searching for better value next week.
Here are some trends I researched, many are quite interesting.
For the Redskins:
In 2008, the NFC East is 10-1 SU in non-divisional games as a home favorite, and when the spread is 7 or fewer points, they are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS.
In 2008, the AFC North is 3-7 SU in non-divisional games as the road underdogs, and are 2-3 SU and ATS when the line is less than 7.
Since 2006, the AFC North is 2-5 ATS on non-divisional MNF games.
Since 2006 and after week 5 of the season, the Steelers are 3-8 ATS vs. teams with a winning record.
Using those same parameters, the Redskins are 7-3-1 ATS, though only 1 win was as a favorite.
The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in MNF games since 2005.
The Redskins are 2-1 ATS in MNF but 0-1 as favorites since 2005.
Since 2005, the teams who played the defending Super Bowl champs the prior week and then had to play in a primetime game the following week went 2-5 ATS. Lesson here is many teams expend so much effort and energy in the big game vs. the defending champs that they can't get back up for a primetime game the following week. Looking only at MNF games, these teams went 1-2 ATS, the only cover was a week 3 game (still early in the season when teams typically are not as banged up or tired).
In 2008, teams who faced the Giants (defending SB champ) the week before are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS
Since 2006, teams who faced the defending Super Bowl champs the week before and are now playing with a line within 3 points of a pick'em, either favorite or underdog, have gone 2-8 ATS and 2-8 SU. They have lost by an average of 10 points, and when they are underdogs, they have gone 0-4 SU and ATS.
For the Steelers:
Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 ATS the week after losing at home since 2000, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog
The Steelers are 3-0 SU and ATS as underdogs for the 2nd game in a row since 2000, though the last time this occurred was in 2004.
Since 1993, non-conference MNF games where the underdog is getting 3 or fewer points have gone 8-0 SU and ATS, on average winning by 14 points. Though it has only happened once since 2005, with GB beating Den SU in 2007 as a 3 point road underdog.
The Steelers were 11-5 ATS in non-conference games since 2004 prior to this season. However, this season they are 0-2 SU and ATS, having lost to both NFC East teams (Phi and NYG) by 9 and 7 points respectively and both games fell 7+ points under the total.
__________________
First a side note: Please check your e-mail tomorrow (Tuesday) as I will be sending out important information regarding my system plays and personal plays for Week 10.
MNF:
This is "information only". This is NOT an official play counting towards my 23-9-2 record. If you were planning on taking any side or total, please do not let any of this information dissuade you nor persuade you.
I just want to share what my system is leaning towards tonight and trends I found as I researched the game.
System:
Side: Redskins are a system play, winning the game by 5*
Total: At 37 there is no totals play from the system. My top system was leaning towards the Over and was very close to a play, yet was a fraction off from being recognized as a play, but only if you get the Over 36.5 which was available earlier today. Remember, 37 is a very key number in totals, as I have said before. If you are playing the Under you must have 37 or 37.5 and if you are playing the Over, you must have 37 or 36.5. Also, due to Moss being injured, who really does stretch the field and is the primary downfield threat for Campbell, you really would want to verify his status prior to pulling the trigger on an over.
* this does not factor in the questionable Redskins players into the line should they be inactive
What makes this a "no-play" for me? Injuries on both sides of the ball, including the Steelers secondary (Tyrone Carter is not good) and their tackle Marvel Smith is out. For the Skins, many questions: will Moss go, will Samuels go, and what about the others that were listed as questionable? We may not know their status until much closer to gametime, which is going to be well after I need to send this out. Also, based on my experience, more "unexpected" results occur during MNF than for a standard 1pm or 4pm games. It is just a bit harder to get a "locked-in read" from my computer for a juiced up game like MNF.
In addition, the mentality of the two teams is a key contributor to why I would avoid playing the game: The Redskins are right now sitting at 6-2 after and about to head into their bye week, having played all 3 road division games (going 2-1) and beating high powered offenses of NO and Ari. It is an opportunity for them to already be looking ahead to the bye and become complacent with their great start. I haven't seen that killer instinct from this team in years and am not sure it they can get up for it tonight. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in similar situations dating back to 1994, including 0-2 since 2003: Heading into a bye week the following week w/ rival Dallas up next after the bye.
