Service Plays Friday 11/14/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Behind The Bets

2* Tulsa +18

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAAF REPORT
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
______________________________________


***** NCAA College Football Information – Week #12 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 NCAA College Football season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
___________________________________________________________

Friday's Week #12 Matchup
Systems Analyst Todd Smith

#317 TULSA @ #318 UCF
TV: 8:00 PM EST, ESPN2
Line: UCF -18, Total: 54.5

Central Florida has had plenty of time to digest its first conference loss and recharge for a run at another possible league crown. That push begins again at home Friday evening when the Golden Knights renew acquaintances with former Conference USA rival Tulsa, which snapped a seven-game losing streak last weekend. UCF, which went 8-0 to win the American Athletic title last year, had won five straight overall and its first three AAC games before a 37-29 loss at Connecticut on November 1st.

UCF, the AAC leader in total defense, allowed 179 yards on the ground and 20 consecutive points in the second half against a Huskies team that had yet to defeat an FBS opponent this season. The Golden Hurricane took advantage of a matchup with winless Southern Methodist at home Saturday, riding Dane Evans' career-high five touchdown passes to a 38-28 triumph. Tulsa has won four straight meetings, including the most recent encounter in the 2012 Conference USA title game.

•ABOUT TULSA (2-7, 2-3 American Athletic Conference): The Golden Hurricane will not appear in a bowl game for the second straight season after earning a berth in seven of the previous eight years, but they have seen Evans lay the foundation for a turnaround. Evans struggled after seizing the starting role as a freshman last year and then threw nine interceptions while posting a 54.6 percent completion rate through his first five games in 2014. He has tossed 10 touchdowns with zero picks since and has bumped his completion percentage to 56.4 while averaging 302.3 passing yards.

•ABOUT UCF (5-3, 3-1 American Athletic Conference): Several trends are in the favor of the Golden Knights, who have won 12 straight games played on a weekday - including five in a row on Friday nights - and 23 consecutive contests that begin at 3:00 PM local time or later. That might not matter a bit if they cannot do a better job of holding on to the football - UCF has turned the ball over 14 times in the past four games, including three contests with four giveaways. Quarterback Justin Holman was the primary culprit against Connecticut, throwing four interceptions.

•PREGAME NOTES: Tulsa ranks third in FBS in kickoff return defense, giving up 15.3 yards per return.... Holman is averaging 40.5 pass attempts over the last two games after averaging 24.5 through the first six.... Golden Hurricane RB Zack Langer had a career-high 167 yards against Southern Methodist.... Central Florida is 21-9 against the spread in home games off a road loss, including 13-4 ATS in home games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1992.... Tulsa is 1-11 versus the spread when the total is between 49.5 and 56, 0-7 ATS after having lost two out of their last three games and, 6-15 ATS in all games over the last two seasons.

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•KEY STATS
--TULSA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
The average score was TULSA 23.4, OPPONENT 30.1.

--TULSA is 10-33 ATS (-26.3 Units) after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was TULSA 33.0, OPPONENT 32.2.

--TULSA is 23-8 UNDER (+14.2 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was TULSA 31.6, OPPONENT 25.5.

--TULSA is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TULSA 7.3, OPPONENT 16.9.

--TULSA is 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was TULSA 17.3, OPPONENT 16.9.

--UCF is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UCF 40.5, OPPONENT 25.1.

--UCF is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UCF 21.1, OPPONENT 9.8.

--UCF is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) the 1rst half total after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UCF 22.9, OPPONENT 11.8.

•COACHING TRENDS
--GEORGE O'LEARY is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents as the coach of UCF.
The average score was UCF 30.7, OPPONENT 20.0.

--GEORGE O'LEARY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games versus poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was O'LEARY 39.1, OPPONENT 16.9.

--GEORGE O'LEARY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games versus excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game as the coach of UCF.
The average score was UCF 35.7, OPPONENT 22.9.

