Service Plays Friday 4/25/14

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 4/25/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Friday, 4/25/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________

NBA Playoff Journal (April 24)
The final three of eight Game #2s were played Wednesday night. The Bobcats and Rockets each failed to even up their respective series, while the Mavs ended a 10-game slide in an impressive 113-92 win at San Antonio, evening that series at one game all. The Bobcats and Rockets have joined the Bulls as the only three teams now in 0-2 ‘holes,’ as all eight series shift venues to the lower seeded teams for the next two games. The Bobcats gave it “the old college try” Wednesday night in Miami but fell 101-97. While Charlotte easily covered as a 10-point underdog, the loss was the team's 17th in a row to Miami since James and Bosh joined Wade in South Beach. LBJ had 32, Bosh 20 and Wade 15, as Miami shot 52.2%. The Heat were the NBA’s best shooting team in the regular season (50.1%) and if the Bobcats can’t do a better job of defending, this series won’t return to Miami.

The Rockets may be down 0-2 in their series just like the Bobcats but Houston’s predicament is more similar to that of the Bulls, who like the Rockets, have lost each of their first two games at home. Houston had no answer for Portland's Aldridge in Game #1 when he scored 46 points and pulled down 18 rebounds. So much for making adjustments on Houston's part, as Aldridge almost matched his Game #1 performance, scoring 43 points. Another HUGE bonus for Portland in Game #2 was the play of its bench, which scored 30 points (Wright had 15 and Mo Williams 13), after Portland’s reserves scored just SEVEN points in Game #1. Dwight Howard had an excellent Game #2 with 32 points and 14 rebounds but Harden and Parsons’ shooting woes continued. That duo shot just 18 of 49 in Game #1 (including 6 of 25 on threes) and made only 11 of 34 (32.%) last night.

That brings us to the Mavericks, who fell apart down the stretch at San Antonio in Game #1, watching a 10-point lead evaporate in the final eight minutes of a 90-85 loss. However, Dallas used a balance attack (five in double digits) to lead wire-to-wire in Game #2, ending a 10-game slide versus the hated-Spurs in a 113-92 win. Dallas forced 24 turnovers, so even though the Spurs connected on 50% from the floor (including 10 of 20 three-pointers), San Antonio still lost by 21 points!

Home teams continue to struggle in the first round, as they were just 1-2 SU on Wednesday night and 0-3 ATS. That puts them just 7-9 SU and a ‘money-burning’ 4-11-1 ATS just 26.6 percent. Those following the Zig-Zag theory are 5-2-1 ATS so far, continuing the excellent success we’ve seen in Game #2s over the last two-plus postseasons. While following the Zig-Zag Theory has been pretty much a ‘wash’ for quite some time now, “Zig-Zaggers” were 10-4-1 ATS in the 2012 playoffs and 12-3 ATS in the 2013 playoffs in Game #2s only! Add in the 5-2-1 ATS start to TY’s playoffs and that’s 27-9-2 or 75%! Over bettors must feel like this year’s first round is “like taking candy from a baby” as all three games went over Wednesday night and so far, we’ve seen 12 overs and just four unders through the first 16 games.

Three Game #3s are on tap Thursday evening, with each of those series tired at one-all. TNT again airs a doubleheader, the first game features Oklahoma City at Memphis and the second game is the LA Clippers at Golden State. The NBA Network starts things off with the Pacers visiting the Hawks. In all three cases Thursday, the road team (the higher seeded team) comes in as a small favorite. The Pacers are favored by 2 1/2 points in Atlanta with a total of 186 1/2. The Thunder are favored by two in Memphis (total is 188 1/2) and the Clippers are laying two points in Oakland (total is 213 1/2).