On the other hand, the Steelers are also beat up and I have warned for several weeks that they are not as strong as their record appears. They have weaknesses that teams can take advantage of. O-Line and secondary. But the Skins don't throw the ball downfield enough (bottom 1/3 of 40+ yard passes and bottom 1/2 of 20+ yard passes, and what of the status of Moss?) and they don't rush the passer enough (29th in sacks) to really take advantage of those two glaring weaknesses. How much they change their gameplan to attack their opponent's weaknesses remains to be seen.
The Steelers are in their lone road game in a span of over a month, having played the Giants at home, and after this game they have home games against the Colts, the Chargers and then the Bengals. How will they come off the tough, hard-hitting home loss to the defending Super Bowl champs and then play on the road in a non-conference game?
All things considered, I was not "sold" on the Redskins system play through the course of my research and analysis, and therefore cannot recommend them to you as a top play. Especially on MNF, when using a system play, it has been my experience that I have to be very convinced in a side and I just could never quite get there. I am not saying the Redskins are not the proper side, the outcome remains to be seen, I am just passing on the game and searching for better value next week.
Here are some trends I researched, many are quite interesting.
For the Redskins:
In 2008, the NFC East is 10-1 SU in non-divisional games as a home favorite, and when the spread is 7 or fewer points, they are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS.
In 2008, the AFC North is 3-7 SU in non-divisional games as the road underdogs, and are 2-3 SU and ATS when the line is less than 7.
Since 2006, the AFC North is 2-5 ATS on non-divisional MNF games.
Since 2006 and after week 5 of the season, the Steelers are 3-8 ATS vs. teams with a winning record.
Using those same parameters, the Redskins are 7-3-1 ATS, though only 1 win was as a favorite.
The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in MNF games since 2005.
The Redskins are 2-1 ATS in MNF but 0-1 as favorites since 2005.
Since 2005, the teams who played the defending Super Bowl champs the prior week and then had to play in a primetime game the following week went 2-5 ATS. Lesson here is many teams expend so much effort and energy in the big game vs. the defending champs that they can't get back up for a primetime game the following week. Looking only at MNF games, these teams went 1-2 ATS, the only cover was a week 3 game (still early in the season when teams typically are not as banged up or tired).
In 2008, teams who faced the Giants (defending SB champ) the week before are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS
Since 2006, teams who faced the defending Super Bowl champs the week before and are now playing with a line within 3 points of a pick'em, either favorite or underdog, have gone 2-8 ATS and 2-8 SU. They have lost by an average of 10 points, and when they are underdogs, they have gone 0-4 SU and ATS.
For the Steelers:
Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 ATS the week after losing at home since 2000, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog
The Steelers are 3-0 SU and ATS as underdogs for the 2nd game in a row since 2000, though the last time this occurred was in 2004.
Since 1993, non-conference MNF games where the underdog is getting 3 or fewer points have gone 8-0 SU and ATS, on average winning by 14 points. Though it has only happened once since 2005, with GB beating Den SU in 2007 as a 3 point road underdog.
The Steelers were 11-5 ATS in non-conference games since 2004 prior to this season. However, this season they are 0-2 SU and ATS, having lost to both NFC East teams (Phi and NYG) by 9 and 7 points respectively and both games fell 7+ points under the total.
__________________
indiancowboy
Cavs +3.5 (POD)
Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.
Cavs +3.5 (POD)
Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.
PICKENS PICK MNF MADNESS!
Folks we are on absolute fire over the past week, join us and take the EASY CASH TONIGHT!
11/2- 50 unit- New England / Colts "under" W
11/2- 200 unit teaser- Bucs & Giants W
11/2- 25 unit Broncos L
11/1- 200 unit Miami W
11/1- 500 unit Oklahoma W
11/1- 300 unit Floida W
10/29- 50 unit Phillies Game 5 W
10/29- 75 unit Phillies Series outright W
10/27- 200 unit Titans W
250 unit 7 point teaser- Tonight our selection is on the Redskins and the "over" in the Monday Night game. The Steelers have struggled with NFC East opponents with losses against the Eagles and last week to the Giants. This is not the same Steelers teams as year past, and their play has shown this against the better teams. Look for the Redskins to jump on them early and create turnovers.
