Service Plays Monday 1/20/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bank Shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes

Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best - and worst - basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.

For the week of Jan. 12-18

Hottest ATS - Portland Trail Blazers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

The league's biggest first-half surprise isn't going away anytime soon. The Trail Blazers put themselves on a 60-win pace with a perfect week, covering the spread with comfortable victories over the Cleveland Cavaliers, San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks. Portland is on a five-game winning streak that has seen it average better than 113 points per game - bolstering the league's top offense while moving the team to the top of the Western Conference standings. Whether the Blazers stay there will depend on how they fare this week (more on that later.)

Coldest ATS - New York Knicks (1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS)

It was another difficult week in Manhattan, as the Knicks failed to take advantage of the momentum created by their season-high five-game winning streak (capped by an overtime win over Phoenix to start the week.) Matched up against a pair of elite defenses in Charlotte and Indiana and the undermanned but still-dangerous Los Angeles Clippers, New York dropped all three games by double digits to fall 10 games under .500 yet again. Things get a little easier for the Knicks over the coming week, as they'll play all four games at Madison Square Garden.

Best Over play - Indiana Pacers (3-0 SU, 3-0 O/U)

Heaven help the Eastern Conference if the Pacers continue to score as frequently as they did over the past week. Armed with the league's stingiest defense but an offensive attack that still ranks below league average, Indiana broke out in a big way this past week, averaging 113 points - more than 15 points above their season mark - in convincing victories over the Kings, Knicks and Clippers. Paul George has been his usual efficient self, while Lance Stephenson has proven to be a viable second option as he bolsters his Most Improved Player credentials.

Best Under play - Philadelphia 76ers (1-2 SU, 0-3 O/U)

While the Pacers emerged as a major surprise on the Over last week, the 76ers were certainly the most unexpected Under play. Philadelphia spent time as the league's most prolific offense, but those days appear to be far behind it now; the 76ers needed just 95 points to dispose of Charlotte, then managed only 86 in a loss to the Miami Heat and 78 in a thumping at Chicago. It's the continuation of a disturbing trend for Philadelphia, which ranked 10th in scoring in November, slipped to 12th in December and is 19th so far in January.

Surveying the schedule

The Trail Blazers' only weakness is on the defensive side of the ball, where they allow 102.9 points per game - tied for the third-highest mark in the Western Conference. Portland has a steady diet of prolific opponents on the schedule this coming week; it opens with road games against Houston (105.1 points per game) and Oklahoma City (105.3) before returning home for dates against Denver (103.3) and Minnesota (106.4). Expect points a-plenty - and lofty over/under totals to reflect that.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Under the Cover: Three Understated NBA Trends
By BRIAN COVERT

Sure it’s fun to bet on those public NBA teams, the ones on ESPN or ABC every night and have stars with nicknames like “The King” or “CP 3”. But we bettors all know real value is often found in those teams running their sets and protecting the rim away from the limelight.

Here Covers.com highlights three teams and three trends that won’t make the headlines but may help boost your bank account.

Grizz Bettors Go West

Whether it’s the change in climate or the extra couple hours of shut-eye, there’s something about playing the Western Conference that is jiving for the Memphis Grizzlies and their supporters these days. The Grizz are 6-1 ATS in their last seven against teams from left side of the Continental Divide, including straight-up home wins against Oklahoma City and Sacramento last week. Whether this will continue remains to be seen but with a home date versus New Orleans Monday and a home-and-home with Houston Friday and Saturday this week bettors will certainly hope so.

The Kings of the Over

With the likes of Rudy Gay, DeMarcus Cousins, and Isaiah Thomas, the Sacramento Kings can score with the best teams in the league. The problem is that the aforementioned trio - along with the rest of the lackluster Kings – just can’t stop the best from scoring, not that this has been a problem for totals bettors. In the Kings' last six against teams with a .600 record the over has hit in all six. And with games at Houston Wednesday and against Indiana Friday this week these same bettors will look for this run to continue.

