SB, under 45.5 and Sea ml -235, and WHY

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I believe Sea wins su. With my guess, Sea -10, roughly equaling NE+5, in probability. But way too many unknowns.

So I've bet Sea/NE under 45.5. 2u
Sea -235. 5u
and Sea -6.5 @ +120. 1 u

All week, I've been high on Sea winning, big. But when it came time to put the money down, 2 things slowed my roll. NE's defense. And my distrust of the refs/NFL, and the recent disappearance of lopsided games in the sb.

19 of the 59 sb's have been decided by less than a td. And 10 have been in the last 18 yrs.

So first 41 sb's 9 games less than a td margin.
22%

Last 18 sb's 10/18, less than a td margin. 55%

Its a tv show. It has a 5 hr pregame. 10 of the 20 most viewed tv shows, EVER are super bowls
ESTIMATES OF 200 MILLION VIEWERS, worldwide.

Lopsided games = tune outs. Which trigger ad buybacks, or other compensation for the network. On this scale, thats big enough to slide few fingers on the scale of fair play.

BOL 2 ALL.......AND ENJOY THE GAME :cheers:
 

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I believe Sea wins su. With my guess, Sea -10, roughly equaling NE+5, in probability. But way too many unknowns.

So I've bet Sea/NE under 45.5. 2u
Sea -235. 5u
and Sea -6.5 @ +120. 1 u

All week, I've been high on Sea winning, big. But when it came time to put the money down, 2 things slowed my roll. NE's defense. And my distrust of the refs/NFL, and the recent disappearance of lopsided games in the sb.

19 of the 59 sb's have been decided by less than a td. And 10 have been in the last 18 yrs.

So first 41 sb's 9 games less than a td margin.
22%

Last 18 sb's 10/18, less than a td margin. 55%

Its a tv show. It has a 5 hr pregame. 10 of the 20 most viewed tv shows, EVER are super bowls
ESTIMATES OF 200 MILLION VIEWERS, worldwide.

Lopsided games = tune outs. Which trigger ad buybacks, or other compensation for the network. On this scale, thats big enough to slide few fingers on the scale of fair play.

BOL 2 ALL.......AND ENJOY THE GAME :cheers:
Well played uscmd!…appreciate your insightful thoughts this NFL season.
 

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Great day Doc!
 

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Gman, Pete, your kind words much appreciated.

Final 90 seconds had me sweating the under. Sea up 16, for the total backdoor wide open.
 

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