Saturday 4/4/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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Saturday 4/4/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Karl Garrett

40 DIMER - VILLANOVA WILDCATS....20 DIMER - MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
40 DIMER - VILLANOVA WILDCATS 40 Dimers-10-1



I have listened all week long to everyone touting North Carolina as the winner of this tournament, but I say doubt Villanova at your own risk.



Villanova has already trashed a UCLA team that had been to the Final Four in the 2 previous Big Dances, then they crushed the # 2 seeded Duke Blue Devils from the ACC, and lastly handled the toughness of # 1 seeded Pitt in the last round.



That is an impressive resume, and the Wildcats do it with depth (8 of their players average 18 minutes per game), and experience (3 senior starters). Jay Wright's team is a tough bunch, and I expect them to handle the best shot the Tar Heels can throw at them, and still be within this rather roomy impost.



North Carolina may very well advance, but I don't think this one is going to be a blowout.



Wildcats plus the points as my 40 Dimer this Final Four Saturday.



20 DIMER - MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS



The barometer for this game is the Purdue-Connecticut matchup a few games back. In that one, the Boilers had plenty of opportunities to take the lead against the Huskies, but couldn't quite get over the hump due to their youth.



That is not the case in this Big 10-Big East battle from Ford Field in the early game. Michigan State is a little more experienced than the young Boilermakers, and you cannot underestimate the importance of the Spartans pretty much playing a home game in Detroit today. The crowd support will be huge.



Michigan State plays defense with the best of them, and they can match the Huskies on the boards as well.



The G-Man is highly impressed with the way the Spartans squelched Louisville to earn this Final Four berth. In that one, State held the Cards to only 52-points. If they can bring that type of game to this occsasion, there is a good chance Michigan State may pull the outright upset.



G-Man taking the points with Michigan State in this one.
Today's Complimentary Selection

Friday night winner on Phoenix makes it a 9-2 comp play run my last 11 releases.



G-Man will strike early on Saturday and stay with the hot hand, and that is the Toronto Raptors.



Toronto comes to New York for the front end of this home-and-home having won and covered 5 in a row. The Raptors have also taken 3 of the last 4 series meetings, and did win and cover the most recent meeting 111-100 as the 3 1/2-point favorite back at the end of February.



New York is just 1-9 straight up their last 10 games, and the Knicks have also failed their last 3 tries when installed as the favorite.



With the Raptors playing so well as the regular season comes to an end, the G-Man will look for Toronto to run their winning streak to 6 straight wins and covers.



Toronto is the call from the Garden on Saturday.



3♦ TORONTO
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)


Actually UCLA has been to the final 4 the last 3 previous dances.... :)
 

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its nove mich st in the final game
bet on it.............and i mean bet on it
 

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Boys im Really ripped right now and noticed something....

Michigan State - UConn
April 4, 2009 - 6:07, ET
Villanova - North Carolina
April 4, 2009 - 8:47, ET

Both Games Must Win
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Look at the star on the bottom... if it loses does that mean we get the summer free but not the 500 - 1000 dime plays??

thats bullshit
 
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Craig Trapp

Michigan State vs. Connecticut
Play: UConn -4

Two College basketball super powers square off in the first match up. UCONN and Coach Calhoun look for their third Championship in 10 years. In fact Calhoun has not lost a game in the final four with a perfect 4-0 record. On the other hand Coach Izzo and Michigan State are back in the Final Four the fourth time in the last seven years. But MSU has only won one title in its three previous attempts. The oddsmakers have made UCONN a -4 point favorite and set the total at 133. Lets look at these two teams records and trends!

Team records:

Michigan State: 30-6 SU, 20-13 ATS

Connecticut: 31-4 SU, 17-14 ATS

Recent Trends:

-Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

-Spartans are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 NCAA Tournament games.

-Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games.

-Huskies are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

When you break down this game everything points to a very close hotly contested contest. The key to this game will be which team dominates the glass. UCONN has dominated the lane against everyone all year and can't imagine that it would stop today. Michigan State played there best game of the year last game against Louisville but today they will struggle to score inside against UCONN big men. UCONN forces teams to beat them from outside and MSU will struggle to find consistent outside scoring. Thabeet, Price, and Adrian will carry this team to the Championship game. SCORE UCONN 73 - MSU 65
 
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Alex Smart

Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs Over 6.0

The Toronto Maple Leafs enter into this Saturday night home tilt against the Montreal Canadiens exhibiting some horrible defensive habits, as was evident last night when they allowed the Philadelphia Flyers to pound them by a 8-5 count. That ugly effort dropped the Buds defensive standing to dead last in the NHL (266 goals). Now on tired legs the porous Toronto D, will now face a Habs side, that is starting to heat up , after winning 4 of their L/5, thanks in part to a power play that has converted on 10 of their L/30 chances . It must be noted that Toronto;s PP killing unit, is allowing their opposition to convert on 33.3 % of their chances in their L/5 trips to the ice. With that said, and despite of both teams current statistical discrepancies, the Leafs won't go easily against their long rivals , which in turn make for I'm betting will be an exciting back and forth affair.

Final notes & Key Trends: Montreal is 11-3-4 on the OVER in their L/18 road games. The Leafs have gone OVER in 7 of their L/10 on no rest. Over is 12-2-2 in their L/16 meetings in Toronto. The last 5 meetings in this series, have seen an average of 7.6 GPG scored.

