Ron Paul Predicted Fannie/Freddie Fiasco - 5 Years Ago

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by Rep. Ron Paul, MD

Ron Paul in the House Financial Services Committee, September 10, 2003

Mr. Chairman, thank you for holding this hearing on the Treasury Department’s views regarding government sponsored enterprises (GSEs). I would also like to thank Secretaries Snow and Martinez for taking time out of their busy schedules to appear before the committee.
I hope this committee spends some time examining the special privileges provided to GSEs by the federal government. According to the Congressional Budget Office, the housing-related GSEs received $13.6 billion worth of indirect federal subsidies in fiscal year 2000 alone. Today, I will introduce the Free Housing Market Enhancement Act, which removes government subsidies from the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), and the National Home Loan Bank Board.
One of the major government privileges granted to GSEs is a line of credit with the United States Treasury. According to some estimates, the line of credit may be worth over $2 billion. This explicit promise by the Treasury to bail out GSEs in times of economic difficulty helps the GSEs attract investors who are willing to settle for lower yields than they would demand in the absence of the subsidy. Thus, the line of credit distorts the allocation of capital. More importantly, the line of credit is a promise on behalf of the government to engage in a huge unconstitutional and immoral income transfer from working Americans to holders of GSE debt.

The Free Housing Market Enhancement Act also repeals the explicit grant of legal authority given to the Federal Reserve to purchase GSE debt. GSEs are the only institutions besides the United States Treasury granted explicit statutory authority to monetize their debt through the Federal Reserve. This provision gives the GSEs a source of liquidity unavailable to their competitors.
The connection between the GSEs and the government helps isolate the GSE management from market discipline. This isolation from market discipline is the root cause of the recent reports of mismanagement occurring at Fannie and Freddie. After all, if Fannie and Freddie were not underwritten by the federal government, investors would demand Fannie and Freddie provide assurance that they follow accepted management and accounting practices.
Ironically, by transferring the risk of a widespread mortgage default, the government increases the likelihood of a painful crash in the housing market. This is because the special privileges granted to Fannie and Freddie have distorted the housing market by allowing them to attract capital they could not attract under pure market conditions. As a result, capital is diverted from its most productive use into housing. This reduces the efficacy of the entire market and thus reduces the standard of living of all Americans.
Despite the long-term damage to the economy inflicted by the government’s interference in the housing market, the government’s policy of diverting capital to other uses creates a short-term boom in housing. Like all artificially-created bubbles, the boom in housing prices cannot last forever. When housing prices fall, homeowners will experience difficulty as their equity is wiped out. Furthermore, the holders of the mortgage debt will also have a loss. These losses will be greater than they would have otherwise been had government policy not actively encouraged over-investment in housing.
Perhaps the Federal Reserve can stave off the day of reckoning by purchasing GSE debt and pumping liquidity into the housing market, but this cannot hold off the inevitable drop in the housing market forever. In fact, postponing the necessary, but painful market corrections will only deepen the inevitable fall. The more people invested in the market, the greater the effects across the economy when the bubble bursts.
No less an authority than Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has expressed concern that government subsidies provided to GSEs make investors underestimate the risk of investing in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Mr. Chairman, I would like to once again thank the Financial Services Committee for holding this hearing. I would also like to thank Secretaries Snow and Martinez for their presence here today. I hope today’s hearing sheds light on how special privileges granted to GSEs distort the housing market and endanger American taxpayers. Congress should act to remove taxpayer support from the housing GSEs before the bubble bursts and taxpayers are once again forced to bail out investors who were misled by foolish government interference in the market. I therefore hope this committee will soon stand up for American taxpayers and investors by acting on my Free Housing Market Enhancement Act.

Dr. Ron Paul is a Republican member of Congress from Texas.
 

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Ron Paul and the other Austrians knew about this disaster years ago, just like how they also predicted the Great Depressions while the Keynesians said there would never be another recession.
 

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The connection between the GSEs and the government helps isolate the GSE management from market discipline. This isolation from market discipline is the root cause of the recent reports of mismanagement occurring at Fannie and Freddie. After all, if Fannie and Freddie were not underwritten by the federal government, investors would demand Fannie and Freddie provide assurance that they follow accepted management and accounting practices.
Ironically, by transferring the risk of a widespread mortgage default, the government increases the likelihood of a painful crash in the housing market. This is because the special privileges granted to Fannie and Freddie have distorted the housing market by allowing them to attract capital they could not attract under pure market conditions. As a result, capital is diverted from its most productive use into housing.

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much of what he says has a lot of wisdom, like this position

much doesn't
 

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Ron Paul and the other Austrians knew about this disaster years ago, just like how they also predicted the Great Depressions while the Keynesians said there would never be another recession.

he didn't predict it, he said it "increases the likelihood".

tell us, what were / are the other "Great Depressions".
 