Now will the Redskins dictate who is the President again? Looks like McCain? wow...I'm going to say Obama still wins
100 unit "over" the total
25 unit Redskins -2 1/2
Folks we are on absolute fire over the past week, join us and take the EASY CASH TONIGHT!
11/2- 50 unit- New England / Colts "under" W
11/2- 200 unit teaser- Bucs & Giants W
11/2- 25 unit Broncos L
11/1- 200 unit Miami W
11/1- 500 unit Oklahoma W
11/1- 300 unit Floida W
10/29- 50 unit Phillies Game 5 W
10/29- 75 unit Phillies Series outright W
10/27- 200 unit Titans W
250 unit 7 point teaser- Tonight our selection is on the Redskins and the "over" in the Monday Night game. The Steelers have struggled with NFC East opponents with losses against the Eagles and last week to the Giants. This is not the same Steelers teams as year past, and their play has shown this against the better teams. Look for the Redskins to jump on them early and create turnovers.
Now will the Redskins dictate who is the President again? Looks like McCain? wow...I'm going to say Obama still wins
100 unit "over" the total
25 unit Redskins -2 1/2
indiancowboy
Cavs +3.5 (POD)
Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
Cavs +3.5 (POD)
Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
Sharp Football Analysis
First a side note: Please check your e-mail tomorrow (Tuesday) as I will be sending out important information regarding my system plays and personal plays for Week 10.
MNF:
This is "information only". This is NOT an official play counting towards my 23-9-2 record. If you were planning on taking any side or total, please do not let any of this information dissuade you nor persuade you.
I just want to share what my system is leaning towards tonight and trends I found as I researched the game.
System:
Side: Redskins are a system play, winning the game by 5*
Total: At 37 there is no totals play from the system. My top system was leaning towards the Over and was very close to a play, yet was a fraction off from being recognized as a play, but only if you get the Over 36.5 which was available earlier today. Remember, 37 is a very key number in totals, as I have said before. If you are playing the Under you must have 37 or 37.5 and if you are playing the Over, you must have 37 or 36.5. Also, due to Moss being injured, who really does stretch the field and is the primary downfield threat for Campbell, you really would want to verify his status prior to pulling the trigger on an over.
* this does not factor in the questionable Redskins players into the line should they be inactive
What makes this a "no-play" for me? Injuries on both sides of the ball, including the Steelers secondary (Tyrone Carter is not good) and their tackle Marvel Smith is out. For the Skins, many questions: will Moss go, will Samuels go, and what about the others that were listed as questionable? We may not know their status until much closer to gametime, which is going to be well after I need to send this out. Also, based on my experience, more "unexpected" results occur during MNF than for a standard 1pm or 4pm games. It is just a bit harder to get a "locked-in read" from my computer for a juiced up game like MNF.
In addition, the mentality of the two teams is a key contributor to why I would avoid playing the game: The Redskins are right now sitting at 6-2 after and about to head into their bye week, having played all 3 road division games (going 2-1) and beating high powered offenses of NO and Ari. It is an opportunity for them to already be looking ahead to the bye and become complacent with their great start. I haven't seen that killer instinct from this team in years and am not sure it they can get up for it tonight. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in similar situations dating back to 1994, including 0-2 since 2003: Heading into a bye week the following week w/ rival Dallas up next after the bye.
On the other hand, the Steelers are also beat up and I have warned for several weeks that they are not as strong as their record appears. They have weaknesses that teams can take advantage of. O-Line and secondary. But the Skins don't throw the ball downfield enough (bottom 1/3 of 40+ yard passes and bottom 1/2 of 20+ yard passes, and what of the status of Moss?) and they don't rush the passer enough (29th in sacks) to really take advantage of those two glaring weaknesses. How much they change their gameplan to attack their opponent's weaknesses remains to be seen.
