Service Play Tally Information

[Furmanski]

Well fellas....the tournament is almost here. I will be doing the Service Play Tally again for the games this year, but wanted to try and make it as useful as possible.

Last year the first round went 10-4 or 10-5 based on what certain criteria...

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=571212&page=3


The second rounds did well also...

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=571865


The sweet 16 round didn't do as well for some reason.

Then, Memphis was the play in the Final 4.


Anyway, I have thought about trying to incorporate public betting trends from one of the reliable sites like sportsinsights.com, but I dont have a subscription.

Just wanted to try and get some ideas to make this system as successful as possible, so let me know what you think.

I am looking forward to Thursday....

 

[CoolBreeze22]

Furmanski- For what it's worth, winning teams were 55-10(or very close to this) ATS during the entire tournament last season.

 

[Furmanski]

Furmanski- For what it's worth, winning teams were 55-10(or very close to this) ATS during the entire tournament last season.

Thanks CB.


Does anyone have a subscription to sportsinsights that would be willing to post the percentages?

I think that having the touts and the public big on some games would provide some great information.

I have access to the books locally, but a lot of the time, that's not a great population of people.

 

[FearTheRaven]

looking forward to it fur

 

[Furmanski]

I am really looking for people's input as to how to help the tally select plays......if someone can get an accurate public %, I would be appreciative.

I can get it locally with the guys that play here, but nationally is huge.


Thanks fellas.

 

[Furmanski]

Tomorrow is the first round of games..... I will have the tallies. honestly, do clue who they will do, but I will play them.

Looking for the sportsinsights.com premium addition to help me out...

Gonna see what I can do with wil.

 

[across777]

This is from a reliable source at another forum:

THE PUBLIC BETTING IN THE NCAA TOURNAMENT 2006-07 and 2007-08 COMBINED (1st round):

PUBLIC WAGERING PERCENTAGE FOLLOWED BY RESULTS ATS:

75%+ 4-3-1
70-74 3-2
65-69 9-3-1
60-64 6-4
-------------------
PUBLIC RESULTS AT 60%+ ON A SIDE: 22-12-2 64.7%

 

[Kojack84]

Furmanski, have you tracked this at all during this year?

I have my criteria from NCAAF/NFL, but don't know if it carried over to NCAAB.

 

[Furmanski]

Furmanski, have you tracked this at all during this year?

I have my criteria from NCAAF/NFL, but don't know if it carried over to NCAAB.

Tracked it during the conference tournaments with some success. There weren't enough plays at the end though. The beginning of the tournaments, there were simply too many games.

Last year was very successful.

 

[Furmanski]

This is from a reliable source at another forum:

THE PUBLIC BETTING IN THE NCAA TOURNAMENT 2006-07 and 2007-08 COMBINED (1st round):

PUBLIC WAGERING PERCENTAGE FOLLOWED BY RESULTS ATS:

75%+ 4-3-1
70-74 3-2
65-69 9-3-1
60-64 6-4
-------------------
PUBLIC RESULTS AT 60%+ ON A SIDE: 22-12-2 64.7%

That's interesting....I wouldn't figure it would be that high, especially with the touts doing so poorly last year.

Thanks Across....good info. if it's reliable.

 

[RDTrains]

I'll help with the percentages

Here is a taste, obviously those teams with more wagers and a higher percentage would be the ones to key on.

NCAA Tournament = to or > than 60%, all lines are CRIS:

3/19
------
#708 Duke -21'/67%/689 wagers
#710 Texas -4/72%/2788
#712 N. Carolina -26/60%/610
#716 UConn -20'/71%/729
#717 TX A&M +2/64%/1283
#720 Nova -16'/70%/1244
#724 Memphis -19'/73%/2115
#725 Maryland +1/67%/2352
#728 OK -16'/73%/768
#732 Purdue -8/65%/1838
#735 W. Kentucky +4'/66%/2669
#738 Gonzaga -12'/86%/1758

3/20
-------
#823 Arizona P/61%/1996
#826 WF -7'/66%/1204
#828 Syracuse -12/86%/2234
#830 ASU -4'/65%/1758
#836 Pittsburg -19'/81%/570
#841 USC -2/66%/1838
#844 Kansas -10'/65%/1956
#848 Missouri -13/83%/2748
#852 FSU -2'/83%/2154

 

[Furmanski]

Thanks RDTrains.

Just signed up for the free account access at sportsinsights.

FSU surprises me a little bit.

 

[Kojack84]

Tracked it during the conference tournaments with some success. There weren't enough plays at the end though. The beginning of the tournaments, there were simply too many games.

Last year was very successful.

I'd be curious as to know how successful it was with SU wins. With brackets not needing a "cover", if the service plays are able to hit a high % on SU wins it might be even more useful for that.