Reverse Line Movement Plays

[MANBEARPIG]

3 reverse lines thurs/friday night games.

Vandy vs South Carolina line keeps going up with majority of the money coming in on SCAR

App State vs Tenn line started at -22 but is now at 20.5 and trending down even with 86% of the money on TENN

Kstate vs Stanford line started at -17 but is down to -14 with the majority of the money coming on on Stanford

Bill Snyder had a whole year to prepare for stanford, kstate has a history of shutting down Heisman candidates especially running backs.
Big upgrades at WR this year as well as the starting qb returning after tearing his acl in the opening game last year. Many starters on defense return after season ending injuries last year as well including arguably the top safety in the conference Dante Barnett. Kstate will not lose this game by more than 10 and could possibly pull off the upset. Don't make the mistake of betting against William the Conqueror.

Vandy -4
$110 - $100

App State +20.5
$110 - $100

Kansas State +14.5
$1,100- $1000

Kansas State moneyline $100 to win $500

3 game parlay $100
Vandy moneyline
App State +20.5
Kansas State +14.5

 

[Biz]

Great thread.

Will this be a dedicated thread to find these plays weekly?

 

[MANBEARPIG]

Biz, I will do my best!

Other lines to watch

Georgia vs NC
Georgia has 84% percent of the money and the line has gone down 1/2 point to -2.5
If the money stays on Georgia and the line doesn't move, NC is the play
Georgia -2.5 is enticing to me, but the line seems fishy. I would much rather be on Vegas' side rather than the general public.

 

[Lvtexholdm]

BOL on your plays MBP!

 

[KingEleven]

BOL this year

 

[Chong]

Appreciate the write ups. Thank you. Will be interested to watch your threads this year. Bol with you action.

 

[mws]

Thanks for the analysis; I like two of your three.

 

[Greenbacks]

I like that App St play.....Tenn is a huge public play is right.....Laying less then 21.

Army might be in the same boat Friday night.

Also take a look at Western Michigan Saturday.....72% on Northwestern line went from 6.5 to 5.

Good luck MBP.....Love the angle.

 

[MANBEARPIG]

Thanks guys! Greenbacks, I will definitely look into those plays.

App St still +20.5 with 87% of the money of TENN. Vegas knows something we don't. Could be a big play tonight!

 

[RDTrains]

SI is showing the majority of the money is on Vandy.

Vandy
Bet percentage 45%
Money 70%

 

[MANBEARPIG]

Money line is 70% Vandy.

Auburn +7.5 starting to more and more look like a reverse line

 

[doubledime]

3 reverse lines thurs/friday night games.

Vandy vs South Carolina line keeps going up with majority of the money coming in on SCAR

App State vs Tenn line started at -22 but is now at 20.5 and trending down even with 86% of the money on TENN

Kstate vs Stanford line started at -17 but is down to -14 with the majority of the money coming on on Stanford

Bill Snyder had a whole year to prepare for stanford, kstate has a history of shutting down Heisman candidates especially running backs.
Big upgrades at WR this year as well as the starting qb returning after tearing his acl in the opening game last year. Many starters on defense return after season ending injuries last year as well including arguably the top safety in the conference Dante Barnett. Kstate will not lose this game by more than 10 and could possibly pull off the upset. Don't make the mistake of betting against William the Conqueror.

Vandy -4
$110 - $100

App State +20.5
$110 - $100

Kansas State +14.5
$1,100- $1000

Kansas State moneyline $100 to win $500

3 game parlay $100
Vandy moneyline
App State +20.5
Kansas State +14.5

Thanks for the info. In your opinion, what's the best site for the most accurate percentages? Thanks again:toast:

 

[MANBEARPIG]

1-1 last night, but had a big play on App St +21! Vegas strikes again! Got lucky as well and took TENN -13.5 at halftime.

Tonight, the play is Kansas State. The spread currently is +15. K-State has upgraded talent at almost every position from last year. Playing against a pro style offense will play into the hands of K-state as well. The defense has been touted by many "experts" in the preseason to be one of the best, if not the best in the Big 12. The one question mark is the offensive line as there are many newcomers starting. Take K-State and the points. The money line is great value as well.

Best of luck to those who tail!

 

[powerz]

Looks like Arkansas ST 33% has RLM on the Fav -3.5 to -4.5 at Pinny

 

[MANBEARPIG]

Thanks for posting powerz!

Kansas State line is now +12 with almost 70% of the money on Stanford.

 

[14Words]

Hopefully you'll maintain this thread for the entire season.

 

[MANBEARPIG]

Good first week, +800 on these plays.

 

[cashflow50]

nice MBP

 

[MoneyMiller]

sweet shot calling man, loving the rlm plays. look fwd to ur thoughts on wk 2

 

[Greenbacks]

Navy huge public play at 72%.....Line opened up at -6.5 already down to -3.5....Uconn +3.5 should bark

Good luck!