The Steelers are in their lone road game in a span of over a month, having played the Giants at home, and after this game they have home games against the Colts, the Chargers and then the Bengals. How will they come off the tough, hard-hitting home loss to the defending Super Bowl champs and then play on the road in a non-conference game?
All things considered, I was not "sold" on the Redskins system play through the course of my research and analysis, and therefore cannot recommend them to you as a top play. Especially on MNF, when using a system play, it has been my experience that I have to be very convinced in a side and I just could never quite get there. I am not saying the Redskins are not the proper side, the outcome remains to be seen, I am just passing on the game and searching for better value next week.
Here are some trends I researched, many are quite interesting.
For the Redskins:
In 2008, the NFC East is 10-1 SU in non-divisional games as a home favorite, and when the spread is 7 or fewer points, they are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS.
In 2008, the AFC North is 3-7 SU in non-divisional games as the road underdogs, and are 2-3 SU and ATS when the line is less than 7.
Since 2006, the AFC North is 2-5 ATS on non-divisional MNF games.
Since 2006 and after week 5 of the season, the Steelers are 3-8 ATS vs. teams with a winning record.
Using those same parameters, the Redskins are 7-3-1 ATS, though only 1 win was as a favorite.
The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in MNF games since 2005.
The Redskins are 2-1 ATS in MNF but 0-1 as favorites since 2005.
Since 2005, the teams who played the defending Super Bowl champs the prior week and then had to play in a primetime game the following week went 2-5 ATS. Lesson here is many teams expend so much effort and energy in the big game vs. the defending champs that they can't get back up for a primetime game the following week. Looking only at MNF games, these teams went 1-2 ATS, the only cover was a week 3 game (still early in the season when teams typically are not as banged up or tired).
In 2008, teams who faced the Giants (defending SB champ) the week before are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS
Since 2006, teams who faced the defending Super Bowl champs the week before and are now playing with a line within 3 points of a pick'em, either favorite or underdog, have gone 2-8 ATS and 2-8 SU. They have lost by an average of 10 points, and when they are underdogs, they have gone 0-4 SU and ATS.
For the Steelers:
Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 ATS the week after losing at home since 2000, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog
The Steelers are 3-0 SU and ATS as underdogs for the 2nd game in a row since 2000, though the last time this occurred was in 2004.
Since 1993, non-conference MNF games where the underdog is getting 3 or fewer points have gone 8-0 SU and ATS, on average winning by 14 points. Though it has only happened once since 2005, with GB beating Den SU in 2007 as a 3 point road underdog.
The Steelers were 11-5 ATS in non-conference games since 2004 prior to this season. However, this season they are 0-2 SU and ATS, having lost to both NFC East teams (Phi and NYG) by 9 and 7 points respectively and both games fell 7+ points under the total.
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
First a side note: Please check your e-mail tomorrow (Tuesday) as I will be sending out important information regarding my system plays and personal plays for Week 10.
MNF:
This is "information only". This is NOT an official play counting towards my 23-9-2 record. If you were planning on taking any side or total, please do not let any of this information dissuade you nor persuade you.
I just want to share what my system is leaning towards tonight and trends I found as I researched the game.
System:
Side: Redskins are a system play, winning the game by 5*
Total: At 37 there is no totals play from the system. My top system was leaning towards the Over and was very close to a play, yet was a fraction off from being recognized as a play, but only if you get the Over 36.5 which was available earlier today. Remember, 37 is a very key number in totals, as I have said before. If you are playing the Under you must have 37 or 37.5 and if you are playing the Over, you must have 37 or 36.5. Also, due to Moss being injured, who really does stretch the field and is the primary downfield threat for Campbell, you really would want to verify his status prior to pulling the trigger on an over.
* this does not factor in the questionable Redskins players into the line should they be inactive
What makes this a "no-play" for me? Injuries on both sides of the ball, including the Steelers secondary (Tyrone Carter is not good) and their tackle Marvel Smith is out. For the Skins, many questions: will Moss go, will Samuels go, and what about the others that were listed as questionable? We may not know their status until much closer to gametime, which is going to be well after I need to send this out. Also, based on my experience, more "unexpected" results occur during MNF than for a standard 1pm or 4pm games. It is just a bit harder to get a "locked-in read" from my computer for a juiced up game like MNF.
