Service Plays Friday 12/12/08

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CTO

CONFIDENTIAL TIP-OFF BASKETBALL
Friday, Dec. 12

HOUSTON over *Golden State (NBA)...Golden has dropped 9 in a row SU and is just 4-11 last 15 against the points thru Dec. 7. Warriors held just one of their last 16 foes below 100 points and yielded 125 ppg in the last 7 games through Dec. 7. Houston, meanwhile, covered 4 of its last 5 on the road prior to visiting Memphis on Dec. 8, and Rockets are getting by without Tracy McGrady, winning 4 of first 6 SU without T-Mac. One of those wins was a 131-112 spanking of the Warriors.
HOUSTON 119 - *Golden State 105 RATING - 10
 
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THE GOLD SHEET
NBA FORECAST

NBA KEY RELEASES
ORLANDO by 7 over Phoenix (Fri., December 12)

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 12
Atlanta 100 - MIAMI 97—After enduring a rough patch of results (no covers in 7 straight from Nov. 14-25) that loosely coincided with absence of explosive Josh Smith, Atlanta appeared to right its ship at the end of the month. And even with that mid-November slump, Hawks providing pretty good value if getting points on road (7-2 in role thru Dec. 8). But they’ll have to keep tabs on Dwyane Wade, whose early-season form as good as ever (29.8 ppg in November ties for second-best month of his career!) 07-Atl +8 82-79 (188), ATL -1' 114-111 (OT-187), AT -8' 97-94 (200), MIA +5 113-99 (187)

CLEVELAND 106 - Philadelphia 84—Philly hung tough in its three games
vs. Cleveland LY, winning once at The “Q” and covering all battles. LeBron & Co., however, have begun this season like they mean business, covering 8 of first 10 as home chalk thru Dec. 8. Teams also met Wednesday night at Wachovia Center. 08-Check 12/10 result; 07-Phi +7' 92-86 (191), CLE -4' 91-88 (192), Cle +4' 91-90 (187)

NEW JERSEY 109 - Toronto 102—Frisky New Jersey one of the real
revelations of early-season action, as Lawrence Frank making good use of young bench to energize squad. Included in this renaissance was wild 129-127 win at Air Canada Centre Nov. 21 when Vince Carter (scored 39) and Devin Harris (added 30) paced Nets. 08-Nj +8' 129-127 (OT-196); 07-Tor +3 106-69 (192), TOR -10 109-91 (191), NJ +5 99-90 (202), TOR -10' 113-85 (202)

Chicago 97 - MEMPHIS 86—Memphis in revenge mode (as it often is these
days) after 10-point loss at United Center Nov. 1. But Grizzlies are going to have to do a better job slowing Bull rookie G sensation Derrick Rose than in first meeting when the former Memphis Tiger scored 26. Cold Memphis was on 7-game SU and spread losing streak prior to win over sad-sack Clippers Dec. 5. 08-CHI -8' 96-86 (192); 07-MEM -1' 104-90 (204), CHI -11' 112-97 (208)

San Antonio 97 - MINNESOTA 89—After not having much trouble when
sweeping (SU and vs. line) Minnesota in four meetings last season, S.A. was pushed into double-OT before finally doing away with T-wolves at Target Center Nov. 5. But Spurs might want to give Tony Parker a bit more help in return match after they needed almost every one of Eva’s hubby’s career-best 55 points to avert upset. 08-San -4' 129-125 (2OT-182); 07-San -10 106-91 (192), SAN -15' 105-88 (188), San -8 100-99 (179), SAN -12 99-84 (186)

BOSTON 100 - New Orleans 87—Note that home court edge meant
something when these two tussled last season, when Boston avenged 7-point loss in New Orleans with 20-point cruise at Fleet Center. Champs picking up where they left off last season, having won 11 in a row SU thru Dec. 6. Note Hornets on 8-3-3 “under” run thru Dec. 9. 07-NO -1' 113-106 (190), BOS -7' 112-92 (197) CABLE TV—ESPN

