RedElephants Saturday

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Write ups condensed on Saturday. Navy has played 5 of 7 games in the 50's, but they have also played some decent Offensive teams as well in Ohio St, Rutgers, Western Ky, Air Force, Tx St. Defense coming off their best play of the year at Home should bring confidence. San Jose St won't be one of those great Offenses, they are 69th.

Only 1 SJSU game has gone over this projected Total this season. People will look at last years 100 plus point game between these two and expect the same. San Jose is a polar opposite of last year which was 15 on O and 103 on Offense. This year they are 12th in Total Defense, very stingy against the pass and have rushing weakness but they've been good about minimizing the big plays. The best defensive teams for Navy were in Wk 1 and 2 so it's been awhile. San Jose has played some good rushing teams in Auburn and Minnesota so that should help. Reynolds back at QB will help Navy but I'm hoping for a Qtr of rust. San Jose St is banged up on the interior OL and likely will not have much depth for this game.

Both teams are in the bottom 100 in turnovers so this could be good or bad. Key stat is San Jose is 5th in time of possession and Navy 55th. If SJSU can minimize big plays by Navy this game will move quickly due to style and game plans.

My line was at 54.5 for some reason so I grabbed 55, a key number for a by chance 31-24 game. We should know by end of 1st qtr how this plays out. It will either be real good or real ugly. I don't see an in between. Gl

Under 55 for 2.25 units Navy/SJSU
 

Libatards Suck
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BOL today.......Red
 

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Red - Nice write up, this is one of my top bets today, gl........
 
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Down to 53.5 now in some places. Nice early buy Red. Good luck!
 
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Pittsburgh -2.5 for 2 units- Pitt at home, homecoming with the much better Defense. The D number is off however since they have not played a Top 50 Offense until today. Vegas saw that and thus the 55 total. They are better than GT's defense regardless which does not defend the Rush well at all, 93rd. And Pitt runs the ball really well. The difference between these two in my opinion is that Pitt has two really good WR's they just have to get them the ball. GT on the other hand will be missing their leading RB Zach Laskey today he has 120 carries and the next best has 24 carries. This will put the burden on Thomas and Pitt will key on him if no one else can step up. Pitt can easily win this game barring mistakes. They are the team not playing to their potential.
 
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Wow, a really crazy play just officially ended any chance for Under in Navy, but it was a good call by the referee so....onto the next. 3 points in the 1st quarter, 35 points in the 2nd and Navy in the rdezone with 19 to go......wow.

Louisiana Tech -8.5 for 2 Units

LT beat USM last year 36-13 and really the only difference this year in either team is that LT has a much better D than a year ago. USM has nothing to brag about in the games they've won in terms of who they have beaten. LT has had some really decent Offensive rhythm at times. The 37-31 loss to MTSU is the closest USM has come to beating a decent team, the rest have been blowouts. USM is 114th in Rushing Defense and they are likely without their leading tackler linebacker Brian Anderson. That does not bode well against Kenneth Dixon. I also love playing against teams that cannot run the football and USM is 114th. La Tech is 36th in Total Defense and 29th in Pass Defense, and pretty much that is all USM can do. Strength against strength, so I will take the better team with the better defense and give up 8.5 points. Dixon has had 200+ yards in the last 2 games so the offense is beginning to form an identity. USM is just bad football.
 
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Hang on La Tech. I'm able to grab LSU at +4.5 and will do so for 2 Units. As for the other play......

wannstedt630.jpg
 
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La Tech a Winner....1st 2 games LOSERS...bad ones.

LSU +4.5 for 2

LSU +10.5, Under 50.5 for 2
 

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Barely hung on,I tagged along on la tech but didn't like the other 2 ,thanks and good luck with Lsu. I have miss -3.5 and Lsu +5.5 with locals
 

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