The Pacers are 8-27-1 ATS over their last 36 games overall, including a pathetic 3-15 ATS on the road in that span. They have also won only TWICE at Philips Arena since December 2006, a drought that included a 13-game losing streak stretching for more than six years, but the Hawks are the ONLY losing team in TY’s postseason at 38-44. The Thunder were 25-16 away from Oklahoma City for the NBA's second-best road record in the regular season but the Grizzlies finished the regular season by winning a franchise-record 14 straight games! Griffin (35 points) & the Clippers crushed Golden State 138-98 at Staples Center on Monday night, while forcing 26 turnovers. However, the Clippers have lost 15 of their last 17 encounters in Oakland, including the last five meetings (both TY).
_________________

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Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #1

#739 TORONTO @ #740 BROOKLYN
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN2, TSN Toronto, WWOR Brooklyn - Line: Nets -5, Total: 191) - The Brooklyn Nets made their charge this season on the strength of a dominant run at home, and will try to translate that success to the postseason when they host Game #3 of a first-round Eastern Conference series with Toronto on Friday. Before dropping two of their last three regular-season games at home while resting some regulars, the Nets won a franchise-record 15 consecutive contests at the Barclays Center, part of a 23-9 burst overall that made them a factor in the East. Brooklyn has won its first home game of a playoff series three straight times and the atmosphere figures to be a rather raucous one after the intensity of the first two games.

"That’s one thing that concerns me about our young team is going into a hostile environment,” Raptors head coach Dwane Casey said Wednesday on SiriusXM NBA Radio. While the Nets are back in comfortable surroundings after splitting the first two games in Toronto, the Raptors have the momentum following a 100-95 win in Game #2 on Tuesday. As Brooklyn's Paul Pierce struggled to a 2-for-11 performance, Toronto's leading scorer DeMar DeRozan shook off a difficult Game #1 effort to score 30 points - including 17 in the fourth quarter - to lift his team to its first win in a playoff game since 2008.

•ABOUT THE RAPTORS (49-35 SU, 46-34-4 ATS): DeRozan and fellow star Kyle Lowry get the headlines, but big man Jonas Valanciunas may be the key to Toronto's chances. He is averaging 16 points and 16 rebounds in the series, helping the Raptors produce a 97-67 advantage on the glass to help offset their 40 turnovers. Patrick Patterson, who had a big steal and basket in the final seconds to clinch a win at Brooklyn on Jan. 27, has contributed 10.5 points and seven rebounds off the bench so far.

•ABOUT THE NETS (45-39 SU, 43-40-1 ATS): Pierce called his team "soft" in the wake of its fourth-quarter performance in Game #2, when Toronto scored 36 points on 12-of-16 shooting over the final 12 minutes. "That was our worst fourth quarter defense in a long time in the fourth quarter," he told reporters following the game. The disparity should not come as a surprise, however, as the Raptors had the highest scoring margin (+2.4 points) in the NBA this season, while the Nets were 25th (-1.2).

•PREGAME NOTES: Lowry is averaging 18 points, eight rebounds and seven assists in the series.... F Andrei Kirilenko had four steals as Brooklyn's reserves finished with 11 in Game #2.... Raptors PG Greivis Vasquez has produced 16 assists against three turnovers off the bench in the series.... The Nets are 15-4 Over (78.9%, +10.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.... Toronto is 40-27 against the spread (59.7%, +10.3 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more three- point shots/game on the season this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, TORONTO covered the spread 563 times, while BROOKLYN covered the spread 407 times. *EDGE against the spread =TORONTO. In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN won the game straight up 541 times, while TORONTO won 435 times. In 1000 simulated games, 702 games went over the total, while 277 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, TORONTO covered the first half line 569 times, while BROOKLYN covered the first half line 431 times. *EDGE against first half line =TORONTO. In 1000 simulated games, 624 games went over first half total, while 376 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--TORONTO is 37-33 against the spread versus BROOKLYN since 1996.
--BROOKLYN is 40-37 straight up against TORONTO since 1996.
--38 of 71 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--BROOKLYN is 36-36 versus the first half line when playing against TORONTO since 1996.
--45 of 73 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Brooklyn.
--Raptors are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.

--Underdog is 5-2-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
--Home team is 7-3-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Raptors are 0-4 ATS L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Raptors are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
--Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 Friday games.