DETROIT 90 - Indiana 85—Indiana (which already owns wins over last
season’s finalists, Celtics & Lakers) surprisingly playing its best against the
best this season. And Pacers put up a pretty good fight the last time they faced rugged Detroit, covering as 10-point dog in competitive 100-94 loss at The Palace opening night. Danny Granger proved a real thorn in Pistons’ side that night when scoring 33 in a game that was played before A.I.’s trade to Auburn Hills. “Totals” alert—Detroit on 8-1 “under” run thru Dec. 6. 08-DET -10 100-94 (188); 07-DET -9' 114-101 (198), Det -4' 98-92 (199), Det -7' 110-104 (194), DET -10 96-80 (198)

Orlando 103 - PHOENIX 96—It’s the middle of an extended 5-game
western road swing for Orlando, but note that Magic was recently on 6-game SU win streak as visitor before running into hot Boston at Fleet Center Dec. 1. Phoenix scuffling a bit lately (3-11 vs. line last 14 thru Dec. 8) with Shaq and Steve Nash in and out of lineup, but their expected return to action ought to bolster Suns’ hopes. Note that Phoenix won both meetings vs. Magic LY, although Suns couldn’t quite cover as 5½-point chalk in America West Arena clash. 07-Pho -1 106-96 (209), PHO -5' 110-106 (215)

PORTLAND 94 - LA Clippers 80—One of the strongest early-season “totals”
trends has been Portland’s recent string of “unders” (8 straight thru Dec. 6). And ascending Blazers were on 6-game SU win streak thru Dec. 4 before honorable loss at champion Celtics. Clips have been showing some signs of improvement since acquiring frontliner Zach Randolph via trade in late November. Randolph was scoring at a 25.3 ppg clip his first three as a Clipper, although the absence of injured C Chris Kaman has forced Randolph and Marcus Camby to log heavier minutes in post than HC Mike Dunleavy would like. 07-Port +2 82-80 (183), PORT -12 107-102 (192), Port -7' 83-72 (189)

LA LAKERS 119 - Sacramento 103—Hot Lakers on many streaks early in
the season, including recent “over” skein (6-1 “over” last 7 thru Dec. 5). That “over” run began with 118-108 shootout win over Sacto at Staples Center Nov.23. L.A. couldn’t quite shake 16½-point dog Kings that night despite Sacto being minus injured high scorer Kevin Martin, with Kings hitting 54% from floor. Teams also met three nights ago at Arco Arena. 08-LA -16' 118-108 (209), check 12/9 result; 07-La -5' 117-105 (222), Sac +13 114-113 (222), La -9' 114-92 (222), LA -17' 124-101 (217)

Houston 118 - GOLDEN ST. 106—Don Nelson’s frustrations boiled over in
Golden State’s 131-112 loss at Houston Dec. 5, as enraged Nellie was tossed from proceedings. That’s understandable, considering Warriors’ recent meltdown (G.S. had lost 9 in a row SU thru Dec. 7). Nellie’s bunch was actually hanging into the 4th Q of that battle at Toyota Center, but then watched Rockets close game on 30-11 run to win comfortably. Yao Ming’s presence obviously a further concern for G.S. after he scored 33 in that Houston win. Note Rocketmen “over” 7-1 last 8 thru Dec. 7. 08-HOU -8' 131-112 (210); 07-GS +2 113-94 (208), Gs +3' 112-95 (201), HOU
-3' 111-107 (205), Hou +4 109-106 (208) TV—ESPN
 
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THE GOLD SHEET

COLLEGE HOOPS
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 12

MIAMI-FLORIDA 82 - Florida Intl. 51—With FIU’s top two players 6-6 F Alex Galindo and 7-0 C Russell Hicks probably still sidelined with injuries, must lay the lumber with ascending, veteran Miami-Florida, led by pure-shooting G Jack McClinton (16 ppg; 43% from arc). And with Hurricane HC Fran Haith praising improved post play of 6-8 jr. F Dwayne Collins (12 pg, 9 rpg) and 6-8 sr. Jimmy Graham (6 rpg), deeper Miami equipped to destroy shorthanded Panthers. Happenin’ host has covered last 3 as DD chalk. 07-Mia -11' 67-53