--GEORGE O'LEARY is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) versus excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game as the coach of UCF.
The average score was UCF 30.0, OPPONENT 33.5.

--GEORGE O'LEARY is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.75 rushing yards/carry as the coach of UCF.
The average score was UCF 15.2, OPPONENT 8.5.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--TULSA is 5-2 against the spread versus UCF since 1992.
--TULSA is 5-2 straight up against UCF since 1992.
--4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--UCF is 4-2 versus the first half line when playing against TULSA since 1992.
--5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
--Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
--Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--TLSA is 11-5 ATS L16 games following a bye week.
--TLSA is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
--Over is 5-0 in TLSA last 5 conference games.

--UCF is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
--UCF is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
--Under is 6-1 in UCF last 7 games following a bye week.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 20 times, while the underdog covered the spread 9 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 32 times, while the underdog won straight up 0 times. 21 games went under the total, while 9 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 19 times, while the underdog covered first half line 12 times. *No EDGE. 14 games went over first half total, while 14 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Against - Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (TULSA) - bad team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(66-28 since 1992.) (70.2%, +35.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (81-14)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 13.2
The average score in these games was: Team 38.9, Opponent 20.2 (Average point differential = +18.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 43 (45.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-7).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (32-16).
_________________________________________________

 

[tgunn11]

Football Crusher
Southern Mississippi +7 over Texas San Antonio - pending
Tulsa +20.5 over Central Florida
(System Record: 27-5, lost last game)
Overall Record: 27-29-2

Rest of the Plays
Tulsa + Central Florida OVER 55

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Calgary Flames -138 over Arizona Coyotes - pending
Chicago Blackhawks -118 over Detroit Red Wings
(System Record: 20-1, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 20-11-1

Rest of the Plays
New York Islanders -127 over Florida Panthers
Washington Capitals -147 over NJ Devils
Vancouver Canucks + Arizona UNDER 5.5

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Sacramento Kings +6.5 over Memphis Grizzlies - pending
Tennessee +6.5 over VCU
(System Record: 8-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 8-7

Rest of the Plays
San Diego +4 over Boise State
Georgia Southern +23 Over Illinois
Florida Atlantic +4.5 over Elon

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Arsenal de Sarandi + Independiente UNDER 2.5 - Argentina pending
Vila Nova + Oeste UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 661-22, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 661-548-101

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS

MAIN EVENT - tulsa/cfla under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL | NY ISLANDERS at FLORIDA
Play On - Any team against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
84-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.7% | 49.7 units )
9-4 this year. ( 69.2% | 4.4 units )

NHL | NY ISLANDERS at FLORIDA
Play On - Road teams against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
36-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 25.1 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.7 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | MINNESOTA at NEW ORLEANS
Play Against - Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) being called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents on the season, in November games
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

NBA | CLEVELAND at BOSTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (BOSTON) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home win
101-66 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.5% | 45.2 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -3.1 units )

NBA | PHILADELPHIA at HOUSTON
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=43% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won last two games, covered four of last five (2-1 HF).
-- Milwaukee won last two games, by 1-7 points (3-1 AU). Magic won three of last five games, covered last four (0-1 F).
-- Atlanta won last three games by 7-6-3 points (0-2-1 HF).
-- Cavaliers won last two games by 9-7 points (1-2 AF).
-- Rockets won seven of first eight games (2-1 HF).
-- Thunder won two of last three games, covered three of last four (0-0 F)
-- New Orleans won three of last four games (2-2 HF).
-- Suns won last two games, by 12-8 points (2-1 HF).
-- Spurs won last two games, by 4-13 points (0-1 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Nuggets lost last six games (0-6 vs spread).
-- Miami lost three of last five games (1-1 AU).
-- Celtics lost four of their last six games (0-1 HU).
-- Knicks lost their last six games (1-4-1 vs spread). Jazz lost three of last four games (3-1 last four AU).
-- 76ers lost their first eight games (3-5 vs spread); they lost by 53 last night in Dallas.
-- Pistons lost last three games by 6-11-4 points (1-3 AU).
-- Minnesota lost last three games, by 9-10-12 points (2-1 AU).
-- Bobcats lost all four road games (2-1 AU).
-- Lakers lost seven of last eight games, but covered last four (3-1 HU).