--Nets are 5-0 ATS L5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
--Over is 15-3 in Nets last 18 Friday games.
--Under is 6-1-1 in Nets last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Underdogs versus the money line (TORONTO) - an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, off a home win against a division rival, playing with 2 days rest.
(183-64 since 1996.) (74.1%, +55.6 units. Rating = 2*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -199.1
The average score in these games was: Team 99.6, Opponent 93.5 (Average point differential = +6.1)

The situation's record this season is: (5-4, -7.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-12, -12.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-19, -11.5 units).
_______________________________

#741 CHICAGO @ #742 WASHINGTON
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, ESPN, CSN Chicago, CSN Mid-Atlantic Washington - Line: Wizards -3, Total: 182.5) - The Washington Wizards have very little postseason experience but are on the verge of putting the Chicago Bulls into a very deep hole. The Wizards will look to take a 3-0 lead in the best-of-seven Eastern Conference series when they host the Bulls in Game #3 on Friday. No. 5 seed Washington featured its frontcourt in Game #1 but let the backcourt carry the load in Game #2 as Bradley Beal and John Wall emerged.

The Wizards proved their youth and inexperience would not force them to shrink in big moments when they recovered from a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit to force overtime in Game #2 and have been strong down the stretch in each of the first two contests. Beal scored nine points during a regulation-ending 14-4 run to help force overtime and Nene stepped up with six of his 17 points in overtime. Chicago, which squandered a 13-point lead in Game #1, led the league in scoring defense and finished second in field-goal percentage defense during the regular season but is allowing the Wizards to shoot 48.1 percent in the series.

•ABOUT THE BULLS (48-36 SU, 41-42-1 ATS): Chicago is convinced that a few plays either way would have turned the tide in its favor in the first two games and are concentrating on small adjustments. “We’ve got to finish games,” Taj Gibson told reporters. “We watched the film and it came down to us being a fingernail short every time. Guys were diving for the ball and scrambling around. They just made some great plays. Playoff-style basketball, I guess.” Gibson was one of the bright spots with 22 points and 10 rebounds in Game #2, combining with D.J. Augustin (25 points) to form a potent combination off the bench.

•ABOUT THE WIZARDS (46-38 SU, 45-38-1 ATS): Beal knocked down a pair of key 3-pointers in the final minutes of regulation and went 4-of-7 from beyond the arc in Game #2 after failing to connect on a 3-pointer in Game #1. Wall scored 16 points in each of the first two games and hit two free throws in overtime of Game #2 that provided just enough cushion to give Washington the win. “I think we’re definitely more locked in,” forward Trevor Ariza told reporters. “I think we’re paying more attention to detail in shootarounds and practice. We’re talking more. Communication is a big part of being a good team, and (Wall and Beal), they’re maturing.”

•PREGAME NOTES: Bulls C Joakim Noah posted a double-double in each of the first two games.... Washington struggled to 16-of-28 from the free-throw line in Game #2.... Chicago G Jimmy Butler played all 53 minutes of Game #2 after going 44 minutes in Game #1.... The Bulls are 91-57 versus the spread (61.4%, +28.3 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.... The Wizards are 64-90 against the spread (41.5%, -35.0 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the spread 499 times, while CHICAGO covered the spread 483 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON won the game straight up 574 times, while CHICAGO won 401 times. In 1000 simulated games, 674 games went over the total, while 326 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the first half line 506 times, while CHICAGO covered the first half line 494 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 591 games went over first half total, while 378 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--WASHINGTON is 41-34 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1996.
--CHICAGO is 40-35 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1996.
--45 of 75 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--CHICAGO is 38-34 versus the first half line when playing against WASHINGTON since 1996.
--39 of 75 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings.
--Bulls are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
--Under is 17-5-1 in the last 23 meetings in Washington.
--Bulls are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington.

--Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Bulls are 0-4 ATS L4 when their opponent scored 100 points or more LG.
--Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
--Over is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.

--Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 overall.
--Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games following a ATS win.
--Over is 4-0 in Wizards L4 after scoring 100 points or more.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games.
(76-38 since 1996.) (66.7%, +34.2 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 185.4
The average score in these games was: Team 96.2, Opponent 93.8 (Total points scored = 190.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 50 (43.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-7).
_______________________________

Western Conference Playoffs - Round #1

#743 HOUSTON @ #744 PORTLAND
(TV: 10:30 PM EST, ESPN, CSN Houston, KGW Portland - Line: Trail Blazers -3, Total: 216) - LaMarcus Aldridge has put together back-to-back historic efforts and the Portland Trail Blazers are in position to take a 3-0 series lead when they host the Houston Rockets on Friday in the first-round Western Conference series. Aldridge excelled by recording outings of 46 and 43 points in Portland’s two victories in Houston. The All-Star forward joined Michael Jordan and Tracy McGrady as the only players to post consecutive 40-point outings on the road in Games #1 and #2 of a series.

