some nfl for you this week
sides:
ON week 16-17 PLAY ON huge favs in final 2 weeks of season if not won 14 games and are at least 3 games better than opponent (51-23 = on BAL) 1-0
ON final home game looking for revenge for earlier season game they didn't win by 5+ and didn't cover by 2+ (32-7 = on CLE) 1-0
ON week 17 team b/w 1 more or 2 less wins than opponent and not dog 7+ (81-34 = on ARI, NYG, PHI, CLE, DEN, MIA)
VS week 17 6-win home team not in NFC West (5-21 = on NYJ)
VS week 17 home teams with 9+ wins not favored by 10+ and just ran for 68+ yards (1-18 = on ARI, LAC, ATL, MIA)
ON week 17 team with 1-3 less wins than opponent who has 5-11 wins (117-48 = on ARI, DET, NYG, PHI, DEN)
ON week 17 with 1 less win than opponent who has <=8 wins, ytd avg <3 sacks (31-3 = on ARI, DET, NYG)
VS team avg 5.46-5.85 YPPL, not fav of 5+, gained >874+ yards L2 games (5-29 = on WAS) 11-0, won 16 straight
ON team not on 2+ game losing streak but just had a horrible completion % game (63-21 = on TEN) 2-3
VS home that won <6 games LY, off b2b games allowing more points than projected and just got blown out (3-35 = on MIN) 2-3
VS team that just ran <40 yards but scored 23+ and allowed a lot of rush yd (27-64 = on CLE)
VS teams off a 5.5+ home dog win scoring 23+ (19-57 = on NE) 2-4
ON final home game, big fav, won 6-7 home games this year (51-17 = on BUF, on KC) note: 60-8-2 in 6-pt tease
VS team off 19+ 3rd down attempts gaining <52% of them (29-69 = on ARI) 1-2
totals:
UNDER home off away blowout loss as a fav (30-66 ou = PHI/WAS u) 3-3
UNDER away off away fav made 4+ 3rd downs and throwing 28+ passes/g (15-44 = MIA/BUF u) 7-12
UNDER div 11+ wins LY, no more than 14% better WP and coming off away game (10-54 ou = SF/SEA u) 2-6
UNDER off home blowout loss (25-59 ou = DET/MIN u, JAX/IND u) 5-6
OVER two teams off terrible rush games (107-53 ou = CLE/PIT o x2) 4-3
UNDER grass off away fav loss with 2-9 punts and <50% 3rd downs (9-47 ou = CLE/PIT u) 4-4
UNDER total<=46 avg 48.5-54 total L3 games, opponent avg total>37.5 L3 (67-159 ou = LAC/KC x2) 7-23
UNDER 7+ fav off fav win or loss <10 and turned it over 2+x (3-46 ou = PIT/CLE u) 1-5
UNDER 5+ streak vs opp not on 5+ streak (61-110 ou = KC/LAC u, BUF/MIA u, GB/CHI u) 6-11
UNDER 4.5+ fav off terrible game as a fav (17-74 ou = PIT/CLE u) 4-9
UNDER home 2nd meeting of season, 1st game went over by 3+ (23-45 ou = TB/ARI u) 0-0
UNDER sunday game, team allowed >80 in L2 games (20-62 ou = DET/MIN u x2, JAX/IND u) 1-1
OVER team did not throw pass TD in 3 straight, not 10+ dog (68-34 ou = NE/NYJ o) 4-2
sides:
ON week 16-17 PLAY ON huge favs in final 2 weeks of season if not won 14 games and are at least 3 games better than opponent (51-23 = on BAL) 1-0
ON final home game looking for revenge for earlier season game they didn't win by 5+ and didn't cover by 2+ (32-7 = on CLE) 1-0
ON week 17 team b/w 1 more or 2 less wins than opponent and not dog 7+ (81-34 = on ARI, NYG, PHI, CLE, DEN, MIA)
VS week 17 6-win home team not in NFC West (5-21 = on NYJ)
VS week 17 home teams with 9+ wins not favored by 10+ and just ran for 68+ yards (1-18 = on ARI, LAC, ATL, MIA)
ON week 17 team with 1-3 less wins than opponent who has 5-11 wins (117-48 = on ARI, DET, NYG, PHI, DEN)
ON week 17 with 1 less win than opponent who has <=8 wins, ytd avg <3 sacks (31-3 = on ARI, DET, NYG)
VS team avg 5.46-5.85 YPPL, not fav of 5+, gained >874+ yards L2 games (5-29 = on WAS) 11-0, won 16 straight
ON team not on 2+ game losing streak but just had a horrible completion % game (63-21 = on TEN) 2-3
VS home that won <6 games LY, off b2b games allowing more points than projected and just got blown out (3-35 = on MIN) 2-3
VS team that just ran <40 yards but scored 23+ and allowed a lot of rush yd (27-64 = on CLE)
VS teams off a 5.5+ home dog win scoring 23+ (19-57 = on NE) 2-4
ON final home game, big fav, won 6-7 home games this year (51-17 = on BUF, on KC) note: 60-8-2 in 6-pt tease
VS team off 19+ 3rd down attempts gaining <52% of them (29-69 = on ARI) 1-2
totals:
UNDER home off away blowout loss as a fav (30-66 ou = PHI/WAS u) 3-3
UNDER away off away fav made 4+ 3rd downs and throwing 28+ passes/g (15-44 = MIA/BUF u) 7-12
UNDER div 11+ wins LY, no more than 14% better WP and coming off away game (10-54 ou = SF/SEA u) 2-6
UNDER off home blowout loss (25-59 ou = DET/MIN u, JAX/IND u) 5-6
OVER two teams off terrible rush games (107-53 ou = CLE/PIT o x2) 4-3
UNDER grass off away fav loss with 2-9 punts and <50% 3rd downs (9-47 ou = CLE/PIT u) 4-4
UNDER total<=46 avg 48.5-54 total L3 games, opponent avg total>37.5 L3 (67-159 ou = LAC/KC x2) 7-23
UNDER 7+ fav off fav win or loss <10 and turned it over 2+x (3-46 ou = PIT/CLE u) 1-5
UNDER 5+ streak vs opp not on 5+ streak (61-110 ou = KC/LAC u, BUF/MIA u, GB/CHI u) 6-11
UNDER 4.5+ fav off terrible game as a fav (17-74 ou = PIT/CLE u) 4-9
UNDER home 2nd meeting of season, 1st game went over by 3+ (23-45 ou = TB/ARI u) 0-0
UNDER sunday game, team allowed >80 in L2 games (20-62 ou = DET/MIN u x2, JAX/IND u) 1-1
OVER team did not throw pass TD in 3 straight, not 10+ dog (68-34 ou = NE/NYJ o) 4-2