Rest Helps Suns Rise

Who even plays for the Phoenix Suns? There’s those Morris twins with the same first name and that Dragic kid who was Steve Nash’s backup a couple of years ago. Whoever they are, perhaps it is this anonymity that has made the Suns among the NBA’s best bet this season, going 25-13-1 ATS. What’s been even more impressive has been the Suns’ ability to cover the spread on a days rest, going 20-6-1 in their last 27 after a day off. And would you look at Phoenix’s schedule this week: games against Indiana, Washington, and at Cleveland on Wednesday, Friday, and Sunday respectively.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nets at Knicks: What bettors need to know

Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks (+2, 193)

The resurgent Brooklyn Nets are back on the right side of the playoff bubble, and they'll try to stay there when they travel across the city to face the rival New York Knicks on Monday. The Nets have won six of their last seven to climb into a tie for seventh place in the Eastern Conference. The Knicks are one of the teams chasing them, but they've lost three straight to fall two games off the pace.

The Nets are playing stateside for the first time since a 127-110 win over Atlanta in London on Thursday in which they got 29 points from Joe Johnson, who has averaged 24.4 points over the past five games. "Joe has been off the charts," Brooklyn coach Jason Kidd told reporters. "Not just the last few games, but the whole season." The Nets won the first inter-borough matchup of the season, 113-83 on Dec. 5 in Brooklyn.

TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, YES (Brooklyn), MSG (New York)

LINE: The line opened with the Knicks as 2-point home dogs. The total opened at 193.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Brooklyn (-6) - New York (-6.1) + home court (-3) = New York -3.1

ABOUT THE NETS (16-22, 18-20 ATS): Brooklyn has been winning without point guard Deron Williams (13.6 points, 6.9 assists), who has missed the past five games with a sprained ankle and will be a game-time decision. Shaun Livingston has played well in Williams' absence, averaging 11.6 points and 5.8 rebounds over the past five contests, but the Nets are hurting for depth in the backcourt. Brooklyn has lacked offensive punch since losing leading scorer Brook Lopez to a broken foot, but it has stayed afloat by playing better at the defensive end, holding six of its last seven opponents under 100 points.

ABOUT THE KNICKS (15-25, 16-24 ATS): New York has been hampered by injuries all season and will be shorthanded for Monday's matinee with forwards Metta World Peace (knee), Amar'e Stoudemire (ankle) and Kenyon Martin (ankle) all out and guard Pablo Prigioni (toe) unlikely to play. The latest round of injuries prompted coach Mike Woodson to indicate rarely-used reserve centers Cole Aldrich and Jeremy Tyler "will have to play some now." It also is likely to mean the offense will run through leading scorer Carmelo Anthony (26.1 points, 9 rebounds) even more than usual.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in New York.
* Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
* Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Knicks are 0-4 ATS in the last four games overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Knicks are 18-9 all-time on Martin Luther King Day but have lost on the holiday the past three seasons.

2. After being held out as a coach's decision twice in a span of four games, Knicks SG J.R. Smith has averaged 18 points over the past two contests.

3. The Nets, who host Orlando on Tuesday, are 5-2 in the first game of back-to-backs.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pacers at Warriors: What bettors need to know

Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors (OFF)

The Indiana Pacers are on a mission and have already won a staggering 20 games by double digits entering Monday’s road contest against the Golden State Warriors. Indiana just swept a four-game homestand by an average of 23.3 points and the matchup against the Warriors marks the opener of a five-game road trip. Golden State is beginning a five-game homestand and is just 2-3 over the past five games after defeating the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday.

The Warriors are 12-5 at home and reside in sixth place in the Western Conference and will be gunning for a huge victory. Golden State held the Pelicans to 33 second-half points in Saturday’s victory and will need a top-notch defensive outing to slay Paul George and the Pacers. George had 36 points in Indiana’s 106-92 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday, including an acrobatic reverse windmill dunk that electrified the building. The Pacers are 11-6 on the road.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE: The line and total are currently off the board.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Indiana (-14.3) - Golden State (-13) + home court (-3) = Golden State -1.7

ABOUT THE PACERS (32-7, 27-12 ATS): George is averaging 30.7 points over the past three games and his emergence as a borderline superstar has fueled Indiana’s strong first half. The fourth-year pro is part of the MVP chatter and he is averaging 23.6 points – a total that would be likely higher if the Pacers weren’t regularly blowing out opponents. George has scored 20 or more points 27 times, including seven 30-point efforts, and has five double-digit outings on the boards while also buying into coach Frank Vogel’s defensive philosophy. “Help one another, contest every jump shot, load up the paint and make everything tough for guys,” George said after the Pacers held the Clippers to 39.8 percent from the field.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (26-16, 19-21-2 ATS): Guard Jordan Crawford had 10 points in 13 minutes against New Orleans in his second game since being acquired from Boston. Golden State coveted Crawford to bolster its backcourt depth due to the versatility that he displayed while averaging 13.7 points and 5.7 assists with the Celtics prior to the trade. “He’s a scorer, he’s a playmaker,” star guard Stephen Curry told reporters after the win over the Pelicans. “He’ll get more comfortable as we go along but he’s shown why that was such a good trade for us. So I’m excited that he’s here.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Golden State.
* Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus the Wesstern Conference.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Indiana has lost five of its last six road games against the Warriors.

