Saturday Bet O The Day 4/25

OccamsRazor · Apr 25, 2009

PLAYOFFS 2008/2009
YTD 1-3
SIDES 0-2
TOTALS 1-1

Lost to the number last night as Houston won but failed to cover.

NewOrleans/Denver UNDER 198 (<)<

League leader in HM UNDERs meets a Denver team that has difficulty handling lower elevations? 14 point offensive drop-off from 108 as a Home favorite to 96 as a RD Dog. Denver defense remains intact giving up 100 at Home and 100 on the RD.. Denver 19/22 OV/UN on RD.

OccamsRazor · Apr 25, 2009

Adding:

MIAMI/ATLANTA UNDER 186 (<)<

I'm betting that last game's 201, was an aberration of the 164 average this series has produced.

OccamsRazor · Apr 25, 2009

Adding: NO-4 bought (<)<

NO biggest game of the season is at Home.

OccamsRazor · Apr 25, 2009

1-1 for the day with the Miami/Bull UNDER coming up.

OccamsRazor · Apr 25, 2009

Adding: Jazz +5 (<)<

The Jazz were never Home Dogs in the regular season. The Jazz were Home Dogs last game and they won straight up. Now they are Home Dogs again and getting 5 points. Jazz are getting 5 because the Lakers are a public team; the worst kind of public team, all about offense.

From a plain probability and value point of view the Jazz plus 5 is too much to pass by. Only 8 teams have come back from a 3-1 deficit to win a series in league history. Game of the Year for the Jazz Part II. The best bet you can make in sports is a must win Dog. Jazz are the more motivated team.