Marc Lawrence Once-a-Year 10-Star CFB Game of the Year! Play - Auburn (Game 208).
Edges for the Tigers -
• Head coach Hugh Freeze is 5-0 ATS in Last Home Games with revenge
• Freeze is 33-15 ATS as a dog in his career, including 5-0 SUATS as a dog of fewer than three points
• Freeze is 9-2 ATS as a conference home dog in his career, including 5-0 ATS when not coming off a double-digit loss
• Held each of its last three foes to less than 230 yards of total offense
• The best penalty-free team in the SEC.
• 9-1 ATS in Last Home Games with revenge, including 9-0 ATS when they are allowing 27 or fewer points per game
• Had their first penalty-free game since at least 1996 against Louisiana-Monroe last week. They're averaging a league-low 5.40 penalties per game. Only seven other FBS teams have had games without a penalty this season
Edges against the Aggies -
• 1-4 ATS and ITS (In The Stats) its last five games versus SEC foes, allowing an average of 392 overall yards per game in that span
• Head coach Mike Elko is 0-5 ATS when his team faces an opponent seeking revenge
• Elko is 0-4 ATS as a conference road favorite versus sub-.500 opponents
Conclusion: We seal the deal with this from our Well Oiled-Machine as it reminds us that sub-.800 college football teams who won 7 or fewer regular-season games last season, playing as dogs in the Last Home Game of the season coming off a win and seeking revenge, are 12-6 SU and 17-0-1 ATS since 1980 if they allow 25.5 or fewer points per game and they are facing a foe coming off a win of fewer the 40 points. The Tigers need wins in their last two games to avoid a fourth straight losing season and become bowl-eligible. The Aggies are winning their games by an average of 81 net yards per game, as opposed to the Tigers winning by an average of 146 net yards per game. We recommend a 10-star top play on Auburn as our College Football Game of the Year. Thank you, and the best of luck, as always