2. Pacers C Ray Hibbert has blocked five or more shots 10 times this season after having five rejections against the Clippers.

3. Golden State committed just eight turnovers against New Orleans, one off its season low.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB Top 25 Cheat Sheet: Monday action

Creighton Bluejays at Villanova Wildcats (OFF)

There is no secret Doug McDermott is the focal point of Creighton’s offense, but the Bluejays learned Saturday there are times they need more than the nation’s second-leading scorer. The No. 20-ranked Bluejays travel to sixth-ranked Villanova on Monday after suffering their first Big East loss in an 81-68 defeat at Providence, a game in which McDermott scored 21 points but received little support thanks to foul trouble. The Wildcats are unbeaten in conference play and have won five in a row, routing DePaul 88-62 on Saturday.

It will be hard for Villanova – which suffered its only loss to second-ranked Syracuse on Dec. 28 – to play better than it did in the second half Saturday, when the Wildcats shot 73 percent. The Wildcats got a big boost from sophomore Daniel Ochefu, who scored a career-high 14 points while pulling down six rebounds. Creighton trailed by as many as 20 points in seeing its 10-game winning streak end with its first loss since Dec. 1.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

LINE: The line and total are currently off the board.

ABOUT CREIGHTON (15-3, 11-5 ATS): McDermott is one of the top scorers in the nation, and the two-time All-American already has won conference player of the week five times. Jahenns Manigat leads the Big East and is fifth nationally in assist-to-turnover ratio, and Ethan Wragge is hitting 48.5 percent of his 3-point attempts. Creighton leads the nation in 3-point shooting and is second in assists, but have allowed 81 or more points twice in its past three games.

ABOUT VILLANOVA (16-1, 12-3 ATS): Balance has fueled the Wildcats’ rise to Final Four contender, with five players averaging 9.7 points and a defense that leads the conference in field-goal percentage and steals. Ryan Arcidiacono is averaging 13.7 points in his past three games, shooting 14-for-27 from the field. Freshman Josh Hart has won three of the past four conference rookie of the week honors and is shooting 58.3 percent from the field.

TRENDS:

* Creighton is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games.
* Villanova is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games following an ATS win.
* Over is 4-1 in Creighton's last five games overall.
* Over is 6-0 in Villanova's last six games versus the Big East.

TIP-INS:

1. The game will be played at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, where the Wildcats went 3-0 last season.

2. Villanova head coach Jay Wright on scouting the Bluejays: “They’re one of those team that when you watch film you get caught up enjoying watching them play as opposed to how you are going to beat them.”

3. Monday marks the first meeting between the two programs since 1952; Villanova leads the all-time series 3-0.


Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks (OFF)

Kansas will try to maintain its grip on first place in the Big 12 when the No. 18 Jayhawks host No. 13 Baylor on Monday night. Kansas stayed unbeaten in conference play with an 80-78 victory Saturday against No. 8 Oklahoma State, five days after the Jayhawks knocked off No. 10 Iowa State. Baylor has lost two straight and three of four in Big 12 action, and the Bears have never won in 10 tries in Lawrence, Kan.

Baylor does own bragging rights after handing the Jayhawks their worst loss in seven years in their most recent meeting, an 81-58 victory by the host Bears last March. Cory Jefferson scored 25 points in that game and he’s leading Baylor is scoring and rebounding this season. Kansas is led by a pair of freshmen who will be making their first appearances against Baylor, leading scorer Andrew Wiggins and 7-footer Joel Embiid.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE: The line and total are currently off the board.

ABOUT BAYLOR (13-4, 4-7 ATS): Wiggins, who hails from Canada, could find himself matched against fellow countrymen Kenny Chery and Brady Heslip of the Bears. Chery is second on the team in scoring at 11.9 points and is averaging 19 points in the last two games after being held to single digits in the previous four. Chery has done a better job of getting to the free throw line lately, combining for 12 free throws in the last two games after taking a total of four in the previous five games.