After Aldridge set a franchise playoff-record in the opener, the Rockets asserted that they would adjust and limit the damage. That didn’t happen as Aldridge was a more efficient shooter in Game #2 (18-of-28) than the opener (17-of-31). “LaMarcus Aldridge killed us once again,” Rockets guard James Harden said after Wednesday’s loss. “Game #3 is our season.” Harden is part of the reason Houston is in a big hole as he is a porous 14-for-47 from the field.

•ABOUT THE ROCKETS (54-30 SU, 40-42-2 ATS): Harden has wilted badly in the first two playoff games and is shooting just 29.8 percent from the field while averaging 22.5 points. He insisted his offense wasn’t an issue but admitted the club isn’t clicking on all cylinders despite center Dwight Howard pouring in 32 points in Game #2. “We don’t have our same flow, our same mojo that we had throughout the season,” Harden told reporters. “We don’t have our same swag that we go out there and just play and have fun with it. We have to get that back.” Harden also attempted just four free throws in Game #2 – he averaged 9.1 attempts during the regular season.

•ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (56-28 SU, 46-38-0 ATS): Aldridge has one of the best midrange games in the NBA and Houston hasn’t figured out a way to prevent him from doing whatever he pleases. The 89 points are fourth-most in a team’s first two playoff games over the past 50 years – behind Michael Jordan (1986, 1988) and Jerry West (1965) – and he is also averaging 13 boards in the series. Point guard Damian Lillard is averaging 24.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and eight assists but is thoroughly enjoying Aldridge’s performance. “What can they do to stop him?” Lillard said to reporters. “He was hitting tough fadeaways, getting into the lane, getting guys into the air, drawing guys. He was great once again.”

•PREGAME NOTES: The teams split two regular-season meetings in Portland with Houston’s victory coming by 15 points.... Howard is averaging 29.5 points, 14.5 rebounds and four blocks in the series.... Trail Blazers SG Wesley Matthews is just 2-of-12 from 3-point range in the series.... The Rockets are 4-15 against the spread (21.0%, -12.5 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... The Trail Blazers are 19-6 versus the spread (76.0%, +12.4 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last three seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, HOUSTON covered the spread 527 times, while PORTLAND covered the spread 448 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND won the game straight up 527 times, while HOUSTON won 452 times. In 1000 simulated games, 623 games went under the total, while 360 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, HOUSTON covered the first half line 527 times, while PORTLAND covered the first half line 473 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 588 games went under first half total, while 376 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PORTLAND is 37-34 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1996.
--HOUSTON is 42-33 straight up against PORTLAND since 1996.
--37 of 71 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--HOUSTON is 43-29 versus the first half line when playing against PORTLAND since 1996.
--37 of 70 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Rockets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Rockets are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.

--Over is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings.
--Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Portland.

--Underdog is 13-5-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
--Road team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
--Rockets are 0-5 ATS L5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Rockets are 0-6 ATS L6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more.
--Over is 9-0 in Trail Blazers last 9 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 209.6
The average score in these games was: Team 99.9, Opponent 97.9 (Total points scored = 197.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 30 (68.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (7-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (87-54).
_______________________________

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
New York Mets -115 over Miami Marlins
(System Record: 13-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 13-12

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks +101 over St Louis Blues
(Playoff Record: 4-2, won last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 95-77-2

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Chicago Bulls +3 over Washington Wizards
(Playoff Record: 3-2, won last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 81-89-5

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Newells Old Boys + Tigre OVER 2 - (Argentiana) pending
Sampaio Correa + Icasa UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 560-20, won last 6 games)
Overall Record: 560-475-81

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Alvarez is 1-0, 1.80 in his last two starts.
-- Santana is 2-0, 0.86 in three starts for Atlanta.
-- Miller is 1-0, 0.79 in his last couple starts. Cole is 2-1, 4.00 in his four starts this month.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts. Beckett is 0-0, 0.00 (10 IP) in his last two starts.

