SelectiveAscent

[SelectiveAscent]

Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+150)

(May add analysis if time permits)

The Bottom Line: Dempster has struggled vs. CWS in his career, including a loss earlier this month, bet the White Sox on the -1.5 (+150) here.

Bet 2 units to win 3 units.


Boston Red Sox +135

(May add analysis if time permits)

The Bottom Line: Boston has lost just 3 of Wakefield's starts all year, and Vazquez has struggled vs. BOS in his career. The Red Sox should not be such of an underdog here, play them at +135.

Bet 2 units to win 2.70 units.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

1 for Sunday (YTD: 7-7, +1.65 units)

Figured i'd start one thread instead of being annoying with daily threads, sorry about that...

Colorado Rockies -105

Colorado has won 2 straight and 8 of 10.
Colorado is 19-6 in June.
Colorado is 10-4 in interleague play.
Cook is 4-0 in his last 4 starts (1.92 ERA).

Oakland has lost 4 straight, 5 of 6 and 9 of 13.
Oakland is 9-26 vs. a team above .500.
Oakland is 5-12 in interleague play.
Oakland is 0-3 in Mazzaro's last 3 starts (4.50 ERA).

The Bottom Line: Colorado and Oakland are both on streaks, winning and losing respectively. Colorado is worth the play at -105.

Bet 3.15 units to win 3 units.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Winner, winner, chicken dinner...

1-0, +3 units

YTD: 8-7. +4.65 units

 

[SelectiveAscent]

4 for Monday (8-7, +4.65 units)

Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-120)

Boston has won 2 of 3, 6 of 8, 8 of 12, 13 of 18, and 18 of 25.
Boston is 20-8 vs. AL East.
Boston is 5-3 in Lester's road starts.
Boston is 28-12 vs. BAL over the past 3 seasons.
Lester is 7-0 vs. BAL (BOS is 8-1) with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.327.

The Bottom Line: Boston is on a roll and is great in-division. Lester is worth the play here at -1.5 (-120).

Bet 2.40 units to win 2 units.


Florida Marlins -1.5 (+105)

Florida has won 5 of 8.
Florida is 18-10 vs. LHP.
Florida is 16-10 in division.
Florida is 3-0 in Nolasco's last 3 starts (1.50 ERA).
Florida is 28-13 vs. WSH over the past 3 years (16-5 at home).
Florida has swept Washington twice this year, once at home, once on the road.
Nolasco is 5-1 vs. WSH (FLA is 6-2).

Washington is 22-51, 9-26 on the road, 6-27 in division.
Washington is 1-6 in Olsen's starts, 1-4 at home.
Olsen's ERA is 7.00 in all starts, 7.87 on road, 6.60 last 3.
Olsen is 0-1 vs. FLA (WSH is 0-2) with an ERA of 9.00.

The Bottom Line: Nolasco has been Ace-like since coming back from his minor league stint, expect that to continue here. FLA is worth the play at -1.5 (+105).

Bet 2 units to win 2.10 units.


Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+135)

Detroit has won 8 of 10.
Detroit is 15-7 vs. LHP.
Detroit is 10-4 in Porcello's starts, 5-2 on road, 4-0 last 4 and 9-1 last 10.
In one start vs. OAK, Porcello is 1-0, 6 IP, 3 H, 1 ER.

Oakland is 9-27 vs. a team with a winning record.
Oakland has lost 5 straight and 6 of 7.
Oakland is 4-9 in Anderson's starts, 1-4 on road.
In one start vs. DET, Anderson is 0-1, 3.1 IP, 9 R (3 ER), 6 H.

The Bottom Line: Detroit is hot, Oakland is cold, Porcello is good, Anderson is bad. Bet Detroit here at -1.5 (+135).

Bet 3 units to win 4.05 units.


Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+185)

Dodgers are 26-10 vs. NL West.
Dodgers are 9-1 vs. COL this year, 24-21 past 3 seasons.
Dodgers are 10-6 in Wolf's starts, 6-2 at home.
Wolf is 4-2 vs. COL (Team is 6-4).

Colorado is 11-17 vs. NL West.
Rockies are 6-9 in Jiminez's starts, 2-7 on road.
Jiminez is 0-3 vs. LAD this year (10.20 ERA).

The Bottom Line: The Dodgers runline should not be this high, this is mostly a value play, much worth the play of -1.5 (+185).

Bet 1 unit to win 1.85 units.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Runline

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Boston up 4-0 early, Marlins down 2-0 early,

 

[SelectiveAscent]

BOS = Winner
FLA = up 2, top of 9

 

[SelectiveAscent]

2-0 on the early 2, guarantees a + day...

 

[SelectiveAscent]

THANK YOU ANDRE ETHIER!!!

Ethier wins it by 2!!

3-1, +2.95 units today

 

[SelectiveAscent]

1 for Tuesday (YTD: 11-8, +7.60 units)

Florida Marlins -1.5 (+130).

Florida has won 6 of 9.
Florida is 17-10 in division.
Florida is 29-13 vs. WSH over the past 3 years (17-5 at home).
Florida has swept Washington twice this year, once at home, once on the road, and try to win this series tonight.
West's ERA is 3.37 overall, 3.29 at home.

Washington is 22-52, 9-27 on the road, 6-28 in division.
Washington is 1-10 as a home underdog of +125 to +150.

The Bottom Line: Florida is good, Washington is not, Florida go for the series win here, worth the play at -1.5 (+130).

