San Diego Chargers vs Oakland Raiders 10/10/2010

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The San Diego Chargers are a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over the Oakland Raiders. Philip Rivers is averaging 230 passing yards and 1.67 TDs per simulation and Mike Tolbert is projected for 49 rushing yards and a 31% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Oakland Raiders wins, Bruce Gradkowski averages 0.97 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.65 TDs to 1.19 interceptions. Michael Bush averages 105 rushing yards and 0.85 rushing TDs when Oakland Raiders wins and 62 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. The San Diego Chargers have a 54% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OAK +6 --- Over/Under line is 44.5

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