Saturday NCAA

Matt24 · Mar 4, 2004

2004: 43-30

Here are saturday leans using advanced lines. Will make them official when I see Pinnacle's lines.

INDIANA +6 vs Wisconsin

Senior day for IU, and I will be in attendance, expect a supreme effort, and also expect Bracey Wright to matchup with Devin Harris and hold him down. Wright has shut down a lot of good players this year(Paulding,Chris Thomas, Bernard Robinson, etc), he is a super defensive player when he is motivated and wants to be. AJ Moye will likely get a load of rebs once again.

UNLV -3 vs BYU

UNLV is playing well right now.

PURDUE -6 vs Iowa

Fading Iowa once again.

jwblue · Mar 4, 2004

If Indiana is +6 against Wisconsin, I am pouring money into it. Crossing my fingers.

IS

Matt24 · Mar 4, 2004

Sagarin says Wisconsin by 5, so it should open anywhere from 4 to 6 I would think

Drunkn247 · Mar 4, 2004

Hey matt where are you getting lines for saturday? If you could provide a link I would like to start some early work for saturday.

Matt24 · Mar 4, 2004

Advance Lines

These are off by as much as 3 points in some cases, but usually prety close.

Drunkn247 · Mar 4, 2004

Thanks you the man...lets bring in depaul tonight!

Matt24 · Mar 5, 2004

Thursday: 1-1
2004: 44-31

INDIANA +5.5

Matt24 · Mar 5, 2004

UNLV pk

I liked UNLV at -3, I love them at a pick.

Matt24 · Mar 5, 2004

PURDUE -5.5

jcambert · Mar 5, 2004

Hey, bud. you looking at anything for today?

JP

Matt24 · Mar 5, 2004

Nope, most likely laying off til Saturday.

jwblue · Mar 5, 2004

Matt:

IU +6 against a poor road team in Wisconsin seems fishy to me (Even considering their win against MSU last week). Any commments?

IS

Matt24 · Mar 5, 2004

I feel the line on the IU game is right on, Sagarin says Wiscy by 5, so the line doesn't seem too fishy to me. Wisconsin just had a big win at MSU so its going to be tough for some to bet against Wisconsin even laying 5.5. Wiscy owns a 34 point win over IU earlier this season as well.

Kojak · Mar 5, 2004

I really like these plays especially Purdue. I also like Michigan tomorrow. Best of luck.

Matt24 · Mar 5, 2004

Kojak- I like Michigan as well, and hope they and Purdue win and IU win and IU will be a 4 seed in the Big10 tourney, which in that tourney, the top 5 seeds dont have a "play in" game

Matt24 · Mar 5, 2004

MISSISSIPPI ST -3

VILLANOVA +12.5

Matt24 · Mar 5, 2004

FULL CARD(so far may have a late game add)

INDIANA +5.5
PURDUE -5.5
UNLV pk
MISS ST -3
VILLANOVA +12.5

I was going to do writeups but just don't really have time through the weekend, but most of you know why I am playing purdue (the Iowa fade continues) and also been on UNLV's bandwagon for a few games now. I expect Miss St to get some revenge over Alabama, and Nova has been money on the road in the Big East.

KarecTheMan · Mar 6, 2004

Lets the get man! Im working on my homework right now buddy! You need to get your lazy ass up and help me out dawg. Back to the nightmare. peace

Kojak · Mar 6, 2004

matt,

I like Mississippi St. but I am reluctant to pull the trigger based on a system of mine that has been perfect against Miss St. in these situations. Since mid January, when there has been a ranked team on the road with an opening line of 3, the unranked home team has won su in all but 2 and covered in all of these games. With that being said, I would think MSU wants a little payback. Besides the payback factor, what are your reasons? Alabama is probably the hottest team in the SEC right now and have shown no signs of letup.

jaypaw · Mar 6, 2004

Matt

GL today

I dont think I agree on Indiana.

How is it that Indiana is gonna hang with these guys talent wise?

Granted Wisconsin is a better team at home but when these guys met in Wisconsin, indiana lost by 34 points, the line was 14.5.

You are right in one sense that the reason the line is so low is because a lot of people are going to have trouble laying off wisconsin whatever the line is. To me that means that they are begging people to take Indiana - and I think the trap is that this is really it for Indiana so you'd think that with just one chance left to perform on senior day that they'd at least show up... "You'd think"

I think wisky is peaking - they wrapped up their home schedule on the right foot with some blowouts vs PSU and Purdue, then whipped out their secret weapon - confidence on the road - vs MSU, a team who had only lost at home once all season.

I think Wisky will win here to wrap up the season - having said that since you are an IU fan I may buy the 3 points or take the ML (if its not too high) just to avoid worrying if it is a close one...

Any additional insights you may have on this would be greatly appreciated - I plan to put my bets in around 10 so chime in before then if you can.

Thanks