In addition, the mentality of the two teams is a key contributor to why I would avoid playing the game: The Redskins are right now sitting at 6-2 after and about to head into their bye week, having played all 3 road division games (going 2-1) and beating high powered offenses of NO and Ari. It is an opportunity for them to already be looking ahead to the bye and become complacent with their great start. I haven't seen that killer instinct from this team in years and am not sure it they can get up for it tonight. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in similar situations dating back to 1994, including 0-2 since 2003: Heading into a bye week the following week w/ rival Dallas up next after the bye.
On the other hand, the Steelers are also beat up and I have warned for several weeks that they are not as strong as their record appears. They have weaknesses that teams can take advantage of. O-Line and secondary. But the Skins don't throw the ball downfield enough (bottom 1/3 of 40+ yard passes and bottom 1/2 of 20+ yard passes, and what of the status of Moss?) and they don't rush the passer enough (29th in sacks) to really take advantage of those two glaring weaknesses. How much they change their gameplan to attack their opponent's weaknesses remains to be seen.
The Steelers are in their lone road game in a span of over a month, having played the Giants at home, and after this game they have home games against the Colts, the Chargers and then the Bengals. How will they come off the tough, hard-hitting home loss to the defending Super Bowl champs and then play on the road in a non-conference game?
All things considered, I was not "sold" on the Redskins system play through the course of my research and analysis, and therefore cannot recommend them to you as a top play. Especially on MNF, when using a system play, it has been my experience that I have to be very convinced in a side and I just could never quite get there. I am not saying the Redskins are not the proper side, the outcome remains to be seen, I am just passing on the game and searching for better value next week.
Here are some trends I researched, many are quite interesting.
For the Redskins:
In 2008, the NFC East is 10-1 SU in non-divisional games as a home favorite, and when the spread is 7 or fewer points, they are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS.
In 2008, the AFC North is 3-7 SU in non-divisional games as the road underdogs, and are 2-3 SU and ATS when the line is less than 7.
Since 2006, the AFC North is 2-5 ATS on non-divisional MNF games.
Since 2006 and after week 5 of the season, the Steelers are 3-8 ATS vs. teams with a winning record.
Using those same parameters, the Redskins are 7-3-1 ATS, though only 1 win was as a favorite.
The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in MNF games since 2005.
The Redskins are 2-1 ATS in MNF but 0-1 as favorites since 2005.
Since 2005, the teams who played the defending Super Bowl champs the prior week and then had to play in a primetime game the following week went 2-5 ATS. Lesson here is many teams expend so much effort and energy in the big game vs. the defending champs that they can't get back up for a primetime game the following week. Looking only at MNF games, these teams went 1-2 ATS, the only cover was a week 3 game (still early in the season when teams typically are not as banged up or tired).
In 2008, teams who faced the Giants (defending SB champ) the week before are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS
Since 2006, teams who faced the defending Super Bowl champs the week before and are now playing with a line within 3 points of a pick'em, either favorite or underdog, have gone 2-8 ATS and 2-8 SU. They have lost by an average of 10 points, and when they are underdogs, they have gone 0-4 SU and ATS.
For the Steelers:
Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 ATS the week after losing at home since 2000, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog
The Steelers are 3-0 SU and ATS as underdogs for the 2nd game in a row since 2000, though the last time this occurred was in 2004.
Since 1993, non-conference MNF games where the underdog is getting 3 or fewer points have gone 8-0 SU and ATS, on average winning by 14 points. Though it has only happened once since 2005, with GB beating Den SU in 2007 as a 3 point road underdog.
The Steelers were 11-5 ATS in non-conference games since 2004 prior to this season. However, this season they are 0-2 SU and ATS, having lost to both NFC East teams (Phi and NYG) by 9 and 7 points respectively and both games fell 7+ points under the total.
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