-- Wilson is 2-1, 3.15 in his last three starts. Kuroda is 2-1, 4.07 in four starts this season.
-- Ventura is 1-1, 3.18 in three starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 4-0, 0.64 in four '14 starts. Peavy is 0-0, 3.33 in his four starts.
-- Archer is 2-1, 3.65 in four starts this season. Johnson is 1-0, 2.31 in his last couple starts.
-- Oakland is 4-0 when Chavez starts (1-0, 2.08).
-- Porcello is 2-1, 3.05 in three starts this season.

-- Hudson is 2-1, 2.70 in four starts for the Giants.

Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-2, 6.33 in five starts. Erlin is 0-2, 5.91 in his last two starts.
-- Wheeler is 1-2, 5.40 in four starts this season.
-- Bailey is 1-1, 5.76 in four starts this season.
-- Garza is 0-1, 7.00 in his last three starts. Villanueva is 0-2, 16.43 in his last two starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-0, 7.20 in his last three starts. Collmenter is 0-2, 6.30 in two starts this season.

-- Jiminez is 0-3, 6.75 in four starts this season.
-- Peacock allowed two runs in five IP in losing his first '14 start.
-- Correia is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Ross is 1-1, 4.24 in four starts. Elias is 1-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.

-- Carrasco is 0-2, 7.88 in three starts this month.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Erlin 1-3; Strasburg 2-5
-- Alvarez 2-4; Wheeler 2-4
-- Bailey 1-4; Santana 1-3
-- Villanueva 0-3; Garza 1-4
-- Cole 0-4; Miller 0-4
-- Hernandez 2-4; Collmenter 0-2
-- Lyles 1-4; Beckett 1-3

-- Wilson 1-4; Kuroda 1-4
-- Ventura 2-3; Jimenez 1-4
-- Peavy 1-4; Buehrle 1-4
-- Archer 1-4; Johnson 2-4
-- Chavez 2-4; Peacock 1-1
-- Porcello 3-3; Correia 0-4
-- Ross 1-4; Elias 0-4

-- Carrasco 1-3; Hudson 0-4

Totals
-- Last six San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Last five Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games stayed under.
-- All twelve games at Miller Park stayed under.
-- Four of last five Pirate gamaes stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Arizona home games.
-- Last three Colorado road games stayed under.

-- 14 of 20 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Baltimore games went over.
-- Five of last seven Boston games went over.
-- Seven of ten White Sox home games went over.
-- Last three Oakland road games went over total.
-- 11 of 15 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Texas road games stayed under.

-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine San Francisco games.

Hot teams
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Braves won five of their last six home games. Cincinnati won four of its last five games overall.
-- Brewers won five of their last six games.
-- Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven games.


-- Bronx won eight of last 11 games. Angels are 7-5 away from home.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six road games.
-- Twins won eight of last 12 games. Detroit won four of their last six.
-- Rangers won eight of their last nine games.

-- Indians won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Padres are 3-7 in game following a win. Washington is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
-- Marlins lost eight of their nine road games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last seven games. St Louis lost four of last five.
-- Arizona lost its last eight home games.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last four games.

-- Kansas City lost four of its last five games.
--
Red Sox are 8-12 in their last twenty games.Toronto lost three of last four. -- White Sox lost six of their last nine games. Rays lost three of last four.
-- Astros lost eight of their last nine home games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last nine games.

-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd
4* Brooklyn Nets -5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
New York Mets -115 over Miami Marlins
(System Record: 13-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 13-12

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Seattle Mariners -102 over Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals -118 over Pittsburgh
Chicago White Sox +122 over Tampa Bay


Hockey
Philadelphia Flyers -110 over New York Rangers
Anaheim Ducks + Dallas Stars UNDER 5.5
Philadelphia Flyers + New York Rangers OVER 5


Basketball
Brooklyn Nets + Toronto Raptors OVER 191
Portland Trail Blazers + Houston Rockets OVER 215.5
Chicago Bulls + Washington Wizards UNDER 182.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