Series Records
-- Nuggets won five of their last six games with Indiana.
-- Home side won last eight Milwaukee-Orlando games; Bucks lost last seven visits here (3-4 vs spread).
-- Heat won 15 of last 19 against the Hawks, but lost last two visits to Atlanta by 7-13 points.
-- Celtics won seven of last nine vs (Lebron-less) Cavaliers.
-- Knicks won last six games with Utah; Jazz lost last four visits here, by 22-11-7-27 points.
-- Rockets won four of last six games with 76ers; Houston beat Sixers by 11 in Philly eleven days ago.
-- Thunder won last ten games with Detroit; Pistons lost last six visits to Oklahoma City, by 10-11-10-20-1-11 points.
-- Pelicans lost four of last five games with Minnesota; home teams won last six series games.
-- Suns won last five games with Charlotte; Hornets lost last three visits to desert, by 6-17-10 points.
-- Spurs won 11 of last 13 games against the Lakers.

Totals
-- Last five Denver games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under. Last four Orlando games went over.
-- Last five Miami games stayed under total.
-- Last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New York games went over total. Utah's last four games stayed under.
-- Seven of eight Houston games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over total. Under is 6-2-1 in first nine Thunder games.
-- Last four Pelican games went over the total.
-- Three of four Charlotte road games went over.
-- Six of last seven Laker games went over the total. Five of Spurs' seven games stayed under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Flyers won last three games, allowing five goals.
-- Washington won last three games, allowing seven goals.
-- Penguins won seven of their last eight games. Toronto won last three games, scoring 16 goals.
-- Blackhawks won three of their last four games.
-- Islanders won last four games, allowing three goals.
-- Canucks won eight of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Blue Jackets lost last nine games, allowing 39 goals.
-- New Jersey lost four of its last five games.
-- Red Wings lost four of their last five games.
-- Panthers lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost last three games, scoring six goals.

Series records
-- Flyers lost four of last five games with Columbus.
-- Devils won eight of their last eleven games with Washington.
-- Penguins won five of last six games with Toronto.
-- Blackhawks won four of last five games with Detroit.
-- Islanders won five of last seven games with Florida.
-- Coyotes lost last three visits to Vancouver, last two in OT.

Totals
-- Three of last four Columbus games went over; three of last four Philly games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Washington games went over.
-- Last four Toronto games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Detroit games. Under is 10-2-2 in last fourteen Chicago games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Florida games.
-- Six of last seven Arizona-Vancouver games stayed under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at EDMONTON
Play Against - Any team (EDMONTON) good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 9+ games, after allowing 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games
25-4 since 1997. ( 86.2% | 20.6 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

CFL | BRITISH COLUMBIA at MONTREAL
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss
27-22 since 1997. ( 55.1% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at EDMONTON
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (EDMONTON) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
38-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.0% | 24.8 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.8 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]VCU vs. Tennessee[/h] The Volunteers open their season tonight versus VCU in the inaugural Veterans Classic at the US Naval Academy and come into the contest with a 5-0-1 ATS record in their last 6 non-conference games. Tennessee is the pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Volunteers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Tennnessee (+8 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 721-722: William & Mary at Florida (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 50.009; Florida 74.353 Dunkel Line: Florida by 24 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida by 18 Dunkel Pick: Florida (-18)

Game 723-724: VCU vs. Tennessee (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: VCU 67.727; Tennessee 69.905 Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2 Vegas Line: VCU by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+8 1/2)

Game 725-726: Minnesota vs. Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 65.691; Louisville 78.826 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 13 Vegas Line: Louisville by 6 Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-6)