ABOUT KANSAS (13-4, 8-9 ATS): Perry Ellis will be looking to shake off a mini-shooting slump that began when he shot 4-for-13 against Iowa State, his worst shooting performance of the season, and followed that up by shooting 3-for-8 against Oklahoma State. To make matters worse, Ellis missed all five free throw attempts in the last two games after entering the week shooting 73.8 percent from the stripe this season. Ellis will likely have the added responsibility of trying to contain Jefferson.

TRENDS:

* Baylor is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Kansas.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Kansas.
* Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Road team is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. Baylor reserve F Rico Gathers is averaging 7.7 rebounds in 18.9 minutes.

2. Kansas G Naadir Tharpe has posted his three career 20-point performances in the last six games.

3. The Jayhawks have posted 205 consecutive sellouts dating back to the 2001-02 season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pucking the Trends: NHL's weekly betting news and notes

Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

For the week of Jan. 12-18

Hot team

Columbus Blue Jackets (3-0 SU)

Welcome back, Sergei Bobrovsky. The defending Vezina Trophy winner's return to the lineup has helped fuel the Blue Jackets' season-high six-game winning streak, which includes victories over the Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals and an overtime thriller over the Buffalo Sabres last week. Bobrovsky, who struggled with his form earlier in the season, is 5-0-0 since coming back from a groin injury and has Columbus in position to challenge for a playoff berth in the jam-packed Eastern Conference race.

Cold team

Washington Capitals (0-4 SU)

One of the streakiest teams in the NHL is at it again, taking itself out of the race for top spot in the Metropolitan Division with losses in eight of its last 10 games. The once-vaunted offense has gone completely silent, with the Capitals managing just six total goals in its four losses last week. And while it managed to pick up single points in shootout defeats against Buffalo and San Jose, the club is ice-cold heading into a rough stretch that will see it play six of its next seven games away from Washington.

Best Over play

Philadelphia Flyers (3-0-1 O/U)

The combination of a strong, balanced offense and some shoddy goaltending has contributed to the Flyers being one of the league's strongest "over" plays last week. Philadelphia earned a push in a 4-1 loss to the New York Rangers before edging the Buffalo Sabres 4-3, dropping a 4-3 shootout decision to the Nashville Predators and fending off the New York Islanders 6-4. Goaltender Steve Mason is going through a rough stretch - and suffered a minor indignity by being pulled in the win over the Islanders, just hours after signing a three-year contract extension.

Best Under play

New York Rangers (0-3-1 O/U)

The Rangers went in the opposite direction following the victory over Philadelphia, tightening up what has been a much-maligned defense for most of the season. New York dropped a 2-1 decision to the Tampa Bay Lightning before bouncing back nicely with victories over the Detroit Red Wings and Ottawa Senators. Netminder Henrik Lundqvist is starting to look like one of the world's top players again, allowing just three goals over his last three appearances; backup Cam Talbot has also been solid, allowing two goals in his previous two starts.

Surveying the schedule

The Toronto Maple Leafs undid much of the damage caused by a four-game losing skid earlier in the month, following it up with an impressive four-game winning streak that included a measure of revenge over the defending Eastern Conference-champion Boston Bruins. But the Maple Leafs' ability to sustain that momentum will be put to the test this week as they hit the road for a pivotal four-game trek. Games in Phoenix, Colorado, Dallas and Winnipeg could go a long way in determining whether Toronto is a contender for a top-four seed in the East.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

West Brom v Everton: What bettors need to know

The final match in this week's round of fixtures takes place at The Hawthorns as West Brom hosts Everton in Premier League action Monday.

West Brom v Everton (+250, +240, +125)

Why bet West Brom: Well, they have the "new manager" factor working in their favor. Former Real Betis coach Pepe Mel takes over at West Brom. He had a successful 2012-13 campaign in La Liga, but the side had been terrible this season and he was sacked on Dec. 2. The Baggies sit 15th in the table and have one win, one loss and three draws in their last five and they held Everton to a scoreless draw at Goodison Park back in August.

