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Cbb Rec 102 - 60 Ats

Been busy working my tail off on my March Madness Charts

Today

Gonzaga is 0-4 vs. KenPom Top 30 teams, losing three of those games by double-digits. The Zags still play at a fast pace and that style will hurt them on Saturday. Kentucky is one of the fastest, most athletic teams in the country............ does this cream Over Team Total Kentucky or Over Full Game ?

Unsure what Rutgers wil do today vs a desperate Badger team ....but
Scarlet Knights are coming off a pair of road victories over Michigan and Maryland that ended a three-game skid.
The key difference for Rutgers has been adding guard Jeremiah Williams to the starting lineup. Due in part to a sports betting suspension stemming from his time at Iowa State, Williams was not eligible to play until a district court granted an injunction last weekend.
He made his Rutgers debut against Michigan and scored 10 points with six rebounds. In Tuesday's 56-53 win over Maryland, he scored 14 points on 5-of-9 shooting, including 2-for-2 from the arc.


Clemson ... coming off win vs a letdown spot team NC in last game ,,,, Tiger ...shooting guard Joseph Girard III played four years at Syracuse.. looks for some payback , I guess ?

I don't feel this will be a huge letdown spot for Clemson, as right now ....teams know how important a win is down the stretch before MM.....

Syracuse at home barely snuck by Louisville in last game ...94-92 ...where's the D ?

Syracuse is a bit shorthanded since forward Benny Williams was dismissed from the team on Tuesday ... not a huge contributor ... 17 mpg

Clemson has not won at Syracuse since 2016 ....

Clem / Syr Lean Over 149 - 175



North Carolina ... 0-6 Over / Under away from home this year

Miami Florida ...likes playing that Swiss Cheese D

Total opened 154.5 / now 158 ....hmmmmm
 

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I like the spot for Syracuse.Like when teams win at home but don't cover then are a home dog but are at home for a 3 or more game stand. This is game 2 of 3.
But sometimes teams on the road get that big win and it elevates them for next game so.....
GL boom
 

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K. Boom....BOL with all your action today buddy....
thank you for the updated info.....
here's to a solid and winning weekend....indy
 

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4:00 Central Time

Been wrong many times before with my reads ... beware ...lol

Oregon Won at Wash earlier this year ...then at home Oregon was - 8.5 ... in a 5 point win

Today

Oregon won at Wash St earlier this year .... and Wash St ...imo ...is 1 Point better than Washington rank wise ...

Oregon should have opened at - 7.5 or so .....instead they open at - 2.5 at Draftkings / now - 3.5

Bettors will see value you on the Ducks

I don't ... I see trap

Going to wait until Oregon moves to 4 or more

Play

Wash St + ????
 

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3 game road sweeps(didn't cover Oregon ST though) are tough unless you are an elite team in that conference. Oregon all day at 3 or less for me. Maybe ML
 

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Princeton ... opens - 13 ... now - 10.5 ? .... why the Penn Love ??

Princeton ... 1-9 Ats last 10 vs Quakes and Tigers never more than a 3.5 pt fav

in any game in last 10 vs Penn ...........hmmmmmm
 

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3 game road sweeps(didn't cover Oregon ST though) are tough unless you are an elite team in that conference. Oregon all day at 3 or less for me. Maybe ML
Therer we go Ex ......... the value is Ducks ... I get it bro / BOL
 

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Last year ... Total Fla at Aub was 141 ... final Fla 61-58

This year's total opens at 161.5 / now 158

Looks a bit easy to go Under here

I zag with the Over .... just a small lean ... likely way off here ...but ... never know
 

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Last year ... Total Fla at Aub was 141 ... final Fla 61-58

This year's total opens at 161.5 / now 158

Looks a bit easy to go Under here


I zag with the Over .... just a small lean ... likely way off here ...but ... never know
Copied

  • Primo situational spot for Florida, who had a bye week after the crushing loss at TAMU, and they catch a perhaps analytically overrated Auburn at home fresh off their win over Bama in the Iron Bowl rematch. Of course those “situational spots” are already baked in, but it doesn’t get any better than this for the Gators in terms of getting a crack at a top 10 NET team. The glaring area to watch is around the rim, where both offenses are lodged in the top 10 in near shot attempt rate per Haslam, but Auburn is second nationally in near shot FG% defensively (also per Haslam, although UF is also top 50 in that regard). Florida gets downhill relentlessly out of their ball screens and off the dribble, but Auburn will typically aggressively send two to the ball on the ball screen, with the safety of knowing how elite and athletic Broome and Williams are in recovery and against rollers, which forces a 98th percentile iso rate defensively, where UF typically isn’t looking to create (although Pullin and Clayton have both been hyper efficient when forced to do so). While UF will attack the rim in the halfcourt relentlessly, they’re first and foremost hunting early offense in transition, but Auburn has been an excellent transition defense on a PPP basis, allowing just .93 PPP in that regard, which grades out in the 87th percentile nationally per Synergy data. Despite Pearl being a mentor of Golden’s, the differing defensive philosophies between the two coaches is stark (at least in terms of this year, and that’s certainly evidenced by Auburn’s league leading defensive TO% rate while the Gators have the lowest in SEC play), as Florida forces ball screen/dribble creation, which is generally what you want to do against Auburn’s erratic guards. Generally speaking, this is a tough matchup for both offenses, and that’s exactly what played out in the only meeting last year.
 

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As Away Dog / I Like playing against in a ML Par….....SU Only
Team….....Record
Cal Poly….....0-11-0
Dartmouth….....0-8-0
Detroit….....0-15-0
Kennesaw St….....0-5-0
Middle Tenn….....0-7-0
N Mex State….....0-9-0
Navy….....0-10-0
New Orleans….....0-10-0
Oklahoma St….....0-5-0
Pepperdine….....0-5-0
Queens….....0-13-0
Stonehill….....0-15-0
U Penn….....0-7-0
USC….....0-6-0
Vanderbilt….....0-5-0
 

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4:00 Central Time

Been wrong many times before with my reads ... beware ...lol

Oregon Won at Wash earlier this year ...then at home Oregon was - 8.5 ... in a 5 point win

Today

Oregon won at Wash St earlier this year .... and Wash St ...imo ...is 1 Point better than Washington rank wise ...

Oregon should have opened at - 7.5 or so .....instead they open at - 2.5 at Draftkings / now - 3.5

Bettors will see value you on the Ducks

I don't ... I see trap

Going to wait until Oregon moves to 4 or more

Play


Wash St + ????
What do ya know ... pegged that baby !!

$15 Wash St + 4 - 120....................Winner
 

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