Service Plays Monday 1/2/17

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WAYNE ROOT

MILL--Penn State +
Perfect Play-Western Michigan +
___________________
Inner Circle--Florida - ***Bowl Favorite of Year
It seems like the Big Ten is getting exposed in the bowl season with their two best going down in defeat. Today, whom ever scored over 20 points wins and covers. Starting with Iowa, it's doubtful they with score 14 points against the Florida defense. Iowa's offense checks in at No. 120 of 128 FBS teams, averaging just 333.3 yards per game. The run-heavy Hawkeyes are dragged down by their passing attack, which is led by quarterback C.J. Beathard but lacks big-time receivers and checks in at No. 115 in the nation with 161.3-yard average. That will not light up the scoreboard. The Gators are third nationally in pass defense, giving up just 156.3 yards per game so there's little shot of Iowa's passing game doing anything but misses and a few interceptions. This game will be won in an unusual way such as special teams all favoring the Gators. Florida redshirt freshmen punter Johnny Townsend leads the FBS at 48.05 yards per attempt. Townsend placed 25 punts inside the 20 this season and kicked 28 that went for more than 50 yards. The Gators also have the advantage when it comes to placekicking as Eddy Pinero has one of the biggest legs in college football. Pinero has made three field goals from 50 yards and beyond. He also ranks fourth in the FBS in kickoff average (64.5 yards) and seventh in touchback percentage (71.43 percent). Iowa will be backed up and have unfavorable field position throughout the game. QB Beathard and the Hawkeyes’ offense will be challenged against a very stingy Florida defense. Florida ranks sixth in total defense, giving up just 298.6 yards per game. Florida’s defense could be the best the Hawkeyes have seen all season. Additionally, the Hawkeyes don’t want to throw the football a ton because the Gators have one of the best secondaries in the nation. Poor field position for Iowa with stifle most any of Iowa's ability to put point on the board.
___________________
Pinnacle--Auburn + ***Bowl Game of Year
Oklahoma's running back Samaje Perine rushed for more than 200 yards twice and 100 yards twice. To counter, Auburn ranks fifth in the country in total defense. The Tigers allowed more than 29 points just once this season, and that was to Alabama. Auburn ranks 16th in the country in yards allowed per play (4.88) so his rushing may be taxed somewhat. Motivation may also come into play in this game. Most of the seniors were extremely disappointed that they weren't one of the four playoff teams. And seeing Ohio St and Washington combine for a total of 7 points in the semifinals will really have the Sooners traveling with the "what ifs." It seems that Coach Stoops pounds that it's either a National Championship or nothing. Oklahoma has lost three of its last four bowl games, and in the three losses, it has been outscored 128-36. Oklahoma also had the distraction of the initial punishment handed out to RB Joe Mixon who was suspended for one year for hitting a woman in a restaurant. A video was released publicly three weeks ago that showed a very viscous attack. This Tigers defense is ferocious. Don’t expect anything to come easy for the Sooners. It isn’t often that a kicker has the choice of leaving college early for the NFL, but Auburn’s Daniel Carlson is that good. Oklahoma's defense might get picked apart by Auburn's multi-threat rushing attack. Sean White is expected to return to his quarterback position as the layoff helped Auburn. In particular, quarterback Sean White’s presence in the lineup will do wonders and help fix the Tigers’ attack. Overall, Auburn matches up very favorably with the Big 12 champions – well enough to add to Oklahoma’s history of postseason frustrations under Bob Stoops and making this bet a must for the money line.
 

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Football Crusher
Penn State +7 over USC
(System Record: 36-4, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 36-48-1

Rest of the Plays
none
 

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Hockey Crusher
Anaheim Ducks -147 over Philadelphia Flyers (pending)
Boston Bruins -135 over New Jersey Devils
(System Record: 29-3, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 29-36-10

Rest of the Plays
none
 

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Basketball Crusher
Elon +12 over North Carolina-Wilmington
(System Record: 32-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 32-35-1

Rest of the Plays
James Madison +3.5 over Towson
Marist +1 over Manhattan
Fairfield +1 over Iona
 

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Soccer Crusher
Bristol City + Reading OVER 2.5
This match happening in England
(System Record: 1078-33, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 1078-821-170
 

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Prediction Machine with current lines:

two normal plays :

USC over 59.5 60.2
Iowa +3 (lock) 58.8 now
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NHL*|*CHICAGO*at*ST LOUIS
Play Against - Any team against the money line (ST LOUIS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals, off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival
204-116*since 1997.**(*63.8%*|*67.8 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*1.0 units*)
 

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Elway # 1,

I assume your comment is in regards to Goodfella's play on Wisconsin. Just an FYI he released the play early last week when the line was still - 7

Regards,
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA*|*WASHINGTON*at*HOUSTON
Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (HOUSTON) after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days
78-38*since 1997.**(*67.2%*|*36.2 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.9 units*)

NBA*|*CHARLOTTE*at*CHICAGO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
36-21*over the last 5 seasons.**(*63.2%*|*26.2 units*)
4-3*this year.**(*57.1%*|*-1.3 units*)

NBA*|*DENVER*at*GOLDEN STATE
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 105 hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days
29-8*over the last 5 seasons.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CBB*|*WM & MARY*at*HOFSTRA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after a loss by 10 points or more
173-101*since 1997.**(*63.1%*|*61.9 units*)
9-5*this year.**(*64.3%*|*3.5 units*)

CBB*|*COLL OF CHARLESTON*at*DELAWARE
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (COLL OF CHARLESTON) after allowing 55 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games
87-44*over the last 5 seasons.**(*66.4%*|*49.3 units*)

CBB*|*APPALACHIAN ST*at*TX-ARLINGTON
Play Against - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (TX-ARLINGTON) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game), after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots
59-26*since 1997.**(*69.4%*|*30.4 units*)
7-3*this year.**(*70.0%*|*3.7 units*)
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CFB*|*IOWA*at*FLORIDA
Play On - Any team (IOWA) after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games
46-18*over the last 5 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
7-5*this year.**(*58.3%*|*1.5 units*)

CFB*|*IOWA*at*FLORIDA
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (FLORIDA) after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points
27-9*since 1997.**(*75.0%*|*0.0 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.0 units*)

CFB*|*IOWA*at*FLORIDA
Play Over - All teams where the total is 42 or less after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season
27-7*over the last 10 seasons.**(*79.4%*|*19.3 units*)
1-2*this year.**(*33.3%*|*-1.2 units*)
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Panthers (+ 3 1/2) on Sunday and likes Iowa on Monday.

The surplus is 50 sirignanos.
 

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