LA Angels at NY Yankees

The Yankees open up their series tonight against an Angels team that is 4-0 in C.J. Wilson's last 4 starts during Game 1 of a series. LA is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 25 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: San Diego at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 14.546; Washington (Strasburg) 15.917 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: Washington (-210); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-210); Under

Game 953-954: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 15.812; NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.275 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-105); Over

Game 955-956: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.813; Atlanta (Santana) 16.440 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Under

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Villanueva) 15.635; Milwaukee (Garza) 15.167 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-190); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cole) 17.121; St. Louis (Miller) 16.100 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Over

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 13.896; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.337 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-140); Under

Game 963-964: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 15.060; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 16.376 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under

Game 965-966: LA Angels at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.865; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.664 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 15.108; Baltimore (Jimenez) 14.274 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Under

Game 969-970: Boston at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Peavy) 16.674; Toronto (Buehrle) 15.630 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 8 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+115); Over

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 14.118; White Sox (Johnson) 14.944 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+115); Over

Game 973-974: Oakland at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 15.852; Houston (Peacock) 14.377 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Oakland (-190); 8 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-190); Under

Game 975-976: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.993; Minnesota (Correia) 15.973 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 977-978: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ross) 15.477; Seattle (Elias) 14.202 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under

Game 979-980: Cleveland at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.056; San Francisco (Hudson) 16.456 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-165); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Guaranteed picks

Raptors
Bulls
Rockets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Houston at Portland

Down 0-2 in the series, the Rockets head to Portland tonight where they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the Blazers. Houston is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 25 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 739-740: Toronto at Brooklyn (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 118.359; Brooklyn 126.543 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 8; 195 Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5; 190 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-5); Over

Game 741-742: Chicago at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.518; Washington 119.449 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 179 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3; 183 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3); Under

Game 743-744: Houston at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 123.778; Portland 122.338 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1 1/2; 211 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3; 216 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Chicago at St. Louis

The Blackhawks head back to St. Louis for Game 5 tonight and face a Blues team that is 0-5 in its last 5 Friday games. Chicago is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-105). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 25 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 31-32: NY Rangers at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.919; Philadelphia 11.811 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under

Game 33-34: Chicago at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.410; St. Louis 11.450 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-105); Over

Game 35-36: Dallas at Anaheim (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.861; Anaheim 11.442 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-160); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+140); Over

 

[pascal5757]

Kevin's Pick(s):
It's been a streaky start to the season for me. A loser Thursday night with the under. Tonight I'm betting against Carrasco and the Indians again, this time taking the Giants on the run line at home at a nice price with Hudson on the mound.
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS -1.5 (+139)
Listed Pitchers: Carrasco vs Hudson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.78 units)
- write up to come

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Blackhawks at Blues

Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues (-110, 5)

Patrick Kane is no stranger to scoring dramatic overtime goals in the postseason - see Game 6 of the 2010 Stanley Cup final if you need to refresh your memory. While the stakes weren't as high, the reigning Conn Smythe Trophy winner netted his second goal of the contest 11:17 into the extra session as Chicago skated to a 4-3 victory on Wednesday to even its Western Conference first-round series with the St. Louis Blues at two games apiece. The Central Division rivals will reconvene in St. Louis for Game 5 on Friday.

The reigning Stanley Cup champions held serve by winning both contests in Chicago after the Blues opened the series with a pair of home victories. "We're not in a bad spot. It's tied and we still have home ice," St. Louis defenseman Jay Bouwmeester said. "We still have a good opportunity here." Whether the Blues have David Backes (upper body) for Friday's tilt is a mystery, although the captain did not participate in Thursday's optional skate - prompting coach Ken Hitchcock to tell reporters to "read into it what you will."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS2, FSMW (St. Louis)

LINE HISTORY: The Blues opened as small -110 home faves Thursday morning. The total opened at five.

INJURY REPORT: Blackhawks - D Brent seabrook (Out, suspension), G Nikolai Khabibulin (Out, shoulder). Blues - C David Backes (Questionable, head), LW Brenden Morrow (Out, foot).