Game 727-728: Cornell at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 77.101; George Mason 57.513 Dunkel Line: George Mason by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: George Mason by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-13 1/2)

Game 729-730: Virginia at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 70.827; James Madison 57.200 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Virginia by 16 Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+16)

Game 731-732: Georgia at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 63.339; Georgia Tech 62.135 Dunkel Line: Georgia by 1 Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+2 1/2)

Game 733-734: Florida Atlantic at Elon (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 47.844; Elon 52.132 Dunkel Line: Elon by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Elon by 2 Dunkel Pick: Elon (-2)

Game 735-736: Oakland at Iowa State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 54.352; Iowa State 70.590 Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 16 Vegas Line: Iowa State by 20 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+20 1/2)

Game 737-738: Georgia Southern at Illinois (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 46.748; Illinois 67.403 Dunkel Line: Illinois by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: Illinois by 23 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+23)

Game 739-740:UC-Santa Barbara at Kansas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 51.256; Kansas 74.089 Dunkel Line: Kansas by 23 Vegas Line: Kansas by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-15 1/2)

Game 741-742: TX-Arlington at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 49.046; Bradley 55.594 Dunkel Line: Bradley by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Bradley by 4 Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-4)

Game 743-744: Drexel at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 50.285; Colorado 67.390 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 17 Vegas Line: Colorado by 14 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-14)

Game 745-746: Towson at Alabama (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Towson 52.288; Alabama 68.601 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Alabama by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-14 1/2)

Game 747-748: Long Beach State at BYU (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 53.012; BYU 67.032 Dunkel Line: BYU by 14 Vegas Line: BYU by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: BYU (-11 1/2)

Game 749-750: Washington State at UTEP (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 56.773; UTEP 62.708 Dunkel Line: UTEP by 6 Vegas Line: UTEP by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+10 1/2)

Game 751-752: Ball State at Utah (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 44.726; Utah 67.114 Dunkel Line: Utah by 22 1/2 Vegas Line: Utah by 25 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+25 1/2)

Game 753-754: CS-Northridge at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 53.299; San Diego State 74.433 Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 21 Vegas Line: San Diego State by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-16 1/2)

Game 755-756: WI-Milwaukee at Auburn (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 56.882; Auburn 60.551 Dunkel Line: Auburn by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Auburn by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+11 1/2)

Game 757-758: Illinois-Chicago at DePaul (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 50.189; DePaul 62.714 Dunkel Line: DePaul by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: DePaul by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-10 1/2)

Game 759-760: CS-Fullerton at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 49.686; Santa Clara 61.374 Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-8 1/2)

Game 761-762: Fresno State at Pepperdine (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 57.624; Pepperdine 58.393 Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 1 Vegas Line: Fresno State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+2)

Game 763-764: Rice at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rice 44.235; Oregon State 60.639 Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Oregon State by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-7 1/2)

Game 765-766: VMI vs. The Citadel (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: VMI 52.478; The Citadel 42.603 Dunkel Line: VMI by 10 Vegas Line: VMI by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: VMI (-3 1/2)

Game 767-768: Air Force at Army (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 47.758; Army 55.753 Dunkel Line: Army by 8 Vegas Line: Army by 6 Dunkel Pick: Army (-6)

Game 769-770: Boise State vs. San Diego (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 60.750; San Diego 56.513 Dunkel Line: Boise State by 4 Vegas Line: Boise State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-2 1/2)

Game 771-772: SE Missouri State at Loyola-Marymount (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 50.336; Loyola-Marymount 53.649 Dunkel Line: Loyola-Marymount by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 6 Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (+6)

Game 773-774: Yale at Quinnipiac (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Yale 53.138; Quinnipiac 56.872 Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 1 Dunkel Pick: Quinnipiac (-1)

Game 775-776: Western Carolina at Mississippi State (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 49.120; Mississippi State 58.211 Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 9 Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+14 1/2)