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austrian economics

yet to leave a lab and even then not supported by mathematical models

no evidence it works
 

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Ron Paul, the modern day Nostradamus?
Austrians aren't fortune tellers. They know how the economy runs so when they see certain actions (ie: fed increasing the money supply) they know there will be a resultant economic boom followed by a bust. We all saw the housing boom and we are living through the bust right now.
 

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Austrians aren't fortune tellers. They know how the economy runs so when they see certain actions (ie: fed increasing the money supply) they know there will be a resultant economic boom followed by a bust. We all saw the housing boom and we are living through the bust right now.

I made no reference to Austrians. The article was from 2003 and written by Ron Paul. If you make a prediction and what long enough there is always the possibility that it may come true. I think Ron Paul is a fruit loop much like Nostradamus, thus the comparison.
 

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Ron Paul and the other Austrians knew about this disaster years ago, just like how they also predicted the Great Depressions while the Keynesians said there would never be another recession.

they predicting a hyperinflationary bust.....but their time frame is just too long

ron paul and the austrian's have the right idea over the long haul.....but the ultimate end isn't here

the current mess coming will be deflationary in nature IMO

until the masses lose faith in fiat the system will continue with the booms and busts

till the final big hyperinflationary bust....when who knows but not yet...and probably not in any of our lifetimes

aka zimbabwe type of situation on a global scale....where it costs a million local dollars to buy a loaf of bread

this is all assuming as well we aren't smart and get off of unbacked fiat before we go tits up

plus in the end you must remember the federal reserve and banks have it really really good

hyperinflationary bust and they no longer are in control the game just ends and the whole system collapses

they'll keep it running as long as they can keep us playing along
 

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i said not in my lifetime dude can you read?

but we continue down the path rome took with each passing day when it goes boom i haven't a clue nor does anyone else

volatile gold standard LMFAO i've stated gold price fixing and GD many times....depression occured due to massive credit creation that went bust (can't happen on a true gold standard).....and could potentially happen here once again....history tends to repeat itself

also you are comparing apples to oranges

of course small economies are more fragile and volatile....the more advanced an economy is the more stable it is regardless of what currency it runs on....comparing what happened pre fed to what would happen now if we were on a gold standard with no fed and free markets determining interest rates is flat out silly

anywho

fiat good for statists (you, necons) and socialists (lefties)

they can spend and tax the sheep to death while the rich get richer and gain more and more wealth with each boom/bust cycle
 

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as for FNM

its pretty simple at its roots

this entitlement to a home way of thinking crap leads to periods when prices get overvalued based on what it would otherwise be in the free marketplace

who woulda thunk

:bbsmile:
 

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our wealth has nothing to do with fiat or what type of currency we run on....fiat just more volatile (good for the powers that be) and ultimately doomed over the very long term

all countries run on fiat and all central banks collude and do the same type of shit the US fed does
 

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our wealth has nothing to do with fiat or what type of currency we run on....fiat just more volatile (good for the powers that be) and ultimately doomed over the very long term

all countries run on fiat and all central banks collude and do the same type of shit the US fed does

All countries use fiat, but you somehow claim to know better and spout the same regurgitated bullshit in every thread. :ohno:

Please check your history on the gold standard and the volatility associated with it, back when runs on the bank were every year norms.

Absurd to suggest a 3 trillion dollar economy could run on anything but a fiat system.

As I said, only a high tech automated computerized fed would outperform the current system.
 

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why did you other post disappear?

as for gold standard today vs. old days......

you never responded to my claim that the bigger the economy is the more stable the economy is regardless of what currency it runs on....

of course in the late 1800s our economy was gonna be fucking volatile that's common fucking sense

just look at emerging markets....they all over the fucking map
 

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Joe's last post disappeared, but I do have this quote in my head: "fiat will outperform a volatile gold standard."

Volatile gold standard?

Volatile?

Really?

Prices remained relatively unchanged (except during brief periods of war) until 1913, when the US started coming off the gold standard.

Gold provides price stability as supply limitations prevent inflation of the monetary base. Fiat can make no such claims.
 

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why did you other post disappear?

I have no idea.

as for gold standard today vs. old days......

you never responded to my claim that the bigger the economy is the more stable the economy is regardless of what currency it runs on...

Not a theory I subscribe to, tizdoom. Fact is gold crashed many times -- and fiat has yet to suffer the same fate on the same scale over many decades. A 3 trillion dollar economy cannot run a on a gold standard.

Call me crazy, but at the end of the day, performance is the final arbitrator.

of course in the late 1800s our economy was gonna be fucking volatile that's common fucking sense

just look at emerging markets....they all over the fucking map

You considered the early 1900s an "emerging market"?
 

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Joe, you're confusing the volatility of the gold *price* (as measured against volatile fiat) with volatility of purchasing power. Gold's price is only volatile because of the underlying currency it is measured against. But when gold has been used as THE currency, there is little to no volatility of its purchasing power.
 

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