Key players out/doubtful: Billy Jones, Goran Popov

Why bet Everton: Everton's fantastic season continued with a 2-0 home win over Norwich last time out. The Toffees are fifth in the table with 41 points and have the chance to leapfrog arch-nemesis Liverpool, which will certainly be motivation enough. Creative-attacker Ross Barkley is slated to miss some time, but that could open the door for Ireland international Aidan McGeady, who came over from Spartak Moscow during this January transfer window.

Key players out/doubtful: Antolin Alcaraz, Ross Barkley, Gerard Deulofeu, Arouna Koné, Darron Gibson

Previous meeting result: Everton 0, West Brom 0

Key betting note: Everton is unbeaten in 13 of its last 14 Premier League games.

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Nashville Predators -126 over Dallas
(System Record: 57-2,won last game)
Overall Record: 57-40-1

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
St. Peters +3 over Marist
(System Record: 36-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 36-46-2

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
West Bromwich Albion + Everton UNDER 3
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 510-18, won last game)
Overall Record: 510-441-75

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Hot teams
-- Cleveland won four of last six games, covered last five home games. Mavericks won four of last six games, covered last three on road.
-- Clippers won five of their last six games. Detroit won three of four.
-- Toronto won four of last six games, covered eight of last ten.
-- Wizards won three of their last four games.
-- Nets won six of their last seven games.
-- Memphis won last five games, all by 7 or less points.
-- Heat won last two games, after losing previous three.
-- Chicago won seven of its last nine games. Lakers won last two games, after losing previous six.
-- Portland won its last five games, all by 8+ points. Rockets won six of their last eight games.
-- Pacers won/covered their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost five of its last seven games.
-- 76ers lost six of their last seven games.
-- New York lost last three games, by 10-28-14 points.
-- Pelicans lost last eight games, covered three of last four.
-- Hawks lost five of their last seven games.
-- Warriors lost three of their last five games.

Series records
-- Cavaliers lost five of last six games with Dallas.
-- Clippers won six of last seven games with Detroit.
-- Bobcats won their last three games with Toronto.
-- 76ers won eight of last eleven games with Washington.
-- Knicks won nine of last twelve games with Brooklyn.
-- Pelicans lost their last four visits to Memphis.
-- Heat won last nine vs Atlanta, covered five of last six.
-- Lakers lost three of last four games with Chicago.
-- Rockets won three of last four games with Portland.
-- Pacers won four of last five games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Last four Cleveland-Dallas games stayed under total.
-- Last seven Clipper road games went over the total.
-- Last six Toronto road games stayed under the total. Five of last six Charlotte games went over.
-- Five of last six Philly road games stayed under; four of Washington's last five home games went over.
-- Three of last four Brooklyn games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Memphis road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Miami road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-2 in Chicago's last 11 home games; four of last five Laker road games went over.
-- Nine of last twelve Portland road games went over.
-- Last five Indiana road games stayed under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Islanders won five of last seven games. Flyers won three of their last four road games.
-- Penguins won five of their last six games.
-- Maple Leafs won last four games, scoring 16 goals. Phoenix won last two, 3-2/1-0.
-- Sharks won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Bruins lost four of last six games. Los Angeles lost five of its last six road games.
-- Panthers lost three of their last four games.
-- Detroit is 3-5 in its last eight games. Blues lost three of their last four games.
-- Dallas Stars lost eight of their last nine games. Nashville lost seven of last ten.
-- Flames lost six of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Philly's last five games.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Los Angeles games.
-- Five of last six Florida games stayed under total; five of last six Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five St Louis games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Dallas games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Toronto games.
-- Six of last seven San Jose games stayed under.

Series records
-- Islanders lost last four games with Philly, allowing 18 goals.
-- Kings won six of their last eight games with Boston.
-- Penguins won 10 of last 13 games with Florida.
-- Red Wings won six of last nine games with St Louis.
-- Predators won five of last seven games with Dallas.
-- Coyotes won six of last seven games with Phoenix.
-- Sharks won four of last five games with Calgary.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free winner MONDAY Nets -2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Virginia -7
Kansas -10.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Monday

Mavericks -1

St. Louis Blues -140

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Marquette at Georgetown

The Golden Eagles face a Georgetown team that is coming off a 67-57 loss to Seton Hall at home on Saturday and is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games following a double-digit home loss. Marquette is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Eagles favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, JANUARY 20 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 721-722: Xavier at DePaul (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 66.709; DePaul 63.231 Dunkel Line: Xavier by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Xavier by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+5 1/2)