Bet 2 units to win 2.60 units

 

[SelectiveAscent]

I use this, pretty much just statfox's stats in a different format that I like..

http://content.bigonsports.com/stats/statfeed.aspx?page=mlb/gamematchup

or just search "StatFox Sports Feed"

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Name for a "Picks Site"

My friend is making a picks site and wanted me to ask you guys what you thought of a few ideas for names...

In any of these, "Picks" can be replaced with "Plays", "Bets", etc.

PurePicks
PurelyPicks
ExclusivePicks
LegitPicks
SimplyPicks
Picktionary Plays
BetAction
PlayTheOdds
EliteCapping
VegasNightmare
HandyCaps
AlwaysBeCapping

Your Suggestions?

Sorry if this is a bit annoying and/or posted in the wrong section, but I want to get him off my back..

Thanks,

Ryan

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Something to the effect of "wemakebookiescry" would be good..

Aceinthehole.. maybe

 

[SelectiveAscent]

rain shortened win

 

[SelectiveAscent]

2 for Wednesday (YTD: 12-8, +10.20 units)

Florida Marlins -1.5 (+135)

Florida has won 7 of 10.
Florida is 18-10 in division.
Florida is 30-13 vs. WSH over the past 3 years (18-5 at home).
Florida has swept Washington twice this year, once at home, once on the road, and have won the first 2 of this series.
Florida is 12-4 in Johnson's starts (7-2 at home).
Johnson's ERA is 2.76 overall, 1.94 at home.
Johnson is 4-0 vs. WSH (FLA is 6-0, 2-0 this year) with an ERA of 3.68.

Washington is 22-53, 9-28 on the road, 6-29 in division.
Washington is 3-20 as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
Zimmermann's ERA is 4.65 overall, 5.93 overall.

The Bottom Line: With the way that Johnson has been pitching, and the way Washington has been playing, Florida is worth a play at -1.5 (+135).

Bet 3 units to win 4.05 units



Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+135)

Detroit has won 2 of 3 and 9 of 12.
Detroit is 20-7 in day games.
Detroit is 15-8 vs. LHP.
Detroit is 10-6 in Verlander's starts.
Verlander is 4-2 vs. OAK with an ERA of 3.12.

Oakland is 10-28 vs. a team with a winning record.
Oakland has lost 6 of 7 and 7 of 9.
Oakland is 6-10 in Braden's starts, lost 4 straight.
Braden is 1-2 vs. DET with an ERA of 9.13.
In one start this year vs. DET, Braden went 5 innings, allowing 6 runs, taking the loss.

The Bottom Line: Verlander has been pitching well lately, and Detroit hits Braden well. Looking for the series win here, Detroit is worth the play at -1.5 (+135).

Bet 3 units to win 4.05 units

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Adding a late play, may add one or 2 more as well:

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+125)

Reds have won 2 of 3 and 3 of 5.
Reds are 9-6 in Cueto's starts.
Cueto's ERA is 2.86.
Cueto is 2-0 vs. ARI (CIN is 3-0) with an ERA of 2.37.
Reds are 11-5 vs. ARI over the past 3 seasons, 5-2 at home.

Diamondbacks are 8-22 after a win.
Diamondbacks have lost 5 of 6 and 8 of 10.
Diamondbacks have lost 7 straight games started by Garland.
Garland started vs. CIN earlier this year, taking the loss, allowing 7 runs in 3.2 IP.

The Bottom Line: The Diamondbacks just flat out don't win back to back games, or with Garland on the mound. Cueto has no blemishes vs. ARI, and hopefully will continue here. Worth the play at -1.5 (+125).

Bet 2 units to win 2.50 units.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

San Francisco Giants +135

Giants have won 3 straight, 5 of 7, and 8 of 11.
Giants are 11-4 in Cain's starts.
Cain had a start vs. STL earlier this year, getting the win, pitching 6.1 IP, allowing just 1 ER.
San Francisco is 12-5 vs. STL over the past 3 seasons, 6-2 @ STL.

Cardinals have lost 3 straight and 6 of 7.
Cardinals are 4-5 in Wainwright's home starts.
Wainwright is 0-2 vs. SF with an ERA of 5.14.
5/31/09 vs. SF: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER.

The Bottom Line: The Giants are 42-34, with their #2 pitcher on the mound and on a hot streak, they are much worth the play of +135.

Bet 2 units to win 2.70 units.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

7/2: EvenTheSpread Daily Picks

I have been requested to pick for a free sports picks site, I took this opportunity for the heck of it. I am picking as "Art Vandelay" (Vandelay Picks).

Decided to keep this post less cluttered, no writeups posted here, just picks.. writeups are on the site (http://eventhespread.webs.com/)
(If this is a problem, please delete the link)

Vandelay Picks:

Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+110)

3 unit to win 3.30 units
__________________________________________

Sutych Picks:

Seattle Mariners +260

1 unit to win 2.60 units
__________________________________________

GeorgiaBoy Picks:

Chicago White Sox -140

2.8 units to win 2 units
__________________________________________

Acey Picks:

Philadelphia Phillies +125

2 units to win 2.50 units

San Francisco Giants +125

1 unit to win 1.25 units

Milwaukee Brewers +135

1 unit to win 1.35 units

 

[SelectiveAscent]

San Diego Delay?

Reason for this? Lighting? Sprinklers? It says on-field delay due to venue...

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Eh,

CWS up 1-0
SEA up 6-4
PHI tied 2-2
SF down 2-5
MIL down 2-9