I hear your confusion. First, I was leaning Dallas, then Baltimore, then Dallas, then Baltimore. Play seems to be on Dallas, but I'm a believer in the sharps and they are on or at least going to be on Baltimore, according to the sources out here. Every Sunday at 8:30 am (Vegas time) I listen to Jay Kornegae who is the director of the LV Hilton SB, which is the biggest book out here and he gives which way the sharps are going. I haven't kept an official tally, but the sharps have been hitting all year with great consistency. That's the only real reason why I believe sharp action is usually the way to go.
BTW, sharp action is not on as many games as ppl on this forum would like to believe, they don't simply go against the public. In fact, Dallas v. Pitt is a great example. Public and Sharps were on Dallas, at least in the morning. Last night for example, Vegas Wiseguys were not pounding the Jags as might be assumed. Last week, as another example, Vegas Wiseguys pounded SF over Miami about 10 mins before kickoff. Forced a line move, SF covered.
I know Ace posts steam moves and smart money, but I can tell you this. That action, for the most part, is not coming from Vegas Wiseguys.
So what does this all mean for this game? I don't really know, but I'm sure there are ppl who will appreciate this info and hopefully use it. Bottom line, I'm hitting Baltimore.
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