Game 777-778: Belmont at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 60.898; Wright State 59.410 Dunkel Line: Belmont by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Wright State by 1 Dunkel Pick: Belmont (+1)

Game 779-780: Rider at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rider 47.397; Princeton 59.227 Dunkel Line: Princeton by 12 Vegas Line: Princeton by 8 Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-8)

Game 781-782: Cleveland State at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 58.585; Iona 62.463 Dunkel Line: Iona by 4 Vegas Line: Iona by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+6 1/2)

Game 783-784: Jacksonville State at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 38.787; Marshall 54.049 Dunkel Line: Marshall by 15 Vegas Line: Marshall by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-4 1/2)

Game 785-786: Niagara at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 47.763; Pittsburgh 70.182 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 22 1/2 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 25 Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+25)

Game 787-788: Monmouth at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 46.365; West Virginia 66.863 Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: West Virginia by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-16 1/2)

Game 789-790: Samford at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Samford 42.533; Purdue 68.747 Dunkel Line: Purdue by 26 Vegas Line: Purdue by 23 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-23 1/2)

Game 791-792: Siena at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Siena 58.541; Massachusetts 66.178 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 5 Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-5)

Game 793-794: Northern Arizona at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 50.200; Xavier 63.309 Dunkel Line: Xavier by 13 Vegas Line: Xavier by 15 Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+15)

Game 795-796: South Dakota State at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 56.283; Buffalo 62.913 Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Buffalo by 4 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-4)

Game 797-798: Pacific at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 54.897; Western Illinois 49.625 Dunkel Line: Pacific by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+2 1/2)

Game 799-800: Indiana State at IUPUI (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 52.622; IUPUI 42.978 Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Indiana State by 11 Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+11)

Game 801-802: St. Peter's at Brown (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 47.420; Brown 53.978 Dunkel Line: Brown by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Brown by 4 Dunkel Pick: Brown (-4)

Game 803-804: College of Charleston at Furman (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 49.057; Furman 41.953 Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7 Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3 1/2)

Game 805-806: Houston at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 58.027; Murray State 64.360 Dunkel Line: Murray State by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Murray State by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+12 1/2)

Game 807-808: Eastern Illinois at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 45.640; Missouri State 58.805 Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 13 Vegas Line: Missouri State by 15 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+15)

Game 809-810: North Dakota State at Texas (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 64.379; Texas 69.061 Dunkel Line: Texas by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas by 17 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (+17)

Game 811-812: East Tennessee State at Valparaiso (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: East Tennessee State 48.778; Valparaiso 59.787 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 11 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 9 Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-9)

Game 813-814: Southern Utah at Kansas State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 41.405; Kansas State 65.331 Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 24 Vegas Line: Kansas State by 27 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+27 1/2)

Game 815-816: Weber State at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 54.390; Utah State 61.041 Dunkel Line: Utah State by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Utah State by 1 Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-1)

Game 817-818: Tennessee-Martin at Marquette (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 46.182; Marquette 63.654 Dunkel Line: Marquette by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: Marquette by 20 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+20)

Game 819-820: Morehead State at UNLV (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 48.459; UNLV 65.680 Dunkel Line: UNLV by 17 Vegas Line: UNLV by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-6 1/2)

Game 821-822: Idaho State at New Mexico (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 49.892; New Mexico 66.219 Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: New Mexico by 19 Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+19)

Game 823-824: Sacramento State at Gonzaga (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 46.533; Gonzaga 74.132 Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 27 1/2 Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 24 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-24 1/2)

Game 825-826: Wofford at Stanford (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 52.687; Stanford 69.485 Dunkel Line: Stanford by 17 Vegas Line: Stanford by 10 Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-10)

Game 827-828: Montana State at UCLA (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 41.206; UCLA 77.138 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 36 Vegas Line: UCLA by 25 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-25 1/2)

