Rick's Week 4 - 10AM Picks

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Here are my picks for the 10AM batch of games:


Rams +6
. Gotta be very careful not to project expectations on teams based on previous years. That's how we get so many great lines early in the season. The Cowboys have not been the same as last year, and I don't wager on 'oh they should finally break out this week!' type of speculations. The Rams are healthy, and their offense is clicking. We're still waiting on Zeke to be the Zeke of last year while Gurley and the Rams are doing it NOW.


Buffalo +8. Lets take a look at the Falcons 3 previous games so far. You have the Bears having 4 shots at the goal line and failing to convert, leading to a Falcon 6pt victory. Game 2 the Falcons win by 11 with Rodgers having his typical slow start to the season and essentially giving them 14 points on the 1Q pick and the backward pass for a TD. Game 3 Detroit loses on a technicality, Falcons win by 4. Now the Falcons play a team with a better defense in YPG and PPG than the other 3 opponents, and we saw Ryan make some very big mistakes last week. Buffalo coach, used to play the Falcons 2x per year as well. I'll take Buffalo +8.


Detroit +2.5. Case Keenum has probably screwed everyone on this forum with his hit-or-miss type playing in the past. Can't put money on him, so with Detroit showing that they could have beat Atlanta last week, I'm going with Detroit.


Jacksonville -3. Everyone was ragging on the Jets all off-season and the last few weeks. They finally beat Jay Cutler and the Dolphins and now everyone's on board with the 3 points. Count me out of that party. McCown has 71 Interceptions to his 82 Career TDs. Jags have had good defensive production as well. Top 5 in Def Yards allowed per game, #1 defense in passing yards allowed. RB Forte is OUT for the Jets. Looking forward to some McCown interceptions by Jacksonville to solidify the win.


Tennessee -2.5. Although Houston came close with the Pats, you notice a lot of times rookie QBs fail to link together multiple good performances and fail to cover the week after a close game. Pats D has been the worst in the NFL with PPG and YPG so no wonder they were able to come so close. Houston has beat the 0-3 Bengals and that's it. I'm going to take TN -2.5.


Cincinatti @ Browns. 11 Interceptions between Dalton and Kizer so far this year. At least Kizer is a rookie still learning, Dalton is in his 7th year as a starting QB and playing just as bad. I'm rooting for the Browns to with SU, but not putting money on them. Browns have had a close game against the Steelers, they did better against the Ravens than the Bengals, and had a close game with a good 2H comeback against Indy.


Pittsburgh -3. No Play yet. Lean Pitt -3.


New England -9. No Play yet. Lean Pats -9.
 

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Other NFL threads for the week/posted season: 3-0

Will continue the rest of the day on here.
 

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Adding: Oakland +3.5, Arizona -6, Philly +2
 

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Went 1-3 on the night games, so overall was 4-3. Rushed my evening plays :/ Lucky for me, my largest wagers were on Rams and Buffalo so it was profitable. On to Monday night!
 

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Went 1-3 on the night games, so overall was 7-5. Rushed my evening plays :/ Lucky for me, my largest wagers were on Rams and Buffalo so it was profitable. On to Monday night!
 

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