TENNESSEE (6-2 SU/2-6 ATS) at MIAMI-FLORIDA (7-1 SU/4-4 ATS)
This is a tough football game to gauge. Both of these teams are overrated. Miami will attempt to fight it’s way back into the BCS National Championship picture and pray for a USC loss down the road after getting pounded by Virginia Tech 31-7. Miami held edges in total "O" (377-219), first downs (21-11) and time of possession (34:35 to 25:25), but could not overcome three costly turnovers, two of which were returned for TD's and the rout was on my friends.
This was the first regular-season loss for Miami since September 9, 2000 in the great northwest against Washington, ending a string of 39 straight victories. The Canes also had a streak of 27 straight Big East wins stopped, losing in the conference for the first time back in 1999 at Virginia Tech, and had an 18-game road winning streak halted. How will they respond today?
Tennessee won ugly last week in a 23-6 home win over Duke as they were thinking about this contest. Tennessee has averaged only 17 points against good defensive teams Georgia and Auburn.
The Vols lost last years meeting with the Hurricanes, 26-3 as 9 point home underdogs. Miami comes in 16-4 SU and 14-6 ATS the last 20 meetings with SEC teams.
Tennessee is an amazing 68-4 SU in November and 13-2 SU in its last 15 road games (losses by 5 and 7 points). Miami, though, has won 26 consecutive home games in the Orange Bowl. This looks to be a WAR. The Hurricane offense remains suspect.
I certainly wouldn’t count out too many Ben Franklin’s at the window to play this game. I will observe for future reference.
Let’s go for a wonderful old fashion football game played close to the vest and without too many special team turnovers that lead to easy scores. If that happens, know right away, we will lose. Under is the play.
Tennessee/Miami UNDER 48