Game 841-842: Presbyterian at Duke (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 38.528; Duke 70.049 Dunkel Line: Duke by 31 1/2 Vegas Line: Duke by 34 Dunkel Pick: Presbyterian (+34)

Game 843-844: North Florida at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 51.881; South Carolina 61.586 Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: South Carolina by 12 Dunkel Pick: North Florida (+12)

Game 845-846: Charleston Southern at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 50.014; Mississippi 60.594 Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Mississippi by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Charleston Southern (+12 1/2)

Game 847-848: Mississippi Valley State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 31.639; Indiana 68.796 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 37 Vegas Line: Indiana by 26 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-26 1/2)

Game 849-850: NC Central at North Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NC Central 61.026; North Carolina 71.834 Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 11 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NC Central (+16 1/2)

Game 851-852: Grand Canyon at Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Grand Canyon 39.033; Kentucky 77.154 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 28 Vegas Line: Kentucky by 30 Dunkel Pick: Grand Canyon (+30)

Game 853-854: Mt. St. Mary's at Arizona (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 55.077; Arizona 80.227 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 25 Vegas Line: Arizona by 27 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Mt. St. Mary's (+27 1/2)

Game 855-856: Northwestern State at Texas A&M (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 53.350; Texas A&M 62.137 Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 9 Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northwestern State (+11 1/2)

Game 857-858: Northern Kentucky at Wisconsin (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Kentucky 46.939; Wisconsin 72.148 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 25 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 28 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Kentucky (+28 1/2)

Game 859-860: New Mexico State at Wichita State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 63.450; Wichita State 72.416 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 9 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 12 Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+12)

Game 861-862: UMKC at Missouri (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 46.555; Missouri 64.409 Dunkel Line: Missouri by 18 Vegas Line: Missouri by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-13 1/2)

Game 863-864: Michigan State at Navy (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 72.289; Navy 48.319 Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 24 Vegas Line: Michigan State by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-15 1/2)

Game 865-866: Chicago State at Arizona State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago State 42.435; Arizona State 67.603 Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 25 Vegas Line: Arizona State by 22 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-22 1/2)

Game 867-868: Alcorn State at California (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 42.781; California 62.312 Dunkel Line: California by 19 1/2 Vegas Line: California by 22 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Alcorn State (+22 1/2)

Game 869-870: South Carolina State at Washington (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 42.867; Washington 62.701 Dunkel Line: Washington by 20 Vegas Line: Washington by 23 Dunkel Pick: South Carolina State (+23)

Game 871-872: Coppin State at Oregon (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Coppin State 44.139; Oregon 73.097 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 29 Vegas Line: Oregon by 19 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-19)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CFB | RICE at MARSHALL
Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (MARSHALL) off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in November games
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CFB | E CAROLINA at CINCINNATI
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (E CAROLINA) good passing team - with a completion pct of 58% or better
195-127 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.6% | 0.0 units )
32-19 this year. ( 62.7% | 0.0 units )

CFB | TEXAS at OKLAHOMA ST
Play Against - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (TEXAS) off an upset win as a home underdog
67-31 over the last 10 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

 

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Game of the Day: Tulsa at UCF

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Central Florida Knights (-20.5, 55)

UCF has had plenty of time to digest its first conference loss and recharge for a run at another possible league crown. That push begins again at home Friday when the Golden Knights renew acquaintances with former Conference USA rival Tulsa, which snapped a seven-game losing streak last weekend. UCF, which went 8-0 to win the American Athletic title last year, had won five straight overall and its first three AAC games before a 37-29 loss at Connecticut on Nov. 1.

UCF, the AAC leader in total defense, allowed 179 yards on the ground and 20 consecutive points in the second half against a Huskies team that had yet to defeat an FBS opponent this season. The Golden Hurricane took advantage of a matchup with winless SMU at home Saturday, riding Dane Evans' career-high five touchdown passes to a 38-28 triumph. Tulsa has won four straight meetings, including the most recent encounter in the 2012 Conference USA title game.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE HISTORY: UCF opened as big 18-point home favorites and bettors didn't think that was enough as the line has risen to UCF -20.5. The total has held steady at 55.