Iowa St. 65 - IOWA 66—Youthful Iowa (start 3 true frosh!) has
displayed rapid maturity in early going for astute 2nd-year HC Todd Lickliter, but still looking to take several hoops with 6-1 ISU (prior to Drake Dec. 9). ISU’s productive 6-10 soph C Craig Brackins (16 ppg) poses matchup problems for Goriented Hawkeyes, while emerging, sharp-shooting 6-5 soph Lucca Staiger (native German scored 14 pts. vs. Ore. St.) and 6-4 soph G Diante Garrett (11 pg, 44% from arc) keep Iowa defense from sagging. 07-ISU -2' 56-47

ARKANSAS-L.R. 62 - Wright St. 45—Even in a best-case scenario, no one
would mistake Wright State’s firepower for Duke’s. But Raiders really on short rations offensively at moment with star G Duggins out until New Year’s with finger injury and backcourt mate T. Brown laboring at about 20% from floor, all helping contribute to WSU’s sickly 0-6 break from gate. Situation much better at UALR, as experienced Trojans confirming Sun Belt contender status with quick start featuring unexpected contributions from 6-0 soph G Mouzy (teambest 14 ppg). 07-DNP
 
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Pointwise Basketball
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NBA Selections
Key Releases
1--Miami over Atlanta (12/12) 107-87
2--Portland over LA Clipers (12/12) 108-92

Best of the Rest
12/12--New Jersey

NCAA Key Releases
none

Best of the Rest
12/12--Iowa

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PickLogic

Game: San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves
Sport: National Basketball Association
Date: Friday, December 12, 2008
Time: 5:05 PM Pacific time
Selection: UNDER the "total" of 190.5, -110
Wager: 1 unit
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty pushed with the Saints ( 3) Thursday night.

Friday it's Iowa. The deficit is 635 sirignanos.
 
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Dave Cokin

(717) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
(718) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS

Take "(718) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS"
The Blazers are out of high altitude and without rest as they travel from Salt Lake back home to host the Clippers. That is a negative scenario, but it's offset by the fact the Blazers have now lost two straight and are going to feel a sense of urgency to avoid having this turn into a slump. Portland got done in at Utah by some very poor outside shooting, but should find a path to the basket easier against the far less resistant Clippers. I'll spot the points and back the Blazers.
 
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Jim Feist

(715) ORLANDO MAGIC
(716) PHOENIX SUNS

Take "(716) PHOENIX SUNS"
Phoenix didn't play that badly the last game, losing at the Los Angeles Lakers in a close one despite being short-handed. For this game, they get Jason Richardson and Jared Dudley, acquired in a trade this week. Plus Phoenix also was without former Lakers star Shaquille O'Neal was in New Jersey for funeral services and hopes to return in time to play Friday night against Orlando. O'Neal scored 35 points Tuesday night -- his most in nearly three years -- in a 125-110 victory over Milwaukee. 3rd straight road game for Orlando, a team a long way from home, as well as their 6th road game over the last 9 contests. A cheap price on the new-look home team. Play the Suns.
 

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Ness

At least have the integrity to call last nights game a push as it never left the number three, just varying degrees of juice on the three.

I realize many people had the option to buy it up or down but c'mon, then a handicapper would get to call either side he had a winner on these types of games. Certainly a chance for them to inflate their records.

I thought Ness was better than that but I guess he needed a win anyway he could get it.

Last 3 Days Picks

<TABLE class=data id=hcPicks_tblHandicapperPicks cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead width="17%">Date </TD><TD class=datahead width="10%">W/L</TD><TD class=datahead width="15%">Sport</TD><TD class=datahead width="48%">Pick</TD><TD class=datahead align=right width="10%">Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/11/08</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>Chicago Bears</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>900</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/10/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NBA</TD><TD class=datacell>New Jersey Nets</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/10/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Mississippi State </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/10/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Tulsa </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-770</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>12/09/08</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>NCAAB</TD><TD class=datacell>Villanova </TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-880</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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IC's Research

5 Unit Play Sunday

RESEARCH REPORT:

Yesterday’s Recap:

Boston blows out Washington on the road to get revenge as Washington had swept Boston last year in 3 games so obviously Boston came back fired up and won big here. Washington is pending Mike James joining this team as well. That game goes well over as Boston decided to take all of their frustration out. The Blazers fail to get revenge against the Spurs as the game dips under and the Bobcats do cover in their style of game against Dallas the game dips under as well.

