#1
Ryan Bader vs. Vinicius Magalhaes
Ryan Bader is a wrestler with Record 7 - 0 - 0 (Win - Loss - Draw)
Wins 3 (T)KOs ( 42.86 %)
3 Submissions ( 42.86 %)
1 Decisions ( 14.29 %)
Vinicius Magalhaes is a BJJ black belt and BJJ World Champion with MMA record 2 - 2 - 0 (Win - Loss - Draw) ( 1 NC )
Wins 2 Submissions ( 100 %)
Losses 1 Submissions ( 50 %)
1 Decisions ( 50 %)
Well, I usually bet on the submission fighters, but not this time. First of all it's not to smart to bet vs so strong wrestler like Bader, especially at 1.53. If Vinny want to win he must take Bader to the ground, and that will be very dificult for him. In the stand up I'm giving credit to the Ryan, Vinnys striking is a little bit panic and he very afraid of the exchanges. There is a big Vinny hype, lot of TUF noobs betting on him so that's why he is such a favourite. Only one way for Vinny to win is a submission but I just don't think that he will be able to take down Ryan and work on the sub.
Pick: Ryan Bader
odds: 2.77
stake: 10/10
#2
Phillipe Nover vs. Efrain Escudero
Philipe is a BJJ black belt with MMA Record 5 - 0 - 1 (Win - Loss - Draw)
Wins 1 (T)KOs ( 20 %)
3 Submissions ( 60 %)
1 Decisions ( 20 %)
Efrain is a wrestler with perfect Record 10 - 0 - 0 (Win - Loss - Draw)
Wins 9 Submissions ( 90 %)
1 Decisions ( 10 %)
It's another value bet in my opinion. Philipe is unexpectable and he is very good in standup and on the ground. But those two boys were in one team in TUF house and sparingparthers. So they know each other very well. Philipe is 1.27 at pinnacle and also lot of TUF noobs is beetting on him. I'm giving here 50/50 % and I'm risking here 5 units hoping that Efrain will take this fight via decision.
Pick: Efrain Escudero
odds: 4.37
stake: 5/10
#3
Kevin Burns vs. Anthony Johnson
Well Johnson is here a favourite but I must give a try to Burns. Burns is to solid and complete. Also Johnson might take fight lightly having in mind their last fight where he was winning until he was accidentally poked in the eye.
Kevin is a young prospect with solid stand up and great submission game (he finished by triangle choke Roan Carneiro!). Johnson is a stand up fighter and he is very passive on the ground. Small stake, just for some action, and I hope that Burns will submit Johnson.
Pick: Kevin Burns
odds: 3.5
stake: 3/10
#4
Jason MacDonald vs. Wilson Gouveia
I'm going here with MacDonald, and thats why:
- he have better ground game and takedowns
- he is more technical striker
- Wilson have weak takedown defense
- Jason have better cardio and his opponent failed to make weight for this fight
- overall I think MacDonald is better fighter
Full stake10/10
Pick: Jason Macdonald
odds: 2.05
stake: 10/10
#5
Junie Allen Browning vs. David Kaplan
Well I never would put a single polish zloty on a fighter like Junie. I just don't trust him, it's better to bet against him.
Pick: David Kaplan
odds: 3.71
stake: 1/10
Good Luck
Ryan Bader vs. Vinicius Magalhaes
Ryan Bader is a wrestler with Record 7 - 0 - 0 (Win - Loss - Draw)
Wins 3 (T)KOs ( 42.86 %)
3 Submissions ( 42.86 %)
1 Decisions ( 14.29 %)
Vinicius Magalhaes is a BJJ black belt and BJJ World Champion with MMA record 2 - 2 - 0 (Win - Loss - Draw) ( 1 NC )
Wins 2 Submissions ( 100 %)
Losses 1 Submissions ( 50 %)
1 Decisions ( 50 %)
Well, I usually bet on the submission fighters, but not this time. First of all it's not to smart to bet vs so strong wrestler like Bader, especially at 1.53. If Vinny want to win he must take Bader to the ground, and that will be very dificult for him. In the stand up I'm giving credit to the Ryan, Vinnys striking is a little bit panic and he very afraid of the exchanges. There is a big Vinny hype, lot of TUF noobs betting on him so that's why he is such a favourite. Only one way for Vinny to win is a submission but I just don't think that he will be able to take down Ryan and work on the sub.
Pick: Ryan Bader
odds: 2.77
stake: 10/10
#2
Phillipe Nover vs. Efrain Escudero
Philipe is a BJJ black belt with MMA Record 5 - 0 - 1 (Win - Loss - Draw)
Wins 1 (T)KOs ( 20 %)
3 Submissions ( 60 %)
1 Decisions ( 20 %)
Efrain is a wrestler with perfect Record 10 - 0 - 0 (Win - Loss - Draw)
Wins 9 Submissions ( 90 %)
1 Decisions ( 10 %)
It's another value bet in my opinion. Philipe is unexpectable and he is very good in standup and on the ground. But those two boys were in one team in TUF house and sparingparthers. So they know each other very well. Philipe is 1.27 at pinnacle and also lot of TUF noobs is beetting on him. I'm giving here 50/50 % and I'm risking here 5 units hoping that Efrain will take this fight via decision.
Pick: Efrain Escudero
odds: 4.37
stake: 5/10
#3
Kevin Burns vs. Anthony Johnson
Well Johnson is here a favourite but I must give a try to Burns. Burns is to solid and complete. Also Johnson might take fight lightly having in mind their last fight where he was winning until he was accidentally poked in the eye.
Kevin is a young prospect with solid stand up and great submission game (he finished by triangle choke Roan Carneiro!). Johnson is a stand up fighter and he is very passive on the ground. Small stake, just for some action, and I hope that Burns will submit Johnson.
Pick: Kevin Burns
odds: 3.5
stake: 3/10
#4
Jason MacDonald vs. Wilson Gouveia
I'm going here with MacDonald, and thats why:
- he have better ground game and takedowns
- he is more technical striker
- Wilson have weak takedown defense
- Jason have better cardio and his opponent failed to make weight for this fight
- overall I think MacDonald is better fighter
Full stake10/10
Pick: Jason Macdonald
odds: 2.05
stake: 10/10
#5
Junie Allen Browning vs. David Kaplan
Well I never would put a single polish zloty on a fighter like Junie. I just don't trust him, it's better to bet against him.
Pick: David Kaplan
odds: 3.71
stake: 1/10
Good Luck