INJURY REPORT: Tulsa - G Billy Lafortune (questionable Friday, undisclosed). UCF - OL Chavis Dickey (questionable Friday, ankle), OL Joey Grant (questionable Friday, shoulder), WR Rannell Hall (questionable Friday, hamstring).

WEATHER REPORT: It will be a clear night at Bright House Networks Stadium with temperatures in the low 60's at gametime. There will be a nine mile per hour wind gusting towards the south end zone.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Tulsa has been terrible on the road this season. The Golden Hurricane are winless at 0-4 SU (2-2 ATS) with those four losses coming by 29, 25, 11, and 20 point margins. Tulsa’s defense has been non-existent on the road as they are giving up 41.7 points per game on a whopping 7.6 yards per play. Central Florida is a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home this season with their four wins coming by 34, 7, 7, and 20 points. The Knights’ defense has been outstanding on their home field, allowing an average of just 14.5 points per game on 3.5 yards per play." - Steve Merril

ABOUT TULSA (2-7, 3-6 ATS, 8-1 O/U): The Golden Hurricane will not appear in a bowl game for the second straight season after earning a berth in seven of the previous eight years, but they have seen Evans lay the foundation for a turnaround. Evans struggled after seizing the starting role as a freshman last year and then threw nine interceptions while posting a 54.6 percent completion rate through his first five games in 2014. He has tossed 10 TDs with zero picks since and has bumped his completion percentage to 56.4 while averaging 302.3 passing yards.

ABOUT UCF (5-3, 4-4 ATS, 4-4 O/U): Several trends are in the favor of the Golden Knights, who have won 12 straight games played on a weekday - including five in a row on Fridays - and 23 consecutive contests that begin at 3 p.m. local time or later. That might not matter a bit if they cannot do a better job of holding on to the football - UCF has turned the ball over 14 times in the past four games, including three contests with four giveaways. Quarterback Justin Holman was the primary culprit against Connecticut, throwing four interceptions.

TRENDS:

* Tulsa is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.

CONSENSUS: 51 percent of wagers backing UCF as 20.5-point favorite.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play Utah Jazz + 3 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with UT-San Antonio (-7 1/2) on Thursday and likes the Nuggets on Friday.

The deficit is 948 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]Miami at Atlanta[/h] The Hawks host a Miami team that is coming off an 81-75 loss to Indiana on Wednesday and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on 1 days rest. Atlanta is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Milwaukee at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.415; Orlando 115.473 Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 199 Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 3; 194 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3); Over

Game 703-704: Denver at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 112.574; Indiana 121.029 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 196 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3); Over

Game 705-706: Miami at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 119.215; Atlanta 123.828 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 194 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2); Under

Game 707-708: Utah at New York (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 114.584; New York 115.329 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 190 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Cleveland at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.877; Boston 117.415 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 218 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 213 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Minnesota at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.629; New Orleans 124.262 Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 7; 205 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-7); Under

Game 713-714: Philadelphia at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 111.2943; Houston 125.868 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 14 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 17; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+17); Under

Game 715-716: Detroit at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.659; Oklahoma City 122.938 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 177 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 190 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Charlotte at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 120.795; Phoenix 124.293 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 211 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: San Antonio at LA Lakers (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.887; LA Lakers 119.250 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 214 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 207 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Over

 

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[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h] [h=2]Tulsa at Central Florida[/h] The Golden Hurricanes (2-7 SU) head to Central Florida tonight to face a Knights team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a losing SU record. Tulsa is the pick (+20) according to Dunkel, which has Central Florida favored by only 15. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+20). Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (11/12)

Game 317-318: Tulsa at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 71.212; Central Florida 86.347 Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 15; 63 Vegas Line: Central Florida by 20; 55 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+20); Over