Your Latest NBA News:

Cuttino Mobley will retire effective immediately due to heart defect. Mobley plays for the Knicks.

Bell and Diaw will make Bobcat debut on Saturday.

Artest will be out two games for Rockets and McGrady returns to practice.

OKC Thunder’s Wilcox dislocates his finger and could be out for up to two weeks.

Monte Ellis is back working out with the Warriors.

The Nets get the OK for their construction of new facility.

*source: nba.com

Philadelphia vs. Cleveland

There are some injuries to note here. Iglauskas is doubtful for this game and Gibson is Out. Now, having said that, Cleveland is the best ATS cover team in the league. Cleveland covered on the road with the -6.5 against Philly just the other game as these two teams have their home and home. Typically you favor the team that just lost the ATS cover in the home and home with the revenge angle. Thus, a lean on Philly and the over. The lines have yet to be released overnight for this game.

Atlanta vs. Miami

Miami is the small favorite here as the Heat are solid this year behind Wade, dynamic rookie Michael Beasley, Marion and Haslem to name a few. The Heat beat Atlanta back on April of last year 113-99. Atlanta comes off some frustrating losses on the road to San Antonio, Houston and Dallas but they did cover 2 of the 3 in the big Texas road swing. The Heat have played great over their last four games including winning at GS, at Utah, OKC and Charlotte – two teams they beat at home and failed to cover. I know the Heat have been playing great, but I can just as well see the Hawks pulling this game out avoiding their fourth straight loss. The Hawks have played four straight unders while the Heat have palyed 4 of 5 overs.

Toronto vs. New Jersey

These two teams are no fans of each other. Remember, NJ beat the Raptors on the road with Devin Harris in their last game. The Nets have simply been playing great basketball and frankly, as long as Devin Harris stays healthy, this team is a serious contender. New Jersey beat this team in OT in their last game by a final score of 129-127 and Toronto comes off a big win over Indiana. Toronto had lost five straight coming into that game. NJ comes off a tough loss to NY at home so they look to bounce-back here. I actually lean on the Nets here on the bounce-back, but how do you go against a Raptors team with revenge here as they come off a little confidence boost with a win at home?

New Orleans vs. Boston

NO goes on the road to play a Celtics team that just comes off a blowout win. NO has not done well against the better teams in the league losing to the likes of Portland and at Houston, but has covered 5 of their last 6 including beating Denver on the road and coming off a big thumping against Charlotte. Boston beat this team by 20 last year with a similar spread at home. Boston has been a solid cover at home of late winning big against Portland, Orlando, Indiana and Philly. I lean on the Celtics here to get it done here at home but NO has shown some bite on the road of late winning at Denver for example – but they did lose by 20 on this floor last time so I’m sure that memory has not left them this year.

San Antonio vs. Minnesota

I hate the -7 line for the better team. There was a similar line with the Bucks on the road at the Suns and I was burned. The line means nothing if you play dogs typically. After all, you can like the dog, they can be competitive the whole way through and be down by 3-4 points only to lose by 8-10 points due to the free throws in the end. San Antonio is on a roll with Manu and Tony Parker back. They beat this team in OT earlier this year in Minny without Manu or Tony and now will play them with both of these fellas. Minny remember is led by Coach M who has come down from the front office to coach this team and they have covered back to back games consequently. Minny has played 4 of 5 unders and I can see them being an active dog here but typically when Minny is an active dog, their respective games go under.

Orlando vs. Phoenix

Richardson and O’Neal are both listed as questionable for this game. Orlando has covered back to back games winning at LAC and at Portland in a revenge game. Phoenix covered against the Lakers in their last game and also has covered against Milwaukee in their latest home game. I actually lean on Orlando here given that they have a nice core and lost to this team by a few points at this time last year. With or Without Richardson/O’Neal, I still lean on the Magic here as anyone new to the mix usually takes some time to adjust and without these guys, I lean on the Magic as well as they likely have the better team on the floor – but the Suns do come off a loss at L.A.

Houston vs. Golden State

Monte Ellis will be eligible for this team on December 19th. Note that the GS has looked good defeating the Bucks at home and the Thunder on the road. The Rockets struggled last time on the highway against Memphis but did rebound against the Hawks at home. The Rockets have McGrady as questionable for this game and Artest miss this game. Given that Tracy is questionable, it is tough to make a judgement on this play. Therefore, I am staying away as it should be a great game either way.

