Saturday Road Teams, and Purdue...

[jaypaw]

These are the games I'm looking at:

Wisky -5 @ indiana
Stanford -3.5 @ Wash
Texas -5.5 @ KState
ND 1st half @ SJU
USC +3 @ OreSt
Purdue -6.5 vs Iowa

Wisky killed indiana earlier in the year at wisky and now they have some confidence on the road here in their last game of the regular season.

Washington has been overacheiving and Stanford has been watching this one. It may be a sucker bet but I'm not giving up on this team now. They want to wrap up the season right and they have the team to do so.

The tale of Texas is their depth - and KState cant come close in that department with only 3 people that average over 10 pts per game - Texas also has only 2 people that average over 10 pts per game - because almost everyone on the team is a regular contributor. Down the stretch Texas should have no trouble pulling away.

The Notre Dame spread is kind of high but I have no doubt that they will have a lead throughout this game. I may just go with the 1st half spread because I dont like really high numbers under any circumstances.

USC just kept it within 5 at Oregon - and is oregon state any better? Also USC gets craven back. I may take the usc ml here as well.

Purdue is the toughest team to figure out but Iowa isnt much better - I'll go with purdue at home to wrap up the season with at least something to hold on to.

 

[Birdman]

Jaypaw: Washington is not overachieving. I've seen this team play 3 times in last month and they're still getting better every game. They have 3 super athletes and a quality 7 deep. Stanford well aware of this as Cardinal escaped Pullman with a win as they were defintely looking ahead to this game.

Stanford will play much better today than Thursday night but I don't think that will be enough. I think Washington has at least a 50/50 chance(consrvative) to win outright and add .15-.2 that Stanford garners a win by 3 points or less. My projection is Washington has a solid 65% shot at covering +3.5

Another note, Huskies should be in tourney(10, 11 seed) and I guarantee you that most coaches don't want their higher seeded team facing them in round one. This team is playing loose and fast.

 

[jaypaw]

ok I'm confident in my picks heres what Ive decided take it or leave it:



L - Notre Dame (1H) -6½ Sat@4:00p

W - USC +6 (-170) Sat@8:00p

L - Stanford -2 (-140) Sat@6:00p

L - Purdue -3½ (-170) Sat@4:30p

L - Texas -232 Sat@5:00p

W - Wisconsin -2½ (-170) Sat@12:15p

L - a +500 6 team 5 pointer:
Texas -1 Sat@5:00p
Notre Dame -6½ Sat@4:00p
Wisconsin -½ Sat@12:15p
Purdue -1½ Sat@4:30p
Stanford +1½ Sat@6:00p
USC +8 Sat@8:00p

L - a 3 team ML parlay on Duke, Texas, and Notre Dame (-112)



Have fun

[This message was edited by Jaypaw on March 07, 2004 at 07:01 AM.]

 

[jaypaw]

85wins-69losses on the season
(43 for 70 ATS)
(18 for 26 buying points (-170))
(11 for 23 on the 4 team 10 pt teasers [payout -120])
(6 for 16 - multiple team ML parlays and other teasers [winners of -150, -130, -163, +150, +290, +350, +180, and +122])
(5 for 12 on the ML: wins of -500, -260, -180, and -235, -450)

 

[Kojak]

Best of luck today and hopefully you cash in with da man!

 

[jaypaw]

thanks kojak

you like any of my games?

 

[jaypaw]

holy cow

anyone see the wisconsin score?

 

[jaypaw]

by the way thanks for the input birdman


nice to see yer still around

 

[jaypaw]

uh oh

I spoke too soon

Indiana just sunk 3 consecutive 3's

 

[Kojak]

I am with you on Stanford and Purdue and against you on none as the rest are no plays for me. Best of luck.

 

[jaypaw]

damn


matt convinced me to buy points on Wisky

I guess I didnt need it - thats what I get for listening to a homer (just kidding matt)

 

[jaypaw]

Hey kojak (or anyone else)

I wonder if northwestern has improved much since they lost at michigan by 24 a few weeks ago?

 

[jaypaw]

Why not add one

again buying points here I'm probably just giving cash away but in case it is a tight one then here goes:

W - Michigan +4½ (-170), Sat@2:30p

[This message was edited by Jaypaw on March 07, 2004 at 07:02 AM.]

 

[jaypaw]

W - Florida State +8½

[This message was edited by Jaypaw on March 07, 2004 at 07:02 AM.]

 

[jaypaw]

and W - FSU +11.5 (-187)

[This message was edited by Jaypaw on March 07, 2004 at 07:02 AM.]

 

[Kojak]

jaypaw,

I was all over Michigan and it looks like you added them so congrats. Looking like a BIG Day!

 

[jaypaw]

Yeah

I shoulda laid off the ND first half -6.5

they only were up by 6 at half


dammit

 

[jaypaw]

P - UCLA 2nd half +7


Oregon blows

[This message was edited by Jaypaw on March 07, 2004 at 07:04 AM.]

 

[jaypaw]

oops

I guess oregon must have heard me say that


oh well

 

[jaypaw]

W - 2 team ML parlay

Duke
Minnesota
-235

[This message was edited by Jaypaw on March 07, 2004 at 07:04 AM.]