Game 723-724: Creighton at Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 70.533; Villanova 79.491 Dunkel Line: Villanova by 9; 147 Vegas Line: Villanova by 6; 151 Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-6); Under

Game 725-726: North Carolina at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 64.530; Virginia 74.655 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 10; 137 Vegas Line: Virginia by 7; 131 Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-7); Over

Game 727-728: Delaware at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 53.669; Drexel 57.795 Dunkel Line: Drexel by 4 Vegas Line: Drexel by 2 Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-2)

Game 729-730: Ohio State at Nebraska (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 70.533; Nebraska 64.902 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 5 1/2; 142 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 8 1/2; 136 Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+8 1/2); Over

Game 731-732: Marquette at Georgetown (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 65.593; Georgetown 64.871 Dunkel Line: Marquette by 1; 126 Vegas Line: Georgetown by 2 1/2; 130 Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+2 1/2); Under

Game 733-734: Maryland at NC State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 62.303; NC State 62.718 Dunkel Line: Even; 137 Vegas Line: NC State by 2; 142 Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+2); Under

Game 735-736: Baylor at Kansas (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 66.682; Kansas 78.993 Dunkel Line: Kansas by 12 1/2; 153 Vegas Line: Kansas by 10 1/2; 147 Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-10 1/2); Over

Game 737-738: St. Peter's at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 51.023; Marist 51.778 Dunkel Line: Marist by 1 Vegas Line: Marist by 3 Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+3)

Game 739-740: Western Carolina at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 52.133; Wofford 48.833 Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Wofford by 1 Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+1)

Game 741-742: Idaho State at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 49.618; Weber State 56.087 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Weber State by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+9 1/2)

Game 743-744: Fairfield at Belmont (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 45.397; Belmont 60.275 Dunkel Line: Belmont by 15 Vegas Line: Belmont by 13 Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-13)

Game 751-752: Loyola-MD at Boston U (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 48.450; Boston U 56.854 Dunkel Line: Boston U by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Boston U by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (+11 1/2)

Game 753-754: Delaware State at North Carolina A&T (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 44.054; North Carolina A&T 45.744 Dunkel Line: North Carolina A&T by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: North Carolina A&T by 4 Dunkel Pick: Delaware State (+4)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB

Monday, January 20

DePaul lost four of last six games, with last three Big East losses by 10-19-26 points. Xavier won nine of its last ten games, losing its only AAC road game by 6 at Creighton; Musketeers won by 3 at Alabama in only other road game. Xavier hasn't played since Wednesday; DePaul lost by 26 at Villanova Saturday. AAC home underdogs of 8 or less points are 2-4 against the spread.

Creighton was just 4-19 from arc Saturday in 81-68 loss at Providence that snapped its 10-game win streak; both teams shot 60% inside arc in game devoid of defense- Bluejays never led. Villanova is 5-0 in Big East, winning home games by 30-26 points; they're 7-1 vs teams in top 100, with four wins by 7 or less points. Creighton is still #2 in US behind arc (42.5%). Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 5-2 vs spread.

North Carolina won 10 of last 12 games with Virginia; their 61-52 loss here LY was first in last five visits to UVa. Tar Heels are 1-3 in its true road games, losing by 4-6-12 points, but win was at Michigan State, so UNC is tough to figure. ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 3-7 vs spread. Virginia won four of last five games, with only loss at Duke by 4- they already swept a pretty good Florida State team.

Delaware won three of last four games with Drexel, winning both games LY by a hoop, with last win in double OT; Blue Hens are 4-0 in CAA, with all four wins by 7 or less points, both wins on road by 4. Drexel is 2-4 in last six games; they lost last five games vs teams in top 200. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 0-7 this season. Hens lost four of last five visits to Drexel.

Ohio State lost last three games by 4-10-10 points after 15-0 start; their last win was 84-53 over Huskers at home 16 days ago, their sixth win in row over Nebraska, winning by 34-7 points here. Huskers lost last five games after an 8-3 start, losing last two games by 1-6 points. Nebraska is 7-1 at home, with only loss by point vs Michigan. Big Dozen home underdogs are 4-5 against the spread.

Home team won last six Marquette-Georgetown games; Eagles lost last three visits here, by 9-3-8 points. Hoyas didn't score hoop in last 9:35 at home in ugly loss to Seton Hall Saturday- they're 1-3 in last four games. Big East home teams are 7-3 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points. Marquette is 0-3 on Big East road, losing by 12 in OT at Butler Saturday- they're 5-7 in last dozen games overall.