Florida International vs. Miami of Florida (25)

Florida International lost by 35 to UCLA on the road and 23 to Washington on the road as well. Miami of Florida comes off a big win at Kentucky where they were 3.5 dogs and easily got it done over the Wildcats and beat Stetson by 14 at home. Frankly, it is tough to lay such a big number here but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Miami of Florida cover it, but they do come off a big win so I’m not sure how much they will get up for this game.

Wright State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock

Wright State is 0-6 and 1-5 ATS while Arkansas Little Rock is 6-1 and 2-4 ATS. These two teams have not met recently but Wright State did come off their first win over Toledo by 15. Wright State by no means is known for their offense as they scored 37 points against Miami of Ohio but did win against Toledo 50-35. Arkansas Little-Rock is good folks, they won at Pepperdine, won at Oral Roberts and won at Cal-Po. I can see them winning this game big as Wright State once again is not known for their offense having scored 65 as their highest output on the road within regulation.

Georgia Southern vs. Drake

Drake comes off a huge win at Iowa State giving the Cyclones just their second loss of the year. After covering their first game of the year, the Eagles have failed to cover in their last four. Drake has played solid at home including defeating NM on neutral ground and as mentioned defeating Iowa State on the road and GS hasn’t looked overly impressive losing by 43 to Duke and 17 to UTEP on the road. I lean on the points regardless, but Drake is playing great basketball right now.


#720. Take Los Angeles Lakers -16.5 over Sacramento Kings. (Friday @ 10:35pm est)

Remember, the Lakers lost to this team recently by double-digits at Sacramento so this is a big revenge spot for them. I know the line is huge and most of the public enjoys the points as they are riding the public dog. Usually, that spells disaster for the public dog and it’s not like Sacramento doesn’t know how to lose big against teams on the road as they lost to the Jazz by 26 on the road. I just think the Kings were carried by their crowd at ARCO and won't have their support across town. I’m not the one to lay this many points usually, but with revenge, I could see a blowout here. Also note, that I don’t know if Hawes and Salmon will shoot 13/20 from the field like they did last time and Garcia will contineu to shoot 9/18 form the field. I think the Lakers will be focused more on defense as Coach Phil will undoubtedly address the 110+ points this Kings team scored on theLakers last time and likely win this game and hit the cover as well despite the big spread. Remember, the Lakers beat the Nets by 27 earlier this year as well.
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<TABLE width="90%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#0099cc>Sport</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#0099cc>Favorite</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#0099cc>Underdog</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#0099cc>Line</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#0099cc>Pick</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>Fri (NBA)</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>Celtics</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>Hornets</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>7</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>Celtics</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
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DCI

Drake Hy-Vee Classic
1st Round
at Des Moines, IA
North Dakota State 69, Stephen F. Austin 66
DRAKE 78, Georgia Southern 61
Non-Conference
IOWA 59, Iowa State 50
MARYLAND 75, Delaware State 49
MIAMI (FLA.) 76, Florida International 49
UALR 60, Wright State 53
WICHITA STATE 74, Gardner-Webb 63
 

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Computer Crushers</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Friday, December 12, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We are now currently on a 13-2 run with all of our guaranteed selections! Today we have isolated what we feel is our STRONGEST COLLEGE HOOPS SELECTION SO FAR THIS YEAR! You can get our 8000* COLLEGE HOOPS CRUSHER PLAY OF THE MONTH today for just $25 and you must be a winner or you will not be charged! DO NOT MISS ANOTHER MEGA WINNER! LAST YEAR 47-24 IN COLLEGE HOOPS!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>12/12/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>8000* COLLEGE HOOPS CRUSHER PLAY OF THE MONTH
724 Miami Florida -24 7:30 EST
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Tom Stryker's NBA Conference Game of the Month - 44-14 ATS Angle!

<o:p></o:p>
[FONT=&quot]#709 SAN ANTONIO (-) over Minnesota at 8:05 PM EST[/FONT][FONT=&quot]<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
 

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Ness Friday

Eastern Conf 20 Star GOM

Maimi Heat


Weekend Wipeout -NCAA

Ark LR
 

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