WHAT SHAPRS SAY: "This series is back at square one but you have to think the Blackhawks have all of the momentum following back-to-back wins at the United Center. With that being said the Hawks bandwagon is also filling up once again, leading to little in the way of line value here. While I do expect Chicago to steal a game in St. Louis at some point in this series, the Blues will fight tooth and nail to avoid facing elimination in The Windy City in Game 6." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

WHY BET THE BLACKHAWKS: For the third time in four years, Jonathan Toews was named a finalist for the Selke Trophy - which is awarded to the top defensive forward. The captain, who is vying for a repeat after winning the award for the first time in 2013, was joined by Boston's Patrice Bergeron and Los Angeles' Anze Kopitar as finalists. Toews collected a goal and an assist in Game 4, has a team-high five points and won 64.2 percent of his faceoffs (68-for-106) in the series.

WHY BET THE BLUES:Vladimir Tarasenko has put his injuries woes behind him with a stellar effort versus Chicago. After missing the last 15 games of the regular season with a hand injury, the 22-year-old Russian tallied twice on Wednesday to double his team-leading goal total for the series. "Exceptional. He's been a great player every game," Hitchcock said. "Young, emerging player. Hopefully he stays with it and helps us a lot."

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Blackhawks are 0-5 in the last five meetings in St. Louis.
* Blues are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.
* Blackhawks are 7-19 in their last 26 road games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Sixty-three percent of wagers are on the home-fave Blues.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Raptors +5
Brewers (RL) -1.5(+115)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Friday

Brewers - Cubs over 8

Angels +104

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play FRI NHL Anaheim -160

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JACK JONES

Sport	Date	Matchup	Book	Starts
NBA	Apr 25 '14 7:10p	Toronto vs Brooklyn Under 192		in 1d
20* Raptors/Nets Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 192 I expect Game 3 to play out similar to Game 1 where the Nets beat the Raptors 94-87 for 181 combined points. I believe Game 2 was the aberration as these teams combined for 195 points in a 100-95 Toronto victory. Game 2 was playing out just like Game 1 through three quarters. They had combined for 40, 44 and 46 points in the first three quarters, respectively. However, the teams exploded for 65 combined points in the fourth quarter, which made the final score seem like less of a defensive battle than it really was. Kevin Garnett spoke openly about how Brooklyn's fourth quarter defense was unacceptable as it allowed the Raptors to put up 36 points. You can bet that the Nets will come back with tremendous intensity defensively in Game 3. Toronto will also bring it on that end of the floor like it has all season. The Raptors rank 9th in the league in defensive efficiency. This has certainly been a half-court series to this point, and I don't expect that to change in Game 3. Brooklyn ranks 25th in the league in pace at 93.7 possessions per game. Toronto ranks 23rd in pace at 94.4 possessions per game. Neither team will look to run much in Game 3, especially with the adjustments that will be made, which will favor both defenses. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

Sport	Date	Matchup	Book	Starts
NBA	Apr 25 '14 8:10p	Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards Take: Chicago Bulls +3		in 1d
15* Bulls/Wizards Game 3 ANNIHILATOR on Chicago +3 This is the exact type of game the Chicago Bulls live for. Everyone has counted them out after losing the first two games of this series at home, and everything except the guys inside that locker room believe this series is over. This team plays its best when it is counted out. I've said it before and I'll say it again, Tom Thibodeau deserves Coach of the Year every year with what he has been able to do with this team. The players take after their head coach, who has absolutely no quit in him. He'll rally the troops and you'll see the Bulls put forth one of their best efforts of the season in Game 3. Chicago actually played some of its best basketball on the road this season posting a 21-20 record away from home. That included a 96-78 road victory in its last trip to Washington on April 5th. Washington actually owns a worse home record (22-19) than a road record (24-19) on the year. The Bulls have a lot of playoff experience on this team. They know a series isn't over until its over. Washington, meanwhile, is loaded with inexperience in terms of the playoffs. While that actually worked in the Wizards' favor in the first two games of this series as they didn't know any better, I believe it will work against them here. They will be content with their 2-0 lead and not be able to match the effort of the desperate Bulls in Game 3. Thibodeau is 39-22 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of Chicago. Thibodeau is 32-16 ATS off a home loss as the coach of Chicago. Randy Whitman is 27-51 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of Washington. The Wizards are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 games off two or more consecutive road wins. Chicago is 91-57 ATS in its last 148 road games when playing against a team with a winning percentage from 51% to 60%. Take