Play OVER
 
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James Patrick Sports

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Saturday NBA action has the Clippers heading north to the Mile High City for a match-up with Denver. The Nuggets are Over the Total in 7 of 10 at home versus losing teams and 4 of 5 at home of late. The Clippers are Over the Total in 6 of 7 in Saturday action and at a 19-7-1 ATS rate on the road. James Patrick Sports complimentary selection in Saturday NBA action is Clippers - Suns Over the Total.
 
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LT Profits

Michigan State @ Connecticut Under 134

The Michigan State Spartans have gotten to this point with stiff defense, and we feel they will slow the pace of this Final Four matchup with the Connecticut Huskies enough for this game to stay Under the total.

The Under is now 11-4 in the last 15 Michigan State games overall, and they have held their four opponents in this tournament so far to an average of just 61.3 points per game. They held Louisville to 52 points in the Elite Eight by playing deliberately and not turning the ball over, thus not allowing the Cardinals to set up their fast break. Expect an identical game plan vs. this second straight Big East opponent.

As much as Connecticut would prefer a fast pace, they are also no opposed to a half-court game if that is what they have to do to win, and as a result, the Under is a surprising 17-12, 58.6 percent in all Huskies games this season. Also, do not discount the Connecticut defense here either, as they are allowing 63.7 points on only 37.6 percent shooting for the entire season.

While we expect a tightly contested game here that can end on either side of the spread (currently Connecticut -4), we do expect this contest to stay safely Under.

Pick: Michigan State/Connecticut Under 134
 
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Tom Freese

La Clippers at Denver

Denver has had their way with the Clippers going 5-1 ATS their last 6 games when laying 9 or more points. The Nuggets are playing their best defense in years allowing teams to shoot just 44% on the year that is good enough for fourth best in the NBA. The Clippers allow their opponents to shoot 48% which ranks 27th in the league. We like the Nuggets to win easy here and remain the two seed in the Western Conference. PLAY ON DENVER -
 

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THE GOLD SHEET'S
HOOP LATE PHONE SERVICE


NCAA FINAL FOUR:
MICHIGAN STATE +4 over Connecticut 3:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA -7 over Villanova 5:45 PM
 
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Marc Lawrence

Play On: New York Knicks

The Knicks have performed admirably under head coach Mike D'Antoni this season, especially when playing off back-to-back losses. That's confirmed by their 17-6 ATS mark in this role as a dog or favorite of 3 or less points, including 9-0 the last nine games. They are also 8-3 ATS against the Raptors when playing off back-to-back defeats, including 5-0 ATS at home. In the first of back-to-back grudge games in two nights (these two teams will be at Toronto tomorrow night), look for the Knicks to avenge a 111-100 loss suffered most recently in this series.
 
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Jimmy The Moose

Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs
Prediction: Over

The over is 11-3-4 in Montreal's last 18 road games. In their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference opponents the over is 5-1-1. The over is 16-5-5 in their last 26 vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 8 overall the over is 5-2-1. The Leafs were beaten 8-5 last night and both of theor goalies were rocked. In their last 10 games played with 0 days rest the over is 7-3. Toronto has played well on Saturday Night's Hockey Night in Canada having played the over in 4 of their last 5 Saturday games. The over is 12-2-2 in Montreal's last 16 trips to Toronto. The over is 22-7-4 in the last 33 meetings. Play the over.
 

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Bob Balfe



Final Four Saturday

Michigan State +4 over UConn
UNC -7 over Villanova
 
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Big Al Mcmordie

Toronto Raptors at New York Knicks
Prediction: New York Knicks

At 1 pm, our member selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Toronto, as we will fade the Raptors off their streak of five SU/ATS wins in a row. At first glance, one might be tempted to play against New York, as it comes into today's game off three straight road losses. But I wouldn't do that if I were you. Granted, Toronto is "hot,", but NBA road dogs of +2.5 or more points cover just 37% of the time off five SU/ATS wins. Lay the points with Mike D'Antoni's men this afternoon.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Memphis Grizzlies at Milwaukee Bucks
Play: Bucks

Memphis picked up a strong, underdog win last night over Dallas, but that leads to a poor in-season situation for the Grizzlies on Saturday. Memphis is just 7-12 ATS when playing in the second of back-to-back nights. And, they have covered just 7-of-20 when playing the third game in four nights. Tonight's opponent, Milwaukee, hasn't played since Thursday night. The Bucks not only have the rest advantage, but they have owned this series as of late. Milwaukee is 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS the last five tilts with Memphis and I expect another big win and cover on Saturday. I'm laying the points with the Bucks.
 
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Nick Parsons

Canucks @ Oilers
Play: Canucks

The Canucks clinched a playoff spot by overcoming an early two-goal deficit to earn a single point before losing to the Ducks on Corey Perry's lone goal of the shootout. They also moved into a tie with Calgary for the Northwest Division lead, one point up on fifth-place Chicago for home-ice advantage in the first round; that being said, I look for this team to continue to play hard as they build momentum for the post-season! The Oilers turned in perhaps their best game in a month. But they were playing the best team in the NHL, and it wasn't enough. They threw everything at the Sharks, hit four goalposts, and couldn't find the equalizer; expect another letdown tonight! Vancouver is 14-8 when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season; play on the CANUCKS!
 

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