Maryland won 10 of last 11 games with NC State, losing by 5 in its last visit here two years ago; Terps are 1-3 in true road games, with only win at BC, losing by 16-20-24 points. ACC home teams are 2-9 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points. NC State lost three in row, five of last seven games, with two of last three losses by 30+ points. Wolfpack is shooting 29% from arc, 25.5% in ACC games.

Baylor lost three of last four games, losing first two Big X road games by 15-10 points; Bears won two of last three games vs Kansas, but lost last 7+ visits to Lawrence, with five of last seven losses by 15+ points. Jayhawks are 4-0 in Big X, with only one win by more than 7 points- they're scoring 78.3 ppg in league play. Big X double digit home faves are 3-2 against the spread.

St Peter's won last three games by 1-7-8 points after 4-9 start, with two of three wins on road; Peacocks lost four of last five games with Marist, losing last two visits here by 4-11 points. MAAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-3 vs spread. Marist started 0-9, then won five in row, now lost its last three games by 9-7-10 points- they've won four of last five home games.

Western Carolina is 4-0 in SoCon, winning last two games by total of 4 points; they won three of last four games with Wofford, but lost last its four visits here, by 10-15-9-26 points. Wofford lost three of last four games, beating Citadel in OT, getting swept by Chattanooga; Terriers are making just 45.6% of 2-point shots in league play/ SoCon home teams are 3-7-1 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points.

Weber State won nine of last ten games with Idaho State, which lost last seven visits to Ogden, with three of last four by 14+ points. Home side won Bengals' first five Big Sky games- they lost first two road games by 4-7 points. Weber won four of last five games, but struggled with #351 Southern Utah Saturday, winning 65-59- they were down 7 with 13:56 left. Big Sky home favorites of 8+ points are 3-7 vs spread.

Fairfield is 4-14, in last place in MAAC, but upset Manhattan in its last game, making 9-16 from arc in game they led by 16 at half. Stags are 1-7 on road, with only win at Bucknell. Stags turn ball over 22.8% of time, make just 42.7% inside arc. Belmont is 5-1 in OVC but lost its last four non-league games; Bruins are not a great defensive team but have the #2 eFG% offense in country, making 39.2% from arc.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Brooklyn at New York

The Nets visit Madison Square Garden today to face a Knicks team that is coming off a 109-95 home loss to the Clippers and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a double-digit home defeat. Brooklyn is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nets favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 20 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: LA Clippers at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.049; Detroit 116.851 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 187 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Dallas at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.568; Cleveland 119.556 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 2; 212 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 207 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+2 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Philadelphia at Washington (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 106.978; Washington 121.313 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 14 1/2; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 10; 206 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-10); Under

Game 707-708: Toronto at Charlotte (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 125.124; Charlotte 115.010 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 10; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 186 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5); Over

Game 709-710: Brooklyn at New York (2:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 121.115; New York 116.813 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 199 Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-2); Over

Game 711-712: New Orleans at Memphis (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.874; Memphis 124.248 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 185 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8; 191 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+8); Under

Game 713-714: Miami at Atlanta (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.711; Atlanta 120.598 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5 1/2; 201 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Portland at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.407; Houston 124.806 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 224 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 217 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-2 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: LA Lakers at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 104.640; Chicago 122.467 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 18; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 197 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-9); Over

Game 719-720: Indiana at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 122.494; Golden State 128.648 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 197 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

POINTWISE

KEY RELEASES
NEBRASKA over Ohio State (Mon) RATING: 5

(4:00) Xavier 81 - DEPAUL 71 (FSN) _____ _____

(7:00) VILLANOVA 94 - Creighton 73 (FOX 1) _____ _____

(7:00) VIRGINIA 68 - North Carolina 60 (ESPN) _____ _____

(7:00) Delaware 69 - DREXEL 65 (NBCS) _____ _____

(7:00) Ohio State 76 - NEBRASKA 72 (BIG10) _____ _____

(9:00) GEORGETOWN 71 - Marquette 64 (FOX 1) _____ _____

(9:00) NORTH CAROLINA ST 61 - Maryland 60 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(9:00) KANSAS 83 - Baylor 74 (ESPN) _____ _____

BEST BETS
XAVIER
VIRGINIA
NEBRASKA (5)